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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 12

    Good Luck on day #71 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Leading scorers in country in Division I:
    24.2— Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
    24.0— Antoine Davis, Detroit
    23.8— Luke Garza, Iowa
    23.1— Cameron Thomas, LSU
    21.8— Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
    21.8— Marcus Burk, IUPUI

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday

    13) Big East tourney:
    Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
    — Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
    — Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
    — Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don’t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin’ rafters!!!

    Seton Hall 77, St John’s 69 OT— This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA’s.

    12) SEC tourney:
    Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73— Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
    — This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA’s.

    11) ACC tourney:
    — Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke’s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.

    Virginia 72, Syracuse 69— Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman’s only basket of the game.

    10) Big X tourney:
    Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
    — Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
    — Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.

    Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
    — Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
    — Oklahoma limps into the NCAA’s, on a 1-5 skid.

    9) Pac-12 tourney:
    Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT— Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
    — With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
    — UCLA lost its last four games.

    USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
    — Three Trojans played 42:00+.
    — Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30

    8) Big 14 tourney:
    Maryland 68, Michigan State 57— Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they’re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.

    Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
    — Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
    — Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
    — Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
    — Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
    — Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
    — Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
    — Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
    — Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56

    6) Big West tourney:
    Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56— 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.

    Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51— Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.

    5) Conference USA tourney— All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.

    4) MAC tourney:
    Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
    — Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
    — Rockets won five of their last six games.

    3) Mountain West tourney:
    San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
    — Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
    — San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.

    Disappointing that UNLV hasn’t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they’re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.

    2) Big Sky tourney:
    Montana 80, Weber State 75
    — Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
    — Grizzlies can shoot though; they’re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)

    1) AAC tourney:
    South Florida 73, Temple 71— Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Friday, March 12


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-12-2021, 11:10 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Friday, March 12


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-12-2021, 11:11 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Friday, March 12


          ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
          Georgia Tech vs Virginia

          Georgia Tech (16-8, 12-6)
          — ranked #36 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #212
          — Experience: #4
          — Continuity: #10
          — Georgia Tech won its last seven games.
          — Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.2% of time (#31)
          — Tech is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#26)
          — Tech played three starters 31:00+ yesterday- they were down 7 in 2nd half.
          — Last 9+ years, Tech is 3-9 in ACC tourney; last time they won two games in one ACC tourney was 2010.

          Virginia (18-6, 14-4)
          — ranked #13 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #357
          — Experience: #110
          — Continuity: #162
          — Virginia won its last three games, after an 0-3 skid.
          — Cavaliers are shooting 38.1% on the arc (#19)
          — Virginia is #14 team in country on defensive boards.
          — Last 6+ years, Virginia is 12-4 in ACC tournament.

          — Virginia beat Georgia Tech twice this year, 64-62/57-49
          — Cavaliers wont last eight series games.

          North Carolina vs Florida State
          North Carolina (18-9, 12-6)

          — ranked #26 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #42
          — Experience: #330
          — Continuity: #157
          — Tar Heels are 6-2 in their last eight games; they scored 91 ppg in last three.
          — Carolina has #221 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#264)
          — UNC is grabbing 41.3% of its missed shots (#1)
          — Tar Heels are 11-4 in last 15 ACC tourney games; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.

          Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
          — ranked #14 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #77
          — Experience: #96
          — Continuity: #103
          — Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
          — Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
          — Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
          — Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.
          — UNC played last two days; FSU hasn’t played since Saturday.

          — These teams split pair of games this season.
          — These teams also split last six series games.

          AAC tournament
          Cincinnati vs SMU (@ Fort Worth, TX)

          Cincinnati (10-10, 8-6)
          — ranked #112 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #74
          — Experience: #255
          — Continuity: #209
          — Cincinnati split their last six games.
          — Bearcats are shooting 31.1% on arc (#289), 65.9% on line (#312)
          — Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#251)
          — Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

          SMU (11-4, 7-4)
          — ranked #54 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #166
          — Experience: #49
          — Continuity: #52
          — This is SMU’s first game in 32 days.
          — Opponents are shooting 43.3% inside arc (#8)
          — Mustangs are 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
          — SMU went W-L in last two AAC tourneys; they won it in ’15, ’17.

          — Bearcats won 76-69 at SMU January 7.
          — Cincinnati won last eight series games.

          Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
          Oklahoma State vs Baylor

          Oklahoma State (19-7, 12-7)
          — ranked #37 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #47
          — Experience: #322
          — Continuity: #290
          — Cowboys won seven of their last eight games.
          — Oklahoma State has #50 eFG% defense in country.
          — Their last six wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
          — Cowboys played two starters 37:00+ yesterday; no one else played more than 29:00
          — Last six years, Oklahoma State is 3-5 in Big X tourney.

