Da Bum's COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2020-2021 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

UTRGV at NMSU 01:00 PM
NMSU -9.5...........51 - 69......WINNER
U 135.5

AKR at BUFF 02:00 PM
BUFF -6.0..............78 - 80......LOSER
U 158.5

BAY at WVU 05:00 PM
WVU +4.5...........94 - 89......LOSER
O 148.5...............LOSER

TOL at CMU 05:00 PM
CMU +16.0...........79 - 81
O 159.0..................WINNER

OHIO at KENT 06:00 PM
KENT -2.0..............PPD
U 149.0

WAKE at PITT 06:00 PM
PITT -5.0
U 135.5

ARK at SCAR 06:30 PM
ARK -6.5...........101 -73....WINNER
U 157.0............LOSER

*************************

TCU at TTU 07:00 PM
TTU -13.0............49 - 69......WINNER
U 132.0

TEX at ISU 07:00 PM
ISU +11.5........81 - 67......LOSER
O 143.5...................WINNER

XAV at GTWN 07:00 PM
XAV -2.5
U 147.5

MW at WAG 07:00 PM
WAG -4.5
U 127.5

WMU at NIU 07:00 PM
NIU -2.0..........73 - 63
U 132.5.............LOSER

BALL at EMU 07:00 PM
BALL -7.5..........101 - 65.....WINNER
U 145.5

M-OH at BGSU 07:00 PM
BGSU -5.5.....84 - 79..........LOSER
U 148.0............LOSER

ILL at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -6.5............76 - 53....LOSER
U 145.0

AUB at ALA 07:00 PM
AUB +10.5.........58 - 70....LOSER
O 156.5........LOSER

MILW at WRST 07:00 PM
WRST -13.0.........94 - 92
U 152.0.............LOSER

PFW at CLEVST 07:00 PM
CLEVST -7.5........104 - 108 ..LOSER
U 140.0...........LOSER

DETU at NKU 07:00 PM
NKU +1.5..........69 - 70...WINNER
O 145.5

TLSA at UCF 07:00 PM
UCF -3.5.........69 - 73...WINNER
U 130.5...........LOSER

FRES at BSU 07:00 PM
BSU -13.5....67 - 64
U 136.0...........WINNER

YSU at OAK 07:30 PM
YSU +3.0....83 - 87.......WINNER
O 151.5........WINNER


-------------------------

IND at MSU 08:00 PM
MSU -2.5.......58 - 64....WINNER
U 135.0............WINNER

DUKE at GT 08:00 PM
GT -1.5
U 145.5

VAN at LSU 08:30 PM
VAN +12.5.........68 -83.........LOSER
O 156.5............LOSER

MARQ at DEP 09:00 PM
DEP +5.5
O 137.0

MEM at USF 09:00 PM
MEM -9.0........73 - 52........WINNER
U 135.5

WIS at PUR 09:00 PM
PUR -2.0.........69 - 73....WINNER
U 128.5..........LOSER

UK at MISS 09:00 PM
MISS -3.0.............62 - 70....WINNER
U 131.0............LOSER




MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS........................29 - 31.............48.33%............-25.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
81.5— Cleveland
80.5— Boston, Philadelphia
79.5— Cubs
75.5— San Francisco
74.5— Arizona
72.5— Kansas City, Seattle

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 515,640
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Baylor 94, West Virginia 89, OT— If any of the games in the NCAA Tournament are as good as this one was, it’ll be surprising. This was a tremendous game between two really good teams, as Baylor clinches the Big X regular season title, their first league title since 1950.

Baylor was 13-31 on the arc; they were outscored 28-9 on the foul line.

12) Georgia Tech 81, Duke 77, OT— Tech choked away a 64-56 lead with 3:23 left; seriously, been a while since I’ve seen a team that won an overtime game play worse than they did, but they did win, snapping an 0-14 skid against Duke.

Tech started three seniors, two juniors; Duke started three frosh, two sophs.

Duke is now 11-10; will they even be one of the first four teams outside the field of 68?

11) Underrated fact: since 1976, Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches. Two!!!

10) Football is a game, but it is also a business, and businesses can be cold:
— Washington is going to release QB Alex Smith, who made a great comeback this year.
— Dolphins cut LB Kyle Van Noy, who was a team captain, one of their defense’s leaders.
— Vikings cut TE Kyle Rudolph, after he played 10 years in Minnesota.

These are salary cap-related moves, for the most part. I’m very curious to see who the QB will be in Washington next fall. I’m told quarterback is an important position.

9) JJ Watt gets $23M guaranteed from the Arizona Cardinals, where he re-unites with former Houston teammate DeAndre Hopkins. NFC West just got a little more difficult.

8) AAA baseball is going to start a month later than expected; now it will start the first week in May, when all the other minor league teams start. Spring training is weird this year, with very few 9-inning games so far— the rosters are so much thinner, with no minor leaguers to plug holes in the lineup late in games.

7) NIT is going to be a 16-team tournament this year, held totally in Dallas/Fort Worth area. Guess their first big question is whether or not Duke will trek to Texas and play there, since they do not figure to make the NCAA’s.

6) Good news for major league hitters; in-game video will be allowed in dugouts again this season. They said last summer that some hitters suffered because they were so used to seeing their at-bats right after they happened, so they could make adjustments the next time up.

Once the videos were banned, there were guys who were lost without it, so seems like a good common sense move to reverse that decision.

5) My quick plan to improve the NBA All-Star Game this year:
They’re going to have the dunk contest at HALFTIME of the game, which should make halftime very, very long (90 minutes?) You think older players are going to want to sit out for 90 minutes, then gear up to play again? I think not.

Here is my plan: have four All-Star teams, 8 or 9 guys on a team. Play two shorter All-Star Games, one before the dunk contest, one after, then no one has to play after a 90-minute break.

4) Happy 90th birthday to Gavin MacLeod, who played Murray on The Mary Tyler Moore Show and was Captain Stubing on The Love Boat. He was also in Kelly’s Heroes, a 1970 war movie with Clint Eastwood, Donald Sutherland and many other stars.

3) It is March 3rd and there are already 14 head coaching jobs open in Division I

2) March is the month when we obsess over the NCAA Tournament, but on the other side of the street, the teams who don’t win a lot often change coaches- those coaches have friends, families- losing your job can be a traumatic thing. Sometimes we forget coaches are people too.

Was reminded of that when my alma mater, the Albany Great Danes, fired their coach this week, a guy who had been the Albany coach for 20 years.

Will Brown made the NCAA’s five times in his 20 seasons, not too shabby, especially since he inherited a dumpster fire 20 years ago, a program that had just joined Division I, a program that was going nowhere, and fast.

Last few years, Albany got caught up in the transfer epidemic; they were supposed to have two senior guards three years ago, but both of them bolted to big $$$ programs for their senior year, and Albany never recovered- they went 33-47 the last three years, 20-24 in America East.

