Announcement

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 08:41 AM

The more one does and sees and feels, the more one is able to do, and the more genuine may be one's appreciation of fundamental things like home, and love, and understanding companionship.

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 08:41 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:
12-1— Dustin Johnson
13-1— Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
15-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— Justin Thomas
20-1— Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
24-1— Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.

FS1 announcer: “This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.”

Hahaha. Can’t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you’re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.

Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT— Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games. Musketeers blew a 32-13 lead, no bueno for a bubble team.

12) ACC tournament:
— Syracuse 89, NC State 68— Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
— Miami 67, Clemson 64— Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
— North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59— UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.

11) Big X tournament:
— Kansas State 71, TCU 50— Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73— Cyclones didn’t win a conference game this year.

10) Big 14 tournament:
— Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46— Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino’s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State’s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino’s place. Dutcher’s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80’s.

Here’s my proposal, and I’ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. If you’ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray’s character had with gophers on the golf course.

Having Bill Murray’s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.

9) MAAC tournament:
— Iona 55, Siena 52— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
— Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60— Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.

8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels’ home court Thursday.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
— California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
— Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
— Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
— DePaul (+6.5) 70, Providence 62
— Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
— Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66

6) Pac-12 tournament:
— Utah 98, Washington 95— Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
— Cal 76, Stanford 58— Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.

5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they’re going to trade him, and he’ll be away from the team until that happens.

Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he’s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.

4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn’t gone up.

Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.

3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren’t patient.

2) Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn’t superstitious.

1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 08:56 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 11

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 08:59 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 11

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 09:02 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 11

ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
Syracuse vs Virginia
Syracuse (16-8, 10-7)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #66
— Syracuse won six of its last eight games.
— In their last six losses, Syracuse allowed 78+ points- they’re 14-2 allowing less than 78 points.
— Syracuse is #338 in country on the defensive boards.
— Syracuse made 14-29 on arc yesterday; four starters played 31:00+.
— In seven years in the ACC, Syracuse is 4-5 in this event.

Virginia (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #160
— Virginia won its last two games, after an 0-3 skid.
— Cavaliers are shooting 38.6% on the arc (#13)
— Virginia is #11 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last six years, Virginia is 11-4 in ACC tournament.

— Syracuse lost 81-58 at Virginia January 25; UVa made 14-31 on arc.
— Virginia is 7-4 vs Syracuse in ACC meetings.

Duke vs Florida State
Duke (13-11, 11-9)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #251
— Duke won six of its last nine games, with two of three losses in OT.
— Blue Devils gets only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)
— Duke has #222 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke played last two days; FSU has been off since Saturday.
— Duke won two of last three ACC tourneys.

Florida State (15-5, 11-4)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #103
— Seminoles lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 run.
— Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#11)
— Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#54)
— Last eight years, Florida State is 7-7 in ACC tournament.

— Duke won its last five games with Florida State; teams haven’t met this year.

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech
North Carolina (17-9, 11-6)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #256
— Tar Heels are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Carolina has #222 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#270)
— UNC is grabbing 41.1% of its missed shots (#1)
— Tar Heels went W-L in this event three of last four years; they last won the ACC tournament in 2016.

Virginia Tech (15-5, 9-4)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #102
— This is Hokies’ first game in 12 days.
— Tech is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— 41.6% of shots they take are on the arc (#65).
— Tech went W-L in ACC tourney four of last five years.

— Teams split last four series games; they haven’t met this year.
— Carolina beat the Hokies 78-56 in LY’s ACC tourney.

Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
Oklahoma State vs West Virginia
Oklahoma State (18-7, 11-7)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #322
— Continuity: #290
— Cowboys won six of their last seven games.
— Oklahoma State has #49 eFG% defense in country.
— Their last five wins were all by 5 or fewer points.
— Freshman star Cunningham (ankle) sat out last game; check status.
— Last six years, Oklahoma State is 2-5 in Big X tourney.

West Virginia (18-8, 11-6)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #151
— Continuity: #38
— West Virginia is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Mountaineers shoot only 46.3% inside arc (#291)
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.1% of their missed shots (#10)
— Last four Big X tournaments, West Virginia went WWL.

— Teams split this year; Oklahoma State just won 85-80 at West Virginia Saturday.
— Cowboys won four of last five series games.

Texas vs Texas Tech
Texas (17-7, 11-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #4
— Texas won its last three games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#27)
— 42.2% of Texas’ shots come behind the arc (#57)
— Under Smart, Longhorns are 3-5 in Big X tournament.

Texas Tech (17-9, 9-8)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #242
— Tech won three of its last four games.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#11)
— Tech gets 22% of its points on foul line (#26)
— You’re reading ***************.com.
— Under Beard, Tech is 40-31 in Big X in regular season, 1-3 in Big X tourney.

— Tech beat Texas twice this season, 79-77/68-59
— Red Raiders won seven of last eight series games.

Big East tournament (@ New York City)
Seton Hall @ St John’s
Seton Hall (13-12, 10-9)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #131
— Seton Hall lost its last four games, scoring 60.3 ppg in last three.
— Opponents are shooting 36.9% on arc (#315)
— Seton Hall is #257 in country on defensive boards.
— Last seven years, Seton Hall is 8-5 in Big East tourney.

St John’s (16-10, 10-9)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #151
— St John’s split their last six games.
— Johnnies force turnovers 22.0% of time (#40), but still have #288 eFG%.
— St John’s scored 81+ points in four of its last five games.
— Last 4 years, St John’s won its first Big East tourney game.

