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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, February 23

    Good Luck on day #54 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds for the PGA Tour event this week:
    13-2— Dustin Johnson
    9-1— Jon Rahm
    16-1— McIlroy, Schauffele
    18-1— DeChambeau, Thomas
    20-1— Cantlay, Finau, Hatton, Holland
    25-1— Brooks Koepka

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 500,899
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) There could be more of this to come; Western Kentucky will visit Houston Thursday night, in a hastily-arranged game designed to elevate both teams’ resume for the NCAA Tournament.

    WKU is 15-4, and appears to be a bubble team at best if they don’t win the C-USA tournament. Houston is 18-3, but a win here would help improve their resume.

    12) Oklahoma State 74, Texas Tech 69 OT:

    Oklahoma State was 22-32 on foul line, Texas Tech 8-12.

    Cade Cunningham was the #1 high school recruit in the country last year; he chose to go to Oklahoma State, which “coincidentally” had just hired his brother as an assistant coach.

    All that is perfectly legal, has been done many times before. In the mid’80’s, Kansas hired Ed Manning as an assistant coach, then Ed’s son Danny led the Jayhawks to a national title. Ed Manning played in the NBA, but he was a truck driver when Kansas hired him.

    During this game, ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla had the onions to say that the brother’s hiring wasn’t a “package deal.” In other words, Oklahoma State would’ve hired the brother as an assistant coach, even if Cade Cunningham was a badminton player. Have to call bullshit on that one.

    11) By the way, Oklahoma State will be going on probation soon, just not this year, because the NCAA hasn’t gotten around to hearing OSU’s appeal of the NCAA’s verdict on a previous issue. By the time the Cowboys go on probation, Cade Cunningham will be playing in the NBA.

    In June 2020, after an FBI bribery-and-corruption investigation implicated a former OSU assistant coach- he got a three-month prison sentence, the NCAA gave Oklahoma State a 3-year probation, a one-year postseason ban and the loss of three total scholarships over a three-year period.

    10) Duke 85, Syracuse 71— There is a phrase called “addition by subtraction” where the group does better when one person leaves. Not necessarily that person’s fault, just that roles become more defined, there are fewer people looking over their shoulders to be subbed out.

    Duke, in three games since Jalen Johnson skipped town:
    — won 84-60 at Wake Forest
    — won 66-65 over Virginia
    — won 85-71 over Syracuse

    Duke was 5-8 when Johnson played; they’re 6-0 in games he missed. Those are the facts; they are not in dispute. Decide for yourself why those facts are what they are.

    9) There have been Celtic fans on social media bitching about coach Brad Stevens; Celtics are 15-15, lost six of their last nine games. To this point, they’re underachieving.

    I’ll say this; of the 357 D-I college teams, how many would fire their coach if Stevens became available? He made the Final Four with a HORIZON LEAGUE TEAM (Butler wasn’t in the Big East yet). If he isn’t appreciated in Boston, someone with deep pockets surely will.

    8) West Virginia won six of its last eight games; they’ve won five road games in a row, which is pretty amazing. West Virginia plays in the Big X; of the other nine teams in the league, closest town to West Virginia is Ames, Iowa, which according to Mapquest, is 872 miles away.

    Thats their shortest conference road trip, 872 miles. Yikes.

    7) South Carolina used to be an ACC school; they bolted the league in 1971, stayed independent in football until 1991, when they joined the SEC.

    The basketball Gamecocks joined the old Metro Conference in 1983; that was a pretty good league, with Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, but it was basketball-only.

    You wonder if they could do it all over again, if South Carolina would’ve stayed in the ACC.

    6) Only one major league team ever has had a player wear 0 and another player wear 00 at the same time; the 1985 Blue Jays had Al Oliver (0) and Cliff Johnson (00).

    This season, Marcus Stroman will wear 0 for the Mets; there were rumors that Taijuan Walker was going to wear 00, but he will wear 99 instead, joining Turk Wendell as Mets who wore #99.

