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Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/6

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  • Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 6

    Good Luck on day #65 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Follow your instincts. That's where true wisdom manifests itself.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

      Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
      342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
      343) Presbyterian (7-15)
      344) Duke (11-10)
      345) Stetson (11-14)
      346) Auburn (12-14)
      347) Alabama A&M (6-8)

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Saturday's Den: NBA trends at the halfway point…….

      Atlanta:
      — Won both their games since changing coaches.
      — 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
      — 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
      — Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

      Boston:
      — Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
      — 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
      — 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Five of last six home games went over.

      Brooklyn:
      — Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
      — Won/covered last seven home games.
      — 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
      — Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.

      Charlotte:
      — 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
      — 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
      — 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.

      Chicago:
      — Won six of their last nine games.
      — 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
      — 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.

      Cleveland:
      — Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
      — 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
      — 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
      — Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

      Dallas:
      — Won nine of their last 11 games.
      — 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
      — 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

      Denver:
      — Won/covered their last four games.
      — 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
      — 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
      — Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

      Detroit:
      — Lost seven of their last nine games.
      — 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
      — 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Last three road games went over the total.

      Golden State:
      — Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
      — 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
      — 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
      — Last six road games stayed under the total.

      Houston:
      — Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
      — 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
      — 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
      — Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.

      Indiana:
      — Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
      — 6-12 ATS at home.
      — 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
      — Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.

      LA Clippers:
      — Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
      — 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
      — 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

      LA Lakers:
      — Lost six of their last eight games.
      — 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
      — 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
      — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

      Memphis:
      — 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
      — 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
      — 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
      — Last eight games stayed under the total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, March 6


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-06-2021, 12:27 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Saturday, March 6


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          Trend Report
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          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-06-2021, 12:28 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Saturday, March 6


            Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
            Oklahoma State (17-7, 10-7)
            — ranked #37 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #47
            — Experience: #323
            — Continuity: #287
            — Star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last game; check status
            — Cowboys won five of last six games; their last three wins were by 5-4-4 points, with two of those in overtime.
            — OSU turns ball over 21.3% of time (#287)

            West Virginia (18-7, 11-5)
            — ranked #22 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #126
            — Experience: #153
            — Continuity: #36
            — West Virginia won seven of its last nine games.
            — WVU is grabbing 36% of its missed shots (#12)
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — West Virginia split last four home tilts, with both losses in OT.

            — West Virginia won 87-84 in Stillwater January 4th.
            — WVU won three in row, nine of last 13 series games.
            — Teams split last four meetings played here.

            Indiana @ Purdue
            Indiana (12-13, 7-11)
            — ranked #40 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #289
            — Experience: #283
            — Continuity: #82
            — Indiana lost its last four games, scoring 59.3 ppg in last three.
            — Hoosiers lost last three road games, by 19-11-6 points.
            — Indiana has #218 eFG% in country (48.5% inside arc, #228).

            Purdue (17-8, 12-6)
            — ranked #14 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #273
            — Experience: #328
            — Continuity: #114
            — Purdue won four in row, 10 of last 13 games.
            — Boilermakers are a top 30 rebounding team in country.
            — In its last four losses, Purdue was held to 68 or fewer points.

            — Purdue won 81-69 at Indiana January 14.
            — Purdue won last eight series games.
            — Indiana lost last three games in Mackey Arena, by 11-15-8 points.

            LSU @ Missouri
            LSU (15-8, 10-6)
            — ranked #29 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #60
            — Experience: #325
            — Continuity: #135
            — LSU lost four of their last six road games.
            — LSU has #52 eFG% in country.
            — LSU doesn’t pass ball a lot (#342 in assist/basket ratio)

            Missouri (15-7, 8-7)
            — ranked #43 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #164
            — Experience: #11
            — Continuity: #7
            — Missouri lost four of its last six games.
            — Missouri has #86 eFG% defense in country.
            — Missouri is shooting 53.5% inside the arc (#48).

            — LSU won last five series games, last three by 1-6-4 points.
            — LSU won its last two visits to Columbia.

            Illinois @ Ohio State
            Illinois (19-6, 15-4)
            — ranked #5 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #78
            — Experience: #219
            — Continuity: #50
            — Illinois won three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
            — Illini has #15 eFG% in country.
            — Star Dosumnu (nose) missed last three games (check status)

            Ohio State (18-7, 12-7)
            — ranked #7 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #247
            — Experience: #89
            — Continuity: #175
            — Buckeyes lost last three games, giving up 78.7 ppg.
            — Ohio State is 10-4 vs teams in top 50.
            — Buckeyes have #47 eFG% in country (36.4% on arc, #59).

