Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 07:28 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six guys who were student managers for their college hoop teams:
— Auburn coach Bruce Pearl (Boston College)
— LSU coach Will Wade (Clemson)
— Clippers’ executive Lawrence Frank (Indiana)
— Thunder coach Mar Daigneault (UConn)
— Texas Tech coach Chris Beard (Texas)
— Iowa State coach Steve Prohm (Alabama)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday……

13) Will any of this season’s scheduling oddities become normal in the future? Will playing two games at one site over 2-3 days, which reduces travel, become the new normal, or will things go back to the way they were last year?

Friday nights have always been a slow night for college hoop, but this year, Fridays have been busier than Wednesday/Thursdays. I’m guessing the TV people would prefer leaving Fridays to the NBA and getting college games back to mid-week dates, but that remains to be seen.

12) Alabama basketball coach Nate Oats recently signed a contract extension that will pay him $3.225M/year, not bad for a guy who, eight years ago, was a high school Math teacher and the basketball coach at a Michigan HS. He taught at the school for 11 years; now he’s rich.

Alabama is 19-6 this year, 14-2 in the SEC; they’ll be a high seed in the NCAA’s.

11) Oklahoma State 94, Oklahoma 90, OT— Cade Cunningham scored 40 points for OSU, in an impressive one-man show. Cunningham’s brother was hired as an assistant coach by the Cowboys last year, as an inducement for his brother to come to Stillwater.

Whatever they’re paying the brother, it ain’t enough. Oklahoma State will play in the NCAA’s before they get their probation from the NCAAs. Cunningham will be a walking advertisement for the Oklahoma State program when he plays in the NBA.

10) Louisville 80, Duke 73 OT
— Cardinals blew a 12-point lead, but pulled away for the OT win.
— ESPN’s Jay Bilas (a Duke alum) calls most Duke games, but he was at Kansas-Baylor, so ESPN showed they give Duke no special treatment— Chris Spatola was the analyst. He is Coach K’s son-in-law.

Oy.

9) Kansas 71, Baylor 58— Bears lose for first time in 18 games; this was their second game back after a 21-day COVID pause. Selection Sunday is two weeks from today, so their first game in the NCAA Tournament is 18-19 days away. Will they have their legs back by then?

8) North Carolina 78, Florida State 70
— This was Roy Williams’ 900th career win; 482 at Carolina, 418 at Kansas.
— Florida State led this game by 16 in the first half.
— Peaks/valleys: Carolina got hammered at home by Marquette during the week.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Tennessee Tech (+10.5) 71, Murray State 61
— Northridge (+10) 90, Bakersfield 87
— Rider (+9.5) 78, Saint Peter’s 65
— Vanderbilt (+9.5) 75, Ole Miss 70
— Auburn (+8) 77, Tennessee 72
— Bradley (+8) 67, Drake 61
— Oregon State (+7) 73, Stanford 62
— Boston College (+7) 94, Notre Dame 90

6) Texas Tech 68, Texas 59:
— Longhorns are 4-6 in their last ten games, after a 10-1 start.
— Tech’s win snaps a 3-game losing skid.

5) Morehead State 89, Belmont 82, OT
— Belmont lost twice this week, after starting the season 24-1.
— Morehead was 31-39 on foul line, Belmont 14-19.

4) Auburn 77, Tennessee 72— Tigers pull the upset without star G Sherife Cooper, who is out for the year. Excellent coaching job by Bruce Pearl, but also a disturbing loss for Tennessee, which looked lackluster in defeat. When network TV guys say it on the air, it had to be obvious.

3) Arkansas 83, LSU 75— Razorbacks have won six in row, nine of last ten games. LSU takes lot of quick shots and doesn’t pass the ball so much- they’re 4-6 in their last ten games, after they started the season 10-2.

2) Gonzaga 86, LMU 69— Gonzaga is the last unbeaten team in the country which puts the target right on their backs. Zags have one single-digit win the entire season (December 2nd vs West Virginia); when they have to play a close game in the NCAA’s, will that hurt them?

1) There are a lot of teams who are capable of beating anyone on a given day, but it seems like there are very few teams who are consistently good. Winning a national title takes six wins a row, the last four (or five) over strong teams.

The eventual national champ this year may be a team that gets help from upsets elsewhere in their bracket, not unlike Kansas in 1988.

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 07:30 AM

563LA CLIPPERS -564 MILWAUKEE
LA CLIPPERS are 62-40 ATS (18 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

565CHICAGO -566 TORONTO
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

567NEW YORK -568 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

569ATLANTA -570 MIAMI
ATLANTA is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

571WASHINGTON -572 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

575GOLDEN STATE -576 LA LAKERS
GOLDEN STATE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

577PHOENIX -578 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

579CHARLOTTE -580 SACRAMENTO
CHARLOTTE is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 07:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 28

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
Clippers (24-11)
— Clippers won seven of their last ten games overall.
— Clippers are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Bucks (20-13)
— Milwaukee won last four games (3-1 ATS), after an 0-5 skid.
— Bucks are 11-7 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-2 in Milwaukee’s last nine home games

— Bucks won last three series games.
— Clippers are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Chicago vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
Bulls (15-17)
— Chicago won five of its last seven games SU.
— Bulls are 11-4 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 road games.

Raptors (17-17)
— Toronto won five of its last its seven games.
— Raptors are 6-9 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Toronto games.

— Toronto won last 10 series games (6-3 ATS last nine)
— Bulls covered three of last four road series games.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Washington @ Boston
Wizards (13-18)
— Wizards won/covered seven of their last eight games overall.
— Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games.

Celtics (16-17)
— Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
— Celtics are 10-4 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 5-1 in last six Boston games.

— Washington won three of last four series games.
— Wizards are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

New York @ Detroit
Knicks (17-17)
— New York won six of last eight games (9-3 ATS last 12).
— Knicks are 3-4 ATS if they played night before.
— Under is 3-1-1 in New York’s last five games.

Pistons (9-24)
— Detroit lost 10 of its last 14 games (6-5 ATS last 11)
— Pistons are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six games.

— Knicks won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
— New York is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

Atlanta @ Miami
Hawks (14-19)
— Atlanta lost seven of its last ten games.
— Hawks are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 road games.
— 11 of Atlanta’s 13 games went over the total.

Heat (16-17)
— Miami won five in row, nine of its last 12 games overall.
— Heat is 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Heat won four of last five series games.
— Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Memphis @ Houston
Grizzlies (14-15)
— Memphis lost three of its last four games.
— Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 5-0 in their last five games.

Rockets (11-20)
— Houston lost its last ten games (1-9 ATS).
— Rockets covered once in their last eight home games.
— Under is 10-0-1 in their last 11 home games.

— Rockets won eight of last ten series games.
— Memphis is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Golden State @ LA Lakers
Warriors (19-15)
— Golden State won/covered five of its last seven games.
— Warriors are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six road games.

Lakers (23-11)
— Lakers lost five of last seven games, are 3-8 ATS in last 11.
— Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Anthony Davis is still out here.

— Lakers won three of last four series games.
— Warriors covered three of last four series games played here.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Suns (21-11)
— Phoenix won/covered 13 of its last 16 games.
— Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Timberwolves (7-27)
— Minnesota lost 11 of last 12, 21 of its last 25 games.
— Wolves are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Suns are 3-0-1 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Charlotte @ Sacramento
Hornets (15-17)
— Charlotte lost four of its last seven games.
— Hornets are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 8-2 in Charlotte’s last ten road games.

Kings (13-20)
— Sacramento is 1-9 SU/ATS in last ten games overall.
— Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 8-1 in Sacramento’s last nine games.

— Charlotte won six of last seven series games.
— Hornets covered four of last five visits to Sacramento.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 07:34 AM

NBA

Sunday, February 28

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Trend Report
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LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington

Chicago @ Toronto
Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

New York @ Detroit
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

Golden State @ LA Lakers
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
LA Lakers is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Charlotte @ Sacramento
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 08:29 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 28

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 09:10 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 28

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LA CLIPPERS (24 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (20 - 13) - 2/28/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 301-362 ATS (-97.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 88-140 ATS (-66.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (15 - 17) at TORONTO (17 - 17) - 2/28/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (17 - 17) at DETROIT (9 - 24) - 2/28/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 19) at MIAMI (16 - 17) - 2/28/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (13 - 18) at BOSTON (16 - 17) - 2/28/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (14 - 15) at HOUSTON (11 - 20) - 2/28/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 40-56 ATS (-21.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (19 - 15) at LA LAKERS (23 - 11) - 2/28/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (21 - 11) at MINNESOTA (7 - 27) - 2/28/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (15 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (13 - 20) - 2/28/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 206-257 ATS (-76.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 09:11 AM

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

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