          Baylor (22-1, 14-1)
          — ranked #3 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #186
          — Experience: #87
          — Continuity: #32
          — Baylor won last four games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
          — Bears are shooting 42.8% on the arc (#1)
          — Baylor is forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#3)
          — Last 4+ years, Baylor is 1-3 in Big X tournament; last time they won twice in same tournament was 2014.

          — Baylor beat Oklahoma State twice this year, 81-66/81-70
          — Bears won 11 of last 12 series games.

          Texas vs Kansas
          Texas (18-7, 12-6)
          — ranked #25 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #146
          — Experience: #106
          — Continuity: #4
          — Texas won its last four games, giving up 65.5 ppg.
          — Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#24)
          — 42.3% of Texas’ shots come behind the arc (#52)
          — Under Smart, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tournament.

          Kansas (20-8, 13-6)
          — ranked #20 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #184
          — Experience: #264
          — Continuity: #122
          — Kansas won eight of its last nine games- the one loss was in OT at Texas.
          — Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#43)
          — Kansas was down two guys yesterday- they used only 7 players.
          — You’re reading ***************.com.
          — Kansas is 31-6 in their last 37 Big X tourney games.

          — Texas beat Kansas twice this year, 84-59/75-72 OT.
          — Before this year, Jayhawks had won 18 of last 20 series games.

          Big East tournament (@ New York City)
          UConn vs Creighton

          UConn (15-6, 12-6)
          — ranked #18 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #298
          — Experience: #162
          — Continuity: #165
          — UConn won its last five games, scoring 98-94 in last two games.
          — Huskies are grabbing 37-7% of their missed shots (#4)
          — UConn has #31 eFG% defense in country.
          — Last 3+ years, UConn is 2-2 in conference tourneys.

          Creighton (19-7, 15-6)
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #130
          — Experience: #40
          — Continuity: #20
          — Creighton won nine of its last 12 games.
          — Bluejays are shooting 57.8% inside arc (#5)
          — Creighton gets 37.8% of their points on arc (#32)
          — Last 5+ years, Creighton is 3-5 in Big East tourney.

          — Creighton beat UConn twice this year, 76-74 OT/74-66.

          Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
          Ohio State vs Purdue

          Ohio State (19-8, 13-8)
          — ranked #7 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #232
          — Experience: #89
          — Continuity: #173
          — Buckeyes snapped 4-game skid with yesterday’s 79-75 win over Minnesota.
          — Ohio State is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#67), 36.1% on arc (#65)
          — Buckeyes are getting 21.5% of their points on foul line.
          — Last 6+ years, Ohio State is 4-5 in Big 14 tourneys.

          Purdue (18-8, 13-6)
          — ranked #12 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #273
          — Experience: #328
          — Continuity: #114
          — Purdue won its last five games, giving up 60.4 ppg.
          — Purdue is a top 30 rebounding team in country.
          — Boilers are 8-6 vs top 50 teams this season.
          — Last seven years, Purdue is 3-4 in its first Big 14 tourney game.

          — Purdue beat Ohio State twice this year, 67-60/67-65
          — Boilermakers won six of last eight series games.

          Wisconsin vs Iowa
          Wisconsin (17-11, 11-10)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #325
          — Experience: #21
          — Continuity: #12
          — Wisconsin lost five of its last seven games.
          — Badgers are 6-10 vs teams ranked in top 50.
          — Badgers won 75-74 yesterday; they led by 18 with 7:48 left.
          — Under Gard, Wisconsin is 5-4 in Big 14 tournament games.

          Iowa (20-7, 14-6)
          — ranked #4 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #110
          — Experience: #204
          — Continuity: #46
          — Iowa won seven of its last eight games.
          — Hawkeyes are shooting 39.6% on arc (#4)
          — Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#34)
          — Last 13 years, Iowa is 4-12 in Big 14 tourney.

          — Iowa beat Wisconsin twice this year, 77-62/77-73
          — Hawkeyes won five of last seven series games.

          Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
          Nevada vs San Diego State

          Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
          — ranked #86 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #107
          — Experience: #334
          — Continuity: #307
          — Nevada won six of its last eight games overall.
          — Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#70)
          — Wolf Pack played three guys 33:00+ in yesterday’s 74-possession win.
          — Last 5+ years, Nevada is 7-4 in Mountain West tournament.

