Announcement

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 08:57 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2— Rory McIlroy
12-1— Viktor Hovland
13-1— Bryson DeChambeau
17-1— Tyrrell Hatton
21-1— Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here’s a summation of Tuesday’s quarterfinals:

— Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT— #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
— Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT— Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
— Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69— Norse scored last six points of the game.
— Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT— Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60— Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered “a serious knee injury” and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to “stay on the plantation” in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word “plantation”

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70— For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74— Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
— The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
— Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
— His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John’s 81, Providence 67:
— Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
— St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they’ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won’t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55— This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They’re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57— Aggies didn’t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team’s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros’ starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

“Now, I’m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official — I can say I could have done more — but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we’ve won; there have been games like this that we’ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. … We’re nice, we don’t complain, like, we don’t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get … screwed, in a way, by this. You know?”

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn’t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 09:00 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 09:04 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 4

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 09:06 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 4

Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State (17-6, 10-6)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #287
— Oklahoma State won its last five games, two of them in OT.
— Cowboys have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— OSU turns ball over 21.1% of time (#278)

Baylor (19-1, 11-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #34
— Baylor is 2-1 since its three-week COVID pause.
— Bears won tough OT game in West Virginia Tuesday, playing four guys 33:00+.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Baylor forces turnovers 25.5% of time (#3).

— Baylor won 81-66 in Stillwater January 23.
— Baylor won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Cowboys lost four of last five visits to Waco.

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State (14-10, 8-10)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #76
— Spartans won four of their last five games overall.
— Michigan State lost five of last six road games.
— Spartans have #247 eFG% in country.

Michigan (18-2, 13-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan had 7-game win streak snapped by Illinois Tuesday.
— Wolverines have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Michigan is shooting 38.8% on the arc (#13).

— State won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Arizona State @ Colorado
Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #137
— ASU lost last four road games; their last road win was December 13 at Grand Canyon, which is in Phoenix.
— Sun Devils are 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— ASU did win last three games overall, against the two Washington teams.

Colorado (19-7, 13-6)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #87
— Colorado won three in row, six of last eight games
— Buffaloes won 10 of their 11 home games, losing by 3 to Utah.
— Last three games, Colorado allowed only 60 ppg.

— Colorado won six of last nine series games.
— Sun Devils lost their last five visits to Boulder.

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas (15-7, 9-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #4
— Texas is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 10-1 start.
— Longhorns have #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas won four of six Big X road games.

Oklahoma (14-8, 9-7)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #54
— Oklahoma lost its last three games, by 5-4-4 points.
— Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#33)
— Seven of their last eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.

— Sooners won 80-79 in Austin January 26.
— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played in Norman.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ VCU, Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs Richmond
Duquesne (8-8, 7-7)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #114
— Duquesne won four of its last six games.
— Dukes are shooting only 30% on arc (#311), 65.5% on line (#316)
— Last three games, Duquesne allowed 79.7 ppg.
— Last 11 years, Duquesne is 1-10 in this event, 0-4 last five years.

Richmond (13-7, 6-5)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #10
— Spiders are 3-4 in their last seven D-I games, after a 9-3 start.
— Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#321)
— Richmond has #45 eFG% (54.6% inside arc, #30)
— Last four years, Richmond went W-L in A-14 tourney.

— Duquesne lost 79-72 at Richmond February 20.
— Spiders won 10 of last 11 series games.

St Joe’s vs UMass
St Joe’s (5-14, 4-9)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— St Joe’s won last four games, scoring 84 ppg, with Daly back.
— Hawks played four starters 33:00+ in yesterday’s win over LaSalle.
— St Joe’s has #287 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 4+ years, Hawks are 3-4 in A-14 tourney.

UMass (7-6, 6-4)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #223
— UMass lost last two games, giving up 79-78 points, since a 17-day pause.
— Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#238)
— Minutemen are shooting 32.1% on arc (#254)- they take lot of 3’s.
— Last six years, UMass is 3-6 in A-14 tourney.

— UMass won six of last eight series games.

George Washington vs George Mason
George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #269
— Colonials lost four of their last five games.
— Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
— GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
— GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

George Mason (12-8, 8-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #23
— Patriots won their last four games, including a win here over VCU.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots won four of five games vs teams outside top 200.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

— George Washington won 11 of last 15 series games.

Rhode Island @ Dayton
Rhode Island (10-14, 7-10)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #306
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rhode Island is 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
— Rams have #230 eFG% in country (30.9% on arc, #290)
— Last four years, URI is 7-2 in this event (DNP LY)

Dayton (13-8, 9-7)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #225
— Dayton lost four of its last seven games.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#288)
— Dayton has #22 eFG% in country (55.8% inside arc, #18)
— Last four years, Dayton is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

— These teams split couple games TY; URI’s win was in double OT.
— Dayton won four of last six series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Bradley
Southern Illinois (11-13, 5-13)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last eight games.
— Last six games, SIU scored only 59 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#309).
— Last eight years, Salukis are 4-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Bradley (12-15, 6-12)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost four of its last five games overall.
— Braves lost six of last seven games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#41)
— Bradley won Arch Madness the last two years.

— Teams split pair of games in Peoria, February 6-7.
— Bradley won four of last five series games.
— Braves beat SIU 64-59 in Arch Madness last year.

Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State (7-17, 4-14)
— ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #262
— Redbirds lost nine of last 11 games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#313)
— ISU is shooting 65.3% on the foul line (#322)
— Last five years, Redbirds are 7-5 in Arch Madness.

Northern Iowa (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #192
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#303)
— UNI is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Last five years, Panthers are 9-3 in Arch Madness.

— UNI swept Illinois State last weekend, 70-56/94-87 2OT
— Panthers won four of last five series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Murray State (13-12, 10-10)
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #83
— Racers lost three of their last four games.
— Murray is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#286).
— Racers are 2-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
— Last 11 years, Racers are 15-7 in OVC tourney, winning it 4 times.

Jacksonville State (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Last three games, Gamecocks scored 79.7 ppg.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.4% of its missed shots (#49)
— Last four years, Gamecocks are 5-3 in this event.

— Jax State swept Murray this year, 85-82/87-84
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Murray beat Jax State is two of last three OVC tourneys.

Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #136
— Governors lost last three games, by 7-5-8 points.
— Austin Peay has #330 eFG% defense in country.
— Governors are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
— Last three years, Austin Peay went W-L in OVC tourney.

Eastern Kentucky (21-6, 15-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #208
— EKU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— In their last six wins, Eastern Kentucky scored 81+ points.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last six years, EKU is 1-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
— These teams split couple games this year; road team won both.
— Austin Peay won five of last seven series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego (3-10, 2-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #184
— Toreros lost their last three games, giving up 91 ppg.
— San Diego is 1-10 vs teams ranked in top 300 (beat Santa Clara)
— Opponents are shooting 39.0% on the arc (#337).
— Last seven years, San Diego is 2-7 in WCC tourney.

San Francisco (10-13, 4-9)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost its last six games, scoring 66.2 ppg.
— Over half their shots (50.2%) come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last seven years, Dons are 5-7 in WCC tourney.

— Toreros lost 70-62 in San Francisco New Year’s Eve.
— Teams split last 12 series games.

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 09:08 AM

717MONMOUTH -718 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

719ST PETERS -720 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

721ST PETERS -722 IONA
IONA is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots since 1997.

723FAIRFIELD -724 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

725MIDDLE TENN ST -726 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

727OKLAHOMA ST -728 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.

729MICHIGAN ST -730 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

731TCU -732 W VIRGINIA
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

733CANISIUS -734 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

735VANDERBILT -736 CINCINNATI
VANDERBILT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 10:51 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/4

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/4

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