Announcement

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 08:54 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball title:
3-1— Gonzaga, Baylor
7-1— Michigan
11-1— Villanova
14-1— Houston, Ohio State, Texas
16-1— Florida State
18-1— Illinois, Iowa

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.

The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.

12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72— That was the Bears’ first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We’re about to find out.

11) March’s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they’re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I’ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

10) NBA trends on back/backs:
— Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
— Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
— Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
— Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
— Home teams 38-38-1………favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2

9) I’d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.

Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach— lot more of that in college.

Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.

8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.

7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
1) Golden State
2) Houston
3) Chicago
4) Minnesota
5) Philadelphia

6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?

5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.

Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I’m guessing this year’s number will be around 1,500.

4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
— Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
— Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games

3) Michigan’s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh’s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.

2) Georgia 91, LSU 78— Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG’s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.

1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn’t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn’s chances of winning again this season. They’ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 09:04 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 09:06 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 09:08 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 24

Clemson @ Wake Forest
Clemson (13-5, 7-5)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #98
— Clemson won last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
— Tigers lost last three road games, by 18-19-26 points.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#35)

Wake Forest (6-11, 3-11)
— ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #228
— Experience: #199
— Continuity: #275
— Wake Forest is 1-11 vs top 100 teams.
— Deacons lost last three games, giving up 85.3 ppg.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wake has #294 eFG% defense in country.

— Clemson won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Tigers won four of last five visits here (lost 56-44 LY).

St Bonaventure @ Davidson
St Bonaventure (10-3, 8-3)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #29
— Bonnies split last four games, after a 9-1 start.
— Bonnies have #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Bonnies lost last two road games, scoring 59-64 points.

Davidson (11-6, 6-3)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #43
— Monday was Davidson’s first D-I game in four weeks.
— Wildcats split last four A-14 home games.
— Davidson is shooting 57.5% inside arc (#8)

— Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
— Monday night, Davidson lost 69-58 to the Bonnies in Olean.
— Bonnies lost last four visits here, by 5-10-18-29 points.

Chattanooga @ Mercer
Chattanooga (18-6, 9-6)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #280
— Chattanooga won six of its last seven games.
— Mocs won four of their last five road games.
— Chattanooga’s last four games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.

Mercer (14-9, 7-8)
— ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #257
— Mercer won four of its last six games.
— Bears lost three of their last five home games.
— Bears have #27 eFG% in country (#41 on arc, #33 inside arc).

— Mercer blew a 19-point lead, lost 83-80 in Chattanooga January 13.
— Mercer won five of last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Macon.

Seton Hall @ Butler
Seton Hall (13-9, 10-6)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #132
— Seton Hall won four of its last five games.
— Pirates split their last six road games.
— Seton Hall is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

Butler (7-13, 6-11)
— ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #236
— Butler lost three in row, six of its last eight games.
— Bulldogs split their last six home games.
— Butler is shooting 45.5% inside arc (#311), has #289 eFG%.

— Butler lost 68-60 at Seton Hall January 2.
— Pirates won four of last five series games.
— Seton Hall won three of last four games in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Marquette @ North Carolina
Marquette (10-12)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #176
— Marquette won 6 of last 8 games (both wins vs Butler)
— Golden Eagles lost three of last four road games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#13), 36.1% on arc (#279)

North Carolina (14-7)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #150
— Carolina won six of its last eight games.
— Tar Heels are 8-0 at home, winning last two by 20-45 points.
— Tar Heels have #237 eFG% in country; they’re #2 on offensive boards.

Indiana @ Rutgers
Indiana (12-10, 7-8)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #80
— Indiana is 5-6 SU in its last eleven games.
— Hoosiers won three of their last four road games.
— Indiana gets 22.1% of its points on foul line (#27), but is shooting only 66.7% there (#291)

Rutgers (12-9, 8-9)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #7
— Rutgers lost three of its last four games.
— Scarlet Knights won three of last four at home.
— Rutgers gets 59.3% of its points on 2-point shots (#14)

— Rutgers won 74-70 at Indiana January 24.
— Rutgers won four of last five series games.
— Hoosiers lost 66-58/59-50 in last two visits to the Garden State.

Florida State @ Miami
Florida State (13-3, 9-2)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #99
— Seminoles won three in row, 8 of last 9 games.
— Florida State split its last four road games.
— Florida State is shooting 39.4% on arc (#9)

Miami (7-13, 3-12)
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #242
— Miami lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
— Hurricanes’ only win in that span was over Duke.
— Miami is shooting 29.1% on arc (#324)

— Miami lost 81-59 at Florida State January 27.
— Seminoles won last six series games.
— FSU won 78-66/83-79OT in last two visits to Miami.

Xavier @ Providence
Xavier (12-4, 5-4)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #184
— Xavier lost two of its last three games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#23)
— Xavier is 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.

Providence (11-11, 7-9)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #223
— Friars lost eight of their last 12 games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Providence lost three of their last five home games.
— Providence has #249 eFG% in country (#237 on arc, #238 inside arc)

— Friars lost 74-73 at Xavier January 10.
— Xavier won three of last four series games.
— Musketeers lost four of last five visits to Providence.

Cincinnati @ Tulsa
Cincinnati (7-8, 5-5)
— ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #215
— Cincy won four of its last five games; all four wins were by 3 or less points.
— Bearcats turn ball over 20.7% of time (#260), have #276 eFG%.
— Cincinnati won three of its last five road games.

Tulsa (10-9, 7-7)
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #200
— This is Tulsa’s first game in eight days.
— Tulsa lost six of its last nine games.
— Tulsa is shooting 28.3% on the arc (#339).

— Tulsa won 70-66 at Cincinnati January 2.
— Cincinnati won seven of last eight series games.
— Bearcats won three of last four visits to Tulsa.

Alabama @ Arkansas
Alabama (18-5, 13-1)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #10
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #148
— Alabama won three in row, 14 of last 16 games.
— Crimson Tide lost two of their last three road games.
— In their last three games, Alabama scored 92.7 ppg.

Arkansas (17-5, 9-4)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #29
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won four in row, 7 of last 8 games.
— Razorbacks won their last five home games.
— Arkansas is grabbing 32.7% of their own missed shots (#44)

— Arkansas got waxed 90-59 at Alabama January 16.
— Razorbacks won six of last seven series games.
— Alabama lost last three visits here, by 25-2-19 points.

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt
Tennessee (15-6, 8-6)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #247
— Continuity: #100
— Tennessee split its last six games overall.
— Vols scored 80+ points in last four wins; 65 or less in their losses.
— Tennessee forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#20)

Vanderbilt (6-12, 2-10)
— ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #277
— Continuity: #75
— Vandy’s last four losses were all by 6 or fewer points.
— Commodores lost five of their last six home games.
— Vandy is turning ball over 20.0% of time (#223)

— Vandy lost 81-61 in Knoxville January 16.
— Tennessee won last seven series games.
— Vols won last four trips to Nashville, by 12-8-5-21 points.

Fresno State @ UNLV
Fresno State (9-9, 7-9)
— ranked #207 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #300
— Fresno is 2-5 on road (both wins at Air Force)
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#313)
— Fresno has #254 eFG% (#316 on arc, #326 on foul line)

UNLV (10-11, 7-7)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #290
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #291
— UNLV is 6-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Rebels won five of their seven home games.
— Opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#330)

— Fresno won seven of last nine series games.
— Bulldogs won four of last five series games on the Strip.

DePaul @ Creighton
DePaul (4-10, 2-10)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #221
— DePaul lost five of its last six games.
— Blue Demons actually split their last four road tilts.
— DePaul is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#326)

Creighton (16-5, 12-4)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #38
— Continuity: #19
— Creighton won three in row, six of last seven games.
— Bluejays split their last four home games.
— Creighton is shooting 58% inside the arc (#6).

— Creighton won 69-62 at DePaul January 30.
— Bluejays won last 12 series games.
— DePaul lost its last five visits to Omaha, all by 13+ points.

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 09:11 AM

653KENT ST -654 BALL ST
BALL ST is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

657CLEMSON -658 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

659ST BONAVENTURE -660 DAVIDSON
ST BONAVENTURE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

663DAYTON -664 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

665GEORGE WASHINGTON -666 GEORGE MASON
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games since 1997.

667NEW MEXICO -668 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

669NC STATE -670 VIRGINIA
NC STATE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

673THE CITADEL -674 FURMAN
THE CITADEL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

675W CAROLINA -676 UNC-GREENSBORO
W CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

677UT-CHATTANOOGA -678 MERCER
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 09:59 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 24

Announcement

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/24

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/24

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment