Announcement

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Six of the Boston Red Sox’ best prospects:
1) Triston Casas, 1B
3) Bobby Dalbec, 1B/3B
4) Bryan Mata, P
5) Jarren Duran, OF
7) Gilberto Jimenez, OF
8) Tanner Houck, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 507,803
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Read a good story this week, we don’t hear enough positive stuff these days.

Matthew Berry writes for ESPN, mostly about fantasy sports, but his first job out of college was production assistant for The George Carlin Show. It was uplifting when Berry wrote an article saying what a great guy Carlin was, and how nice the great comedian was to Berry .

There is too much hostility in our world; we need to be nicer to each other. Seriously.

12) NBA TV showed the replay of a 1977 Jazz-Knicks game from New Orleans, when the great Pete Maravich hung 68 points on the Knicks- this was before there were 3-pointers.

I remember watching the game with my dad, who was a big Knicks fan. It was fun watching the replay; Maravich would dribble up the floor and take a lot of quick, pull-up jumpers. Picture Steph Curry time traveling back 44 years; that’s what it was like.

Knicks had some interesting subs that year:
— Phil Jackson obviously became one of the NBA’s best-ever coaches.
— Tom McMillen wound up as a US Congressman for six years.
— Ticky Burden was one of the best-ever basketball players from here in Albany.
— Dean Meminger was the first head coach of the Albany Patroons of the CBA, a team that Phil Jackson would later coach, before his great run in the NBA.

11) Michigan 79, Iowa 57:
— Michigan is 17-1; they’ve won six in a row. Wolverines are very good.

10) Michigan State 71, Ohio State 67:
— Spartans won last three games, are 13-9; imagine the #1-seed who is going to see the Spartans in their bracket, in a potential 2nd-round game?

— Michigan State scored 65 or less points in six of their last seven losses; they scored 78-81-71 points in their last three games.

9) Cincinnati Bearcats won five of their last six games; none of the five wins was by more than three points. They still don’t shoot well, but they’ve saved their season.

8) Horizon tournament opened last night; three of the four home teams won. Fort Wayne was the only road winner; they won 89-84 in double OT at Green Bay, after trailing by 8 points in the second half. Mastodons made 10-21 3-pointers; they won for only second time in their last 11 games.

7) Illinois star Ayo Dosunmu broke his nose, is out for a while; he’ll probably be wearing a mask when he comes back. Dosumnu is Illinois’ best player, a 40% shooter on the arc; this isn’t great timing for the Illini.

6) Colorado 80, USC 62— Buffaloes are an experienced team with good guards, but they play better against the good teams than weak sisters. Thats not a good recipe for March. Colorado has now won six games in a row over USC, which lost for only second time in their last 10 games.

5) Upsets of the Night:
— Tennessee Tech (+8.5) 81, Austin Peay 76
— Eastern Kentucky (+8) 81, Belmont 67
— SE Missouri State (+6) 94, Eastern Illinois 88
— Fort Wayne (+5.5) 89, Green Bay 94, 2OT
— Northwestern (+4.5) 67, Minnesota 59
— LMU (+4.5) 81, Pepperdine 74

4) Bad Beat of the Night: San Diego State (-6) 78, Boise State 66, OT— Aztecs led by 17 early in the second half, blew the lead, then covered in overtime. Boise was 12-40 on the arc, 12-26 inside the arc.

3) Shin-Soo Choo retired from the major leagues and went home to Korea, where he’ll play for the Wyverns in the KBO this season. Choo had a .377 on-base %age in 16 big league seasons, and now he gets to finish his career at home. Good for him.

2) Sportsbooks in New Jersey banked an $82.6M profit in January; sportsbooks in Nevada raked in $52.4M. Tough times for gamblers; too many variables. I’m not picking games on this site these days because I don’t think there is a realistic expectation of coming out ahead right now, and I like coming out ahead.