          San Diego State (21-4, 15-3)
          — ranked #31 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #132
          — Experience: #130
          — Continuity: #80
          — San Diego State won its last 12 games.
          — Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#24)
          — Aztecs are #30 team in country on defensive boards.
          — Aztecs went WWL in this event 6 of last 7 years, WWW the other year.

          — Aztecs beat Nevada twice this year, 65-60/69-67
          — San Diego State won eight of last nine series games.

          Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
          Oregon State vs Oregon

          Oregon State (15-12, 11-10)
          — ranked #96 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #313
          — Experience: #76
          — Continuity: #155
          — Beavers won four of their last five games.
          — Oregon State gets 21.2% of its points on foul line (#46)
          — Beavers rallied from down 16 to beat UCLA in OT yesterday.
          — Under Tinkle, Beavers are 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney

          Oregon (20-5, 15-4)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #242
          — Experience: #35
          — Continuity: #268
          — Oregon won six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
          — Ducks are shooting 38.5% on the arc (#12)
          — Oregon forces turnovers 20.2% of time (#92)
          — Last 6+ years, Ducks are 14-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice

          — Ducks/Beavers split pair of road wins this year.
          — Oregon State won four of last six series games.

          Colorado vs USC
          Colorado (21-7, 15-6)
          — ranked #18 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #270
          — Experience: #32
          — Continuity: #85
          — Colorado won its last five games, giving up 59.8 ppg.
          — Colorado is shooting 36.3% on the arc (#59)
          — Opponents are shooting 46.0% inside arc (#44)
          — Colorado went WL in five of last seven Pac-12 tourneys.

          USC (22-6, 16-5)
          — ranked #16 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #233
          — Experience: #201
          — Continuity: #317
          — USC won its last three games, after a 1-3 skid.
          — USC is grabbing 37.3% of its missed shots (#9)
          — Four Trojans played 37:00+ in yesterday’s double OT win.
          — Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
          — USC went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.

          — Colorado beat USC twice this year, 72-62/80-62
          — Buffs won their last six games against USC.

          SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
          Florida vs Tennessee

          Florida (14-8, 10-7)
          — ranked #33 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #173
          — Experience: #246
          — Continuity: #163
          — Gators split their last eight games.
          — Florida has #52 eFG% defense in country.
          — Florida blew 12-point lead yesterday, held Vandy off 69-63.
          — Under White, Gators are 4-4 in SEC tourney games.

          Tennessee (17-7, 10-7)
          — ranked #24 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #253
          — Experience: #251
          — Continuity: #105
          — Tennessee split its last six games.
          — Opponents are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#29)
          — Tennessee beat Florida 65-54 at home, five days ago.
          — Tennessee went WWL in last two SEC tournaments.

          — Teams split pair of home wins this season.
          — Vols won five of last six series games.

          Missouri @ Arkansas
          Missouri (16-8, 9-8)
          — ranked #50 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #170
          — Experience: #11
          — Continuity: #7
          — Mizzou lost five of its last eight games.
          — Mizzou is only #236 team in country on defensive boards.
          — Tigers are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#62)
          — Last 8+ years, Mizzou is 5-6 in SEC tourney- they’ve never won two games in the same SEC tournament (won two in 2012 Big X tourney).

          Arkansas (21-5, 13-4)
          — ranked #19 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #19
          — Experience: #237
          — Continuity: #339
          — Arkansas won its last eight games, scoring 81+ points in 6 of last 7.
          — Hogs have #61 eFG% defense in country.
          — Arkansas is grabbing 31.7% of its missed shots (#62)
          — Last six years, Arkansas is 6-5 in SEC tourneys.

          — Teams split pair of road wins this season.
          — Teams split last ten series games.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-12-2021, 11:11 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            811MARYLAND -812 MICHIGAN
            MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

            813OHIO ST -814 PURDUE
            OHIO ST is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

            815RUTGERS -816 ILLINOIS
            ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the current season.

            819S FLORIDA -820 WICHITA ST
            S FLORIDA is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

            821CINCINNATI -822 SMU
            SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

            823TULANE -824 HOUSTON
            HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

            825UCF -826 MEMPHIS
            MEMPHIS are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts in the current season.

            827MISSISSIPPI ST -828 ALABAMA
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 49-30 ATS (16 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent since 1997.

            829FLORIDA -830 TENNESSEE
            TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-12-2021, 11:12 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Friday, March 12


              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-12-2021, 11:12 AM.

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