Announcement

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 09:16 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds for the PGA Tour event this week:
13-2— Dustin Johnson
9-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— McIlroy, Schauffele
18-1— DeChambeau, Thomas
20-1— Cantlay, Finau, Hatton, Holland
25-1— Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 500,899
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) There could be more of this to come; Western Kentucky will visit Houston Thursday night, in a hastily-arranged game designed to elevate both teams’ resume for the NCAA Tournament.

WKU is 15-4, and appears to be a bubble team at best if they don’t win the C-USA tournament. Houston is 18-3, but a win here would help improve their resume.

12) Oklahoma State 74, Texas Tech 69 OT:

Oklahoma State was 22-32 on foul line, Texas Tech 8-12.

Cade Cunningham was the #1 high school recruit in the country last year; he chose to go to Oklahoma State, which “coincidentally” had just hired his brother as an assistant coach.

All that is perfectly legal, has been done many times before. In the mid’80’s, Kansas hired Ed Manning as an assistant coach, then Ed’s son Danny led the Jayhawks to a national title. Ed Manning played in the NBA, but he was a truck driver when Kansas hired him.

During this game, ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla had the onions to say that the brother’s hiring wasn’t a “package deal.” In other words, Oklahoma State would’ve hired the brother as an assistant coach, even if Cade Cunningham was a badminton player. Have to call bullshit on that one.

11) By the way, Oklahoma State will be going on probation soon, just not this year, because the NCAA hasn’t gotten around to hearing OSU’s appeal of the NCAA’s verdict on a previous issue. By the time the Cowboys go on probation, Cade Cunningham will be playing in the NBA.

In June 2020, after an FBI bribery-and-corruption investigation implicated a former OSU assistant coach- he got a three-month prison sentence, the NCAA gave Oklahoma State a 3-year probation, a one-year postseason ban and the loss of three total scholarships over a three-year period.

10) Duke 85, Syracuse 71— There is a phrase called “addition by subtraction” where the group does better when one person leaves. Not necessarily that person’s fault, just that roles become more defined, there are fewer people looking over their shoulders to be subbed out.

Duke, in three games since Jalen Johnson skipped town:
— won 84-60 at Wake Forest
— won 66-65 over Virginia
— won 85-71 over Syracuse

Duke was 5-8 when Johnson played; they’re 6-0 in games he missed. Those are the facts; they are not in dispute. Decide for yourself why those facts are what they are.

9) There have been Celtic fans on social media bitching about coach Brad Stevens; Celtics are 15-15, lost six of their last nine games. To this point, they’re underachieving.

I’ll say this; of the 357 D-I college teams, how many would fire their coach if Stevens became available? He made the Final Four with a HORIZON LEAGUE TEAM (Butler wasn’t in the Big East yet). If he isn’t appreciated in Boston, someone with deep pockets surely will.

8) West Virginia won six of its last eight games; they’ve won five road games in a row, which is pretty amazing. West Virginia plays in the Big X; of the other nine teams in the league, closest town to West Virginia is Ames, Iowa, which according to Mapquest, is 872 miles away.

Thats their shortest conference road trip, 872 miles. Yikes.

7) South Carolina used to be an ACC school; they bolted the league in 1971, stayed independent in football until 1991, when they joined the SEC.

The basketball Gamecocks joined the old Metro Conference in 1983; that was a pretty good league, with Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, but it was basketball-only.

You wonder if they could do it all over again, if South Carolina would’ve stayed in the ACC.

6) Only one major league team ever has had a player wear 0 and another player wear 00 at the same time; the 1985 Blue Jays had Al Oliver (0) and Cliff Johnson (00).

This season, Marcus Stroman will wear 0 for the Mets; there were rumors that Taijuan Walker was going to wear 00, but he will wear 99 instead, joining Turk Wendell as Mets who wore #99.

5) Reliever Tyler Clippard is going to sign with Arizona; he must be good at packing:
2007— Bronx
2009-14— Washington
2015— Oakland/NY Mets
2016— Arizona/Bronx
2017— Bronx-White Sox-Houston
2018— Toronto
2019— Cleveland
2020— Minnesota
2021— Arizona

4) Since 2000, colleges with the most NFL draft picks:
141— Ohio State
127— Alabama
126— LSU
119— Miami
109— Florida, Florida State, Georgia, USC
101— Oklahoma

3) QB Tyler Shough has bolted Oregon for Texas Tech; Slough started all seven games for the Ducks last year, as Oregon won its 2nd consecutive Pac-12 title, but he was splitting time with Anthony Brown at the end of the season.

2) Albert Pujols’ wife announced on Instagram that this season will be her husband’s last year in the major leagues; Albert Pujols has had a great career, hitting 662 home runs, a career OPS of .924, winning two World Series rings. He also earned roughly $345M in salary.

No word from Pujols himself on his career plans, but five years after he retires, he’ll be going to Cooperstown.

1) Golfer Tony Finau won the 2016 Puerto Rico Open, his only PGA Tour win; since then, he’s finished in the top ten of 37 other tournaments, earned $19.2M, but no more wins.

During that time, 43 other golfers have won 2+ tournaments. $19.2M is damn good golfing, but you’d think he would have more than one tournament win.

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 09:17 AM

565ATLANTA -566 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

567DETROIT -568 ORLANDO
Steve Clifford is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games (Coach of ORLANDO)

571BOSTON -572 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

573SACRAMENTO -574 BROOKLYN
SACRAMENTO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

575PHILADELPHIA -576 TORONTO
PHILADELPHIA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

579PORTLAND -580 DENVER
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

581WASHINGTON -582 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 60-39 ATS (17.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 09:23 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 23

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 09:25 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 23

Atlanta @ Cleveland
Hawks (13-17)
— Atlanta lost five of seven, eight of last 11 games.
— Hawks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Nine of Atlanta’s ten games went over the total.

Cavaliers (10-21)
— Cleveland lost its last ten games (0-13 ATS last 13).
— Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.
— Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.

— Cavaliers won four of last five series games.
— Hawks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Cleveland.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Detroit @ Orlando
Pistons (8-22)
— Detroit lost eight of its last 11 games (0-3 ATS last three)
— Pistons are 2-6-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 8-4 in Detroit’s last 12 games.

Magic (13-18)
— Orlando won/covered its last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Magic is 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Pistons are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Orlando.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Sacramento @ Brooklyn
Kings (12-18)
— Sacramento is 0-7 SU/ATS in last seven games overall.
— Kings covered five of their last seven road games.
— Over is 6-0 in Sacramento’s last six games.

Nets (20-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last six games.
— Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— 21 of last 26 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play.

— Nets won/covered last five series games.
— Kings are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Brooklyn.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Golden State @ New York
Warriors (16-15)
— Golden State split its last ten games SU.
— Warriors are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Knicks (15-16)
— New York won four of last five games (7-2 ATS last nine).
— Knicks are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 4-2 in New York’s last six home games.

— Knicks won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
— Golden State is 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Manhattan.
— Five of last six series games went over.

Philadelphia vs Toronto (@ Tampa)
76ers (20-11)
— 76ers covered once in their last six games.
— Sixers are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four road games.
— Over is 7-3 in Philly’s last ten road games.

Raptors (16-15)
— Toronto won/covered four in row, nine of its last 12 games.
— Raptors are 5-8 ATS at home in Tampa this season.
— Under is 4-1 in last four Toronto games.

— Toronto won seven of last ten series games.
— 76ers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.

Boston @ Dallas
Celtics (15-15)
— Boston is 4-7 SU in its last 11 games.
— Celtics are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-4 in last 11 Boston games.

Mavericks (14-15)
— Mavericks won five of its last six games.
— Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in last 12 home games.
— Over is 13-2-1 in last 16 Dallas games.

— Celtics won seven of last eight series games.
— Boston covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
— Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games played here.

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Timberwolves (7-24)
— Timberwolves fired their coach Sunday; they have a new coach now.
— Minnesota lost eight of last nine, 18 of its last 22 games.
— Wolves are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Bucks (18-13)
— Milwaukee won last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Bucks are 10-6 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last seven home games

— Bucks won six of last seven series games.
— Minnesota is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Five of last seven series games stayed under.

Portland @ Denver
Trailblazers (18-12)
— Portland lost its last two games, after an 8-1 run.
— Blazers are 11-5 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 11-6 in Portland’s last 16 games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Nuggets (16-14)
— Denver lost three of last four games overall.
— Nuggets won five of their last six home games.
— Over is 6-3 in Denver’s last nine games.

— Nuggets won three of last four series games.
— Portland is 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Denver.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Washington @ LA Clippers
Wizards (11-17)
— Wizards won their last five games overall.
— Washington is 8-5 ATS on road this season.
— Under is 7-2 in Wizards’ last nine road games.

Clippers (22-10)
— Clippers won five of their last seven games overall.
— Clippers are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games at Staples.
— Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

— Clippers won five of last seven series games.
— Washington is 0-4 ATS in last four series games here.
— Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 09:27 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 23

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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Cleveland
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Detroit @ Orlando
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Sacramento @ Brooklyn
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Boston @ Dallas
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home

Golden State @ New York
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Golden State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Golden State

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Portland @ Denver
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Washington @ LA Clippers
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

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**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 10:06 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 23

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ATLANTA (13 - 17) at CLEVELAND (10 - 21) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 22) at ORLANDO (13 - 18) - 2/23/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (16 - 15) at NEW YORK (15 - 16) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (15 - 15) at DALLAS (14 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 462-378 ATS (+46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 65-50 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (12 - 18) at BROOKLYN (20 - 12) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
BROOKLYN is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 82-61 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 11) at TORONTO (16 - 15) - 2/23/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-8 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 13) - 2/23/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 300-361 ATS (-97.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (18 - 12) at DENVER (16 - 14) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (11 - 17) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 10) - 2/23/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 148-190 ATS (-61.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 10:10 AM

**Udog** · 02-23-2021, 12:36 PM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 23
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS (7.80 ppg) as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-14-1 ATS (-6.50 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 10-0-2 OU (11.46 ppg) as a road dog when they have lost at least four straight meetings vs the current opponent.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-12 OU (-14.25 ppg) at home off a home game in which Evan Fournier had the highest plus/minus on the team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/23

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/23

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