            — Ohio State won 87-81 at Illinois January 16.
            — Buckeyes won 10 of last 12 series games.
            — Illinois lost nine of its last ten visits to Columbus.

            USC @ UCLA
            USC (20-6, 14-5)
            — ranked #15 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #218
            — Experience: #199
            — Continuity: #319
            — USC lost three of their last five games overall.
            — Opponents are shooting 41.8% inside arc (#3)
            — Trojans are grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#7)

            UCLA (17-7, 13-5)
            — ranked #44 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #333
            — Experience: #277
            — Continuity: #22
            — UCLA is 5-5 in its last ten games, after a 13-2 start.
            — Bruins are 11-0 in Pauley Pavilion this season.
            — UCLA is shooting 36.9% on the arc (#44).

            — Bruins lost 66-48 at USC February 6.
            — Trojans won four of last five series games.
            — USC lost three of last four visits to Westwood.

            Virginia @ Louisville
            Virginia (16-6, 12-4)
            — ranked #16 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #357
            — Experience: #106
            — Continuity: #158
            — Virginia lost three of their last four games overall.
            — Cavaliers lost three of last five road games.
            — Virginia has #12 eFG% in country (39.2% on arc, #9).

            Louisville (13-5, 8-4)
            — ranked #46 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #288
            — Experience: #333
            — Continuity: #324
            — Louisville won three of its last four games.
            — Cardinals were held to 54 or fewer points in three of five losses.
            — Louisville is shooting 30.7% on the arc (#298).

            — Virginia won ten of last eleven series games.
            — Cavaliers won four of last five visits to Louisville.

            Duke @ North Carolina
            Duke (11-10, 9-8)
            — ranked #38 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #154
            — Experience: #344
            — Continuity: #252
            — Duke lost its last two games, both in overtime.
            — Blue Devils lost five of their last seven road games.
            — Duke has #254 eFG% defense in country.

            North Carolina (15-9, 9-6)
            — ranked #33 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #48
            — Experience: #326
            — Continuity: #153
            — Carolina split its last eight games overall.
            — Tar Heels are 8-1 at home this year (lost to Marquette)
            — UNC grabs 40.9% of their missed shots (#1).

            — North Carolina won 91-87 at Duke February 6.
            — Duke is 10-7 in last 17 series games.
            — Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Chapel Hill.

            Seton Hall @ St John’s
            Seton Hall (13-11, 10-8)
            — ranked #49 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #250
            — Experience: #19
            — Continuity: #132
            — Seton Hall lost last three games, scoring 62.7 ppg.
            — Big East opponents are shooting 46.6% inside arc (#1 of 11)
            — Seton Hall is 11-4 vs teams ranked outside top 50.

            St John’s (15-10, 9-9)
            — ranked #69 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #12
            — Experience: #256
            — Continuity: #154
            — St John’s lost three of its last five games.
            — Red Storm is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#36)
            — Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside the arc (#301).

            — Red Storm lost 77-68 at Seton Hall December 11.
            — Seton Hall won six of last seven series games.
            — Teams split last six meetings played here.

            Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
            Indiana State vs Loyola

            Indiana State (15-9, 12-7)
            — ranked #115 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #231
            — Experience: #184
            — Continuity: #65
            — Indiana State won 11 of its last 13 games overall.
            — Sycamores force turnovers 21.8% of time (#42).
            — ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
            — ISU played 56-possession game yesterday; slow pace.
            — Last 3+ years, Sycamores are 1-3 in Arch Madness.

            Loyola (22-4, 17-2)
            — ranked #11 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #335
            — Experience: #38
            — Continuity: #11
            — Loyola won 15 of its last 16 games overall.
            — Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#36)
            — Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#43)
            — Loyola made 10-21 on arc, had stress-free win yesterday.
            — Last 6+ years, Loyola is 8-5 in Arch Madness.

            — Teams split pair of games in Terre Haute, January 10-11.
            — Loyola won eight of last 11 series games.

            Missouri State vs Drake
            Missouri State (17-6, 13-6)
            — ranked #86 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #120
            — Experience: #208
            — Continuity: #288
            — Bears won eight of their last nine games overall.
            — Bears are #11 team in country on defensive boards.
            — Missouri State is shooting 55.8% inside arc (#17)
            — Missouri State was up 31-13 at half of yesterday’s 66-55 win.
            — Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years.