— Seton Hall led Johnnies 18-0 Saturday, lost 81-71.
— Pirates won earlier meeting 77-68 at home back in December.
— Seton Hall won nine of last 12 series games.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Michigan State vs Maryland
Michigan State (15-11, 9-11)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #76
— Spartans won five of their last seven games.
— Michigan State is shooting 47.8% inside arc (#253), 32.2% on arc (#247)
— MSU lost six of its last seven games away from home.
— Spartans won four of the last eight Big 14 tourneys.

Maryland (15-12, 9-11)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #93
— Maryland lost its last two games, to Northwestern/Penn State
— Maryland is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Terrapins get 35.4% of their points on arc (#60).
— Last four years, Maryland is 0-3 in Big 14 tourney, losing by 8-5-8 points.

— Michigan State lost 73-55 at Maryland February 28.
— Spartans are 9-3 vs Maryland in Big 14 meetings.

Indiana vs Rutgers
Indiana (12-14, 7-12)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #80
— Indiana lost last five games, scoring 59 ppg in last four.
— Hoosiers are 4-11 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Indiana is shooting 48.6% inside the arc (#228)
— Last 10 years, Nebraska is 3-7 in its first Big 14 tournament game.

Rutgers (14-10, 10-10)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #5
— Rutgers is 3-4 SU in their last seven games.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 31.6% on arc (#271), 62.4% on foul line (#337)
— Rutgers has #65 eFG% defense in country.
— Last eight years, Rutgers is 5-7 in Big 14 tourney.

— Rutgers beat Indiana twice this year, 74-70/74-63
— Scarlet Knights won five of last six series games.

Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
Nevada vs Boise State
Nevada (15-9, 10-7)
— ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #115
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #303
— Nevada won five of its last seven games overall.
— Wolf Pack lost its last five games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
— Last five years, Nevada is 6-4 in Mountain West tournament.

Boise State (18-7, 14-6)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost its last three games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
— Broncos are forcing turnovers 20.3% of time (#89)
— Broncos are #28 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last nine years, Boise State is 4-9 in Mountain West tourney.

— Nevada swept Boise State 74-72/73-62 in Reno, February 5-7.
— Wolf Pack won 10 of last 11 series games.

Utah State @ UNLV
Utah State (18-7, 15-4)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #137
— Utah State won its last four games, giving up 62 ppg.
— Aggies are a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Opponents are shooting only 43.4% inside arc (#8)
— Last two years, Utah State won Mountain West tournament.

UNLV (13-14, 9-10)
— ranked #164 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #261
— Continuity: #294
— UNLV lost three of its last five games.
— Rebels are 1-11 vs teams in top 100; only win was over Utah State.
— UNLV gets only 13% of its points on foul line (#345)
— Last 10+ years, UNLV is 12-10 in Mountain West tournament- last time they won it was back in 2008.

— These teams split pair in this arena on January 25-27.
— Utah State won five of last seven series games.

Pac-12 tournament (@ Las Vegas)
Arizona State vs Oregon
Arizona State (11-13, 8-10)
— ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #136
— ASU is 7-5 in its last 12 games, after an 0-6 skid.
— Last three games, Sun Devils scored 61.3 ppg.
— ASU is 4-8 when it scores less than 75 points.
— Under Hurley, Sun Devils are 3-4 in Pac-12 tourney

Oregon (19-5, 14-4)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #269
— Oregon won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Ducks are shooting 38% on the arc (#24)
— Oregon forces turnovers 20.4% of time (#86)
— Last six years, Ducks are 13-3 in Pac-12 tourney, winning it twice

— Ducks won 75-64 in Tempe on February 11.
— Oregon won 12 of last 14 series games.

Oregon State vs UCLA
Oregon State (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #155
— Beavers won three of their last four games.
— OSU is shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#281)
— Beavers get 20.9% of their points on foul line (#53)
— Under Tinkle, Oregon State is 3-5 in Pac-12 tourney.

UCLA (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #223
— UCLA lost its last three games, scoring 68 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 37.3% on the arc (#36)
— UCLA is #41 team in country on defensive boards.
— UCLA went W-L in four of last five Pac-12 tourneys.

— Oregon State lost 57-52 at UCLA January 30.
— Bruins won six of last eight series games.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Mississippi State vs Kentucky
Mississippi State (14-13, 8-10)
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #311
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs split their last ten games.
— Miss State has #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Bulldogs turn ball over over 21.8% time (#312)
— Miss State went W-L in last three SEC tourneys.

Kentucky (9-15, 8-9)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #336
— Continuity: #342
— Kentucky won four of its last six games.
— Wildcats shoot only 45.6% inside arc (#306)
— Kentucky has #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Kentucky won four of last five SEC tournaments.

— Kentucky won 78-73 in double OT in Starkville January 2nd- they were down 9 with 9:04 left in game.
— Wildcats won last fifteen series games.

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 09:04 AM

663BALL ST -664 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

665OHIO U -666 KENT ST
OHIO U is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

667MIAMI OHIO -668 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

669BOWLING GREEN -670 AKRON
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the current season.

671MICHIGAN ST -672 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

675INDIANA -676 RUTGERS
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

679SYRACUSE -680 VIRGINIA
SYRACUSE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

687TEMPLE -688 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

689TULANE -690 TULSA
TULSA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

691E CAROLINA -692 UCF
E CAROLINA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-11-2021, 12:00 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 11

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/11

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/11

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