Announcement

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six of Atlanta Braves’ top prospects:
1) Cristian Pache, OF
2) Ian Anderson, P— He’s from a suburb of Albany
3) Drew Waters, OF
5) Bryce Wilson, P
9) Braden Shewmake, SS
11) Michael Harris, OF

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 499,911
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Happy birthday, Dad…….

13) I’ve become a fan of listening to podcasts on my phone; if there aren’t any good movies on TV late at night, after the games are over, then I’ll put music on or listen to a podcast.

I’m a little concerned that podcasts have replaced writing in a lot of places, because our society is lazy, and running your mouth is easier than typing out your thoughts, but still, I’ve enjoyed learning stuff from listening to people who are smarter than I am.

Word of caution: There A LOT OF PODCASTS out there, so pick/choose things that interest you. My main interests are sports and movies; here are a few podcasts I listen to:

— The Moment, with Brian Koppelman (one of writers of Billions)
— Eye on College Basketball, a CBS production which is self-explanatory.
— The Mind of Miles, with former Nebraska hoop coach Tim Miles, who will have himself a nice career on TV if he chooses that option. He is upbeat and can really talk.
— Truth and Basketball, with George Karl and another guy- they get some good guests. Listened to an episode with Julius Erving the other night.
— 6 Ways to Sunday— Rams’ GM Les Snead and his wife, Kara Henderson talk about interesting aspects of being an NFL GM that we might not usually think about.

Sports, politics, movies, music; its all out there. Its like eavesdropping on conversations, so if you choose smart, interesting people, you’ll get smarter while you’re being entertained.

12) Book recommendation: If you love pro basketball and you remember the ABA, then you have to read Loose Balls, which is basically an oral history of the ABA. The author interviewed a ton of people, then cut/pasted their answers and created this book, long before cut/paste was an actual thing.

Lot of great stories; some of it is obviously dated, seeing how the ABA ended 45 years ago, but the ABA is also highly underrated in basketball history. This book is worth reading.

11) Kid on Florida Atlantic’s baseball team hit two grand slams in one inning the other day, and they were his first two college at-bats. Not a bad way to start your career.

10) I’m in a 14-team fantasy baseball league; it is a dynasty league, so we have a 2-round draft every February, but otherwise keep our teams from year-to-year. This league has been going on since 2005; we’ve finished our draft already and now wait for spring training games to start this coming weekend. Every team gets four drop/adds per month.

I used to offer trades during the spring, but trading can be frustrating; only a couple guys will make deals that are fair exchanges. Few years ago, thought I had a trade wrapped up, but then the guy says, “One more thing……throw in deGrom and we’ve got a deal” Ummm, no bueno.

9) Colorado Rockies are taking grief over dealing Nolan Arenado, and the prospect of Trevor Story also getting traded sometime this year, before he hits free agency. Last time Colorado signed a major league free agent?

December 21, 2018, they signed Daniel Murphy. Are they trying to win?

8) More bad news for the Rockies Sunday; 35-year old 1B/OF Ian Desmond is opting out for the second year in a row, to spend more time with his family. Desmond must’ve taken good care of his money; he has passed on $13.5M by sitting out last year/this year. He is a free agent after this season; why would a hitter willingly leave Denver?

7) One of the pitfalls of wagering on college basketball is that lot of teams have very little depth, and a turned ankle or foul trouble to one guy can cripple a team.

— Notre Dame-Syracuse game Saturday, both teams played 7 guys (Syracuse played an 8th kid, but only for 3:00)
— South Alabama is on a roll, winning 8 in a row; they played six guys Saturday. Six!!!

Lot of work keeping up with who is healthy/who isn’t. It is way worse this year because of teams pausing for COVID and games getting re-scheduled. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

6) When you hear a basketball announcer on TV say “Eurostep” that’s his polite way of saying, “the guy just walked but the ref didn’t call it.”

5) Atlantic 14 tournament has been jockeyed around some:
— Tournament was moved up to March 3-6 in Richmond, all except the final.
— A-14 final will be March 14 in Dayton, which is close to Indiana, where the whole NCAA Tournament will be played. Trying to minimize any possible COVID issues.

4) St Bonaventure 69, Davidson 58:
— Bonnies are 11-3, 9-3 in conference.
— Get a map, and find Olean, NY; it is in middle of nowhere, on Southern Tier of NY.
— How does Bonnies’ coach Mark Schmidt not have a better job? He is a great coach.

Bonnies have 12 players, 2 freshmen, one sophomore, and NINE JUNIORS. They could be a really good team the next couple of years.