The AD seems intent on pushing the “mutual parting of ways” angle, but when the coach’s son is on the team, there is no freakin’ way the coach wanted to leave. He is a good coach, a better person; he made me proud to be an Albany alum. Will Brown will be missed.

1) Also saw that Northern Illinois fired their coach; several years ago out in Las Vegas, I’m sitting outside a gym, waiting for the doors to open to an AAU tournament, and I talked to Mark Montgomery for maybe 15-20 minutes. I picked his brain and he couldn’t have been nicer; he is smart, had worked for Tom Izzo at Michigan State. Learned a lot in our conversation.

For him to be as nice as he was to a total stranger, some older guy just hanging out and watching games, it made me sad when I saw he got fired. Hopefully he’ll bounce back and get another chance. When one door closes, another one often opens.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
81.5— Cleveland
80.5— Boston, Philadelphia
79.5— Cubs
75.5— San Francisco
74.5— Arizona
72.5— Kansas City, Seattle

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 515,640
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Baylor 94, West Virginia 89, OT— If any of the games in the NCAA Tournament are as good as this one was, it’ll be surprising. This was a tremendous game between two really good teams, as Baylor clinches the Big X regular season title, their first league title since 1950.

Baylor was 13-31 on the arc; they were outscored 28-9 on the foul line.

12) Georgia Tech 81, Duke 77, OT— Tech choked away a 64-56 lead with 3:23 left; seriously, been a while since I’ve seen a team that won an overtime game play worse than they did, but they did win, snapping an 0-14 skid against Duke.

Tech started three seniors, two juniors; Duke started three frosh, two sophs.

Duke is now 11-10; will they even be one of the first four teams outside the field of 68?

11) Underrated fact: since 1976, Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches. Two!!!

10) Football is a game, but it is also a business, and businesses can be cold:
— Washington is going to release QB Alex Smith, who made a great comeback this year.
— Dolphins cut LB Kyle Van Noy, who was a team captain, one of their defense’s leaders.
— Vikings cut TE Kyle Rudolph, after he played 10 years in Minnesota.

These are salary cap-related moves, for the most part. I’m very curious to see who the QB will be in Washington next fall. I’m told quarterback is an important position.

9) JJ Watt gets $23M guaranteed from the Arizona Cardinals, where he re-unites with former Houston teammate DeAndre Hopkins. NFC West just got a little more difficult.

8) AAA baseball is going to start a month later than expected; now it will start the first week in May, when all the other minor league teams start. Spring training is weird this year, with very few 9-inning games so far— the rosters are so much thinner, with no minor leaguers to plug holes in the lineup late in games.

7) NIT is going to be a 16-team tournament this year, held totally in Dallas/Fort Worth area. Guess their first big question is whether or not Duke will trek to Texas and play there, since they do not figure to make the NCAA’s.

6) Good news for major league hitters; in-game video will be allowed in dugouts again this season. They said last summer that some hitters suffered because they were so used to seeing their at-bats right after they happened, so they could make adjustments the next time up.

Once the videos were banned, there were guys who were lost without it, so seems like a good common sense move to reverse that decision.

5) My quick plan to improve the NBA All-Star Game this year:
They’re going to have the dunk contest at HALFTIME of the game, which should make halftime very, very long (90 minutes?) You think older players are going to want to sit out for 90 minutes, then gear up to play again? I think not.

Here is my plan: have four All-Star teams, 8 or 9 guys on a team. Play two shorter All-Star Games, one before the dunk contest, one after, then no one has to play after a 90-minute break.

4) Happy 90th birthday to Gavin MacLeod, who played Murray on The Mary Tyler Moore Show and was Captain Stubing on The Love Boat. He was also in Kelly’s Heroes, a 1970 war movie with Clint Eastwood, Donald Sutherland and many other stars.

3) It is March 3rd and there are already 14 head coaching jobs open in Division I

2) March is the month when we obsess over the NCAA Tournament, but on the other side of the street, the teams who don’t win a lot often change coaches- those coaches have friends, families- losing your job can be a traumatic thing. Sometimes we forget coaches are people too.

Was reminded of that when my alma mater, the Albany Great Danes, fired their coach this week, a guy who had been the Albany coach for 20 years.

Will Brown made the NCAA’s five times in his 20 seasons, not too shabby, especially since he inherited a dumpster fire 20 years ago, a program that had just joined Division I, a program that was going nowhere, and fast.

Last few years, Albany got caught up in the transfer epidemic; they were supposed to have two senior guards three years ago, but both of them bolted to big $$$ programs for their senior year, and Albany never recovered- they went 33-47 the last three years, 20-24 in America East.

The AD seems intent on pushing the “mutual parting of ways” angle, but when the coach’s son is on the team, there is no freakin’ way the coach wanted to leave. He is a good coach, a better person; he made me proud to be an Albany alum. Will Brown will be missed.

1) Also saw that Northern Illinois fired their coach; several years ago out in Las Vegas, I’m sitting outside a gym, waiting for the doors to open to an AAU tournament, and I talked to Mark Montgomery for maybe 15-20 minutes. I picked his brain and he couldn’t have been nicer; he is smart, had worked for Tom Izzo at Michigan State. Learned a lot in our conversation.

For him to be as nice as he was to a total stranger, some older guy just hanging out and watching games, it made me sad when I saw he got fired. Hopefully he’ll bounce back and get another chance. When one door closes, another one often opens.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 3




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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 3

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Trend Report
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 3

Clemson @ Syracuse
Clemson (15-5, 9-5)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #327
— Experience: #168
— Continuity: #97
— Clemson won its last five games, giving up 56 ppg.
— Tigers lost three of their last four road games.
— Clemson forces turnovers 22.1% of time (#40)

Syracuse (14-8, 8-7)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #71
— Syracuse won its last seven home games.
— In its last six losses, Orangemen allowed 78+ points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Syracuse forces turnovers 21.3% of time (#56).

— Syracuse lost 78-61 at Clemson February 6.
— Clemson won last three series games, by 9-1-17 points.
— Tigers lost three of last four games in the Carrier Dome.

UConn @ Seton Hall
UConn (12-6, 9-6)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #162
— UConn won four of their last five games overall.
— Huskies are grabbing 36.6% of their missed shots (#8)
— UConn has #34 eFG% defense in country.

Seton Hall (13-10, 10-7)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #133
— Pirates lost last two games, to Georgetown/Butler.
— Seton Hall is 2-6 vs top 50 teams.
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#82).

— Pirates won 80-73 at UConn February 6.

Providence @ St John’s
Providence (12-11, 8-9)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #222
— Providence won three of its last four games overall.
— Friars lost five of their last seven road games.
— This is Friars’ first game in a week.

St John’s (14-10, 8-9)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #12
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #157
— St John’s lost three of its last four games
— This is Red Storm’s first game in eight days.
— St John’s forces turnovers 22.4% of time (#32); if they don’t force a TO, they’re a bad defensive team (#299 eFG%)

— Red Storm won 92-81 at Providence February 6.
— Friars won nine of last 12 series games.
— Providence won three of last four road series games.

Wichita State @ Tulane
Wichita State (13-4, 9-2)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #234
— Wichita won five in row, 10 of last 12 games.
— Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
— Wichita has #302 eFG% in country (#325 inside arc).

Tulane (9-11, 4-11)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #224
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #308
— Tulane lost last three games, giving up 78.7 ppg.
— Green Wave has #338 eFG% (43.3% inside arc, #334)
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#17)

— Green Wave lost 75-67 at Wichita February 5.
— Wichita won all five AAC meetings, three by 8 or fewer points.
— Shockers (-9.5) won 82-79 in their one AAC visit here.

Oregon State @ Utah
Oregon State (13-11, 9-9)
— ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #156
— Beavers won three of their last four games.
— In those four games, Oregon State allowed 58.7 ppg.
— Beavers are shooting only 45.5% inside arc (#310)

Utah (10-11, 7-10)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #21
— Utah lost four of its last five games.
— In their last four losses, Utes averaged 61.8 ppg.
— Utah is a poor rebounding team (#256 on offensive boards, #258 defensive)

— Utes lost 74-56 in Corvallis on February 18
— Beavers won four of last five series games.
— OSU lost three of last four visits to Utah.

Creighton @ Villanova
Creighton (17-6, 13-5)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #19
— Bluejays split two games since an 11-day pause; they’re 7-2 in last nine games.
— Creighton is shooting 57.8% inside the arc (#7)
— Tumultuous couple days for Creighton off the court; the coach said something he shouldn’t have said, and apologized. How will the players react?

Villanova (15-4, 10-3)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #319
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #6
— Villanova is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats are 7-0 SU at home in Big East (six wins by 8+ points)
— Villanova has #48 eFG% (53% inside arc, #57)

— Villanova got waxed 86-70 at Creighton February 13.
— Teams split last six meetings.
— Bluejays lost five of last visits to Philly.

UCLA @ Oregon
UCLA (17-6, 13-4)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #270
— Continuity: #22
— UCLA won four of its last five games.
— Bruins lost four of their last six road games.
— UCLA is shooting 37% on the arc (#43).

Oregon (17-5, 12-4)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #273
— Oregon won three in row, eight of its last nine games.
— Ducks played four starters 31:00+ in Monday’s home win over Arizona.
— Oregon has #60 eFG%, shooting 36.4% on the arc (#59)

— UCLA won three of last four series games.
— Bruins lost five of last six games in Eugene.

San Diego State @ UNLV
San Diego State (19-4, 13-3)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #15
— Continuity: #146
— Aztecs won their last ten games overall.
— San Diego State forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)
— Aztecs are shooting 38% on the arc (#21)

UNLV (11-12, 8-8)
— ranked #165 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #292
— UNLV is 1-10 vs top 100 teams this season.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 38.6% on arc (#331)
— Rebels are 6-2 in Mountain West home games.

— San Diego State won 16 of last 18 series games.
— Aztecs won last three visits here, by 1-8-4 points.

Stanford @ USC
Stanford (14-11, 10-9)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #71
— Stanford lost its last three games, by 9-3-11 points.
— Star big guy DeSilva missed last two games, which obviously hurts.
— Cardinal is shooting 32.6% on the arc (#232).

USC (19-6, 13-5)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #220
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #320
— USC lost three of last four games, after an 18-3 start.
— Opponents are shooting 42.3% inside arc (#3)
— USC is grabbing 36.9% of its own missed shots (#6)

— USC won 72-66 at Maples Pavilion February 2.
— Trojans won four of last five series games.
— Cardinal lost last four games in Galen Center, by 16-5-11-4 points.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond)
St Joe’s vs LaSalle
St Joe’s (4-14, 3-9)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— St Joe’s won last three games, scoring 88 ppg, with Daly back.
— Hawks are 1-3 in overtime games this season.
— St Joe’s has #294 eFG% defense in country.
— Last four years, Hawks went 2-4 in A-14 tourney.

LaSalle (9-15, 6-11)
— ranked #190 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #150
— LaSalle lost five of its last six games.
— Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#305)
— Explorers are turning ball over 20.8% of time (#261).
— Last four years, LaSalle is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 9-2-19 points.

— Crosstown rivals split pair of games this season.
— LaSalle won six of last nine series games.

Fordham vs George Washington
Fordham (2-11, 2-11)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #206
— Rams lost nine of their last ten games.
— Fordham already fired its coach; they last played February 13.
— Fordham has #347 eFG% in country (#344 on arc, #344 inside arc).
— Last five years, Fordham is 1-4 in A-14 tourney.

George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #269
— Colonials lost four of their last five games.
— Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
— GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
— GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

— GW won 71-47 at Fordham on December 30, Rams’ season opener.
— Rams won four of last five series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
SIU-Edwardsville vs Belmont
SIU-Edwardsville (9-11, 8-10)
— ranked #320 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #202
— Continuity: #283
— Cougars lost six of their last seven games.
— Last three games, SIU-E scored 48-66-63 points.
— Cougars are turning ball over 23% of time (#330)
— SIU-E is 0-4 in OVC tourney, losing by 4-9-12-7 points; they’ve been in D-I for 12 years and have never won a game in this event.

Belmont (24-3, 18-2)
— ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #63
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #207
— Belmont lost twice last week, after a 21-game winning streak.
— Bruins are shooting 60.3% inside arc (#3)
— Five of their last six wins were by 15+ points.
— Last four years, Belmont is only 2-4 in this event, after going 58-10 in regular season

— Belmont pounded SIU-E twice this year, 114-62/94-62
— Belmont is 10-1 vs SIU-E, but did lose to them last year.

SE Missouri State vs Morehead State
SE Missouri State (11-15, 9-11)
— ranked #271 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #175
— Continuity: #291
— Redhawks won four of their last five games.
— SEMO is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#304)
— Redhawks are 1-10 vs teams in top 200.
— Last five years, SEMO is 1-2 in OVC tourney.

Morehead State (20-7, 17-3)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #300
— Experience: #205
— Continuity: #265
— Morehead won four in row, 16 of last 17 games.
— Morehead has #46 eFG% defense in country.
— Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#332)
— Last four years, Morehead is 2-3 in OVC tourney.


— Morehead beat SEMO twice this year, 64-50/76-65
— Eagles won last four series games, by 4-16-14-11 points.


-----------------------------------


665CLEMSON -666 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

667WICHITA ST -668 TULANE
WICHITA ST is 74-36 ATS (34.4 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better since 1997.

669CONNECTICUT -670 SETON HALL
SETON HALL is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

671MISSOURI -672 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 208-167 ATS (24.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots since 1997.

