Announcement

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:14 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Six of the Boston Red Sox’ best prospects:
1) Triston Casas, 1B
3) Bobby Dalbec, 1B/3B
4) Bryan Mata, P
5) Jarren Duran, OF
7) Gilberto Jimenez, OF
8) Tanner Houck, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 507,803
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Read a good story this week, we don’t hear enough positive stuff these days.

Matthew Berry writes for ESPN, mostly about fantasy sports, but his first job out of college was production assistant for The George Carlin Show. It was uplifting when Berry wrote an article saying what a great guy Carlin was, and how nice the great comedian was to Berry .

There is too much hostility in our world; we need to be nicer to each other. Seriously.

12) NBA TV showed the replay of a 1977 Jazz-Knicks game from New Orleans, when the great Pete Maravich hung 68 points on the Knicks- this was before there were 3-pointers.

I remember watching the game with my dad, who was a big Knicks fan. It was fun watching the replay; Maravich would dribble up the floor and take a lot of quick, pull-up jumpers. Picture Steph Curry time traveling back 44 years; that’s what it was like.

Knicks had some interesting subs that year:
— Phil Jackson obviously became one of the NBA’s best-ever coaches.
— Tom McMillen wound up as a US Congressman for six years.
— Ticky Burden was one of the best-ever basketball players from here in Albany.
— Dean Meminger was the first head coach of the Albany Patroons of the CBA, a team that Phil Jackson would later coach, before his great run in the NBA.

11) Michigan 79, Iowa 57:
— Michigan is 17-1; they’ve won six in a row. Wolverines are very good.

10) Michigan State 71, Ohio State 67:
— Spartans won last three games, are 13-9; imagine the #1-seed who is going to see the Spartans in their bracket, in a potential 2nd-round game?

— Michigan State scored 65 or less points in six of their last seven losses; they scored 78-81-71 points in their last three games.

9) Cincinnati Bearcats won five of their last six games; none of the five wins was by more than three points. They still don’t shoot well, but they’ve saved their season.

8) Horizon tournament opened last night; three of the four home teams won. Fort Wayne was the only road winner; they won 89-84 in double OT at Green Bay, after trailing by 8 points in the second half. Mastodons made 10-21 3-pointers; they won for only second time in their last 11 games.

7) Illinois star Ayo Dosunmu broke his nose, is out for a while; he’ll probably be wearing a mask when he comes back. Dosumnu is Illinois’ best player, a 40% shooter on the arc; this isn’t great timing for the Illini.

6) Colorado 80, USC 62— Buffaloes are an experienced team with good guards, but they play better against the good teams than weak sisters. Thats not a good recipe for March. Colorado has now won six games in a row over USC, which lost for only second time in their last 10 games.

5) Upsets of the Night:
— Tennessee Tech (+8.5) 81, Austin Peay 76
— Eastern Kentucky (+8) 81, Belmont 67
— SE Missouri State (+6) 94, Eastern Illinois 88
— Fort Wayne (+5.5) 89, Green Bay 94, 2OT
— Northwestern (+4.5) 67, Minnesota 59
— LMU (+4.5) 81, Pepperdine 74

4) Bad Beat of the Night: San Diego State (-6) 78, Boise State 66, OT— Aztecs led by 17 early in the second half, blew the lead, then covered in overtime. Boise was 12-40 on the arc, 12-26 inside the arc.

3) Shin-Soo Choo retired from the major leagues and went home to Korea, where he’ll play for the Wyverns in the KBO this season. Choo had a .377 on-base %age in 16 big league seasons, and now he gets to finish his career at home. Good for him.

2) Sportsbooks in New Jersey banked an $82.6M profit in January; sportsbooks in Nevada raked in $52.4M. Tough times for gamblers; too many variables. I’m not picking games on this site these days because I don’t think there is a realistic expectation of coming out ahead right now, and I like coming out ahead.

1) There is a good program on ESPN2 most weekdays; Daily Wager, that talks about gambling and handicapping. Handicapping is a grind, it is fun, but there are ups and downs, and dealing with those determines who wins and who loses over the long haul. It is well worth watching.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:19 AM

531SACRAMENTO -532 DETROIT
SACRAMENTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

533INDIANA -534 BOSTON
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

535HOUSTON -536 TORONTO
HOUSTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots in the last 3 seasons.

537PHOENIX -538 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

539LA CLIPPERS -540 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

541UTAH -542 MIAMI
UTAH is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

543ATLANTA -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

545PORTLAND -546 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

547CHARLOTTE -548 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:22 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 26

Indiana @ Boston
Pacers (15-15)
— Indiana lost six of its last nine games.
— Pacers are 8-5 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 3-1 in Indiana’s last four games.

Celtics (15-17)
— Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
— Celtics are 9-4 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 4-1 in last five Boston games.

— Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
— Pacers are 1-1-1 ATS in last three visits to Boston.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

Houston @ Toronto
Rockets (11-19)
— Houston lost its last nine games (1-8 ATS).
— Rockets covered twice in their last eight road games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Raptors (16-17)
— Toronto split last its eight games, is 9-5 SU in last 14.
— Raptors are 5-9 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Toronto games.

— Houston won six of last nine series games.
— Rockets covered four of last six road series games.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

Sacramento @ Detroit
Kings (12-20)
— Sacramento is 0-9 SU/ATS in last nine games overall.
— Kings are 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 8-0 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

Pistons (9-23)
— Detroit lost nine of its last 13 games (6-4 ATS last ten)
— Pistons are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games.

— Sacramento won three of last four series games.
— Kings are 2-1-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Utah @ Miami
Jazz (26-6)
— Utah won 22 of its last 24 games (21-2-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten road games.
— Over is 7-4-1 in Utah’s last dozen road games.

Heat (15-17)
— Miami won four in row, eight of its last 11 games overall.
— Heat is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Jazz won three of last four series games.
— Utah covered three of last four visits to Miami.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Phoenix @ Chicago
Suns (20-11)
— Phoenix won/covered 12 of its last 15 games.
— Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Bulls (15-16)
— Chicago won five of its last six games SU.
— Bulls are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

— Phoenix won five of last eight series games.
— Suns covered four of last six visits to Chicago.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

LA Clippers @ Memphis
Clippers (23-11)
— Clippers won six of their last nine games overall.
— Clippers are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Grizzlies (14-14)
— Memphis is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
— Grizzlies are 7-8-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

— Clippers lost 122-94 here last night.
— Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
— LA is 2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Memphis.
— Over is 6-5 in last 11 series games.

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
Hawks (14-18)
— Atlanta won three of its last five games.
— Hawks are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— 10 of Atlanta’s 12 games went over the total.

Thunder (13-19)
— Thunder lost seven of last ten games (2-4 ATS last six)
— OKC is 5-9-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

— Thunder won six of last eight series games.
— Hawks are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Charlotte @ Golden State
Hornets (15-16)
— Charlotte won five of its last eight games.
— Hornets are 2-3 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 7-2 in Charlotte’s last nine road games.

Warriors (17-15)
— Golden State won six of its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Charlotte won/covered last three series games.
— Hornets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
— Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

Portland @ LA Lakers
Trailblazers (18-13)
— Portland lost its last three games, after an 8-1 run.
— Blazers are 12-5 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 11-7 in Portland’s last 18 games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Lakers (22-11)
— Lakers lost five of last six games, are 2-8 ATS in last ten.
— Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Lakers won four of last five series games.
— Trailblazers are 4-2 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 09:24 AM

NBA

Friday, February 26

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Trend Report
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Indiana @ Boston
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

Houston @ Toronto
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

Sacramento @ Detroit
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Phoenix @ Chicago
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games

Utah @ Miami
Utah
Utah is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Utah is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Miami
Miami is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Utah
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games

Charlotte @ Golden State
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Portland @ LA Lakers
Portland
Portland is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Portland is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 10:24 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 26

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SACRAMENTO (12 - 20) at DETROIT (9 - 23) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 15) at BOSTON (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 102-70 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 19) at TORONTO (16 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-81 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
TORONTO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 11) at CHICAGO (15 - 16) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (23 - 11) at MEMPHIS (14 - 14) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 185-142 ATS (+28.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (26 - 6) at MIAMI (15 - 17) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (14 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 19) - 2/26/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-44 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (18 - 13) at LA LAKERS (22 - 11) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (15 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 15) - 2/26/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 206-256 ATS (-75.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 10:28 AM

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 11:08 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, February 26

**Udog** · 02-26-2021, 03:04 PM

Hoop Trends for Friday February 26
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at MIami (8:05 p.m. ET)

--The Jazz are 20-0 ATS (9.50 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Lakers (10:05 p.m. ET)

--The Lakers are 0-11 ATS (-8.09 ppg) at home after Lebron James was their high scorer and had a negative plus/minus last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Detroit (8:05 p.m. ET)

--The Pistons are 13-0 OU (9.27 ppg) at home with rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 0-12 OU (-21.58 ppg) coming off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/26

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/26

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