Announcement

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 08:48 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six of Arizona Diamondbacks’ top prospects:
1) Corbin Carroll, OF
2) Daulton Varsho, C/OF
3) Geraldo Perdomo, SS
6) Slade Cecconi, P
9) Pavin Smith, 1B/OF
10) Corbin Martin, P

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 497,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Something to consider when filling out your brackets next month:

There have been only six national champions who didn’t win either:
a) the regular season title in their league, or
b) the conference tournament in their league. One or the other.

Last two teams to do it: UConn in 2014, Duke 2015.

12) North Carolina 99, Louisville 54:
— Louisville has had two COVID pauses; they lost by 37-45 points in their return games.
— Apparently Louisville requested this game be moved to Sunday, so they could have a couple more players eligible to play. North Carolina declined; will there be hard feelings?

11) West Virginia 84, Texas 82:
— Texas led 62-43 with 18:18 left in the game.
— Two Longhorn players had to be separated from each other during a timeout with 15:52 left to play. West Virginia outscored Texas 34-18 the rest of the game.
— Texas is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— West Virginia was 26-37 on the foul line, Longhorns 4-10.

10) Arizona 81, USC 72:
— Loss snaps Trojans’ 7-game win streak.
— Arizona has five starters, from five different countries.

9) South Alabama 56, Appalachian State 54:
— Jaguars have won 8 in a row, the last seven by 6 or fewer points.
— South Alabama played 6 guys in this game; that almost never happens.
— Kayo Goncalves was 6-16 from floor; all 3-pointers. No foul shots.

8) Michigan State 78, Indiana 71:
— Spartans are 11-9 overall, 5-9 in the Big 14.
— Michigan State hasn’t missed the NCAA’s since 1997.

7) Upsets of the Day (it was an upsetting day):
— George Mason (+11.5) 79, VCU 76 OT
— DePaul (+11.5) 88, St John’s 83
— Cal-Fullerton (+9.5) 67, Cal-Irvine 64
— Eastern Illinois (+8.5) 76, Austin Peay 69
— Cal-San Diego (+7.5) 83, Cal-Riverside 82
— Marist (+7.5) 51, Saint Peter’s 50
— Arizona (+7.5) 81, USC 72
— Kentucky (+7.5) 70, Tennessee 55

6) Washington State 85, Stanford 76, 3OT:
— Stanford didn’t score in the third OT.
— Wazzu trailed by 8 in 2nd half; they were 13-40 on the arc, 14-35 inside arc.
— Costly loss for Stanford, which is squarely on the bubble.

5) Syracuse 75, Notre Dame 67:
— Notre Dame was up 59-39 with 16:49 left in the game.
— Buddy Boeheim (yes, his son) scored 29 points.

4) Hornets 102, Warriors 100— Draymond Green got two technicals with 0:09 left, and Golden State up two; this is not ideal. Charlotte made the two foul shots, tied the game, then won it on a jumper from the corner as time expired.

Golden State isn’t a great team anymore; they’re 16-15, a marginal playoff team. Giving away games like this one is damaging.

3) LSU 104, Auburn 80— Auburn is #346 in experience, #34 in tempo. They’re fun to watch, but they’ve been getting pounded, giving up 80+ points in seven of their last eight games.

This game had a total of 166, the biggest total in a college game this season, and it went over, by 18 points. ESPN’s Dalen Cuff was openly talking about the total on air during the game, which is unusual. Seems like ESPN is trying very hard to promote their show Daily Wager.

2) Baylor is 17-0 and is heavily favored to make the Final Four, but they haven’t played in three weeks; how many games will Baylor need to play before the tournament, to get their legs back, if they’re going to make the Final Four?

NCAA Tournament starts March 18-19, that’s 25 days from now.

1) Selection Sunday is three weeks away; I have no idea what’s going to happen between now and then, and neither do you. This is unchartered territory; games will be added to schedules on the fly, some teams won’t want to add games, because they’re secure in the Field of 68.

One thing to remember going forward; every player can come back and play next season; no one loses any eligibility. If you think this regular season has been weird, wait until the transfer season begins this spring.

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 08:50 AM

535BOSTON -536 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

537PHILADELPHIA -538 TORONTO
PHILADELPHIA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

539DETROIT -540 ORLANDO
Steve Clifford is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) after scoring 120 points or more (Coach of ORLANDO)

539DETROIT -540 ORLANDO
ORLANDO is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) after scoring 120 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

541OKLAHOMA CITY -542 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

543MINNESOTA -544 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

545DENVER -546 ATLANTA
DENVER is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

547BROOKLYN -548 LA CLIPPERS
BROOKLYN is 30-13 ATS (15.7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

549SACRAMENTO -550 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 08:52 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 21

Boston @ New Orleans
Celtics (15-14)
— Boston is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
— Celtics are 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten Boston games.

Pelicans (12-17)
— New Orleans lost five of its last six games overall.
— Pelicans are 3-4 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 14-2-2 in their last 18 games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Celtics are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Oklahoma City @ Cleveland
Thunder (11-18)
— Thunder lost six of last seven games (0-3 ATS last three)
— OKC covered six of its last eight road games.
— Over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games.

Cavaliers (10-20)
— Cleveland lost its last nine games (0-12 ATS last 12).
— Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in last five home games.
— Four of Cavaliers’ last six games went over the total.

— Thunder won six of last seven series games.
— OKC covered three of last five visits to Cleveland.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Detroit @ Orlando
Pistons (8-21)
— Detroit lost seven of its last ten games, covered four of last seven.
— Pistons are 2-5-3 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 7-4 in Detroit’s last 11 games.

Magic (12-18)
— Orlando won its last two games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Magic is 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Detroit won four of last six series games.
— Pistons are 2-4 ATS in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Philadelphia @ Toronto
76ers (20-10)
— 76ers are 8-4 in their last dozen games.
— Sixers are 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
— Over is 4-1 in Philly’s last five games overall.

Raptors (15-15)
— Toronto won/covered eight of its last 11 games.
— Raptors are 9-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Toronto games.

— Raptors won six of last nine series games.
— 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four road series games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

Minnesota @ New York
Timberwolves (7-23)
— Minnesota lost seven of last eight, 17 of its last 21 games.
— Wolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.

Knicks (14-16)
— New York won three of last four games (6-2 ATS last eight).
— Knicks are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Over is 4-1 in New York’s last five home games.

— Minnesota won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Timberwolves are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Denver @ Atlanta
Nuggets (16-13)
— Denver is 4-2 SU in its last six games overall.
— Nuggets lost five of last six road games (1-5 ATS)
— Over is 10-5 in Denver’s last 15 games.

Hawks (12-17)
— Atlanta lost five of six, eight of last ten games.
— Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
— Eight of Atlanta’s nine games went over the total.

— Hawks won seven of last ten series games.
— Nuggets covered once in last five visits to Atlanta
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Nets (19-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last five games.
— Nets are 4-0 ATS in last four road games.
— 21 of last 25 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play.

Clippers (22-9)
— Clippers won five of their last six games overall.
— Clippers are 6-4 ATS in last ten games at Staples.
— Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

— Clippers won seven of last ten series games.
— Nets covered four of last five series games played here.
— Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Sacramento @ Milwaukee
Kings (12-17)
— Sacramento lost its last six games SU.
— Kings covered five of their last six road games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four road games.

Bucks (17-13)
— Milwaukee lost five of their last six games.
— Bucks are 9-6 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 3-1 in Milwaukee’s last four games

— Bucks won last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
— Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Last ten series games went over the total.

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 08:54 AM

NBA

Sunday, February 21

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Trend Report
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Boston @ New Orleans
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 13 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Cleveland
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Minnesota @ New York
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Orlando
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Denver @ Atlanta
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 16 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Sacramento @ Milwaukee
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

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**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 10:20 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 21

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BOSTON (15 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 17) - 2/21/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 65-49 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 10) at TORONTO (15 - 15) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-8 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 21) at ORLANDO (12 - 18) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 55-85 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 18) at CLEVELAND (10 - 20) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-43 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-12 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 23) at NEW YORK (14 - 16) - 2/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (16 - 13) at ATLANTA (12 - 17) - 2/21/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 165-125 ATS (+27.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (19 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (22 - 9) - 2/21/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 81-61 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (12 - 17) at MILWAUKEE (17 - 13) - 2/21/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 299-361 ATS (-98.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 10:26 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, February 21

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 10:28 AM

**Udog** · 02-21-2021, 10:30 AM

Hoop Trends for Sunday February 21
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Atlanta (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 11-0 ATS (11.77 ppg) off a game as a dog where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at New York (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-13-1 ATS (-6.93 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was the high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Orlando (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 14-0 OU (10.96 ppg) after they had at least 30 assists last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at New York (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-15 OU (-15.47 ppg) after Julius Randle had at least 5 turnovers last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/21

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/21

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