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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 5

    Good Luck on day #64 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    I am always doing that which I cannot do, in order that I may learn how to do it.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

      Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
      6) UMBC (14-5)
      5) Texas Southern (12-8)
      4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
      3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
      2) Nicholls State (17-6)
      1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

      13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday’s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

      According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ”Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can’t have anybody leave the plantation.” Ummmm……not an outstanding choice of words.

      When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won’t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

      12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

      Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation’s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

      Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that’s assuming they graduated high school.

      Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite’s board of directors.

      11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers’ QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team— it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

      10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70— Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham’s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

      Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

      9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
      — This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
      — UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they’re ranked #135.

      8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65— Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

      7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64— This score doesn’t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

      6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70— Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

      5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

      4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

      3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

      2) Since 2015, Astros’ C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

      1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117— Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They’re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, March 5

        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2021, 10:38 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Friday, March 5


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          Trend Report
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          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2021, 10:39 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Friday, March 5


            Hawai’i @ Cal-Davis
            Hawai’i (10-8, 8-8)
            — ranked #201 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #228
            — Experience: #201
            — Continuity: #319
            — Rainbows won three of their last four games.
            — Hawai’i split its six games on the mainland.
            — Rainbows are shooting 36.0% on the arc (#73)

            Cal-Davis (8-6, 5-3)
            — ranked #221 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #97
            — Experience: #242
            — Continuity: #71
            — Aggies won last five games, two of them in OT.
            — Davis split its four D-I home games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Davis forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#10).

            — Hawai’i won last four series games.
            — Teams split last eight meetings played here.

            Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
            Duquesne vs St Bonaventure

            Duquesne (9-8, 8-7)
            — ranked #117 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #142
            — Experience: #209
            — Continuity: #119
            — Duquesne won five of its last seven games.
            — Dukes are shooting only 30.1% on arc (#310), 64.5% on line (#327)
            — Duquesne trailed 52-44 with 7:14 left in yesterday’s upset of Richmond.
            — Dukes’ three seniors all played 33:00+ yesterday.
            — Last 11 years, Duquesne is 2-10 in this event, 1-4 last 5+ years.

            St Bonaventure (13-4, 11-4)
            — ranked #34 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #322
            — Experience: #113
            — Continuity: #29
            — Bonnies won three of their last four games.
            — St Bonaventure has #25 eFG% defense in country.
            — Bonnies are grabbing 33.0% of their missed shots (#38).
            — Last nine years, Bonnies are 10-6 in A-14 tourney, 6-1 in their first game.

            — Bonnies beat Duquesne twice this year, 62-48/65-61.
            — Bonnies won 10 of last 11 series games.

            UMass vs Saint Louis
            UMass (8-6, 7-4)
            — ranked #110 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #39
            — Experience: #332
            — Continuity: #225
            — UMass split its last six games overall.
            — Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#219)
            — Minutemen are shooting 32.8% on arc (#218)- they take lot of 3’s.
            — UMass had a stress-free win yesterday; no one played 30:00.
            — Last 6+ years, UMass is 4-6 in A-14 tourney.

            Saint Louis (13-5, 6-4)
            — ranked #40 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #200
            — Experience: #124
            — Continuity: #17
            — Billikens won six of their last eight games.
            — Saint Louis is grabbing 36.5% of their missed shots (#9)
            — Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#32)
            — Last eight years, Billikens are 10-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.

            — UMass lost 78-57 in Saint Louis, four nights ago.
            — Saint Louis won six of last seven series games.

            George Mason vs Davidson
            George Mason (13-8, 9-6)
            — ranked #124 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #192
            — Experience: #233
            — Continuity: #24
            — Patriots won their last five games overall.
            — Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
            — Patriots were down 8 with 17:11 left yesterday; three guys played 32:00+.
            — Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

            Davidson (12-7, 7-4)
            — ranked #70 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #351
            — Experience: #184
            — Continuity: #38
            — Davidson is 5-2 in last seven D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
            — Wildcats are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#5).
            — Davidson is 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
            — Davidson is 9-4 in five A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.

            — Davidson won last three series games, by 22-5-15 points.

            Dayton vs VCU
            Dayton (14-8, 10-7)
            — ranked #80 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #299
            — Experience: #119
            — Continuity: #220
            — Dayton split its last eight games overall.
            — Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#274)
            — Dayton has #19 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #20)
            — Last 4+ years, Dayton is 1-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

            VCU (17-6, 10-4)
            — ranked #50 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #117
            — Experience: #304
            — Continuity: #282
            — Rams lost two of last three games, after a 14-2 run.
            — VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
            — Rams are 8-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
            — VCU went 1-2 in last three A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

            — Rams swept Dayton this year, 66-43/76-67
            — VCU won six of last eight series games.

            Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
            Southern Illinois vs Loyola

            Southern Illinois (12-13, 6-13)
            — ranked #191 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #286
            — Experience: #341
            — Continuity: #286
            — Salukis lost six of their last nine games.
            — Southern Illinois played three guys 34:00+ yesterday.
            — Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#310).
            — Last 8+ years, Salukis are 5-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

            Loyola (21-4, 16-2)
            — ranked #12 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #337
            — Experience: #38
            — Continuity: #11
            — Loyola won 14 of its last 15 games overall.
            — Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#36)
            — Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#37)
            — Last six years, Loyola is 7-5 in Arch Madness.

            — SIU got swept at Loyola last weekend, 60-52/65-58OT.
            — Ramblers won six of last eight series games.

            Evansville vs Indiana State
            Evansville (9-15, 7-11)
            — ranked #198 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #355
            — Experience: #39
            — Continuity: #233
            — Evansville lost seven of their last eight games.
            — Purple Aces have #343 eFG% defense (bottom 15 in country)
            — Evansville gets 44.9% of its points on arc (#4).
            — Last 13 years, Evansville is 5-13 in Arch Madness, losing by 5-10 points last two years.

            Indiana State (14-9, 11-7)
            — ranked #120 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #216
            — Experience: #179
            — Continuity: #65
            — Indiana State won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
            — Sycamores for turnovers 21.9% of time (#40).
            — ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
            — Sycamores lost in first round of this event last three years, by 11-7-22 points.

            — Indiana State swept Evansville this year, 76-70/87-73.
            — Sycamores won last eight series games.

            Northern Iowa vs Drake
            Northern Iowa (10-15, 8-11)
            — ranked #158 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #148
            — Experience: #284
            — Continuity: #193
            — Panthers won four of their last five games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#304)
            — UNI played six guys 29:00 yesterday vs Illinois State.
            — Last 5+ years, Panthers are 10-3 in Arch Madness.

            Drake (24-3, 15-3)
            — ranked #53 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #257
            — Experience: #83
            — Continuity: #170
            — Drake is down two starters to injury.
            — Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
            — Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
            — Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.

            — Drake swept UNI this season, 80-59/77-69
            — Teams split last ten series games, including pair of games in last two MVC tourneys.

            Valparaiso vs Missouri State
            Valparaiso (10-17, 7-11)
            — ranked #190 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #246
            — Experience: #266
            — Continuity: #110
            — Valpo lost eight of their last 12 games.
            — Valpo is 1-8 vs top 100 teams this season (split with Drake)
            — Crusaders are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#310).
            — Valpo went 3-1 in Arch Madness LY, losing final to Bradley.

            Missouri State (16-6, 12-6)
            — ranked #90 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #123
            — Experience: #212
            — Continuity: #288
            — Bears won seven of their last eight games overall.
            — Bears are #10 team in country on defensive boards.
            — Missouri State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
            — Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years, lost in first round other 2 years.

            — Missouri State won twice at Valpo in early January, 81-68/78-68
            — Bears are 7-3 vs Valpo in MVC meetings.

            OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
            Jacksonville State vs Belmont
            Jacksonville State (18-8, 14-6)
            — ranked #155 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #300
            — Experience: #51
            — Continuity: #326
            — Jax State won four in row, eight of last nine games.
            — Gamecocks played three guys 36:00+ in last night’s OT win.
            — Jax State is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#58)
            — Last 4+ years, Gamecocks are 6-3 in this event.

