Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/18

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, February 18

Good Luck on day #49 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Genesis Invitational golf event:
6-1— Dustin Johnson
12-1— Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
14-1— Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele
16-1— Bryson DeChambeau
18-1— Patrick Cantlay
22-1— Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 488,352
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) San Diego Padres gave 22-year old SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a 14-year, $340M contract last night, a lot of $$$$ to give to a young man who has played in 143 big league games, over two years. Tatis has .301 with 39 homers, 98 RBI over those two seasons- big production.

I have to remind myself that San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, so even though they’ve never won much, they are a big market team.

12) Do casinos post fake bets for publicity? The other day, BetMGM posted that a $10,000 bet was made on the Washington Wizards to win the NBA title this season. The bet would pay off $5M if hit it, but it ain’t going to hit. There are people who are rich/stupid enough to just throw away serious money?

Right now, Washington is 9-17, three games out of a playoff spot; I have a better shot at dating Gina Gershon than the Wizards have at winning the NBA title this year (stop laughing).

11) While I wait for Ms Gershon to contact me, the Baseball America Prospects Handbook came in the mail Tuesday, so I have a lot of reading to do. Each team’s top 30 prospects are profiled, it helps me a lot during fantasy baseball season.

Had to be tougher boo to put together this year, since there was no minor league season last year. Prospects who played at the teams’ site last summer did so under a cloud of secrecy.

10) The way it stands now, Ben Roethlisberger is a $41.2M salary cap hit for the Steelers next fall; they’re expected to re-do his contract somehow. Seems like March is going to be a wild time for the league and a lot of its quarterbacks, even some famous ones.

If they release Big Ben, he would still be a $21M+ cap hit; who could they get that is better?

9) Nebraska-Illinois football game was supposed to be played in Ireland August 28; they’ll play in Champaign instead.

8) Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder is going to coach the West All-Stars in the March 7 All-Star Game; he’ll be the first Jazz coach since Frank Layden in 1984 to coach an All-Star team.

7) Bulls 105, Pistons 102:
— In his last six games, Chicago’s Zach LaVine is 52-94 inside the arc, 29-50 outside the arc.
— LaVine is scoring 28+ ppg; he had 37 in this game. This is a young man who scored 9 ppg in his only year of college, at UCLA. He has worked really hard to become a skilled scorer.

6) VCU 68, Richmond 56— Spiders hadn’t played a D-I game in 22 days, and it showed. These two local rivals meet again on March 6.

5) USC 89, Arizona State 71— Trojans have won 7 in row, 13 of last 14 games; the Mobley brothers work great together inside. Plus, the Trojans made 11-20 3-pointers.

4) NC State 74, Pitt 73
— To borrow a hockey term, this was a chippy game, several technical fouls.
— Both teams shot 60%+ inside the arc.
— Pitt star Champagne was 3-11 from floor, 11-16 on foul line.
— Wolfpack has won 11 games in a row over Pitt.

3) Kentucky 82, Vanderbilt 78
— Wildcats’ last three games were decided by 1-2-4 points.
— Calipari is milking every drop he can out of a sub-par roster; they led this game 25-8 and were still life-and-death to win.
— Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew after he went 16-38 in three SEC seasons; Jerry Stackhouse is now 5-24 in SEC play in his 2nd season at Vandy. Winning at Vandy is a tough job.

2) Apparently, some of the NBA’s best players are queasy about participating in NBA-sponsored public service announcements to people accepting the coronavirus vaccine.

This is above my salary grade, but for the love of Pete, listen to the scientists; they’re really smart people who are a very diverse group of people. They won very hard to find medicines that will help us stay healthy.

Lot of people might go get a vaccine because an NBA player endorses it, and those people would then have a better chance of staying healthy, and so would the rest of us.

1) First day of spring training was a rough day for my Oakland A’s; P Frankie Montas tested positive for COVID, C Sean Murphy has a collapsed lung. Other than that, things were great.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 18

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 18

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 18

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 18

Houston @ Wichita State
Houston (17-2, 11-2)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #127
— Houston is playing its first game in eight days.
— Cougars are grabbing 40.1% of their missed shots (#1)
— Houston has #1 eFG% defense in country.

Wichita State (12-4, 8-2)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #189
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #235
— Wichita won four in row, 8 of last 10 games.
— Shockers won all five of their AAC home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wichita has #307 eFG% in country (#246 on arc, #314 inside arc).

— Shockers lost 70-63 in Houston January 6.
— Houston won last six series games.
— Teams split two AAC meetings played here.

Iowa @ Wisconsin
Iowa (15-6, 9-5)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #52
— Iowa lost four of its last seven games, but won last two.
— Hawkeyes’ last three losses were by 5-4-2 points.
— Iowa is shooting 39.6% on arc (#11)

Wisconsin (15-7, 9-6)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers’ last 8 games: WLWLWLWL
— Wisconsin split its last four home games.
— Badgers are shooting 47.9% inside arc (#243)

— Teams split last six series games.
— Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Madison.

Illinois State @ Bradley
Illinois State (6-15, 3-12)
— ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #261
— Redbirds lost seven of their last eight games.
— Two of their three MVC wins have come on road.
— Illinois State is shooting 47.6% inside the arc (#257)

Bradley (11-13, 5-10)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #216
— Bradley lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Braves are 1-5 in MVC games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Bradley lost three of its last four home games.

— Bradley lost 71-56 at Illinois State January 20.
— Braves won five of last six series games.
— State lost last three visits here, by 12-17-12 points.

Ohio State @ Penn State
Ohio State (11-4, 4-2)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #176
— Buckeyes won six in row, nine of last ten games.
— Ohio State won its last five road games.
— In their last five games, Buckeyes scored 80.4 ppg.

Penn State (7-10, 4-9)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #49
— Penn State lost their last two games, by total of 3 points.
— Nittany Lions won four of their last five home games.
— Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#313)

— Penn State lost 83-79 in Columbus January 27.
— Nittany Lions won four of last seven series games.
— Home side won last five series games.
— Penn State lost 74-70/106-74 in last two visits here.

Utah @ Oregon State
Utah (9-8, 6-7)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #16
— Utah won three of its last four games.
— Utes are 2-5 in Pac-12 games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Utah is forcing turnovers 20.7% of the time (#80)

Oregon State (10-10, 6-8)
— ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #162
— OSU lost its last three games, by 29-9-2 points.
— Beavers won their last four home tilts.
— Oregon State is shooting 44.1% inside arc (#325)

— Oregon State won five of last eight series games.
— Utah lost three of last four visits to Corvallis.

Rutgers @ Michigan
Rutgers (12-7, 8-7)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #9
— Rutgers won five of their last six games.
— Knights are shooting 32.5% on arc (#233), 61.6% on line (#339)
— Rutgers is getting 59% of its points inside arc (#16)

Michigan (14-1, 9-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #154
— Michigan won at Wisconsin Sunday, its first game in 23 days.
— Michigan’s only loss: 75-57 at Minnesota January 16.
— Opponents are shooting 40.3% inside arc (#1)

— Michigan is 8-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
— Scarlet Knights are 0-4 in Ann Arbor, losing by 10-11-15-6 points.

Arizona @ UCLA
Arizona (14-7, 8-7)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #327
— Arizona lost four of its last six games.
— Wildcats are 1-6 this season vs top 90 teams.
— Arizona is a top 30 rebounding team in country.

UCLA (14-5, 10-3)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #338
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #15
— Bruins lost three of their last five games.
— UCLA is shooting 36.2% inside arc (#64)
— UCLA is 6-0 in Pac-12 home games, with four wins by 5 or fewer points.

— UCLA won first meeting 81-76 in Tucson January 9.
— Bruins won last four series games.
— Arizona lost 90-69/69-64 in last two visits to Westwood.

LMU @ San Francisco
LMU (10-6, 5-3)
— ranked #115 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #221
— LMU won its last three games, by 25-4-3 points.
— Lions are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#325).
— LMU had two starters play 40/38 minutes in Tuesday’s 76-73 win at Santa Clara.

San Francisco (10-10, 4-6)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #165
— USF lost its last three games, scoring 64.0 ppg.
— Dons lost their last four home games.
— Half the shots USF has taken were 3-pointers (35%, #112).

— USF lost 68-60 at LMU January 10.
— Dons won four of last six series games.
— Lions lost three of last four visits to USF.

Saint Mary’s @ Gonzaga
Saint Mary’s (11-6, 2-4)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #220
— Saint Mary’s lost five of its last eight games.
— Gaels won two of their three road games, losing at Pepperdine.
— Gaels’ last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points.

Gonzaga (20-0, 11-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #180
— Five of Gonzaga’s last six wins were by 18+ points.
— Zags are shooting 64.5% inside arc.
— This is Gonzaga’s first home game since January 23.

— Gonzaga won 73-59 in Moraga January 16.
— Zags won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Saint Mary’s lost last two visits here, 94-46/86-76.

San Diego State @ Fresno State
San Diego State (15-4, 9-3)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #155
— Aztecs won their last six games, all by 22+ points.
— This is San Diego State’s first game in eight days.
— Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#19)

Fresno State (9-7, 7-7)
— ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #303
— Continuity: #300
— Fresno won four of its last five games.
— Bulldogs are turning ball over 22.0% of time (#310)
— Bulldogs are 0-6 vs top 100 teams (all six losses by 14+).

— Fresno won five of last eight series games.
— Aztecs lost four of last six visits to Fresno.

California @ Washington State
California (8-15, 3-13)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #95
— California lost seven of their last eight games.
— Opponents are shooting 38.9% on the arc (#332)
— Bears are 6-4 vs teams outside the top 100 this season.

Washington State (12-10, 5-10)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #204
— Coogs lost three of their last four games.
— Wazzu is turning ball over 21.6% of the time (#295)
— Coogs lost five of their last six home games.

— Coogs won 71-60 in Berkeley January 7.
— Cal won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Pullman.

Colorado @ Oregon
Colorado (16-6, 10-5)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #33
— Continuity: #92
— Colorado won nine of its last 12 games.
— Buffs split their last six road games.
— Colorado is shooting 37.5% on arc (#36)

Oregon (12-4, 7-3)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #188
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #294
— Oregon won its last three games, scoring 74.7 ppg.
— Ducks lost two of their last three home games.
— Colorado shot 61.1% inside arc in teams’ first meeting.

— Ducks lost 79-72 in Boulder January 7.
— Colorado won three of last four series games.
— Buffs lost their last five visits to Eugene.

Stanford @ Washington
Stanford (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #93
— Experience: #291
— Continuity: #76
— Stanford won three of its last four games overall.
— Stanford lost three of its last four road games.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#277)

Washington (4-16, 3-12)
— ranked #162 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #193
— Washington lost five of its last six games.
— Huskies lost last three home games, by 15-15-3 points.
— Washington is in bottom 15 in country on the defensive boards (#345)

— Huskies lost first meeting 91-75 in Santa Cruz January 7.
— Stanford won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

[Udog]

737HOUSTON -738 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 74-41 ATS (28.9 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

739IOWA -740 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

741WM & MARY -742 ELON
WM & MARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

743ILLINOIS ST -744 BRADLEY
ILLINOIS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

747OHIO ST -748 PENN ST
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
Mark Pope is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 (Coach of BYU)

749BYU -750 PACIFIC
BYU is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

751JACKSONVILLE ST -752 BELMONT
JACKSONVILLE ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

753E ILLINOIS -754 MURRAY ST
E ILLINOIS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

755SIU EDWARDSVL -756 AUSTIN PEAY
AUSTIN PEAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.