Announcement

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:25 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
102.5— Dodgers
95.5— Bronx Bombers
94.5— Padres
91.5— Braves, White Sox
90.5— Mets
88.5— Twins

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Quick piece of advice: don’t bet on spring training games this year.

They have some unusual rules this year; one of the weird ones is if a pitcher throws 20+ pitches in an inning, his manager can simply end the inning, just by saying so.

Up 5-2 in top of 6th Sunday, Angels had bases loaded, but the SF pitcher had reached 20 pitches that inning, so Gabe Kapler just told the umpire the half-inning was over. MLB is trying to prevent pitchers from overworking themselves this spring.

Some games are 5 innings, some 7, others 9, at least until March 13, when they’re expected to go back to all nine-inning games.

12) If you were born on February 29, when do you celebrate your birthday? The 28th? March 1? Must be odd having a birthday once every four years.

11) There is a basketball player at South Alabama named Kayo Goncalves: here are his shooting stats for this year, his senior season:

— 2-point shots: 7-19, 36.8%
— foul shots: 9-14, 64.3%
— 3-point shots: 65-168, 36.7%

He mustn’t dribble very much, just catch/shoot. Jaguars are 16-10 overall this season, 23-14 in Sun Belt play the last two seasons. Sun Belt basketball is fun to watch.

10) Knicks 109, Pistons 90— Knicks are 18-17, first time since 2013 that they’ve been over .500 after 35 games. Tom Thibodeau is a very good coach.

9) QB Allen Bowman is transferring from Texas Tech to Michigan; Jim Harbaugh had a young QB play for him last year and it didn’t go well, so he grabs another transfer. Bowman threw for 2,600+ yards the last two seasons.

8) It was great to watch actual baseball games Sunday, even meaningless exhibition games. Regular season starts April 1st, four weeks from Thursday.

7) Marcus Semien got $18M to play for Toronto this season, but he is also moving from SS to second base, and he’ll play most of his home games on artificial turf.

Blue Jays will stay in Florida for their first two homestands, and they’ll play it by ear from there, as far as COVID protocols go. Blue Jays played their home games in Buffalo last year, but you don’t want to play outdoors in Buffalo in April.

6) Butler 73, Villanova 61— Villanova shot 2-27 from the arc; they’re shooting 36.1% for the season behind the arc. This is the kind of game teams will have to avoid in the tournament; you lay an egg there and your season ends quickly.

5) Iowa 73, Ohio State 57— In reality, NCAA Tournament will have three #1-seeds (Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan) and five #2-seeds, just that one of the five will be named as a #1-seed, but who will it be? Buckeyes had a shot, but they’ve lost three in a row now, so that won’t happen.

4) Victor Oladipo rejected a 2-year, $45.2M contract extension from the Houston Rockets; you know your life is going well when $45.2M isn’t a good deal. He wants a contract that is longer than two years, and if he stays healthy, he’ll probably get it.

3) Charlotte 127, Sacramento 126:
— Sacramento led by 8 with 0:55 left.
— Kings missed five foul shots in the last 1:09.
— Charlotte’s best player, Gordon Hayward, didn’t play.
— Sacramento has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

2) RIP to Irv Cross, 81, who passed away Sunday. Cross was a DB in the NFL for nine years (Eagles, Rams) but was better known as a popular person on the NFL Today pregame show for many years, with Brent Musburger, Phyllis George and Jimmy the Greek. RIP, sir.

1) Sunday was the 38th anniversary of the last episode of M*A*S*H, one of the all-time great TV shows. Spent many an hour watching M*A*S*H re-runs on weekday afternoons; the episodes with MacLean Stevenson were my favorites.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:27 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:30 AM

NCAAB

Monday, March 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:32 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 1

Washington State @ Arizona State
Washington State (14-12, 7-12)
— ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #210
— Wazzu lost last three road games, by 2-16-3 points.
— Two of their last three games overall went to overtime.
— Coogs have #269 eFG% in country (#308 inside arc).

Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #94
— Continuity: #137
— ASU won its last three games overall, scoring 84.7 ppg.
— Sun Devils won six of their last seven home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— ASU forces turnovers 21.1% of time (#56)

— ASU beat Wazzu 77-74 in OT here Saturday.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Coogs lost seven of last nine visits to Tempe.

Dayton @ St Bonaventure
Dayton (12-8, 8-7)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #112
— Continuity: #226
— Dayton lost four of their last six games.
— Flyers are shooting 56.4% inside arc (#16), has #20 eFG%.
— Dayton is 6-4 vs top 100 teams.

St Bonaventure (13-3, 11-3)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #30
— Bonnies are 11-0 if they score 65+ points.
— Bonnies won last three games, giving up 50.3 ppg.
— St Bonaventure is 4-3 vs top 100 teams.

— Dayton won last five series games.
— Flyers won 90-74/89-86OT in last two visits here.

St Joe’s @ Richmond
St Joe’s (3-14, 2-9)
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #314
— Continuity: #245
— Hawks won last two games, after a 1-14 start.
— St Joe’s has #294 eFG% defense in country.
— Hawks get 39.8% of their points on arc (#16); they’re shooting 31.4% on arc (#277)

Richmond (13-6, 6-4)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #11
— Continuity: #10
— Spiders split their last six D-I games.
— Richmond is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#32)
— Spiders have #287 eFG% defense (#324 inside arc)

— Richmond won 79-56 at St Joe’s January 26.
— Spiders won five of last eight series games.
— Hawks won two of last three visits to Richmond.

UMass @ Saint Louis
UMass (7-5, 6-3)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #27
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #219
— UMass won five of its last seven games overall.
— This is their second game after a 17-day COVID pause.
— UMass has #246 eFG% in country (#259 on arc, #206 inside arc).

Saint Louis (12-5, 5-4)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #185
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #19
— Billikens are 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Saint Louis is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Billikens won last four home tilts, giving up 60.3 ppg.

— Saint Louis won five of last six series games.
— UMass lost last three visits here, by 4-3-3 points.

Miami @ Virginia
Miami (7-15, 3-14)
— ranked #225 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #226
— Miami lost five in row, nine of last ten games.
— MSU is getting 21.7% of its points on foul line (#36)
— In their last four games, Miami scored 62.5 ppg.

Virginia (15-6, 11-4)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #160
— Virginia lost its last three games, after a 15-3 start.
— Cavaliers are shooting 39.3% on arc, have #9 eFG% in country.
— Only two of their last six wins were by more than 8 points.

— Virginia won last three series games, by 9-10-2 points.
— Miami lost five of last six visits to Charlottesville.

North Carolina @ Syracuse
North Carolina (15-8, 9-5)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #154
— Carolina lost three of its last five road games.
— Tar Heels have #258 eFG%, are turning ball over 20.6% of time (#260)
— UNC is grabbing 40.1% of their missed shots (#1)

Syracuse (13-8, 7-7)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #73
— Syracuse won its last six home games.
— Orangemen are 1-6 vs top 50 teams.
— In last 13 games, Syracuse is 7-0 if it allows 73 or fewer points, 0-6 if they allow 73+.

— Syracuse lost 81-75 at Chapel Hill January 12.
— Tar Heels won nine of last ten series games.
— Carolina won its last three games in Carrier Dome.

Rutgers @ Nebraska
Rutgers (13-9, 9-9)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #5
— Rutgers lost three of their last five games.
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#63)
— This is Rutgers’ first game since November against a team outside top 100.

Nebraska (6-17, 2-14)
— ranked #109 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #328
— Nebraska lost 14 of last 16 games; they upset Minnesota Saturday.
— Last five games, Cornhuskers allowed 80 ppg.
— Nebraska has #278 eFG%, shooting 46.6% inside arc (#286)

— Rutgers won three of last four series games.
— Scarlet Knights lost three of last four visits to Lincoln.

Arizona @ Oregon
Arizona (17-8, 11-8)
— ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #188
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #332
— Arizona won its last three games, after a 2-5 skid.
— Wildcats are getting 23.3% of their points on foul line (#8).
— Arizona is 2-5 this season vs top 50 teams.

Oregon (16-5, 11-4)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #280
— Oregon won seven of its last eight games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Ducks won last three home games, by 12-3-4 points.
— Oregon is 6-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Ducks won 63-61 in Tucson February 13.
— Oregon won last six series games (3 wins in OT)

Florida International @ Western Kentucky
FIU (9-16, 2-14)
— ranked #301 by KenPom
— Tempo: #70
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #214
— FIU lost six in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Panthers are turning ball over 21.1% of time (#279)
— FIU has #310 eFG% defense in country (52.9% inside arc, #276)

Western Kentucky (16-5, 9-2)
— ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #90
— WKU won seven of its last eight games.
— They won their last four home games, by 8-6-23-33 points.
— Hilltoppers are 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

— FIU got thrashed 91-58 here yesterday; they got outrebounded 51-30.
— WKU won six of nine series games.
— Panthers lost three of five series games played here.

Quinnipiac @ Marist
Quinnipiac (8-10, 6-8)
— ranked #266 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #316
— Continuity: #158
— Quinnipiac won three of last four games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
— Bobcats lost three of their five true road games.
— Quinnipiac has #4 eFG% defense in country.

Marist (11-8, 9-8)
— ranked #262 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #281
— Continuity: #197
— Red Foxes are 5-4 SU in their last nine games.
— Marist is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#296).
— Quinnipiac was 14-41 on arc, 7-23 inside arc yesterday.

— Marist beat Quinnipiac 76-67 here yesterday.
— Quinnipiac won five of last seven series games.
— Bobcats won three of last four games in McCann Center.

Air Force @ Colorado State
Air Force (5-18, 3-16)
— ranked #326 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #218
— Air Force lost 11 of its last 12 games.
— Opponents are shooting 58.7% inside arc (#344).
— Four of their last five losses were by 8 or fewer points.

Colorado State (15-4, 12-3)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #311
— Continuity: #39
— Rams won three in row, nine of last 11 games.
— State is shooting 56.8% inside arc (#11).
— Rams are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

— Air Force lost 72-49 here Saturday; Colorado State shot 84% inside arc.
— Rams won last five series games.
— Falcons lost last three visits here, by 23-13-23 points.

Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (14-7, 9-6)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #54
— Sooners lost last two games, after an 8-1 run.
— Six of their last eight games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#19).

Oklahoma State (16-6, 9-6)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #285
— Cunningham had 40 points in Saturday’s 94-90 OT win.
— Cowboys won last four games; 3 of their last 5 wins came in OT.
— State has #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#280)

— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Cowboys lost last three visits to Norman, by 20-10-13 points.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:33 AM

825FLA INTERNATIONAL -826 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 129-90 ATS (30 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

827WASHINGTON ST -828 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

829DAYTON -830 ST BONAVENTURE
DAYTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

831ST JOSEPHS -832 RICHMOND
ST JOSEPHS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

833MASSACHUSETTS -834 SAINT LOUIS
SAINT LOUIS are 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

835QUINNIPIAC -836 MARIST
QUINNIPIAC is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) vs. winning teams since 1997.

837MIAMI -838 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

839N CAROLINA -840 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points in the last 3 seasons.

841RUTGERS -842 NEBRASKA
NEBRASKA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

843ARIZONA -844 OREGON
OREGON is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 10:34 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 1

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/1

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/1

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment