Announcement

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 08:54 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Six of the Washington Nationals’ best prospects:
1) Cade Cavalli, P
3) Cole Henry, P
4) Yasel Antuna, SS
5) Andry Lara, P
7) Tim Cate, P
8) Eddy Yean, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 508,750
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: NCAA tourney notes, and random thoughts on a winter night

13) Lady Gaga’s two French bulldogs, stolen Thursday by thieves who shot and wounded a dog walker,, were recovered unharmed Friday in Los Angeles. The dog walker is expected to recover from his gunshot wounds; they didn’t say if the woman who returned the dogs banked the $500,000 reward Lady Gaga posted.

12) Georgia State 84, South Alabama 81— When ESPN first started 40 years ago, they showed a lot of Sun Belt games early on. I’m thinking they should give the league a weekly time slot now, either on Friday nights or Sundays:

a) They play good basketball; this game was fun to watch.
b) to show appreciation for helping ESPN get off the ground 40 years ago

This loss snapped South Alabama’s 8-game winning streak.

11) Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan are heavy favorites to be #1-seeds in the NCAA Tournament, but it is totally unclear who the fourth #1-seed will be.

10) Saint Louis 72, Richmond 67— Teams in A-14 are cannibalizing each other; I’m not even sure the A-14 will get more than one team in the tournament. Top six teams in the standings all have either three or four conference losses.

9) New Mexico fired basketball coach Paul Weir, but he’ll finish the season. Lobos are 16-36 in Mountain West games the last three years. Firing a coach after this screwed-up season could be judged as hasty; Lobos are very inexperienced this year, a bad season for that to happen.

8) Wichita State removed the interim tag from basketball coach Isaac Brown’s job title, named him the full-time head coach. Shockers have won five in a row, are 13-4 this season.

7) Random fact: actor Jim Belushi owns a cannabis farm in Oregon.

Some notes to remember for the upcoming NCAA tournament:
6) Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round, 4-7 ATS in second round

5) Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round, 6-10 ATS in second round.

4) Last six years, in 2nd round games in #4-5 seeds’ bracket, favorites are 19-5 ATS.

3) Last four years, underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

2) Last six tournaments (obviously, there was no tournament LY), underdogs are 16-8 ATS in Elite 8 games.

1) Last nine years, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in national semifinals, but favorites covered six of last nine national title games.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:02 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 27

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:08 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, February 27

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:10 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 27

Texas @ Texas Tech
Texas (14-6, 8-5)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #4
— Texas won three of last four games, after a 1-4 skid.
— Longhorns won three of four Big X road games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#20)

Texas Tech (14-8, 6-7)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #244
— Tech lost its last three games, scoring 67 ppg.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24% of time (#9)
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Tech is shooting 48.1% inside arc (#240)

— Tech won 79-77 in Austin January 13; they were down 10 with 11:53 left.
— Red Raiders won six of last seven series games.
— Texas lost four of last five visits to Lubbock (won 68-58 LY)

Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan (17-1, 12-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #219
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan won its last six games, three by 17+ points.
— Wolverines’ only loss was 73-57 at Minnesota on January 16.
— Michigan has #5 eFG% defense in country.

Indiana (12-11, 7-9)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #82
— Indiana lost three of last four games overall, four of last six at home.
— Hoosiers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#29), but make only 66.5% on charity stripe (#297).
— To this point in season, Indiana has played schedule #5.

— Michigan won last seven series games.
— Wolverines won last three visits here, by 3-12-23 points.

Illinois @ Wisconsin
Illinois (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #43
— Illini star Dosunmu (broken nose) is out here.
— Illinois won won eight of its last nine games.
— Illini is a top 30 rebounding team in country.

Wisconsin (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #43
— Badgers are 4-5 SU in their last nine games, 1-3 in last four at home.
— Wisconsin gets 36.3% of their points on arc (#53), shooting 35.9% (#76)
— Badgers are shooting only 46.7% inside arc (#280)

— Badgers lost 75-60 at Illinois February 6.
— Illinois won last two series games, after losing the previous 15.

VCU @ Davidson
VCU (17-5, 10-3)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #306
— Continuity: #281
— VCU won seven of its last eight games overall.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#6)
— VCU has #16 eFG% defense in country.

Davidson (11-7, 6-4)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #39
— Davidson lost its last two games, scoring 58-53 vs St Bonaventure.
— Wildcats are shooting 57.7% inside arc (#8)
— Davidson is getting 39.5% of its points on arc (#18)

— Davidson won four of last six series games.
— Rams lost last three visits here, by 4-7-10 points.

LSU @ Arkansas
LSU (14-7, 9-5)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #67
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #135
— LSU won three of its last four games, is 2-3 in last five on road.
— Tigers are #324 in country on defensive boards.
— LSU is shooting 54.8% inside arc (#28)

Arkansas (18-5, 10-4)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Razorbacks won their last six home games.
— Last four games, Arkansas scored 80.8 ppg.

— Arkansas lost 92-76 at LSU January 13.
— LSU won four of last six series games.
— Bayou Bengals lost four of last five visits to Arkansas.

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma
Oklahoma State (15-6, 8-6)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #53
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #286
— Cowboys won last three games, giving up 62.3 ppg.
— State has #26 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 21.0% of time (#281)

Oklahoma (14-6, 9-5)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #230
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #56
— Sooners won eight of last ten games overall, six in row at home.
— Opponents are shooting 44.4% inside arc (#17)
— In last four losses, Oklahoma scored only 55.8 ppg.

— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Cowboys lost last three visits to Norman, by 20-10-13 points.

Florida State @ North Carolina
Florida State (14-3, 10-2)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #100
— Seminoles won four in row, nine of last ten games.
— FSU is grabbing 35.9% of its missed shots (#13)
— Seminoles are a deep team (#20 in bench minutes)

North Carolina (14-8, 8-5)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #154
— Tar Heels split their last six games.
— UNC is grabbing 39.5% of its missed shots (#2)
— Carolina has #243 eFG%, is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#239)

— Tar Heels lost 82-75 in Tallahassee January 16.
— Seminoles won three of last four series games.
— Florida State lost its last five visits to the Deandome.

Florida @ Kentucky
Florida (12-6, 8-5)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #157
— Florida won six of its last eight games.
— Gators have #61 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida is turning ball over 20% of the time (#226)

Kentucky (8-13, 7-7)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #340
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky won last three games, after a 1-7 skid.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wildcats have #299 eFG%, but their eFG% defense is #27.
— Last four games, Kentucky scored 78.5 ppg.

— Kentucky won 76-58 in Gainesville January 9.
— Wildcats won last five series games.
— Florida lost last two visits here, 66-57/65-59.

Boise State @ San Diego State
Boise State (18-5, 14-4)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #134
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #246
— Boise won four of last five games; they lost in OT here Thursday.
— Broncos lost four of their last five road games.
— Boise has #64 eFG% in country (52.9% inside arc, #61)

San Diego State (18-4, 12-3)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #146
— Aztecs won last nine games overall, eight in row at home.
— San Diego State forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#20)
— San Diego State is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#14).

— San Diego State blew a 17-point lead, beat Boise by 12 in OT Thursday.
— Aztecs won last five series games.
— Boise lost last four visits to Viejas, by 8-6-18-12 points.

Creighton @ Xavier
Creighton (11-10, 7-5)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #20
— Creighton won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
— Bluejays are shooting 58.3% inside arc (#5)
— Creighton has #31 eFG% defense.

Xavier (12-5, 5-5)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #184
— Xavier lost three of its last four games.
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#26)
— In its last four losses, Xavier allowed 80+ points.

— Xavier lost 66-61 at Creighton December 23.
— Creighton won last three series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Louisville @ Duke
Louisville (12-5, 7-4)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #338
— Continuity: #223
— Louisville lost four of its last seven games.
— Cardinals lost last three road tilts, by 6-4-45 points.
— Louisville gets 57.2% of its points inside arc (#30)

Duke (11-8, 9-6)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #251
— Duke won its last four games, after a 2-7 skid.
— Blue Devils have #39 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 37.5% on arc (#319)

— Duke lost 70-65 at Louisville January 23.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Cardinals lost two of last three visits to Durham.

Oregon State @ Stanford
Oregon State (12-11, 8-9)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #156
— Oregon State lost four of its last six games.
— Beavers are shooting only 45.3% inside arc (#312)
— Oregon State is getting 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30)

Stanford (14-10, 10-8)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #72
— Cardinal lost last two games, one in triple OT, other by 3 points.
— Stanford is 9-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21% of time (#275).

— Stanford won 81-71 in Corvallis January 4.
— Cardinal won five of last seven series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

UCLA @ Colorado
UCLA (17-5, 13-3)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #19
— UCLA won its last four games, giving up 65.3 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 37% on arc (#44).
— UCLA is #38 team in country on defensive boards.

Colorado (18-7, 12-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #87
— Colorado won five of its last seven games.
— Last three games, Buffs gave up only 59.7 ppg.
— Colorado is shooting 83.1% on foul line (#1)

— Buffs lost 65-62 in Westwood January 2.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Teams also split last six series games played here.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:12 AM

601SYRACUSE -602 GEORGIA TECH
SYRACUSE is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

603TENNESSEE -604 AUBURN
TENNESSEE is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

605TEXAS -606 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

607MICHIGAN -608 INDIANA
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

609GEORGETOWN -610 DEPAUL
DEPAUL is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

613MERCER -614 W CAROLINA
W CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

615N ILLINOIS -616 E MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

617C MICHIGAN -618 BALL ST
C MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

621MONTANA -622 IDAHO ST
MONTANA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

623WEBER ST -624 SACRAMENTO ST
WEBER ST is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 12:46 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 27

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/27

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/27

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