673MINNESOTA -674 PENN ST
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

675PROVIDENCE -676 ST JOHNS
PROVIDENCE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

677LOUISVILLE -678 VIRGINIA TECH
LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

679NC STATE -680 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

681OREGON ST -682 UTAH
OREGON ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

683NEW MEXICO -684 COLORADO ST
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STJOE at LAS 11:00 AM
STJOE -3.0
U 152.0

FOR at GW 02:00 PM
GW -7.0
U 128.5

MW at WAG 04:00 PM
MW +4.5
O 129.5

CLEM at SYR 05:00 PM
CLEM +2.0
O 135.5

SCST at NCAT 06:00 PM
SCST +12.5
O 144.5

WICH at TULN 06:00 PM
WICH -4.0
U 136.0

MIZZ at FLA 06:30 PM
MIZZ +4.0
O 141.0

CONN at HALL 06:30 PM
HALL +1.5
O 136.5

[StarDust Bum]

EVENING SESSION BEST BETS:

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -4.0
U 127.5

LEH at BU 07:00 PM
LEH +7.0
O 143.0

PROV at SJU 07:00 PM
PROV +1.5
U 152.5

NCST at ND 07:00 PM
ND -2.0
U 143.5

MINN at PSU 07:00 PM
PSU -4.5
U 148.0

ORST at UTAH 07:00 PM
ORST +4.0
O 134.5

AMCC at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -15.0
U 143.5

---------------------------------

NWST at UNO 08:00 PM
UNO -5.5
O 154.0

SIUE at BEL 08:00 PM
BEL -20.0
O 147.0

UNM at CSU 08:00 PM
CSU -17.5
U 135.5

SELA at CARK 08:00 PM
CARK -1.5
U 149.5

IW at HBU 08:00 PM
IW +3.5
O 142.0

MSST at TAM 08:30 PM
MSST -6.0
O 124.0

CREI at VILL 08:30 PM
VILL -5.0
U 146.0

-------------------------------

MD at NW 09:00 PM
MD -4.0
U 131.5

UCLA at ORE 09:00 PM
ORE -4.0
U 133.0

BC at FSU 09:00 PM
BC +18.5
O 152.0

SDSU at UNLV 09:00 PM
SDSU -9.5
U 132.5

ACU at SFA 09:00 PM
SFA -1.0
U 146.5

IDST at EWU 09:05 PM
EWU -13.0
O 145.0

SEMO at MORE 10:30 PM
MORE -7.5
U 131.0

STAN at USC 10:30 PM
USC -7.5
O 137.0



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS........................29 - 31.............48.33%............-25.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

EVENING SESSION BEST BETS:

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -4.0
U 127.5

LEH at BU 07:00 PM
LEH +7.0......58 - 69.....LOSER
O 143.0...........LOSER

PROV at SJU 07:00 PM
PROV +1.5..........67 - 81......LOSER
U 152.5

NCST at ND 07:00 PM
ND -2.0.......80 - 69.....LOSER
U 143.5

MINN at PSU 07:00 PM
PSU -4.5
U 148.0

ORST at UTAH 07:00 PM
ORST +4.0..........75 - 70....WINNER
O 134.5..............WINNER

AMCC at SHSU 07:30 PM
SHSU -15.0
U 143.5

---------------------------------

NWST at UNO 08:00 PM
UNO -5.5.......83 - 92.....WINNER
O 154.0.............WINNER

SIUE at BEL 08:00 PM
BEL -20.0......71 - 87....LOSER
O 147.0..................WINNER

UNM at CSU 08:00 PM
CSU -17.5............73 - 87......LOSER
U 135.5

SELA at CARK 08:00 PM
CARK -1.5
U 149.5

IW at HBU 08:00 PM
IW +3.5.........67 - 72
O 142.0...........LOSER

MSST at TAM 08:30 PM
MSST -6.0.........63 - 57.....PUSH
O 124.0

CREI at VILL 08:30 PM
VILL -5.0.........60 - 72....WINNER
U 146.0...............WINNER

-------------------------------

MD at NW 09:00 PM
MD -4.0
U 131.5

UCLA at ORE 09:00 PM
ORE -4.0.........74 - 82....WINNER
U 133.0

BC at FSU 09:00 PM
BC +18.5............64 - 93.....LOSER
O 152.0...........WINNER

SDSU at UNLV 09:00 PM
SDSU -9.5
U 132.5

ACU at SFA 09:00 PM
SFA -1.0...........63 - 61......LOSER
U 146.5

IDST at EWU 09:05 PM
EWU -13.0..........68 - 63.....LOSER
O 145.0...............LOSER

SEMO at MORE 10:30 PM
MORE -7.5........54 - 61.....LOSER
U 131.0...........WINNER

STAN at USC 10:30 PM
USC -7.5............42 - 79....WINNER
O 137.0.............LOSER



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................44 - 47............48.35%............-38.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2— Rory McIlroy
12-1— Viktor Hovland
13-1— Bryson DeChambeau
17-1— Tyrrell Hatton
21-1— Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here’s a summation of Tuesday’s quarterfinals:

— Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT— #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
— Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT— Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
— Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69— Norse scored last six points of the game.
— Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT— Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60— Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered “a serious knee injury” and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to “stay on the plantation” in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word “plantation”

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70— For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74— Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
— The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
— Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
— His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John’s 81, Providence 67:
— Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
— St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they’ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won’t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55— This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They’re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57— Aggies didn’t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team’s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros’ starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

“Now, I’m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official — I can say I could have done more — but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we’ve won; there have been games like this that we’ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. … We’re nice, we don’t complain, like, we don’t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get … screwed, in a way, by this. You know?”

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn’t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2— Rory McIlroy
12-1— Viktor Hovland
13-1— Bryson DeChambeau
17-1— Tyrrell Hatton
21-1— Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here’s a summation of Tuesday’s quarterfinals:

— Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT— #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
— Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT— Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
— Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69— Norse scored last six points of the game.
— Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT— Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60— Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered “a serious knee injury” and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to “stay on the plantation” in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word “plantation”

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70— For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74— Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
— The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
— Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
— His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John’s 81, Providence 67:
— Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
— St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they’ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won’t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55— This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They’re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57— Aggies didn’t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team’s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros’ starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

“Now, I’m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official — I can say I could have done more — but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we’ve won; there have been games like this that we’ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. … We’re nice, we don’t complain, like, we don’t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get … screwed, in a way, by this. You know?”

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn’t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4




-------------------------


NCAAB

Thursday, March 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 4

Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State (17-6, 10-6)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #287
— Oklahoma State won its last five games, two of them in OT.
— Cowboys have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— OSU turns ball over 21.1% of time (#278)

Baylor (19-1, 11-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #34
— Baylor is 2-1 since its three-week COVID pause.
— Bears won tough OT game in West Virginia Tuesday, playing four guys 33:00+.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Baylor forces turnovers 25.5% of time (#3).