            Belmont (25-3, 19-2)
            — ranked #86 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #66
            — Experience: #281
            — Continuity: #207
            — Belmont lost two of three games, after a 21-game winning streak.
            — Bruins are shooting 60.0% inside arc (#3)
            — Six of their last seven wins were by 15+ points.
            — Last 4+ years, Belmont is 3-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season

            — Belmont beat Gamecocks twice this year, 98-91/63-59
            — Bruins won last four series games, after losing five in row before that.

            Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State
            Eastern Kentucky (22-6, 16-5)
            — ranked #172 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #2
            — Experience: #300
            — Continuity: #211
            — EKU won four in row, seven of last eight games.
            — Eastern Kentucky blew an 11-point lead, held off Austin Peay 70-67 last nite.
            — Three of their starters played 32:00+ vs Austin Peay.
            — Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
            — Last 6+ years, EKU is 2-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.

            Morehead State (21-7, 18-3)
            — ranked #136 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #302
            — Experience: #203
            — Continuity: #265
            — Morehead won five in row, 17 of last 18 games.
            — Morehead has #43 eFG% defense in country.
            — Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#333)
            — Last 4+ years, Morehead is 3-3 in OVC tourney.

            — Morehead split pair of games with EKU back in December.
            — Teams split last eight series games.

            WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
            San Francisco vs LMU

            San Francisco (11-13, 5-9)
            — ranked #101 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #184
            — Experience: #88
            — Continuity: #163
            — USF lost six of its last seven games.
            — 49.9% of their shots, 42.9% of their points come from behind the arc.
            — Dons are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
            — Last 7+ years, Dons are 6-7 in WCC tourney.

            LMU (12-8, 7-5)
            — ranked #106 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #254
            — Experience: #145
            — Continuity: #203
            — LMU won five of its last seven games.
            — Lions are turning ball over 23.0% of time (#334)
            — LMU is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
            — Last six years, Lions are 3-6 in WCC tourney.

            — LMU swept San Francisco this year, 68-60/68-63
            — Teams split last 16 series games; USF beat the Lions 82-53 in LY’s WCC tourney.

            Santa Clara vs Pacific
            Santa Clara (11-7, 5-5)
            — ranked #150 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #85
            — Experience: #109
            — Continuity: #51
            — Broncos are 5-7 in last 12 games, after a 6-0 start.
            — Santa Clara has #19 eFG% defense in country.
            — Santa Clara is shooting 28.9% on the arc (#333); they’ve got #312 eFG%.
            — Since 2005, Broncos are 0-9 in their second WCC tourney game, with five losses by 5 or fewer points.

            Pacific (9-8, 6-7)
            — ranked #122 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #255
            — Experience: #45
            — Continuity: #152
            — Pacific won three of its last four games.
            — Tigers don’t shoot ball well (#283 eFG%)
            — Pacific gets 61.6% of its points inside arc (#2)
            — Last six years, Pacific is 1-5 in WCC tourney.

            — Santa Clara lost 79-58 at Pacific January 14.
            — Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2021, 10:40 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              805IDAHO ST -806 E WASHINGTON
              IDAHO ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

              807ST PETERS -808 QUINNIPIAC
              ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

              809MONMOUTH -810 RIDER
              MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

              811N ILLINOIS -812 C MICHIGAN
              N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

              815FAIRFIELD -816 MANHATTAN
              FAIRFIELD is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

              817BOSTON COLLEGE -818 MIAMI
              BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

              819MIDDLE TENN ST -820 FLA ATLANTIC
              MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

              823HAWAII -824 CAL DAVIS
              HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

              825CANISIUS -826 SIENA
              SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

              827BALL ST -828 TOLEDO
              TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2021, 10:40 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB
                Dunkel

                Friday, March 5


                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-05-2021, 10:41 AM.

                Comment

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