Announcement

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 08:37 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
87.5— Oakland A’s!!!!
86.5— Astros, Cardinals, Blue Jays
85.5— Rays
84.5— Nationals
83.5— Angels
82.5— Reds, Brewers

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 513,112
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: 13 of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games:

13) Georgetown 50, Princeton 49— 1989 first round. It would be another 29 years before a #1-seed lost to a 16-seed, but Pete Carril’s Tigers came damn close in this game.

Dick Vitale was in the ESPN studio with Bob Ley that night; he says on the air if Princeton wins the game, he’ll stand on his head on the set, on the air. He damn near had to do it. Georgetown had Alonzo Mourning that year; they wound up losing in the regional final.

12) Villanova 77, North Carolina 74— 2016 national title game. I’m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook watching this game, guy sitting next to me has Villanova and the under. From the sound of his voice and his tension level, he had a lot of money on both.

Guard on North Carolina (Marcus Paige?) hits a tough shot to tie the game and put the game over the total; the guy next to me slumped in his chair, but when Kris Jenkins drained a long shot to win the national title, the guy cheered up, a lot. That night, splitting his bets was a very good thing.

11) Kansas 83, Oklahoma 79— 1988 national title game. Over the last 35 years, this was only time the underdog won all three games at the Final Four. Kansas was a #6-seed; it would be another 26 years before a lower seed (#7-seed UConn in 2014) would win a national title.

Billy Tubbs coached Oklahoma back then; I loved watching his teams, they played and with great confidence. This game was 50-50 at halftime, two conference rivals going at it, but the Jayhawks had Danny Manning, and he led them to a surprising national championship.

10) Vermont 60, Syracuse 57 OT— 2005 first round. Back then, group of us would gather at an Off Track Betting sports bar, hunker down for four days and watch games for 12 hours a day. Lot of fun, lot of bantering back/forth. Wish the casino in Schenectady was around back then.

This was the year Tom Brennan coached Vermont to a big upset in the first round; they were a 9-point underdog in this game. Brennan later became a talk radio star, after he retired from coaching- his Catamounts lost their next game by 11 to Michigan State.

9) Northern Iowa 69, Kansas 67 OT— 2010 2nd round. I was at the MGM Grand watching this game; lot of Kansas fans were around, very cocky that their team was headed to the Sweet 16- they were the #1-seed in that region.

Problem is, no one told Northern Iowa; they hit a 3-pointer late in the game, pulled the big upset and made a lot of Jayhawk fans very sad.

That was the week I’m watching a game, kid scores a basket very early in the game and the three guys next to me start hugging each other and yelling. I ask them if that was their brother who scored that basket— they said no, they had Wake Forest in their “first to 15” bet.

I had no idea that MGM offered a bet where you picked which team got to 15 points first.

8) North Carolina 77, Oregon 76— 2017 national semifinal. Watched this game in Las Vegas with a friend of mine who had a very, very large bet on Oregon. He had both underdogs that day, and over the last 35 years, that day was the only time in national semifinals where both underdogs lost, but both covered, so he had a really good day.

South Carolina was a #7-seed that surprisingly made the Final Four that year; since then, Gamecocks are 32-36 in SEC games, and haven’t been back in NCAAs. Tough place to win.

7) North Carolina 71, Gonzaga 65— 2017 national final. This was two nights after the two dogs had covered the semi-final games. I’m at the SouthPoint sportsbook, and I sit next to three younger guys, all from San Diego. It was also opening night of baseball season.

For the next 3-4 hours, we shot the breeze about everything, mostly sports, but some other stuff too. They told me that Steve Fisher needed to retire at San Diego State (he did, right after that). First time I ever had a quesadilla (they’re good!!). Living proof that all Americans have more in common than what separates us.

6) Georgia Tech 93, Minnesota 91— 1990 regional final. I had the Gophers +3.5. Minnesota has the ball at the end, no chance to win, kid drains a 3 from the right corner at the buzzer, to send me home happy.

Long, long time ago, went to the NIT Final Four in New York City. This is 1984 or so, when I had just started working. All I remember about that night:
— Fresno State had really pretty cheerleaders who threw small boxes of raisins into the stands. Apparently, they grow a lot of raisins in Fresno.
— Someone scored a basket late in the game to cover the spread; these three guys in front of us starting yelling and hugging each other. Winning money makes you happy.
— Long busride back to Albany, then I went right to work— I was on the midnight-8am shift back then, looking at fingerprints. That was a long freakin’ night.

5) Murray State 83, Marquette 64— 2019 first round. Not a pleasant memory; I picked this game over the total, should have had Murray and the over. Marquette had no answer for Ja Morant and the Racers were going to hang 100 on a Big East team, the game was going to go way over the total, but the Marquette coach retreated his team into a zone defense and refused to try and win, to avoid embarrassment. No bueno.

Gamer stayed under the total; lets just say…….I wasn’t happy ��

4) UNLV 103, Duke 73— 1990 national title game. Wish I was in Las Vegas for this game, the night Jerry Tarkanian won his first national title. What a team that was; Larry Johnson, Greg Anthony, Stacey Augmon. Lot of midnight games on ESPN for that crew.

Back then, Big Monday was a tripleheader: Big East at 7, Big 10 at 9, Big West at midnight, after SportsCenter. UNLV was in the Big West back then; they were like Gonzaga is now, a very big fish in a fairly small pond. Lot of fun to watch.

3) Northwestern State 64, Iowa 63— 2006 first round. This was a 3-14 game; Demons were a 7-point underdog. I had gone on a local radio show when the brackets came out and predicted an outright win for Northwestern State, so I was pretty excited when it happened.

Couple years later down in Orlando, I’m watching an AAU game down in Florida and the Northwestern State coach sits next to me. I told him the story, thanked him; he told me how one of his former players was going to graduate school at Iowa that year, had given him a great scouting report on the Hawkeyes. Luckily for me.

2) Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 92— 1990 first round. LMU’s first game since the tragic death of Hank Gathers during the WCC tournament, 12 days earlier.

Game was tied at halftime; Bo Kimble, LMU’s best player, had four fouls at halftime but the Lions exploded in the second half and won going away. Kimble shot his first foul shot lefty to honor his fallen teammate. LMU won two more games before losing in the regional final.

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 08:39 AM

515MEMPHIS -516 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

517ATLANTA -518 MIAMI
MIAMI is 56-36 ATS (16.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

521LA CLIPPERS -522 BOSTON
LA CLIPPERS are 62-41 ATS (16.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

523DENVER -524 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

525NEW YORK -526 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

525NEW YORK -526 SAN ANTONIO
NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

527PHOENIX -528 LA LAKERS
PHOENIX is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 08:41 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 2

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MEMPHIS (15 - 15) at WASHINGTON (13 - 19) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 185-143 ATS (+27.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 20) at MIAMI (17 - 17) - 3/2/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (24 - 12) at BOSTON (17 - 17) - 3/2/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 147-186 ATS (-57.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (19 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (21 - 13) - 3/2/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 193-237 ATS (-67.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 116-94 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 104-83 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 302-362 ATS (-96.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 89-140 ATS (-65.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (18 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 13) - 3/2/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1140-1012 ATS (+26.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 581-492 ATS (+39.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 384-305 ATS (+48.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 381-316 ATS (+33.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 324-264 ATS (+33.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (22 - 11) at LA LAKERS (24 - 11) - 3/2/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 08:42 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 2

Memphis @ Washington
Grizzlies (15-15)
— Memphis is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Grizzlies are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 6-0 in their last six games.

Wizards (13-19)
— Wizards won seven of their last nine games (8-1 ATS)
— Washington is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

— Memphis won three of last four series games.
— Grizzlies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

LA Clippers @ Boston
Clippers (24-12)
— Clippers lost four of their last seven games overall.
— Clippers are 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Celtics (17-17)
— Boston is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
— Celtics are 10-5 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Boston games.

— Celtics won last two series games, after losing previous four.
— Clippers covered three of last four visits to Boston.
— Six of last seven series games went over.

Atlanta @ Miami
Hawks (14-20)
— Hawks fired their coach yesterday.
— Atlanta lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Hawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
— 11 of Atlanta’s 14 games went over the total.

Heat (17-17)
— Miami won six in row, 10 of its last 13 games overall.
— Heat is 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

— Heat won five of last six series games.
— Hawks are 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Miami.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

New York @ San Antonio
Knicks (18-17)
— New York won seven of last nine games (10-3 ATS last 13).
— Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in New York’s last six games.

Spurs (17-13)
— San Antonio split its last six games overall.
— Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 6-3 in Spurs’ last nine games.

— Spurs won six of last seven series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games played here.

Denver @ Milwaukee
Nuggets (19-15)
— Denver is 7-4 in its last 11 games overall.
— Nuggets are 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
— Over is 4-1 in Denver’s last five road games.

Bucks (21-13)
— Milwaukee won its last five games (4-1 ATS).
— Bucks are 12-7 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-3 in Milwaukee’s last ten home games

— Denver won six of last nine series games.
— Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Suns (22-11)
— Phoenix won/covered 14 of its last 17 games.
— Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Lakers (24-11)
— Lakers won last two games, after a 1-5 skid.
— Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— Lakers won seven of last eight series games.
— Suns are 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 08:44 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 2

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Trend Report
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Memphis @ Washington
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

LA Clippers @ Boston
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

New York @ San Antonio
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing at home against New York

Denver @ Milwaukee
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

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**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 10:44 AM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday March 2
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 12-0 ATS (12.58 ppg) as a dog after playing as a road favorite last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 0-11 ATS (-7.64 ppg) off a 10+ point home win in which they scored at least 15 more points in the first half than the second half.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Boston (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 11-0-1 OU (10.29 ppg) as a road favorite off a loss as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at San Antonio (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-11 OU (-17.73 ppg) off a win in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 10:47 AM

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 10:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 2

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/2

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/2

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