— Baylor won 81-66 in Stillwater January 23.
— Baylor won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Cowboys lost four of last five visits to Waco.

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State (14-10, 8-10)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #76
— Spartans won four of their last five games overall.
— Michigan State lost five of last six road games.
— Spartans have #247 eFG% in country.

Michigan (18-2, 13-2)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #151
— Michigan had 7-game win streak snapped by Illinois Tuesday.
— Wolverines have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Michigan is shooting 38.8% on the arc (#13).

— State won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Arizona State @ Colorado
Arizona State (10-11, 7-8)
— ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #137
— ASU lost last four road games; their last road win was December 13 at Grand Canyon, which is in Phoenix.
— Sun Devils are 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— ASU did win last three games overall, against the two Washington teams.

Colorado (19-7, 13-6)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #87
— Colorado won three in row, six of last eight games
— Buffaloes won 10 of their 11 home games, losing by 3 to Utah.
— Last three games, Colorado allowed only 60 ppg.

— Colorado won six of last nine series games.
— Sun Devils lost their last five visits to Boulder.

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas (15-7, 9-6)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #4
— Texas is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after a 10-1 start.
— Longhorns have #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas won four of six Big X road games.

Oklahoma (14-8, 9-7)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #54
— Oklahoma lost its last three games, by 5-4-4 points.
— Opponents are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#33)
— Seven of their last eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.

— Sooners won 80-79 in Austin January 26.
— Oklahoma won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played in Norman.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ VCU, Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs Richmond
Duquesne (8-8, 7-7)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #114
— Duquesne won four of its last six games.
— Dukes are shooting only 30% on arc (#311), 65.5% on line (#316)
— Last three games, Duquesne allowed 79.7 ppg.
— Last 11 years, Duquesne is 1-10 in this event, 0-4 last five years.

Richmond (13-7, 6-5)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #10
— Spiders are 3-4 in their last seven D-I games, after a 9-3 start.
— Opponents are shooting 55.2% inside arc (#321)
— Richmond has #45 eFG% (54.6% inside arc, #30)
— Last four years, Richmond went W-L in A-14 tourney.

— Duquesne lost 79-72 at Richmond February 20.
— Spiders won 10 of last 11 series games.

St Joe’s vs UMass
St Joe’s (5-14, 4-9)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #167
— St Joe’s won last four games, scoring 84 ppg, with Daly back.
— Hawks played four starters 33:00+ in yesterday’s win over LaSalle.
— St Joe’s has #287 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 4+ years, Hawks are 3-4 in A-14 tourney.

UMass (7-6, 6-4)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #35
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #223
— UMass lost last two games, giving up 79-78 points, since a 17-day pause.
— Opponents are shooting 51.5% inside arc (#238)
— Minutemen are shooting 32.1% on arc (#254)- they take lot of 3’s.
— Last six years, UMass is 3-6 in A-14 tourney.

— UMass won six of last eight series games.

George Washington vs George Mason
George Washington (4-11, 3-5)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #269
— Colonials lost four of their last five games.
— Last two games, GW scored 58-41 points.
— GW is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#250).
— GW went W-L in this tournament six of last seven years.

George Mason (12-8, 8-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #23
— Patriots won their last four games, including a win here over VCU.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots won four of five games vs teams outside top 200.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

— George Washington won 11 of last 15 series games.

Rhode Island @ Dayton
Rhode Island (10-14, 7-10)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #306
— Rams lost six of their last seven games.
— Rhode Island is 4-8 vs top 100 teams.
— Rams have #230 eFG% in country (30.9% on arc, #290)
— Last four years, URI is 7-2 in this event (DNP LY)

Dayton (13-8, 9-7)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #225
— Dayton lost four of its last seven games.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#288)
— Dayton has #22 eFG% in country (55.8% inside arc, #18)
— Last four years, Dayton is 0-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

— These teams split couple games TY; URI’s win was in double OT.
— Dayton won four of last six series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Bradley
Southern Illinois (11-13, 5-13)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last eight games.
— Last six games, SIU scored only 59 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#309).
— Last eight years, Salukis are 4-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Bradley (12-15, 6-12)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost four of its last five games overall.
— Braves lost six of last seven games away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#41)
— Bradley won Arch Madness the last two years.

— Teams split pair of games in Peoria, February 6-7.
— Bradley won four of last five series games.
— Braves beat SIU 64-59 in Arch Madness last year.

Illinois State @ Northern Iowa
Illinois State (7-17, 4-14)
— ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #262
— Redbirds lost nine of last 11 games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#313)
— ISU is shooting 65.3% on the foul line (#322)
— Last five years, Redbirds are 7-5 in Arch Madness.

Northern Iowa (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #149
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #192
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#303)
— UNI is 6-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Last five years, Panthers are 9-3 in Arch Madness.

— UNI swept Illinois State last weekend, 70-56/94-87 2OT
— Panthers won four of last five series games.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Murray State vs Jacksonville State
Murray State (13-12, 10-10)
— ranked #157 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #83
— Racers lost three of their last four games.
— Murray is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#286).
— Racers are 2-7 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
— Last 11 years, Racers are 15-7 in OVC tourney, winning it 4 times.

Jacksonville State (17-8, 13-6)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Last three games, Gamecocks scored 79.7 ppg.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.4% of its missed shots (#49)
— Last four years, Gamecocks are 5-3 in this event.

— Jax State swept Murray this year, 85-82/87-84
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Murray beat Jax State is two of last three OVC tourneys.

Austin Peay vs Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay (14-12, 10-10)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #136
— Governors lost last three games, by 7-5-8 points.
— Austin Peay has #330 eFG% defense in country.
— Governors are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
— Last three years, Austin Peay went W-L in OVC tourney.

Eastern Kentucky (21-6, 15-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #208
— EKU won three in row, six of last seven games.
— In their last six wins, Eastern Kentucky scored 81+ points.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last six years, EKU is 1-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.
— These teams split couple games this year; road team won both.
— Austin Peay won five of last seven series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego (3-10, 2-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #184
— Toreros lost their last three games, giving up 91 ppg.
— San Diego is 1-10 vs teams ranked in top 300 (beat Santa Clara)
— Opponents are shooting 39.0% on the arc (#337).
— Last seven years, San Diego is 2-7 in WCC tourney.

San Francisco (10-13, 4-9)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost its last six games, scoring 66.2 ppg.
— Over half their shots (50.2%) come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 6-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last seven years, Dons are 5-7 in WCC tourney.

— Toreros lost 70-62 in San Francisco New Year’s Eve.
— Teams split last 12 series games.


-----------------------------


717MONMOUTH -718 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

719ST PETERS -720 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

721ST PETERS -722 IONA
IONA is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots since 1997.

723FAIRFIELD -724 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

725MIDDLE TENN ST -726 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

727OKLAHOMA ST -728 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.

