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Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/17

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  • Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, February 17

    Good Luck on day #48 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Database


    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    NBA players who play the most minutes/game:
    37.7— James Harden, Bkn
    36.7— Julius Randle, NY
    36.3— Fred Van Vleet, Tor
    36.3— Jerami Grant, Det
    36.1— Domantas Sabonis, Ind
    35.9— Malcolm Brogdon, Ind

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 487,495
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Nets 128, Suns 124:
    — Brooklyn was down 24 at one point, trailed 75-54 at the half.
    — Durant, Irving didn’t play; Harden scored 38 points.
    — Loss snaps the Suns’ 6-game winning streak.

    12) There has been lot of debate on social media about ballplayers quitting on their college teams, to get ready for the NBA Draft. Here is a quick summation of my thoughts on this:

    — I firmly believe kids should be able to go straight to the NBA, from high school.
    — The rule is the NBA’s, has little to do with the NCAA.
    — Once you start a season with a team, you should finish the season with that team.

    — The transfer epidemic is damaging college basketball; loyalty is obsolete.
    — I’m not sure how Jalen Johnson quitting Duke now helps him; the season only has 3-4 weeks left. What will he do now, in those 3-4 weeks, that will be more productive than practicing and playing for Duke? (I’m not a Duke fan, not at all, but still…..)

    — He could get hurt playing for Duke, he could get hurt working out or playing pickup.

    Everyone wants to get rich quick; it ain’t that easy.

    11) Trevor Lawrence had surgery on his left (non-throwing) shoulder, will be on the shelf for 4-6 weeks, which doesn’t really matter, seeing how training camp starts in July. Jacksonville is going to take him, then sell a lot of tickets, then we’ll see who Urban Meyer hires to coach the offense.

    10) I rarely look at NFL Mock Drafts anymore; they’re busywork, once you get past the first one, plus I’m a Rams fan- they haven’t had a first round pick since 2016 and don’t have another one until 2024.

    Every writer should only be allowed to do one mock draft, not just constantly change them to attract more clicks.

    9) Miami Dolphins gave kicker Jason Sanders a 5-year contract extension, apparently for $22M, with $10M of that guaranteed.

    8) St John’s 93, Xavier 84:
    — Red Storm won seven of its last eight games.
    — St John’s coach Anderson wins his 400th career game.

    7) Arkansas 75, Florida 64:
    — Razorbacks won four in row, seven of last eight games.
    — Eric Musselman has coached two NBA teams (Warriors/Kings)

    6) I enjoy watching Florida State play; Leonard Hamilton plays a lot of guys (they’re #24 in bench minutes) and he doesn’t have lot of hotshot recruits, so they pass the ball willingly and root for each other and look like they’re having fun playing. That isn’t always the case.

    5) Purdue 75, Michigan State 65— Spartans lost their last four road games, six of last eight games overall; they’re #329 in country at forcing turnovers. Unusual season for them.

    4) Rhode Island 91, Dayton 89, 2OT:
    — Dayton led 58-40 with 9:44 left in the game.
    — Teams combined to take 75 foul shots.
    — Flyers lost despite shooting 61% inside the arc.
    — Win snaps URI’s 4-game losing streak.

    3) Toronto 124, Milwaukee 113:
    — Bucks lost their 4th straight game, have slipped to 16-12, #3-seed in East.
    — Toronto won six of its last nine games, has improved to 13-15, #7-seed.

    2) A US District Court judge ruled that Citibank won’t be allowed to recover $500M or so it accidentally wired. Citibank filed a lawsuit in August seeking the return of its money, but so far, no luck.

    How would you like to be the person responsible for that screw-up? They were supposed to send Revlon $8M, but sent them around $500M instead. Whoops.

    Apparently, the law usually punishes people who spend money accidentally deposited in their accounts, but not so in this case, thanks to the judge’s ruling.

    1) Spring training starts today, which seems odd, given all the ice in my driveway, but pitchers and catchers report today. Exhibition games start in 10 days; they’re oddly entertaining. Our fantasy draft has started, always a good thing, a sign that warmer weather is on the way.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-17-2021, 12:04 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, February 17


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-17-2021, 12:12 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Wednesday, February 17


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-17-2021, 12:12 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, February 17


          Marquette @ Butler
          Marquette (9-12, 5-10)
          — ranked #87 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #250
          — Experience: #178
          — Continuity: #175
          — Marquette lost six of its last seven games.
          — Golden Eagles lost last three road games, scoring 59.3 ppg.
          — Marquette is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#261)

          Butler (7-11, 6-9)
          — ranked #113 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #330
          — Experience: #173
          — Continuity: #235
          — Butler lost four of its last six games.
          — Bulldogs won three of their last four home games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Butler has #297 eFG% defense in country.

          — Butler lost 70-67 at Marquette February 2.
          — Marquette won four of last five series games.
          — Golden Eagles lost six of last seven visits to Hinkle.

          Syracuse @ Louisville
          Syracuse (12-6, 6-5)
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #111
          — Experience: #238
          — Continuity: #73
          — Syracuse won five of its last seven games.
          — Orangemen causes turnovers 21.4% of time (#57)
          — Syracuse is thin; they’re #344 in country in bench minutes.

          Louisville (11-4, 6-3)
          — ranked #31 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #301
          — Experience: #3399
          — Continuity: #326
          — Louisville hasn’t played in 16 days.
          — Cardinals are 3-1 in ACC home games, winning by 2-5-16 points.
          — Louisville has #46 eFG% defense in country.

          — Cardinals won four of last six series games.
          — Syracuse lost three of last four games in Yum! Center.

          South Florida @ Central Florida
          South Florida (7-7, 3-5)
          — ranked #125 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #267
          — Experience: #125
          — Continuity: #71
          — South Florida lost five of their last seven games.
          — USF is 2-1 in true road games, losing 58-57 in Memphis.
          — Bulls are turning ball over 22.4% of time (#318)

          Central Florida (6-11, 4-10)
          — ranked #101 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #275
          — Experience: #244
          — Continuity: #277
          — UCF lost five of its last seven games.
          — Knights split their six AAC home games.
          — UCF is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#315)

          — UCF lost 68-61 at South Florida January 2.
          — USF won last two series games, after losing previous nine.
          — Bulls lost their last six visits to Orlando.

          Richmond @ VCU
          Richmond (11-4, 4-2)
          — ranked #54 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #143
          — Experience: #10
          — Continuity: #12
          — Richmond hasn’t played a D-I game in 22 days.
          — Spiders won three of last four D-I games.
          — Richmond has #31 eFG% in country.

          VCU (15-4, 8-2)
          — ranked #49 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #98
          — Experience: #305
          — Continuity: #280
          — Rams won their last five games, giving up 59.6 ppg.
          — VCU is 7-1 at home this season; only loss was to Rhode Island.
          — Rams are forcing turnovers 25.1% (#5) of time.

          — These schools are 8.5 miles apart.
          — Local rivals split their last six meetings.
          — Spiders lost four of last five visits here, losing 91-60/87-68 in last two.

          Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
          Kentucky (6-13, 5-7)
          — ranked #62 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #213
          — Experience: #341
          — Continuity: #343
          — Kentucky lost seven of their last nine games.
          — Wildcats lost last four road games, scoring 62.5 ppg.
          — Kentucky has #297 eFG% in country.

          Vanderbilt (6-10, 2-8)
          — ranked #114 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #167
          — Experience: #274
          — Continuity: #79
          — Vandy lost eight of its last ten games overall.
          — Commodores lost four of their five SEC home tilts.
          — Vandy has #298 eFG% defense in country.

          — Vandy lost 77-74 in Lexington January 5.
          — Wildcats won last nine series games, and 17 of last 19.
          — Kentucky won its last four visits to Nashville.

