Announcement

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 05:15 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the Baltimore Orioles’ best prospects:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
4) Heston Kjerstad, OF
5) Ryan Mountcastle, OF
7) Yusniel Diaz, OF
9) Dean Kremer, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 506,030
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Since the AFL/NFL merger 50+ years ago, only one NFL quarterback who has started 50+ games hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6. The answer is surprising; I’ll post it down below.

12) May 17, 1979; Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in ten innings, with the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field. One of the craziest ballgames ever:

— Neither starting pitcher finished the first inning.
— Cubs’ #3-4 hitters went a combined 7-13, with seven runs scored, 13 RBI and Chicago still lost.
— Cubs’ #3 hitter was Bill Buckner, who was a very good big league hitter.
— For some reason, Larry Bowa hit 2nd, Pete Rose 3rd for the Phillies. Bowa was a good fielder but a less-than-average hitter. Bake McBride batted leadoff for Philly.

—Tug McGraw gave up 7 runs (4 earned) in 0.2 innings; you may have heard of his son, Tim McGraw, the great singer. Tug McGraw saved 180 games in his 19-year MLB career.
— Rawly Eastwick got the win in relief, throwing two perfect innings in a 23-22 game.
— Six different players knocked in 4+ runs.
— Bob Boone (Aaron Boone’s father) was the Phillies’ catcher.
— The game took 4:03 to play; 14,952 fans watched it.

11) Jazz 114, Lakers 89:
— Jazz have played 32 games; they’re had a 20+ point lead in 20 of them.
— In its last 23 games, Utah is 20-2-1 against the spread.

10) NBA will host two 4-team play-in tournaments May 18-21, to determine the last four playoff teams this season, two in each conference:
— #7-seed hosts the #8-seed; winner is in.
— #10-seed visits the #9-seed; loser is out.
— Loser of the 7-8 game hosts the 9-10 winner; winner of that game gets in playoffs.

9) Arkansas 81, Alabama 66:
— Free throws: Arkansas 27-43, Alabama 3-8. Seems fair.
— One kid on Arkansas was 16-19 on the line; Alabama’s whole team was 3-8.
— Arkansas has won five in row, 8 of last 9 games.
— Alabama is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.

8) Rutgers 74, Indiana 63— The pundits on the Big 14 Network preach endlessly about how great their league is; I’m a skeptic. FS1’s Doug Gottlieb was saying how fewer kids from the Big 14 jump early to the NBA, so they have an advantage early in the season, their teams have more continuity, an advantage that erodes as the season goes on.

7) ESPN missed the boat when they let Gottlieb walk; he is a way better analyst than Jay Bilas, who somehow is ESPN’s #1 analyst. Bilas played for Duke, which seems to mean a lot at ESPN.

Gottlieb speaks his mind, has some humor and doesn’t bitch about the refs every 90 seconds, the way Bilas does. Always learn stuff listening to Gottlieb.

6) NC State 68, Virginia 61:
— Virginia lost three in row, after a 15-3 start.
— Wolfpack won three in row, after an 8-9 start.
— NC State played seven guys the whole game. Not many teams have depth these days.

5) Wednesday night’s biggest upsets:
— Western Carolina (+14) 81, NC-Greensboro 80
— NC State (+12) 68, Virginia 61
— Marquette (+8.5) 83, North Carolina 70
— St Joe’s (+8) 97, Dayton 84
— Butler (+7.5) 61, Seton Hall 52
— Fresno State (+7) 67, UNLV 64

4) SNY in New York City does it right; they replay a classic Mets’ game every weekday at 3pm. Watching ballgames is the fun thing to do, listening to Cohen-Darling-Hernandez is a fine way to spend a winter afternoon, at least until exhibition games start this weekend.

3) Blue Jays’ 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr has lost 42 pounds since last season; he turns 22 next month, has hit .269 in his first 183 big league games, over two seasons. Curious to see if being so much lighter will make him a better hitter.

2) I’m amazed that people bet on the NFL Draft; you can wager on how many QB’s will get taken in the first round, what pick in the first round will the last QB be taken, basically anything you can think of.

Over the last 50 years, Mitch Trubisky is the only NFL quarterback with 50+ starts who hasn’t thrown at least one pick-6.

1) Conference tournaments start tonight; the Horizon League has four first-round games.

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 05:19 AM

519DALLAS -520 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

523SACRAMENTO -524 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

525LA CLIPPERS -526 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 72-48 ATS (19.2 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.

527WASHINGTON -528 DENVER
WASHINGTON is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

529NEW ORLEANS -530 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 05:19 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 25

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Mavericks (15-15)
— Mavericks won six of its last seven games, all at home.
— Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
— Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 Dallas games.

76ers (21-11)
— 76ers won three of their last four games.
— Sixers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Under is 3-0 in Philly’s last three games.

— Dallas won last three series games, covered last five.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last five visits to Philly.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Orlando @ Brooklyn
Magic (13-19)
— Orlando won/covered three of its last four games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Magic is 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Nets (21-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last seven games.
— Nets are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— 22 of last 27 Brooklyn games went over the total.

— Nets are 6-4 in last ten series games.
— Orlando covered its last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Sacramento @ New York
Kings (12-19)
— Sacramento is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight games overall.
— Kings lost last three road games, by 8-13-9 points.
— Over is 7-0 in Sacramento’s last seven games.

Knicks (15-17)
— New York won four of last six games (7-3 ATS last ten).
— Knicks are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 3-0 in New York’s last three games.

— Sacramento won five of last six series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ Memphis
Clippers (23-10)
— Clippers won six of their last eight games overall.
— Clippers are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
— Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Grizzlies (13-14)
— Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last dozen games.
— Grizzlies are 6-8-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

— Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
— LA is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Washington @ Denver
Wizards (11-18)
— Wizards won/covered five of their last six games overall.
— Washington is 8-6 ATS on road this season.
— Over is 4-1 in Wizards’ last five games.

Nuggets (17-14)
— Denver split its last six games overall.
— Nuggets are 6-9 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 4-2 in Denver’s last six home games.

— Washington won three of last four series games.
— Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

New Orleans @ Milwaukee
Pelicans (14-17)
— New Orleans won three of its last five games overall.
— Pelicans are 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 16-2-2 in their last 20 games.

Bucks (19-13)
— Milwaukee won/covered last three games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Bucks are 11-6 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 6-2 in Milwaukee’s last eight home games

— Bucks won four of last five series games.
— Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Eight of last nine series games went over.

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 06:05 AM

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 07:59 AM

NBA

Thursday, February 25

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Orlando @ Brooklyn
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Sacramento @ New York
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Clippers @ Memphis
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games

Washington @ Denver
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Washington

New Orleans @ Milwaukee
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans

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**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 09:16 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 25

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 09:28 AM

Hoop Trends for Thursday February 25
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 15-0-1 ATS (8.28 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days of rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-12 ATS (-14.21 ppg) after allowing at least 50 points in the paint last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Milwaukee (9:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 14-0-1 OU (14.00 ppg) after Zion Williamson shot better than 58 percent from the field last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-19.18 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 02-25-2021, 09:29 AM

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/25

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/25

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