729MICHIGAN ST -730 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

731TCU -732 W VIRGINIA
TCU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

733CANISIUS -734 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

735VANDERBILT -736 CINCINNATI
VANDERBILT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


----------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENN at LIB 02:00 PM
KENN +17.0
O 127.5

NORAL at UNF 02:00 PM
UNF -3.0
U 146.0

MORG at DSU 03:00 PM
DSU +12.0
O 156.5

URI at DAY 03:30 PM
URI +3.0
O 138.0

SPC at QUIN 04:00 PM
QUIN +4.0
O 132.0

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -5.0
U 157.5

GW at GMU 05:30 PM
GW +7.5
O 135.5

FAIR at MAN 06:00 PM
MAN -4.5
U 124.0

CAMP at RAD 06:00 PM
CAMP +2.5
U 124.0

MTU at FAU 06:00 PM
MTU +9.0
O 139.5

SIU at BRAD 06:00 PM
BRAD +3.0
U 127.0


*********************


CAN at SIE 07:00 PM
CAN +6.0
O 139.5

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -3.5
U 131.0

OKST at BAY 07:00 PM
OKST +12.0
O 147.0

ISU at TTU 07:00 PM
ISU +17.0
O 138.0

TCU at WVU 07:00 PM
WVU -13.0
U 141.5

VAN at CIN 07:00 PM
VAN +7.5
O 145.5

FGCU at LIP 07:00 PM
FGCU +5.0
O 140.5

STET at BELL 07:00 PM
STET +6.0
O 141.0

MSU at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -12.0
O 139.5

LONG at WIN 07:30 PM
WIN -13.0
U 141.5

NICH at MCNS 07:30 PM
NICH -5.5
U 152.5


*************************

UTEP at KU 08:00 PM
KU -17.0
U 136.0

MURR at JVST 08:00 PM
JVST +3.0
O 139.5

ALCN at TXSO 08:30 PM
TXSO -12.0
U 146.0

AAMU at JKST 08:30 PM
JKST -8.0
U 126.0

ALST at GRAM 08:30 PM
GRAM -7.0
U 136.5

SOU at PV 08:30 PM
SOU +6.5
O 139.0

*****************

USD at SF 09:00 PM
SF -7.0
U 142.5

ASU at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -10.0
U 147.0

NEB at IOWA 09:00 PM
NEB +17.0
O 154.0

TEX at OKLA 09:00 PM
OKLA -1.5
O 143.5

UCF at ECU 09:00 PM
UCF -2.5
U 134.0

UNCO at WEB 09:00 PM
WEB -10.0
U 146.5

ILST at UNI 09:00 PM
ILST +6.0
O 139.5

WYO at USU 09:30 PM
WYO +16.5
O 146.0


*********************

SUU at PRST 10:05 PM
PRST +2.0
O 147.5

PEAY at EKY 10:30 PM
EKY -2.0
U 157.0

PORT at SCU 11:59 PM
SCU -13.5
U 143.5


MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................44 - 47............48.35%............-38.50


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENN at LIB 02:00 PM
KENN +17.0............59 - 69
O 127.5....................WINNER

NORAL at UNF 02:00 PM
UNF -3.0
U 146.0

MORG at DSU 03:00 PM
DSU +12.0
O 156.5

URI at DAY 03:30 PM
URI +3.0........72 - 84
O 138.0................WINNER

SPC at QUIN 04:00 PM
QUIN +4.0..........60 - 65......WINNER
O 132.0

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -5.0 77 - 74......LOSER
U 157.5.............WINNER

GW at GMU 05:30 PM
GW +7.5..............59 - 73
O 135.5............LOSER

FAIR at MAN 06:00 PM
MAN -4.5...........59 - 69....WINNER
U 124.0...........LOSER

CAMP at RAD 06:00 PM
CAMP +2.5............78 - 60........WINNER
U 124.0............LOSER

MTU at FAU 06:00 PM
MTU +9.0...........50 - 80
O 139.5.............LOSER

SIU at BRAD 06:00 PM
BRAD +3.0............73 - 63
U 127.0..................LOSER


*********************


CAN at SIE 07:00 PM
CAN +6.0.........66 - 73
O 139.5.............WINNER

FAMU at NCCU 07:00 PM
NCCU -3.5
U 131.0

OKST at BAY 07:00 PM
OKST +12.0.........70 - 81.......WINNER
O 147.0.................WINNER

ISU at TTU 07:00 PM
ISU +17.0 54 - 81
O 138.0..............LOSER

TCU at WVU 07:00 PM
WVU -13.0........67 - 76.....LOSER
U 141.5............LOSER

VAN at CIN 07:00 PM
VAN +7.5............78 - 64....WINNER
O 145.5

FGCU at LIP 07:00 PM
FGCU +5.0
O 140.5

STET at BELL 07:00 PM
STET +6.0..........73 - 70
O 141.0..............WINNER

MSU at MICH 07:00 PM
MICH -12.0............50 - 69....WINNER
O 139.5............LOSER

LONG at WIN 07:30 PM
WIN -13.0............61 - 80........WINNER
U 141.5

NICH at MCNS 07:30 PM
NICH -5.5...........80 - 67.........WINNER
U 152.5


*************************

UTEP at KU 08:00 PM
KU -17.0...........62 - 67.....LOSER
U 136.0

MURR at JVST 08:00 PM
JVST +3.0..........65 - 68.....WINNER
O 139.5.................LOSER

ALCN at TXSO 08:30 PM
TXSO -12.0
U 146.0

AAMU at JKST 08:30 PM
JKST -8.0...........35 - 50....WINNER
U 126.0

ALST at GRAM 08:30 PM
GRAM -7.0
U 136.5

SOU at PV 08:30 PM
SOU +6.5
O 139.0

*****************

USD at SF 09:00 PM
SF -7.0.........51 - 67....WINNER
U 142.5

ASU at COLO 09:00 PM
COLO -10.0..........61 - 75......WINNER
U 147.0

NEB at IOWA 09:00 PM
NEB +17.0..........64 - 102.....LOSER
O 154.0....................WINNER

TEX at OKLA 09:00 PM
OKLA -1.5..........69 - 65....LOSER
O 143.5............LOSER

UCF at ECU 09:00 PM
UCF -2.5...........64 - 60...WINNER
U 134.0

UNCO at WEB 09:00 PM
WEB -10.0...........59 - 60
U 146.5.....................WINNER

ILST at UNI 09:00 PM
ILST +6.0........60 - 65........WINNER
O 139.5..............LOSER

WYO at USU 09:30 PM
WYO +16.5...........59 - 72
O 146.0...........LOSER


*********************

SUU at PRST 10:05 PM
PRST +2.0..........68 - 58....LOSER
O 147.5................LOSER


PEAY at EKY 10:30 PM
EKY -2.0
U 157.0

PORT at SCU 11:59 PM
SCU -13.5
U 143.5


MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................66 - 64............50.76%............- 22.00


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack
Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
6) UMBC (14-5)
5) Texas Southern (12-8)
4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
2) Nicholls State (17-6)
1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“He’s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He’s a point guard.”
Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic

Friday’s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)

Wednesday’s quiz
Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year.