            Drake (24-3, 15-3)
            — ranked #52 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #256
            — Experience: #84
            — Continuity: #172
            — Drake didn’t have to play yesterday; Northern Iowa had COVID issues.
            — Drake is down two starters to injury.
            — Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
            — Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
            — Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.

            — Drake won twice at Missouri State, 68-61/78-73, January 26-27.
            — Drake won seven of last eight series games.

            Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
            Saint Louis vs St Bonaventure

            Saint Louis (14-5, 7-4)
            — ranked #39 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #201
            — Experience: #118
            — Continuity: #17
            — Billikens won seven of their last nine games.
            — Saint Louis is grabbing 36.9% of their missed shots (#8)
            — Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#45)
            — SLU led 46-33 at the half yesterday; they played three starters 36:00+.
            — Last 8+ years, Billikens are 11-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.

            St Bonaventure (14-4, 12-4)
            — ranked #30 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #324
            — Experience: #111
            — Continuity: #29
            — Bonnies won four of their last five games.
            — St Bonaventure has #16 eFG% defense in country.
            — Bonnies are grabbing 33.6% of their missed shots (#32).
            — Bonnies played four starters 38:00+ yesterday; they were up 18 at half.
            — Last 9+ years, Bonnies are 11-6 in A-14 tourney.

            — St Bonaventure lost 70-59 in St Louis February 6.
            — Billikens won last three series games, by 2-23-11 points.

            Davidson vs VCU
            Davidson (13-7, 8-4)
            — ranked #56 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #350
            — Experience: #185
            — Continuity: #38
            — Davidson is 6-2 in last eight D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
            — Wildcats are shooting 58.5% inside arc (#4).
            — Davidson is 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
            — Wildcats were up 17 at half, had stress-free win yesterday.
            — Davidson is 10-4 in six A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.

            VCU (18-6, 11-4)
            — ranked #50 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #108
            — Experience: #305
            — Continuity: #283
            — Rams split their last four games, after a 14-2 run.
            — VCU is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#7)
            — Rams are 9-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
            — VCU was up 19 with 9:11 left yesterday, held on for 73-68 win; they played three starters 31:00+.
            — VCU are 2-2 in last four A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

            — Davidson beat VCU 65-57 in Charlotte last Saturday.
            — Wildcats won five of last seven series games.

            OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
            Morehead State vs Belmont

            Morehead State (22-7, 19-3)
            — ranked #137 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #304
            — Experience: #203
            — Continuity: #266
            — Morehead won six in row, 18 of last 19 games.
            — Morehead has #45 eFG% defense in country.
            — Eagles are turning ball over 23.2% of time (#336)
            — Morehead played three starters 34:00+ in 67-64 win last night.
            — Last 4+ years, Morehead is 4-3 in OVC tourney.

            Belmont (26-3, 20-2)
            — ranked #88 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #64
            — Experience: #281
            — Continuity: #205
            — Belmont split last four games, after a 21-game winning streak.
            — Bruins are shooting 59.7% inside arc (#3)
            — Six of their last eight wins were by 15+ points.
            — Belmont won 72-69 last nite; they were up 13 with 8:06 left.
            — Last 4+ years, Belmont is 4-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season

            — These teams split pair of games this year; Belmont lost in OT at Morehead a week ago today.
            — Belmont won nine of last ten series games.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-06-2021, 12:28 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              601FLORIDA ST -602 NOTRE DAME
              NOTRE DAME is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the current season.

              605RUTGERS -606 MINNESOTA
              MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

              607GEORGETOWN -608 CONNECTICUT
              CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

              609S CAROLINA -610 KENTUCKY
              KENTUCKY is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

              611MISSISSIPPI ST -612 AUBURN
              MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

              613S FLORIDA -614 WICHITA ST
              WICHITA ST is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the last 3 seasons.

              615SACRAMENTO ST -616 MONTANA ST
              SACRAMENTO ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

              617OKLAHOMA ST -618 W VIRGINIA
              W VIRGINIA is 74-48 ATS (21.2 Units) in home games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) since 1997.

              619ARIZONA ST -620 UTAH
              ARIZONA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

              621INDIANA -622 PURDUE
              PURDUE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

              623N COLORADO -624 WEBER ST
              N COLORADO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-06-2021, 12:29 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB
                Dunkel

                Saturday, March 6



                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-06-2021, 12:29 PM.

                Comment

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