Announcement

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 07:43 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Six of the Washington Nationals’ best prospects:
1) Cade Cavalli, P
3) Cole Henry, P
4) Yasel Antuna, SS
5) Andry Lara, P
7) Tim Cate, P
8) Eddy Yean, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 508,750
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: NCAA tourney notes, and random thoughts on a winter night

13) Lady Gaga’s two French bulldogs, stolen Thursday by thieves who shot and wounded a dog walker,, were recovered unharmed Friday in Los Angeles. The dog walker is expected to recover from his gunshot wounds; they didn’t say if the woman who returned the dogs banked the $500,000 reward Lady Gaga posted.

12) Georgia State 84, South Alabama 81— When ESPN first started 40 years ago, they showed a lot of Sun Belt games early on. I’m thinking they should give the league a weekly time slot now, either on Friday nights or Sundays:

a) They play good basketball; this game was fun to watch.
b) to show appreciation for helping ESPN get off the ground 40 years ago

This loss snapped South Alabama’s 8-game winning streak.

11) Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan are heavy favorites to be #1-seeds in the NCAA Tournament, but it is totally unclear who the fourth #1-seed will be.

10) Saint Louis 72, Richmond 67— Teams in A-14 are cannibalizing each other; I’m not even sure the A-14 will get more than one team in the tournament. Top six teams in the standings all have either three or four conference losses.

9) New Mexico fired basketball coach Paul Weir, but he’ll finish the season. Lobos are 16-36 in Mountain West games the last three years. Firing a coach after this screwed-up season could be judged as hasty; Lobos are very inexperienced this year, a bad season for that to happen.

8) Wichita State removed the interim tag from basketball coach Isaac Brown’s job title, named him the full-time head coach. Shockers have won five in a row, are 13-4 this season.

7) Random fact: actor Jim Belushi owns a cannabis farm in Oregon.

Some notes to remember for the upcoming NCAA tournament:
6) Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round, 4-7 ATS in second round

5) Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round, 6-10 ATS in second round.

4) Last six years, in 2nd round games in #4-5 seeds’ bracket, favorites are 19-5 ATS.

3) Last four years, underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

2) Last six tournaments (obviously, there was no tournament LY), underdogs are 16-8 ATS in Elite 8 games.

1) Last nine years, underdogs are 10-8 ATS in national semifinals, but favorites covered six of last nine national title games.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 07:45 AM

549CLEVELAND -550 PHILADELPHIA
CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

551NEW ORLEANS -552 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 44-15 ATS (27.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

553UTAH -554 ORLANDO
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

555MINNESOTA -556 WASHINGTON
MINNESOTA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

557INDIANA -558 NEW YORK
INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

559DENVER -560 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the current season.

561DALLAS -562 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 07:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 27

Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Cavaliers (11-21)
— Cleveland won last two games, after an 0-10 skid (2-13 ATS last 15).
— Cavaliers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.

76ers (22-11)
— 76ers won four of their last five games.
— Sixers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Under is 4-0 in Philly’s last four games.

— Cleveland won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
— Cavaliers covered four of last five visits to Philly.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Minnesota @ Washington
Timberwolves (7-26)
— Minnesota lost 10 of last 11, 20 of its last 24 games.
— Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Wizards (12-18)
— Wizards won/covered six of their last seven games overall.
— Washington is 6-4 ATS in last ten home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
— Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

New Orleans @ San Antonio
Pelicans (14-18)
— New Orleans lost six of its last nine games overall.
— Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Over is 17-2-2 in their last 21 games.

Spurs (16-12)
— San Antonio won five of its last seven games overall.
— Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
— Under is 5-2 in Spurs’ last seven games.

— Spurs won/covered four of last five series games.
— New Orleans is 2-2 ATS in last four trips to the Alamo.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Indiana @ New York
Pacers (16-16)
— Indiana lost seven of its last ten games.
— Pacers are 8-6 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five games.

Knicks (16-17)
— New York won five of last seven games (8-3 ATS last 11).
— Knicks are 7-3 ATS in last ten home games.
— Under is 3-1 in New York’s last four games.

— Indiana won eight of last ten series games.
— Pacers covered three of last four visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Utah @ Orlando
Jazz (26-7)
— Utah won 22 of its last 25 games (21-3-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games.
— Utah is 3-1 ATS if it played the night before.
— Over is 8-4-1 in Utah’s last 13 road games.

Magic (13-20)
— Orlando lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Magic is 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine games.

— Utah won seven of last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
— Jazz is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Denver @ Oklahoma City
Nuggets (17-15)
— Denver lost four of its last six games overall.
— Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Denver’s last four games.

Thunder (14-19)
— Thunder won three of its last four games.
— OKC is 6-9-1 ATS at home this season.
— Thunder is 1-4-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

— Denver won nine of last ten series games.
— Nuggets covered four of last five trips to Oklahoma.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Dallas @ Brooklyn
Mavericks (15-16)
— Mavericks won six of its last eight games.
— Mavericks are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Dallas games.

Nets (22-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last eight games.
— Nets are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Three of last four Brooklyn games stayed under.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Dallas covered once in last four trips to Brooklyn.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 07:52 AM

NBA

Saturday, February 27

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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Minnesota @ Washington
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Indiana @ New York
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

New Orleans @ San Antonio
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Utah @ Orlando
Utah
Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Utah

Denver @ Oklahoma City
Denver
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
Denver is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

Dallas @ Brooklyn
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:09 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 27

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CLEVELAND (12 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (22 - 11) - 2/27/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-51 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (16 - 12) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1139-1011 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 580-491 ATS (+39.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 232-167 ATS (+48.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 458-384 ATS (+35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (26 - 7) at ORLANDO (13 - 20) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 26) at WASHINGTON (12 - 18) - 2/27/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after allowing 130 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 350-412 ATS (-103.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 148-191 ATS (-62.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 16) at NEW YORK (16 - 17) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (17 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 19) - 2/27/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (15 - 16) at BROOKLYN (22 - 12) - 2/27/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BROOKLYN is 83-61 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 463-379 ATS (+46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 193-152 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 588-509 ATS (+28.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 09:10 AM

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 10:05 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, February 27

**Udog** · 02-27-2021, 11:47 AM

Hoop Trends for Saturday February 27
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Orlando (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 13-0 ATS (9.00 ppg) as a favorite after Donovan Mitchell was their high scorer last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Orlando (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-13 ATS (-15.31 ppg) after they allowed at least 50 points in the paint last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 20-0 OU (13.25 ppg) as a road dog after a game as a road dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Orlando (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-11 OU (-14.45 ppg) at home after Evan Fournier had fewer than 10 points.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/27

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/27

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