Announcement

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:09 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
102.5— Dodgers
95.5— Bronx Bombers
94.5— Padres
91.5— Braves, White Sox
90.5— Mets
88.5— Twins

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Quick piece of advice: don’t bet on spring training games this year.

They have some unusual rules this year; one of the weird ones is if a pitcher throws 20+ pitches in an inning, his manager can simply end the inning, just by saying so.

Up 5-2 in top of 6th Sunday, Angels had bases loaded, but the SF pitcher had reached 20 pitches that inning, so Gabe Kapler just told the umpire the half-inning was over. MLB is trying to prevent pitchers from overworking themselves this spring.

Some games are 5 innings, some 7, others 9, at least until March 13, when they’re expected to go back to all nine-inning games.

12) If you were born on February 29, when do you celebrate your birthday? The 28th? March 1? Must be odd having a birthday once every four years.

11) There is a basketball player at South Alabama named Kayo Goncalves: here are his shooting stats for this year, his senior season:

— 2-point shots: 7-19, 36.8%
— foul shots: 9-14, 64.3%
— 3-point shots: 65-168, 36.7%

He mustn’t dribble very much, just catch/shoot. Jaguars are 16-10 overall this season, 23-14 in Sun Belt play the last two seasons. Sun Belt basketball is fun to watch.

10) Knicks 109, Pistons 90— Knicks are 18-17, first time since 2013 that they’ve been over .500 after 35 games. Tom Thibodeau is a very good coach.

9) QB Allen Bowman is transferring from Texas Tech to Michigan; Jim Harbaugh had a young QB play for him last year and it didn’t go well, so he grabs another transfer. Bowman threw for 2,600+ yards the last two seasons.

8) It was great to watch actual baseball games Sunday, even meaningless exhibition games. Regular season starts April 1st, four weeks from Thursday.

7) Marcus Semien got $18M to play for Toronto this season, but he is also moving from SS to second base, and he’ll play most of his home games on artificial turf.

Blue Jays will stay in Florida for their first two homestands, and they’ll play it by ear from there, as far as COVID protocols go. Blue Jays played their home games in Buffalo last year, but you don’t want to play outdoors in Buffalo in April.

6) Butler 73, Villanova 61— Villanova shot 2-27 from the arc; they’re shooting 36.1% for the season behind the arc. This is the kind of game teams will have to avoid in the tournament; you lay an egg there and your season ends quickly.

5) Iowa 73, Ohio State 57— In reality, NCAA Tournament will have three #1-seeds (Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan) and five #2-seeds, just that one of the five will be named as a #1-seed, but who will it be? Buckeyes had a shot, but they’ve lost three in a row now, so that won’t happen.

4) Victor Oladipo rejected a 2-year, $45.2M contract extension from the Houston Rockets; you know your life is going well when $45.2M isn’t a good deal. He wants a contract that is longer than two years, and if he stays healthy, he’ll probably get it.

3) Charlotte 127, Sacramento 126:
— Sacramento led by 8 with 0:55 left.
— Kings missed five foul shots in the last 1:09.
— Charlotte’s best player, Gordon Hayward, didn’t play.
— Sacramento has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

2) RIP to Irv Cross, 81, who passed away Sunday. Cross was a DB in the NFL for nine years (Eagles, Rams) but was better known as a popular person on the NFL Today pregame show for many years, with Brent Musburger, Phyllis George and Jimmy the Greek. RIP, sir.

1) Sunday was the 38th anniversary of the last episode of M*A*S*H, one of the all-time great TV shows. Spent many an hour watching M*A*S*H re-runs on weekday afternoons; the episodes with MacLean Stevenson were my favorites.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:11 AM

501DALLAS -502 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

503INDIANA -504 PHILADELPHIA
INDIANA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

505UTAH -506 NEW ORLEANS
UTAH is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

507CLEVELAND -508 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 95-63 ATS (25.7 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.

509DENVER -510 CHICAGO
DENVER is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

511BROOKLYN -512 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:15 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 1

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:20 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 1

Dallas @ Orlando
Mavericks (16-16)
— Mavericks won seven of their last nine games.
— Mavericks are 9-3 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Under is 4-0 in last four Dallas games.

Magic (13-21)
— Orlando lost 11 of its last 15 games.
— Magic is 0-4 ATS in last four games.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

— Dallas won six of last eight series games.
— Mavericks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Orlando.
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

Indiana @ Philadelphia
Pacers (15-17)
— Indiana lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in Indiana’s last six games.

76ers (22-12)
— 76ers are 4-5 SU in their last nine games.
— Sixers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Under is 4-1 in Philly’s last five games.

— Pacers won three of last four series games.
— Indiana covered three of last four visits to Philly.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Denver @ Chicago
Nuggets (18-15)
— Denver is 6-4 in its last ten games overall.
— Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 3-2 in Denver’s last five games.

Bulls (15-17)
— Chicago won five of its last seven games SU.
— Bulls are 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Denver won last seven series games (5-2 ATS)
— Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Utah @ New Orleans
Jazz (27-7)
— Utah won 23 of its last 26 games (22-3-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 9-4-1 in Utah’s last 14 road games.

Pelicans (14-19)
— New Orleans lost six of its last ten games overall.
— Pelicans are 6-8 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 17-3-2 in their last 22 games.

— Utah won six of last seven series games.
— Jazz are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
— Five of last six series games went over.

Brooklyn @ San Antonio
Nets (22-13)
— Brooklyn won/covered eight of their last nine games.
— Nets are 5-0 ATS in last five road games.
— Four of last five Brooklyn games stayed under.

Spurs (17-12)
— San Antonio six five of its last eight games overall.
— Spurs are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
— Under is 6-2 in Spurs’ last eight games.

— Spurs won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn.
— Nets are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Charlotte @ Portland
Hornets (16-17)
— Charlotte is 6-4 SU in its last ten games.
— Hornets are 3-4 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 9-2 in Charlotte’s last 11 road games.
— Hornets won in Sacramento last nite, after trailing by 8 with 0:55 left.
— Hayward (hand) missed last night’s game.

Trailblazers (18-14)
— Portland lost its last four games, after an 8-1 run.
— Blazers are 5-9 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 3-1 in Portland’s last four games.

— Portland won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Hornets lost their last 11 visits to Portland (1-4 ATS last five)
— Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games.

Cleveland @ Houston
Cavaliers (13-21)
— Cleveland won last three games, after an 0-10 skid .
— Cavaliers are 1-9 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Rockets (11-21)
— Houston lost its last 11 games (1-10 ATS).
— Rockets covered once in their last nine home games.
— Under is 11-0-1 in their last 12 home games.

— Rockets won five of last seven series games.
— Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:22 AM

NBA

Monday, March 1

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Orlando
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Indiana @ Philadelphia
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

Denver @ Chicago
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver

Utah @ New Orleans
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games

Brooklyn @ San Antonio
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
San Antonio is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn

Cleveland @ Houston
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Charlotte @ Portland
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

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**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 10:04 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 1

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DALLAS (16 - 16) at ORLANDO (13 - 21) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 194-152 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (22 - 12) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-52 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (27 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (14 - 19) - 3/1/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (13 - 21) at HOUSTON (11 - 21) - 3/1/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (18 - 15) at CHICAGO (15 - 17) - 3/1/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 148-196 ATS (-67.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (22 - 13) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 12) - 3/1/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1140-1011 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 581-491 ATS (+40.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 381-315 ATS (+34.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 324-263 ATS (+34.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 83-62 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (16 - 17) at PORTLAND (18 - 14) - 3/1/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 207-257 ATS (-75.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 10:17 AM

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 12:29 PM

Hoop Trends for Monday March 1
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 10-0 ATS (8.80 ppg) after Rudy Gobert had more rebounds than points last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-14 ATS (-12.75 ppg) as a road favorite with rest coming off a 9+ point win.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 12-0 OU (12.62 ppg) after Brandon Ingram was their high scorer last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Houston (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-11-1 OU (-12.83 ppg) on the road off a win as a dog in which they scored at least 18 fast break points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/1

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/1

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