    5) Reliever Tyler Clippard is going to sign with Arizona; he must be good at packing:
    2007— Bronx
    2009-14— Washington
    2015— Oakland/NY Mets
    2016— Arizona/Bronx
    2017— Bronx-White Sox-Houston
    2018— Toronto
    2019— Cleveland
    2020— Minnesota
    2021— Arizona

    4) Since 2000, colleges with the most NFL draft picks:
    141— Ohio State
    127— Alabama
    126— LSU
    119— Miami
    109— Florida, Florida State, Georgia, USC
    101— Oklahoma

    3) QB Tyler Shough has bolted Oregon for Texas Tech; Slough started all seven games for the Ducks last year, as Oregon won its 2nd consecutive Pac-12 title, but he was splitting time with Anthony Brown at the end of the season.

    2) Albert Pujols’ wife announced on Instagram that this season will be her husband’s last year in the major leagues; Albert Pujols has had a great career, hitting 662 home runs, a career OPS of .924, winning two World Series rings. He also earned roughly $345M in salary.

    No word from Pujols himself on his career plans, but five years after he retires, he’ll be going to Cooperstown.

    1) Golfer Tony Finau won the 2016 Puerto Rico Open, his only PGA Tour win; since then, he’s finished in the top ten of 37 other tournaments, earned $19.2M, but no more wins.

    During that time, 43 other golfers have won 2+ tournaments. $19.2M is damn good golfing, but you’d think he would have more than one tournament win.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, February 23


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-23-2021, 01:40 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Tuesday, February 23


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        Trend Report
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        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-23-2021, 01:41 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Tuesday, February 23


          Pacific @ San Diego
          Pacific (7-7, 4-6)
          — ranked #126 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #289
          — Experience: #37
          — Continuity: #146
          — Pacific lost six of their last eight games.
          — Tigers lost five of their six D-I road tilts.
          — Pacific has #276 eFG% (#308 on arc, #327 on foul line)

          San Diego (3-8, 2-5)
          — ranked #188 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #84
          — Experience: #66
          — Continuity: #194
          — San Diego is 1-8 vs top 200 teams.
          — Toreros lost two of their three home games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — San Diego is shooting 45.4% inside arc (#311)

          — Pacific won six of last seven series games.
          — Tigers won three of last four visits to San Diego.

          Saint Louis @ VCU
          Saint Louis (11-4, 4-3)
          — ranked #51 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #157
          — Experience: #152
          — Continuity: #23
          — Billikens won four of their last five games.
          — Saint Louis lost three of its last four road games.
          — Saint Louis is 1-4 when they allow 75+ points, 10-0 when they allow less.

          VCU (16-5, 9-3)
          — ranked #46 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #98
          — Experience: #303
          — Continuity: #280
          — VCU won six of its last seven games.
          — Rams have #18 eFG% defense in country.
          — VCU is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#7).

          — VCU won eight of last nine series games.
          — Billikens lost last five visits here, by 11-20-33-14-6 points.

          Illinois @ Michigan State
          Illinois (16-5, 12-3)
          — ranked #5 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #90
          — Experience: #219
          — Continuity: #44
          — Illini won its last seven games.
          — Illinois also won its last five road games.
          — Illini is shooting 39.3% on the arc (#10)

          Michigan State (11-9, 5-9)
          — ranked #65 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #136
          — Experience: #195
          — Continuity: #81
          — Spartans are 3-2 in last five games, after a 2-7 skid.
          — Michigan State split its last six home games.
          — Spartans have #242 eFG% in country.

          — Michigan State won six of last eight series games.
          — Illinois lost last three visits here, by 25-20-20 points.

          West Virginia @ TCU
          West Virginia (15-6, 8-4)
          — ranked #16 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #124
          — Experience: #154
          — Continuity: #34
          — West Virginia won six of its last eight games.
          — WVU won its last five road games (all long road trips).
          — Mountaineers won Saturday after trailing by 19 with 18:18 left.

          TCU (11-9, 4-7)
          — ranked #124 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #249
          — Experience: #316
          — Continuity: #150
          — TCU lost seven of its last nine games.
          — In last two games, Horned Frogs scored 55-54 points.
          — TCU is #245 at protecting ball, #296 at forcing turnovers.

          — Home side won last six series games.
          — West Virginia lost last three visits here, by 9-31-7 points.

          Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech
          Georgia Tech (11-8, 7-6)
          — ranked #40 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #214
          — Experience: #4
          — Continuity: #10
          — Yellow Jackets lost four of last five road games.
          — GT is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#39).
          — Yellow Jackets are 4-5 vs top 50 teams.

          Virginia Tech (14-4, 8-3)
          — ranked #35 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #281
          — Experience: #231
          — Continuity: #296
          — Va Tech hasn’t played in 17 days.
          — Hokies won six of their last eight games.
          — VT is 5-0 in ACC home games (3 wins by 7 or fewer points)

          — Hokies won six of last seven series games.
          — Georgia Tech lost last three visits here, by 2-1-8 points.

          Notre Dame @ Louisville
          Notre Dame (9-11, 6-8)
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #263
          — Experience: #47
          — Continuity: #125
          — Notre Dame is 6-3 in its last nine games, after 3-8 start.
          — ND is 4-11 in top 100 games.
          — Notre Dame is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#1 of 15) in ACC tilts.

          Louisville (11-5, 6-4)
          — ranked #53 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #284
          — Experience: #339
          — Continuity: #325
          — Louisville lost four of its last six games.
          — Cardinals are 8-1 SU at home (lost to Florida State)
          — Louisville is shooting 30.4% on the arc (#299).

          — Louisville won last four series games.
          — Notre Dame lost 71-64/67-64 in last two visits here.

          St John’s @ Villanova
          St John’s (14-9, 8-8)
          — ranked #68 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #13
          — Experience: #260
          — Continuity: #159
          — St John’s lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 6-0 run.
          — Red Storm won four of its last five road games.
          — St John’s is forcing turnovers 22.5% of time (#27)

          Villanova (14-3, 9-2)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #331
          — Experience: #125
          — Continuity: #7
          — Villanova is 3-2 in its last five games, after an 11-1 start.
          — Villanova is 6-0 at home in Big East (five wins by 8+)
          — Wildcats have #38 eFG% in country (#33 on arc, #71 inside arc)

          — Johnnies upset Villanova 70-59 at home February 3.
          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Johnnies lost 76-71/71-60 in last two visits here.

          Washington @ Arizona State
          Washington (5-17, 4-13)
          — ranked #170 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #78
          — Experience: #117
          — Continuity: #198
          — Huskies won two of last three games, after a 3-16 start.
          — Five of their last six losses were by 12+ points.
          — Washington is in bottom 15 in country on defensive boards.

          Arizona State (7-11, 4-8)
          — ranked #99 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #18
          — Experience: #129
          — Continuity: #142
          — ASU lost three of last four games, giving up 79.3 ppg.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Sun Devils won three of their last four home games.
          — ASU has #262 eFG% defense in country (#285 on arc)

          — Arizona State won four of last six series games.
          — Teams split last four series games played here.

          UConn @ Georgetown
          UConn (10-6, 7-6)
          — ranked #36 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #319
          — Experience: #141
          — Continuity: #164
          — UConn lost five of its last eight games.
          — Huskies are 9-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
          — UConn is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#9)

          Georgetown (7-10, 5-7)
          — ranked #92 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #94
          — Experience: #59
          — Continuity: #248
          — Hoyas won four of last six games, after a 3-8 start.
          — Georgetown won its last four home games.
          — Hoyas are turning ball over 22.4% of the time (#316).

          Oklahoma @ Kansas State
          Oklahoma (14-5, 9-4)
          — ranked #26 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #235
          — Experience: #67
          — Continuity: #56
          — Oklahoma won three in row, 8 of last 9 games.
          — Sooners are 3-3 on Big X road, with two 1-point wins.
          — Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#14).

          Kansas State (6-18, 2-13)
          — ranked #186 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #315
          — Experience: #335
          — Continuity: #287
          — Wildcats snapped a 13-game skid in last game Saturday.
          — K-State is turning ball over 22.8% of time, shooting 27.6% on arc in Big X play.
          — Wildcats lost their last seven home games.

          — K-State lost 76-50 in Norman January 19.
          — Wildcats are 8-5 in last thirteen series games.
          — Oklahoma lost its last eight visits to Manhattan.
          — Sooner coach Kruger went to college at K-State.

          Florida @ Auburn
          Florida (11-6, 7-5)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #131
          — Experience: #245
          — Continuity: #157
          — Gators won five of their last seven games overall.
          — Florida split its six SEC road games.
          — Gators are 11-2 when they score 70+ points, 0-4 when they do not.

          Auburn (11-12, 5-9)
          — ranked #63 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #34
          — Experience: #346
          — Continuity: #315
          — Auburn lost five of its last six games, giving up 81.3 ppg.
          — Tigers lost last two home games, by total of 7 points.
          — Auburn is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#299)

          — Florida won 12 of last 14 series games.
          — Auburn lost their last ten visits to Gainesville.

          Ole Miss @ Missouri
          Ole Miss (12-9, 7-7)
          — ranked #60 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #302
          — Experience: #96
          — Continuity: #215
          — Ole Miss won four of its last five games.
          — Rebels are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#6)
          — Rebels are shooting 28.5% on arc (#334)

          Missouri (14-6, 7-6)
          — ranked #44 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #154
          — Experience: #12
          — Continuity: #8
          — Mizzou lost three of its last four games.
          — Tigers allowed 80+ points in each of last four losses.
          — Mizzou is shooting 31.6% on arc (#267)

          — Rebels hammered Mizzou 80-59 at home, 13 days ago.
          — Ole Miss won 13 of last 15 series games.
          — Rebels won five of last six visits to Columbia.

          Kansas @ Texas
          Kansas (17-7, 11-5)
          — ranked #23 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #170
          — Experience: #262
          — Continuity: #117
          — Kansas won its last five games, allowing 56.4 ppg.
          — Jayhawks are 7-7 this season vs top 50 teams.
          — Big X opponents are shooting 44.5% inside arc (#1 of 10)

          Texas (13-6, 7-5)
          — ranked #21 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #151
          — Experience: #116
          — Continuity: #3
          — Texas lost five of its last eight games.
          — Longhorns blew 19-point 2nd half lead in last game, an 84-82 loss.
          — In that game, Texas was 4-10 on foul line (at home), Oklahoma 26-37

          — Texas waxed the Jayhawks 84-59 in Lawrence on January 2.
          — Kansas won 13 of last 15 series games.
          — Kansas won five of its last six visits to Austin.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-23-2021, 01:41 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            601AKRON -602 OHIO U
            AKRON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

            603PACIFIC -604 SAN DIEGO
            SAN DIEGO is 59-34 ATS (21.6 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.

            607MIAMI OHIO -608 C MICHIGAN
            MIAMI OHIO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they had 2 or less steals in the last 3 seasons.

            609BUFFALO -610 N ILLINOIS
            BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons.

            609BUFFALO -610 N ILLINOIS
            Jim Whitesell is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive conference games (Coach of BUFFALO)

            611MASSACHUSETTS -612 RICHMOND
            MASSACHUSETTS are 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games since 1997.

            615ILLINOIS -616 MICHIGAN ST
            MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

            617W VIRGINIA -618 TCU
            TCU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

            621GEORGIA TECH -622 VIRGINIA TECH
            VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

            625BOWLING GREEN -626 E MICHIGAN
            BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-23-2021, 01:42 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Tuesday, February 23


              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-23-2021, 01:42 PM.

              Comment

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