1) There is a good program on ESPN2 most weekdays; Daily Wager, that talks about gambling and handicapping. Handicapping is a grind, it is fun, but there are ups and downs, and dealing with those determines who wins and who loses over the long haul. It is well worth watching.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:29 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, February 26

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:32 AM

NCAAB

Friday, February 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:33 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 26

Tulane @ Cincinnati
Tulane (9-10, 4-10)
— ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #328
— Continuity: #308
— Tulane lost five of its last seven games.
— Green Wave has #339 eFG% (#337 inside arc, #318 on arc)
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.4% of the time (#16)

Cincinnati (8-8, 6-5)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #72
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #212
— Cincy won five of its last six games; all five wins were by 3 or less points.
— Bearcats played three starters 33:00+ in Wednesday’s 70-69 win at Tulsa.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Cincy is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324), 64.5% on line (#328)

— Cincinnati won 64-61 at Tulane February 7.
— Bearcats won seven of last eight series games.
— Cincy won three of last four visits here (lost 76-71 LY)

Manhattan @ Siena
Manhattan (6-9, 5-9)
— ranked #302 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #278
— Jaspers haven’t played in 13 days.
— Manhattan lost five of its last six games.
— Jaspers turn ball over 21.6% of time (#298), have #344 eFG%.

Siena (9-3, 9-3)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #209
— Siena went L-W the last three weekends, after a 6-0 start.
— Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9).
— Saints won three of last four at home; last home tilt was January 23.

— Siena won four of last five series games.
— Jaspers lost five of last six visits to Albany.

Richmond @ Saint Louis
Richmond (13-5, 6-3)
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #11
— Richmond won five of its last seven games.
— Spiders are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#25)
— Richmond is 4-3 against top 100 teams.

Saint Louis (11-5, 4-4)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #21
— Billikens lost last two games overall, scoring 53-65 points.
— Saint Louis is shooting 28.8% on arc in A-14 play (#13 of 14)
— Billikens won last three home games, by 11-7-21 points.

— Saint Louis won four of last five series games.
— Spiders lost three of last five visits to Saint Louis.

North Texas @ Marshall
North Texas (12-6, 8-2)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #95
— Mean Green won seven of its last eight games overall.
— North Texas is shooting 55.8% inside arc (#19)
— North Texas has #16 eFG% defense in country.

Marshall (12-5, 6-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #6
— Marshall won five of their last six games.
— Thundering Herd is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
— Last three games, Marshall scored 96.7 ppg.

— Neither team has played in thirteen days.
— Marshall won five of last six series games.

Missouri State @ Evansville
Missouri State (15-5, 11-5)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #288
— State won its last six games, giving up 58.3 ppg.
— Bears’ last four losses were all against Loyola/Drake.
— State is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#16)

Evansville (8-14, 6-10)
— ranked #212 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #232
— Evansville lost its last six games, five by 11+ points.
— Purple Aces have #342 eFG% in country (out of 357 teams)
— Over half the shots they’ve taken are 3’s (37.2%, #37)

— Missouri State won last three series games, by 16-13-10 points.
— Bears won last two visits here, by 12-10 points.

UAB @ Tex-San Antonio
UAB (18-5, 10-4)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #160
— UAB lost three of its last four D-I games, after a 16-2 start.
— Blazers are shooting 29.7% on arc (#314)
— UAB is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#10)

Tex-San Antonio (12-9, 8-6)
— ranked #181 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #65
— Roadrunners haven’t played in 13 days.
— UTSA won seven of its last eight games.
— Roadrunners are 2-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

— UAB won four of last six series games.
— Blazers lost three of last four visits to the Alamo.

Purdue @ Penn State
Purdue (15-8, 10-6)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #113
— Purdue won three of its last four games.
— Purdue is 4-5 SU in Big 14 road games.
— Boilers are a top 40 rebounding team nationally.

Penn State (8-12, 5-11)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #41
— Continuity: #46
— Penn State lost four of its last five games.
— Nittany Lions are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#307)
— Opponents are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#316)

— Nittany Lions lost 80-72 at Purdue January 17.
— Purdue won 10 of last 11 series games.

Rice @ Louisiana Tech
Rice (12-10, 6-8)
— ranked #183 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #302
— Rice lost seven of its last nine games.
— Owls lost last five road games, four by 10+ points.
— Rice is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, giving up 81.3 ppg.

Louisiana Tech (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #116
— Tech hasn’t played in thirteen days.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Bulldogs won nine of their last 11 games.
— Tech has #28 eFG% defense in country.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Rice lost last six visits to Ruston, all by 10+ points.

Nevada @ Utah State
Nevada (14-7, 9-5)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #301
— Nevada hasn’t played in 19 days.
— Wolf Pack lost their last four true road games.
— Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#56)

Utah State (14-7, 11-4)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #118
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #143
— Aggies lost four of their last six games.
— Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#11).

— Nevada won five of last seven series games.
— Wolf Pack lost three of last four visits to Logan.

Missouri-Kansas City @ South Dakota State
UMKC (11-10, 7-5)
— ranked #215 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #208
— Kangaroos won last five games, giving up 54.4 ppg.
— UMKC forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#32)
— This is UMKC’s first road game in 33 days (2-2 on Summit road)

South Dakota State (13-6, 7-3)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #9
— Jackrabbits split their last six games overall.
— South Dakota State won five of six Summit home games.
— South Dakota State is shooting 40.7% on arc (#3)

Cal-Northridge @ Cal-Bakersfield
Cal-Northridge (8-9, 4-6)
— ranked #285 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #234
— Matadors won three of their last five games.
— CSUN is shooting 46.7% inside arc (#280)
— Matadors have #308 eFG% defense in country.

Cal-Bakersfield (14-9, 8-6)
— ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #23
— Roadrunners are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Bakersfield won five of six Big West home games.
— Roadrunners don’t shoot well; they grab 38.6% of their missed shots (#3)

UCSB @ Cal-Riverside
UCSB (7-14, 6-14)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #59
— Gauchos won their last 12 games- they’re undefeated in 2021.
— UCSB is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#1 of 11) in Big West play
— Two of Gauchos’ last three road games went to overtime.

Cal-Riverside (10-6, 6-4)
— ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #262
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #180
— Highlanders are 4-3 in Big West home games.
— Riverside is shooting 39.4% on arc (#8)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#4).

— UCSB won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (10-9, 8-9)
— ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #300
— Bulldogs are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Fresno won last three road games, by 6-3-3 points.
— Fresno has #259 eFG%, turns ball over 21.6% of time (#299)

UNLV (10-12, 7-8)
— ranked #163 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #293
— UNLV is 4-6 in in its last ten games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 38.2% on arc (#327)
— Rebels get only 13.1% of their points on foul line (#342)

— Fresno won 67-64 here Wednesday, despite shooting 35.7% inside arc.
— Bulldogs won eight of last ten series games.
— Fresno won five of last six series games played here.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:36 AM

815CANISIUS -816 NIAGARA
NIAGARA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

817TULANE -818 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

819RIDER -820 ST PETERS
ST PETERS are 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

821DREXEL -822 JAMES MADISON
JAMES MADISON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after playing a game as favorite in the current season.

823MANHATTAN -824 SIENA
MANHATTAN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.

825LA-MONROE -826 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

827CAL DAVIS -828 CAL POLY-SLO
CAL DAVIS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

829APPALACHIAN ST -830 GA SOUTHERN
GA SOUTHERN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

831NEBRASKA-OMAHA -832 DENVER
NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a road dog of 3 or less since 1997.

835SOUTHERN UTAH -836 N ARIZONA
N ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games since 1997.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 11:58 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, February 26

Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/26

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/26

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment