Announcement

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:52 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Genesis Invitational golf event:
6-1— Dustin Johnson
12-1— Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
14-1— Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele
16-1— Bryson DeChambeau
18-1— Patrick Cantlay
22-1— Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 488,352
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) San Diego Padres gave 22-year old SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a 14-year, $340M contract last night, a lot of $$$$ to give to a young man who has played in 143 big league games, over two years. Tatis has .301 with 39 homers, 98 RBI over those two seasons- big production.

I have to remind myself that San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, so even though they’ve never won much, they are a big market team.

12) Do casinos post fake bets for publicity? The other day, BetMGM posted that a $10,000 bet was made on the Washington Wizards to win the NBA title this season. The bet would pay off $5M if hit it, but it ain’t going to hit. There are people who are rich/stupid enough to just throw away serious money?

Right now, Washington is 9-17, three games out of a playoff spot; I have a better shot at dating Gina Gershon than the Wizards have at winning the NBA title this year (stop laughing).

11) While I wait for Ms Gershon to contact me, the Baseball America Prospects Handbook came in the mail Tuesday, so I have a lot of reading to do. Each team’s top 30 prospects are profiled, it helps me a lot during fantasy baseball season.

Had to be tougher boo to put together this year, since there was no minor league season last year. Prospects who played at the teams’ site last summer did so under a cloud of secrecy.

10) The way it stands now, Ben Roethlisberger is a $41.2M salary cap hit for the Steelers next fall; they’re expected to re-do his contract somehow. Seems like March is going to be a wild time for the league and a lot of its quarterbacks, even some famous ones.

If they release Big Ben, he would still be a $21M+ cap hit; who could they get that is better?

9) Nebraska-Illinois football game was supposed to be played in Ireland August 28; they’ll play in Champaign instead.

8) Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder is going to coach the West All-Stars in the March 7 All-Star Game; he’ll be the first Jazz coach since Frank Layden in 1984 to coach an All-Star team.

7) Bulls 105, Pistons 102:
— In his last six games, Chicago’s Zach LaVine is 52-94 inside the arc, 29-50 outside the arc.
— LaVine is scoring 28+ ppg; he had 37 in this game. This is a young man who scored 9 ppg in his only year of college, at UCLA. He has worked really hard to become a skilled scorer.

6) VCU 68, Richmond 56— Spiders hadn’t played a D-I game in 22 days, and it showed. These two local rivals meet again on March 6.

5) USC 89, Arizona State 71— Trojans have won 7 in row, 13 of last 14 games; the Mobley brothers work great together inside. Plus, the Trojans made 11-20 3-pointers.

4) NC State 74, Pitt 73
— To borrow a hockey term, this was a chippy game, several technical fouls.
— Both teams shot 60%+ inside the arc.
— Pitt star Champagne was 3-11 from floor, 11-16 on foul line.
— Wolfpack has won 11 games in a row over Pitt.

3) Kentucky 82, Vanderbilt 78
— Wildcats’ last three games were decided by 1-2-4 points.
— Calipari is milking every drop he can out of a sub-par roster; they led this game 25-8 and were still life-and-death to win.
— Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew after he went 16-38 in three SEC seasons; Jerry Stackhouse is now 5-24 in SEC play in his 2nd season at Vandy. Winning at Vandy is a tough job.

2) Apparently, some of the NBA’s best players are queasy about participating in NBA-sponsored public service announcements to people accepting the coronavirus vaccine.

This is above my salary grade, but for the love of Pete, listen to the scientists; they’re really smart people who are a very diverse group of people. They won very hard to find medicines that will help us stay healthy.

Lot of people might go get a vaccine because an NBA player endorses it, and those people would then have a better chance of staying healthy, and so would the rest of us.

1) First day of spring training was a rough day for my Oakland A’s; P Frankie Montas tested positive for COVID, C Sean Murphy has a collapsed lung. Other than that, things were great.

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:58 AM

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

569TORONTO -570 MILWAUKEE
Nick Nurse is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots (Coach of TORONTO)

571BROOKLYN -572 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games off a road win over the last 2 seasons.

573MIAMI -574 SACRAMENTO
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, February 18

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

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TORONTO (13 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 12) - 2/18/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-114 ATS (+26.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (18 - 12) at LA LAKERS (22 - 7) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 15) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 18

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Raptors (13-15)
— Toronto won/covered six of its last nine games.
— Raptors are 7-3 ATS in last ten road games.
— Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.

Bucks (16-12)
— Milwaukee lost last four games, giving up 123.0 ppg.
— Bucks are 8-4 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee’s last 11 games.

— Toronto won six of last nine series games.
— Raptors are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Nets (18-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last four games.
— Nets are 4-6 ATS in last ten road games.
— 21 of last 24 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play: Irving is probable.

Lakers (22-7)
— Lakers are 8-1 SU in last eight games, 2-4 ATS in last six.
— Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Brooklyn won three of last four series games.
— Nets are 2-2-1 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Miami @ Sacramento
Heat (11-17)
— Miami lost its last three games, giving up 119 ppg.
— Heat is 5-9 ATS on the road this season.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Four Miami guys played 39:00+ in an OT loss last night.

Kings (12-16)
— Sacramento lost its last four games, by 8-11-14-11 points.
— Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 12-3 in their last 15 home games.

— Kings won five of last seven series games.
— Miami covered once in last five visits to Sacramento.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

NBA

Thursday, February 18

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ LA Lakers
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 21 of Brooklyn's last 24 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Miami @ Sacramento
Miami
Miami is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 19 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 10:31 AM

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 11:18 AM

Hoop Trends for Thursday February 18
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (6.70 ppg) as a favorite off a road game where Tyler Herro attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 0-9 ATS (-10.11 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 19-0 OU (13.95 ppg) as a dog with rest coming off a home game that had 8+ lead changes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Milwaukee (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-8 OU (-14.94 ppg) off a win as a dog in which Norman Powell took fewer than 10 shots.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/18

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/18

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