3) When I wrote tomorrow NBA’s page just before I started this page, was watching the Minnesota-Knicks game on TV. Knicks won a close game; just heard that after the game, the Timberwolves fired coach Ryan Saunders.

2) As if the last year hasn’t been weird enough, Saturday an NHL game was delayed for eight hours because the sun was out and the ice at the outdoor rink was melting. This was at the same time as the PGA event in Los Angeles being delayed because it was too windy out. Oy.

1) Today would’ve been my dad’s 95th birthday; he passed away six years ago, and I miss him every day. He was a quiet, patient person; somehow the patience didn’t get passed down to his son. ��

Back in the day, I wasn’t allowed to watch The Three Stooges on TV: my mother apparently thought I would start drilling people in the head with a wrench if I did, but when she went out, I would put The Three Stooges on (WSBK in Boston) and my dad would come in the room, shake his head at me, but five minutes later, he’d be laughing harder than I was. Every time.

My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodgers fan; he loved golf, the Mets/Knicks/Giants, going to the racetrack at Saratoga and being around his family, and we loved being around him. Happy birthday dad; wish you were here.

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 09:29 AM

553CHICAGO -554 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

555MIAMI -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
MIAMI is 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

557MEMPHIS -558 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

559PORTLAND -560 PHOENIX
PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

561CHARLOTTE -562 UTAH
UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

563WASHINGTON -564 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 09:31 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 22

Chicago @ Houston
Bulls (13-16)
— Chicago won three of its last four games SU.
— Bulls are 10-4 ATS on road this season.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Rockets (11-17)
— Houston lost its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Rockets covered once in their last seven home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Rockets won seven of last eight series games.
— Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Memphis @ Dallas
Grizzlies (13-13)
— Memphis is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
— Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
— Over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

Mavericks (13-15)
— Mavericks haven’t played in eight days.
— Dallas won four of its last five games; they’re 1-5 ATS in last six.
— Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Over is 12-2-1 in last 15 Dallas games.

— Mavericks won three of last four series games.
— Memphis covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Heat (13-17)
— Miami won six of its last nine games overall.
— Heat is 7-9 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Thunder (12-18)
— Thunder lost six of last eight games (1-3 ATS last four)
— OKC is 3-8-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Miami won three of last four series games.
— Heat is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Portland @ Phoenix
Trailblazers (18-11)
— Portland won nine of last 12 games, covered 10 of last 13.
— Blazers are 11-4 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 11-5 in Portland’s last 16 games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Suns (19-10)
— Phoenix won/covered 11 of its last 13 games.
— Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Portland won eight of last ten series games.
— Trailblazers covered once in last four visits to Phoenix.
— Four of last six series games went over.

Charlotte @ Utah
Hornets (14-15)
— Charlotte won four of its last six games.
— Hornets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 5-2 in Charlotte’s last seven road games.

Jazz (24-6)
— Utah won 20 of its last 22 games (19-2-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 8-2 ATS in its last ten home games.
— Over is 4-2 in Utah’s last six games overall.

— Jazz won last six series games.
— Hornets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Washington @ LA Lakers
Wizards (10-17)
— Wizards won their last four games overall.
— Washington is 7-5 ATS on road this season.
— Under is 7-1 in Wizards’ last seven road games.

Lakers (22-9)
— Lakers lost three of last four games, are 2-6 ATS in last eight.
— Lakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
— Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out here.

— Washington won five of last eight series games.
— Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 09:33 AM

NBA

Monday, February 22

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Houston
Chicago
Chicago is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago

Memphis @ Dallas
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Miami @ Oklahoma City
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Miami

Portland @ Phoenix
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Charlotte @ Utah
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Washington @ LA Lakers
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Washington

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**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 10:01 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 22

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CHICAGO (13 - 16) at HOUSTON (11 - 17) - 2/22/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (13 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 18) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (13 - 13) at DALLAS (13 - 15) - 2/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 272-218 ATS (+32.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (18 - 11) at PHOENIX (19 - 10) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PORTLAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (14 - 15) at UTAH (24 - 6) - 2/22/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 205-255 ATS (-75.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (10 - 17) at LA LAKERS (22 - 9) - 2/22/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-229 ATS (-69.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 10:05 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 22

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 10:17 AM

**Udog** · 02-22-2021, 11:33 AM

Hoop Trends for Monday February 22
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 14-0 ATS (6.79 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-9 ATS (-14.72 ppg) as a home favorite off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 10-0 OU (18.65 ppg) coming off a game as a favorite.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Phoenix (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-12-1 OU (-10.81 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win in which they shot at least 50% on three pointers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/22

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/22

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