************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday’s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.

According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ”Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can’t have anybody leave the plantation.” Ummmm……not an outstanding choice of words.

When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won’t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?

12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.

Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation’s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.

Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that’s assuming they graduated high school.

Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite’s board of directors.

11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers’ QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team— it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.

10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70— Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham’s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.

Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.

9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
— This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
— UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they’re ranked #135.

8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65— Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.

7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64— This score doesn’t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.

6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70— Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.

5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.

4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.

3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.

2) Since 2015, Astros’ C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.

1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117— Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They’re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 5



--------------------------------


NCAAB

Friday, March 5

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 5

Hawai’i @ Cal-Davis
Hawai’i (10-8, 8-8)
— ranked #201 by KenPom
— Tempo: #228
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #319
— Rainbows won three of their last four games.
— Hawai’i split its six games on the mainland.
— Rainbows are shooting 36.0% on the arc (#73)

Cal-Davis (8-6, 5-3)
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #71
— Aggies won last five games, two of them in OT.
— Davis split its four D-I home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Davis forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#10).

— Hawai’i won last four series games.
— Teams split last eight meetings played here.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA)
Duquesne vs St Bonaventure
Duquesne (9-8, 8-7)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #119
— Duquesne won five of its last seven games.
— Dukes are shooting only 30.1% on arc (#310), 64.5% on line (#327)
— Duquesne trailed 52-44 with 7:14 left in yesterday’s upset of Richmond.
— Dukes’ three seniors all played 33:00+ yesterday.
— Last 11 years, Duquesne is 2-10 in this event, 1-4 last 5+ years.

St Bonaventure (13-4, 11-4)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #29
— Bonnies won three of their last four games.
— St Bonaventure has #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Bonnies are grabbing 33.0% of their missed shots (#38).
— Last nine years, Bonnies are 10-6 in A-14 tourney, 6-1 in their first game.

— Bonnies beat Duquesne twice this year, 62-48/65-61.
— Bonnies won 10 of last 11 series games.

UMass vs Saint Louis
UMass (8-6, 7-4)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #225
— UMass split its last six games overall.
— Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#219)
— Minutemen are shooting 32.8% on arc (#218)- they take lot of 3’s.
— UMass had a stress-free win yesterday; no one played 30:00.
— Last 6+ years, UMass is 4-6 in A-14 tourney.

Saint Louis (13-5, 6-4)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #17
— Billikens won six of their last eight games.
— Saint Louis is grabbing 36.5% of their missed shots (#9)
— Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#32)
— Last eight years, Billikens are 10-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago.

— UMass lost 78-57 in Saint Louis, four nights ago.
— Saint Louis won six of last seven series games.

George Mason vs Davidson
George Mason (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #24
— Patriots won their last five games overall.
— Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335)
— Patriots were down 8 with 17:11 left yesterday; three guys played 32:00+.
— Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney.

Davidson (12-7, 7-4)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #38
— Davidson is 5-2 in last seven D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure).
— Wildcats are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#5).
— Davidson is 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Davidson is 9-4 in five A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018.

— Davidson won last three series games, by 22-5-15 points.

Dayton vs VCU
Dayton (14-8, 10-7)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #220
— Dayton split its last eight games overall.
— Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#274)
— Dayton has #19 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #20)
— Last 4+ years, Dayton is 1-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points.

VCU (17-6, 10-4)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #282
— Rams lost two of last three games, after a 14-2 run.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
— Rams are 8-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
— VCU went 1-2 in last three A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

— Rams swept Dayton this year, 66-43/76-67
— VCU won six of last eight series games.

Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis)
Southern Illinois vs Loyola
Southern Illinois (12-13, 6-13)
— ranked #191 by KenPom
— Tempo: #286
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #286
— Salukis lost six of their last nine games.
— Southern Illinois played three guys 34:00+ yesterday.
— Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#310).
— Last 8+ years, Salukis are 5-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times)

Loyola (21-4, 16-2)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #38
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won 14 of its last 15 games overall.
— Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#36)
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#37)
— Last six years, Loyola is 7-5 in Arch Madness.

— SIU got swept at Loyola last weekend, 60-52/65-58OT.
— Ramblers won six of last eight series games.

Evansville vs Indiana State
Evansville (9-15, 7-11)
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #233
— Evansville lost seven of their last eight games.
— Purple Aces have #343 eFG% defense (bottom 15 in country)
— Evansville gets 44.9% of its points on arc (#4).
— Last 13 years, Evansville is 5-13 in Arch Madness, losing by 5-10 points last two years.

Indiana State (14-9, 11-7)
— ranked #120 by KenPom
— Tempo: #216
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #65
— Indiana State won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
— Sycamores for turnovers 21.9% of time (#40).
— ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29)
— Sycamores lost in first round of this event last three years, by 11-7-22 points.

— Indiana State swept Evansville this year, 76-70/87-73.
— Sycamores won last eight series games.

Northern Iowa vs Drake
Northern Iowa (10-15, 8-11)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #193
— Panthers won four of their last five games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#304)
— UNI played six guys 29:00 yesterday vs Illinois State.
— Last 5+ years, Panthers are 10-3 in Arch Madness.

Drake (24-3, 15-3)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #170
— Drake is down two starters to injury.
— Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games.
— Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25)
— Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness.

— Drake swept UNI this season, 80-59/77-69
— Teams split last ten series games, including pair of games in last two MVC tourneys.

Valparaiso vs Missouri State
Valparaiso (10-17, 7-11)
— ranked #190 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #110
— Valpo lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Valpo is 1-8 vs top 100 teams this season (split with Drake)
— Crusaders are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#310).
— Valpo went 3-1 in Arch Madness LY, losing final to Bradley.

Missouri State (16-6, 12-6)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #212
— Continuity: #288
— Bears won seven of their last eight games overall.
— Bears are #10 team in country on defensive boards.
— Missouri State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12)
— Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years, lost in first round other 2 years.

— Missouri State won twice at Valpo in early January, 81-68/78-68
— Bears are 7-3 vs Valpo in MVC meetings.

OVC tournament (@ Evansville)
Jacksonville State vs Belmont
Jacksonville State (18-8, 14-6)
— ranked #155 by KenPom
— Tempo: #300
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #326
— Jax State won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Gamecocks played three guys 36:00+ in last night’s OT win.
— Jax State is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#58)
— Last 4+ years, Gamecocks are 6-3 in this event.

Belmont (25-3, 19-2)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #66
— Experience: #281
— Continuity: #207
— Belmont lost two of three games, after a 21-game winning streak.
— Bruins are shooting 60.0% inside arc (#3)
— Six of their last seven wins were by 15+ points.
— Last 4+ years, Belmont is 3-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season

— Belmont beat Gamecocks twice this year, 98-91/63-59
— Bruins won last four series games, after losing five in row before that.

Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky (22-6, 16-5)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #211
— EKU won four in row, seven of last eight games.
— Eastern Kentucky blew an 11-point lead, held off Austin Peay 70-67 last nite.
— Three of their starters played 32:00+ vs Austin Peay.
— Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6)
— Last 6+ years, EKU is 2-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney.

Morehead State (21-7, 18-3)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #265
— Morehead won five in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— Morehead has #43 eFG% defense in country.
— Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#333)
— Last 4+ years, Morehead is 3-3 in OVC tourney.

— Morehead split pair of games with EKU back in December.
— Teams split last eight series games.

WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
San Francisco vs LMU
San Francisco (11-13, 5-9)
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #163
— USF lost six of its last seven games.
— 49.9% of their shots, 42.9% of their points come from behind the arc.
— Dons are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150.
— Last 7+ years, Dons are 6-7 in WCC tourney.

LMU (12-8, 7-5)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #203
— LMU won five of its last seven games.
— Lions are turning ball over 23.0% of time (#334)
— LMU is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last six years, Lions are 3-6 in WCC tourney.

— LMU swept San Francisco this year, 68-60/68-63
— Teams split last 16 series games; USF beat the Lions 82-53 in LY’s WCC tourney.

Santa Clara vs Pacific
Santa Clara (11-7, 5-5)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #51
— Broncos are 5-7 in last 12 games, after a 6-0 start.
— Santa Clara has #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Santa Clara is shooting 28.9% on the arc (#333); they’ve got #312 eFG%.
— Since 2005, Broncos are 0-9 in their second WCC tourney game, with five losses by 5 or fewer points.

Pacific (9-8, 6-7)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #152
— Pacific won three of its last four games.
— Tigers don’t shoot ball well (#283 eFG%)
— Pacific gets 61.6% of its points inside arc (#2)
— Last six years, Pacific is 1-5 in WCC tourney.

— Santa Clara lost 79-58 at Pacific January 14.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.


------------------------------------

805IDAHO ST -806 E WASHINGTON
IDAHO ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

807ST PETERS -808 QUINNIPIAC
ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

809MONMOUTH -810 RIDER
MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

811N ILLINOIS -812 C MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

815FAIRFIELD -816 MANHATTAN
FAIRFIELD is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

817BOSTON COLLEGE -818 MIAMI
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

819MIDDLE TENN ST -820 FLA ATLANTIC
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

823HAWAII -824 CAL DAVIS
HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

825CANISIUS -826 SIENA
SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997.

827BALL ST -828 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.


------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, March 5

[StarDust Bum]

CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAMES:

FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DUQ at SBON 11:00 AM
SBON -7.5
U 131.0

SIU at L-IL 12:00 PM
SIU +15.5
U 121.5

MASS at SLU 01:00 PM
MASS +8.0
O 144.5

***************************

EVAN at INST 03:00 PM
INST -5.0
O 131.5

DAY at VCU 03:30 PM
VCU -3.5
U 133.5

GMU at DAV 05:30 PM
DAV -5.5
U 131.0

UNI at DRKE 06:00 PM
UNI +6.5
O 141.0

******************************

JVST at BEL 08:00 PM
JVST +7.5
O 147.0

SF at LMU 09:00 PM
LMU +1.0
O 139.0

VALP at MOSU 09:00 PM
MOSU -7.5
O 133.0

************************

EKY at MORE 10:30 PM
MORE -2.0
O 141.0

SCU at PAC 11:59 PM
PAC -3.0
U 135.0


********************************


FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MORG at DSU 01:00 PM
MORG -11.5
O 157.0

STET at LIB 02:00 PM
LIB -10.0
O 135.0

CSUS at MTST 02:00 PM
O 136.5

IDST at EWU 03:05 PM
IDST +12.0
U 143.0

******************************

SPC at QUIN 04:00 PM
QUIN +3.0
O 129.5

MONM at RID 04:00 PM
MONM -5.0
U 152.5

NIU at CMU 05:00 PM
CMU -5.5
O 147.5

WCU at CIT 05:30 PM
WCU -3.0
U 156.5

FAIR at MAN 06:00 PM
MAN -5.0
U 124.0

KENT at BUFF 06:00 PM
BUFF -6.0
O 155.0

MTU at FAU 06:00 PM
FAU -10.0
U 138.0

GASO at ARST 06:00 PM
GASO +1.5
O 135.5

BC at MIA 06:00 PM
BC +3.5
O 143.0

ULM at USA 06:30 PM
ULM +5.0
O 134.0

*****************************

CAN at SIE 07:00 PM
SIE -6.0
U 139.5

CHAR at MRSH 07:00 PM
CHAR +13.0
O 140.0

EMU at WMU 07:00 PM
EMU +2.0
O 135.0

BALL at TOL 07:00 PM
BALL +9.5
O 156.5

UCRV at CSN 07:00 PM
CSN +10.5
O 146.0

UCI at LBSU 07:00 PM
UCI -8.5
U 142.0

FGCU at NORAL 07:00 PM
FGCU -2.5
U 134.5

***********************

ODU at WKU 08:00 PM
ODU +7.5
O 137.5

SAM at MER 08:00 PM
MER -7.5
O 148.0

CSF at UCSD 08:00 PM
UCSD -3.0
U 151.5

CP at UCSB 08:00 PM
CP +19.5
O 129.0

UAB at UNT 08:00 PM
UNT -5.5
O 127.0

GT at WAKE 08:00 PM
GT -9.0
U 135.5

ARPB at MVSU 08:00 PM
ARPB -10.0
O 139.5

TST at UTRGV 08:00 PM
UTRGV -4.5
U 132.0

UALR at APP 08:30 PM
UALR +2.0
U 133.5

***********************

TROY at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -6.5
U 132.5

CSU at NEV 09:00 PM
NEV +1.5
O 144.5

NMSU at DSTATE 09:00 PM
DSTATE +12.0
O 140.0

UVU at GRC 09:00 PM
UVU +9.0
O 138.0

SEA at CALBA 09:00 PM
CALBA -3.0
U 149.0



MARCH BEST BETS RECORD:

Mar. 04. 2021...........22 - 17............56.41%...........+16.50
Mar. 03, 2021...........15 - 16............48.38%............-13.00
Mar. 02, 2021...........16 - 18............47.05%............-19.00
Mar. 01. 2021...........13 - 13............50.00%............- 6.50

TOTALS....................66 - 64............50.76%............- 22.00


*************************************

Feb.Best Bet Totals......439 Wins....371 Loses.......54.19%....+154.00

Jan.Best Bet Totals......124 Wins....152 Loses........44.92%... -216.00

Dec. Best Bets Totals.....21 Wins....9 Loses...........70.00%.....+55.50