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Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/19

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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, February 19

    Good Luck on day #50 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    There are worse crimes than burning books. One of them is not reading them.



    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds to win the NBA title:
    +220— LA Lakers
    +400— Brooklyn
    +550— LA Clippers
    +750— Milwaukee
    +1200— Utah
    +1400— Philadelphia

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 493,113
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff on a snowy night…….

    13) Eagles traded QB Carson Wentz to Indianapolis, for a 3rd round pick in April’s draft and a 2nd round pick in 2022, which could become a 1st round pick if Wentz plays well.

    Eagles won a Super Bowl since drafting Wentz, but he got hurt late in the Super Bowl season and Nick Foles led the team to their playoff wins. Wentz went 14-26 ATS the last three years; he will be reunited with Frank Reich, one of his OC’s in Philadelphia.

    12) Colts’ starting QB’s over the last three years, and next year:
    2018: Andrew Luck
    2019: Jacoby Brissett
    2020: Philip Rivers
    2021: Carson Wentz

    11) From 2009-2016, there were 22 quarterbacks taken in the first round of the draft; of those 22 QB’s, none of them are still on the team that drafted them. Zero.

    10) This list will grow: NFL teams that will have a new starting QB in September:
    — Rams (Stafford)
    — Lions (Goff)
    — Colts (Wentz)
    — Eagles (Hurts)
    — Saints (????)

    9) Phillies catcher JT Realmuto signed a five-year, $115M contract this winter, then broke his right thumb on the first day of spring training. Not good. He is expected to miss a month, could be ready for Opening Day.

    8) They’re really going to have the dunk contest at halftime of the All-Star Game? How long does the freakin’ dunk contest take? Has to be close to an hour, yes?

    You’re going to tell the highest-paid players in the NBA that they have to sit around for an hour, then play ball for another half? What if one of them gets hurt? How is this a good idea? Have the dunk contest after the game- people who care about it will still watch.

    7) When I’m watching basketball this season and coaches are wearing masks, if the guy has a suit and tie on, it looks weird. Like it better when coaches wear casual clothes.

    6) Caesars Sportsbook posted the Dodgers’ win total this season at 104.5, the highest total for any team over the last 32 seasons.

    Pittsburgh’s total is 58, the lowest total since the 1993 Marlins.

    5) Minor league baseball teams will play 6-game series this season, to reduce travel and save money. Season will also last 2-3 weeks longer, ending in late September, which will reduce the amount of late season call-ups.

    4) Weird moment in the Kentucky-Vanderbilt game Wednesday night; Kentucky had the ball out of bounds under, but just before the ref hands the kid the ball to start play, they realize Kentucky has six guys on the court. Technical foul, not good. Doesn’t happen very often.

    The benches in Vanderbilt’s arena are on the baseline, which is weird and probably added to the confusion, but it still wasn’t good. Kentucky led by 17 early, hung on and won by 3.

    3) Klay Thompson finished 9th in All-Star voting among Western Conference guards; he’s played as much as I have this year. How do you vote for a guy to make the All-Star team who hasn’t played a second this season?

    2) I had forgotten that Tony LaRussa is managing the White Sox this season; they’ve improved their roster and big things are expected. LaRussa is 76 years old; he hasn’t managed in 10 years.

    1) Second day of spring training was a better one for my Oakland A’s; they signed 1B/DH Mitch Moreland, P Trevor Rosenthal. After trading DH Khris Davis, they needed another bat.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Friday, February 19


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-19-2021, 02:04 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, February 19


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-19-2021, 02:04 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Friday, February 19


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
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          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-19-2021, 02:05 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Friday, February 19


            Wright State @ Northern Kentucky
            Wright State (17-4, 15-3)
            — ranked #53 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #66
            — Experience: #289
            — Continuity: #91
            — Wright State won its last nine games, scoring 86.4 ppg.
            — Raiders won last four road games, all by 20+ points.
            — Wright State has #7 eFG% defense in country.

            Northern Kentucky (12-9, 10-6)
            — ranked #205 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #326
            — Experience: #303
            — Continuity: #171
            — NKU won seven of their last eight games.
            — Norse is #21 in country on offensive boards, but #330 on defensive end.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — NKU has played schedule #268; they’re 0-2 vs top 100 teams.

            — Wright State won five of last seven series games.
            — Teams split last four meetings played here.

            Monmouth @ Iona
            Monmouth (10-5, 10-4)
            — ranked #179 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #5
            — Experience: #75
            — Continuity: #39
            — Hawks won seven of their last eight games.
            — Monmouth is shooting 38.5% on arc (#21).
            — This is Monmouth’s first game in 13 days.

            Iona (6-5, 4-3)
            — ranked #222 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #220
            — Experience: #189
            — Continuity: #283
            — Iona is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#298)
            — Gaels split their four home games this season.
            — Iona’s opponents score 26% of their points on foul line (#5)

            — Monmouth won six of last nine series games.
            — Hawks won four of last five visits to New Rochelle.

            Hawaii @ Cal-Northridge
            Hawaii (7-7, 5-7)
            — ranked #193 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #226
            — Experience: #198
            — Continuity: #319
            — Rainbows won two of three games on the mainland.
            — Hawaii is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
            — Hawaii is shooting 35.7% on the arc (#83)

            Cal-Northridge (7-8, 3-5)
            — ranked #296 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #93
            — Experience: #296
            — Continuity: #224
            — First game in 13 days for the Matadors.
            — Northridge has #322 eFG% defense in country.
            — Matadors lost five of last seven games overall.

            — Teams split last six series games.
            — Rainbows won five of last six visits to Northridge.

            Saint Louis @ Dayton
            Saint Louis (11-3, 4-2)
            — ranked #35 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #171
            — Experience: #152
            — Continuity: #23
            — Billikens won last four games, giving up 54 ppg.
            — Saint Louis lost two of its three road games (won @ Fordham).
            — Billikens are forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#59).

            Dayton (11-7, 7-6)
            — ranked #84 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #316
            — Experience: #105
            — Continuity: #237
            — Dayton lost three of its last four games.
            — Flyers are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#278)
            — Dayton lost in 2OT Tuesday, after being up 18 with 9:44 left.

            — Dayton won 76-71 at Saint Louis January 26.
            — Flyers won last four series games.
            — Billikens lost five of last six visits to Dayton.

            Akron @ Ball State
            Akron (13-4, 11-3)
            — ranked #100 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #158
            — Experience: #109
            — Continuity: #238
            — Zips won three in row, nine of their last ten games.
            — Utes are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 7 or fewer points.
            — Utah is forcing turnovers 20.7% of the time (#80)

            Ball State (10-10, 6-8)
            — ranked #165 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #87
            — Experience: #124
            — Continuity: #119
            — Ball State lost five of its last six games.
            — Cardinals lost three of their five MAC home games.
            — Ball State is turning ball over 20.1% of time (#232)

            — Ball State won three of last four series games.
            — Zips lost 111-106/57-56 in last two visits to Muncie.

            Old Dominion @ UAB
            Old Dominion (11-5, 7-3)
            — ranked #150 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #217
            — Experience: #34
            — Continuity: #33
            — Monarchs won seven of their last nine games overall.
            — Monarchs are shooting 27.9% on arc (#339), have #262 eFG%.
            — Old Dominion split its eight road games.

            UAB (16-4, 9-3)
            — ranked #92 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #248
            — Experience: #32
            — Continuity: #161
            — Blazers lost last two games, after 16-2 start.
            — UAB is 7-0 in C-USA home games, with 6 wins by 10+ points.
            — Blazers are forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#13)

            — UAB won five of last seven series games.
            — Monarchs lost 64-50/72-63 in last two visits to Birmingham.

            Cal-Irvine @ Cal-Fullerton
            Cal-Irvine (11-7, 7-3)
            — ranked #116 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #260
            — Experience: #338
            — Continuity: #180
            — Anteaters lost three of their last five games.
            — Irvine split its four Big West road games.
            — Anteaters are shooting only 45.6% inside arc (#302)

            Cal-Fullerton (5-6, 4-6)
            — ranked #277 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #39
            — Experience: #275
            — Continuity: #315
            — This is Fullerton’s first game in 20 days.
            — Titans are 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
            — Fullerton split its six Big West home games.

            — Irvine won last five series games.
            — Anteaters won last three visits here, by 5-17-13 points.

            Cal-Riverside @ UC San Diego
            Cal-Riverside (9-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #121 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #251
            — Experience: #88
            — Continuity: #178
            — Riverside won five of its last seven games.
            — Highlanders won four of their six road games.
            — Riverside has #3 eFG% defense in country.

            UC San Diego (4-7, 1-7)
            — ranked #230 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #86
            — Experience: #110
            — Continuity: #???
            — Tritons are 1-7 vs D-I teams.
            — UCSD is turning ball over 23.7% of time (#333)
            — Tritons get 41.2% of their points on 3-pointers (#9).

            South Dakota State @ North Dakota State
            South Dakota State (12-5, 6-2)
            — ranked #122 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #38
            — Experience: #237
            — Continuity: #8
            — Jackrabbits won six of their last eight games.
            — South Dakota State is shooting 40.7% on arc (#4)
            — Jackrabbits won three of their four true road games.

            North Dakota State (11-9, 9-3)
            — ranked #154 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #343
            — Experience: #265
            — Continuity: #244
            — This is North Dakota State’s first game in 13 days.
            — Bison won five of their six home games.
            — ND State is 11-4 in last 15 games, since starting season 0-5.

            — Jackrabbits beat ND State 77-75 on neutral floor December 10.
            — South Dakota State won seven of last eight series games.
            — Teams split last four series games played here.

            Toledo @ Buffalo
            Toledo (17-6, 12-3)
            — ranked #65 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #163
            — Experience: #170
            — Continuity: #205
            — Toledo won six of its last eight games.
            — Rockets are 10-0 in MAC if they allow fewer than 81 points.
            — Toledo has #41 eFG% (37.9% on arc, #30) in country.

            Buffalo (9-6, 7-4)
            — ranked #85 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #11
            — Experience: #38
            — Continuity: #53
            — Buffalo won its last three games, giving up 58.7 ppg.
            — Bulls have #22 eFG% defense in country.
            — Buffalo is grabbing 35% of its missed shots (#17)

            — Buffalo won last five series games.
            — Toledo lost 104-94/110-80 in last two visits here.

            Utah State @ Boise State
            Utah State (14-6, 11-3)
            — ranked #52 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #114
            — Experience: #257
            — Continuity: #146
            — Aggies lost three of their last five games.
            — Opponents are shooting 42.7% inside arc (#5)
            — Utah State is grabbing 34.9% of their missed shots (#20)

            Boise State (17-4, 13-3)
            — ranked #60 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #138
            — Experience: #69
            — Continuity: #243
            — Boise is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 13-1 start.
            — Broncos are 8-0 in MW home games, with six wins by 11+ points.
            — Boise beat Utah State 79-70 here Wednesday night.

            — Utah State won four of last six series games.
            — Aggies lost five of their last six visits to Boise.

            Cal-Bakersfield @ UCSB
            Cal-Bakersfield (14-7, 8-4)
            — ranked #138 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #330
            — Experience: #1
            — Continuity: #17
            — Roadrunners won last three games, giving up 59.3 ppg.
            — Bakersfield has #299 eFG% in country.
            — Luckily for them, they’re grabbing 39% of their missed shots (#3)

            UCSB (14-3, 8-2)
            — ranked #82 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #279
            — Experience: #26
            — Continuity: #58
            — UCSB won its last ten games; two of last three were in OT.
            — Gauchos are forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#50)
            — UCSB won all five of its home games this season; last one was January 16.

            UNLV @ San Jose State
            UNLV (13-8, 9-6)
            — ranked #147 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #281
            — Experience: #264
            — Continuity: #288
            — UNLV lost six of its seven true road games.
            — Rebels have #281 eFG% in country.
            — UNLV is 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

            San Jose State (5-13, 3-11)
            — ranked #320 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #28
            — Experience: #221
            — Continuity: #249
            — San Jose is 3-2 in last five games, after an 0-11 start vs D-I foes.
            — This is Spartans’ first game in San Jose this season- they had been using neutral sites.
            — San Jose has #332 eFG% in country (#288 on arc, #329 inside arc)

            — UNLV won last six series games.
            — Rebels won last three visits here, by 6-7-23 points.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-19-2021, 02:05 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              823CANISIUS -824 FAIRFIELD
              CANISIUS are 78-41 ATS (32.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

              825IUPUI -826 YOUNGSTOWN ST
              IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when the total is 150 to 159.5 in the last 3 seasons.

              829OAKLAND -830 WI-MILWAUKEE
              WI-MILWAUKEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

              835TROY -836 GEORGIA ST
              GEORGIA ST is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.

              837WRIGHT ST -838 N KENTUCKY
              WRIGHT ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

              837WRIGHT ST -838 N KENTUCKY
              WRIGHT ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

              843CAL POLY-SLO -844 LONG BEACH ST
              CAL POLY-SLO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

              845MONMOUTH -846 IONA
              IONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

              847SOUTHERN MISS -848 FLA INTERNATIONAL
              SOUTHERN MISS are 41-19 ATS (20.1 Units) after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games since 1997.

              849HAWAII -850 CS-NORTHRIDGE
              CS-NORTHRIDGE is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-19-2021, 02:06 PM.

              Comment

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