          Arizona State @ USC
          Arizona State (7-9, 4-6)
          — ranked #89 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #14
          — Experience: #161
          — Continuity: #146
          — Sun Devils won three of their last four games.
          — ASU lost two of its three Pac-12 road games.
          — ASU is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#43)

          USC (17-3, 11-2)
          — ranked #12 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #211
          — Experience: #191
          — Continuity: #322
          — USC won six in row, 12 of last 13 games.
          — Trojans won last five home games, four of them by 13+ points.
          — USC is rebounding 36.5% of its missed shots (#7)

          — USC won 73-64 in Tempe January 9.
          — Trojans are 6-4 in last ten series games.
          — Sun Devils lost last four games at USC, by 10-3-2-10 points.

          Kansas @ Kansas State
          Kansas (15-7, 9-5)
          — ranked #25 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #163
          — Experience: #263
          — Continuity: #110
          — Kansas won its last three games, by 12-33-14 points.
          — Jayhawks lost five of their last six road games.
          — Big X opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#1 of 10)

          Kansas State (5-17, 1-12)
          — ranked #190 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #313
          — Experience: #333
          — Continuity: #287
          — Wildcats lost their last 12 games; their last win was December 29.
          — K-State has #331 eFG% defense in country.
          — Wildcats lost last six home games; they turn ball over 22.6% of time (#321)

          — K-State lost 74-51 in Lawrence February 2.
          — Kansas won 12 of last 13 series games.
          — Jayhawks won four of last five visits to Manhattan.

          DePaul @ Seton Hall
          DePaul (3-9, 1-9)
          — ranked #130 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #64
          — Experience: #129
          — Continuity: #225
          — DePaul lost its last four games, scoring 58.8 ppg.
          — DePaul is 1-3 on road this season, losing by 5-21-10 points.
          — Blue Demons have #310 eFG% in country (#270 on arc, #309 inside arc))

          Seton Hall (12-8, 9-5)
          — ranked #33 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #231
          — Experience: #20
          — Continuity: #132
          — Seton Hall won its last three games, giving up 55.7 ppg.
          — Pirates split their last six home games.
          — Seton Hall is getting 22.1% of its points on foul line (#32).

          — Seton Hall won 76-68 at DePaul January 9.
          — Pirates won nine of last 11 series games.
          — DePaul won four of last five visits to the Garden State.

          Nebraska @ Maryland
          Nebraska (5-13, 1-10)
          — ranked #119 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #42
          — Experience: #98
          — Continuity: #324
          — Nebraska lost 10 of its last 11 games.
          — Cornhuskers lost six of their seven road games.
          — Nebraska has #294 eFG%; they’re shooting 45.5% inside arc (#307)

          Maryland (12-10, 6-9)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #308
          — Experience: #151
          — Continuity: #91
          — Maryland is 5-4 in its last nine D-I games.
          — Terps lost five of their eight Big 14 home games.
          — Maryland outscored Nebraska 20-6 over final 7:48 of last nite’s 64-50 win.

          — Maryland is 8-3 vs Nebraska in Big 14 games.
          — Cornhuskers lost their last three visits here, 74-72/72-70/64-50.

          Duke @ Wake Forest
          Duke (8-8, 6-6)
          — ranked #36 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #138
          — Experience: #344
          — Continuity: #250
          — Duke lost six of its last nine games.
          — Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
          — Duke has #281 eFG% in country; opponents are shooting 38.3% on arc (#322)

          Wake Forest (6-9, 3-9)
          — ranked #109 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #203
          — Experience: #197
          — Continuity: #279
          — Deacons split their last six games, after starting 0-6 in ACC.
          — Wake won its last two home tilts; their last home game was January 30.
          — Deacons have #250 eFG% defense in country.

          — Wake lost 79-68 at Duke January 9.
          — Duke won 12 of last 13 series games.
          — Blue Devils won five of last six visits to Winston Salem.

          Utah State @ Boise State
          Utah State (14-5, 11-2)
          — ranked #46 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #120
          — Experience: #259
          — Continuity: #145
          — Aggies won 12 of their last 14 games.
          — Opponents are shooting 42.2% inside arc (#4)
          — Utah State is grabbing 35.2% of their missed shots (#16)

          Boise State (16-4, 12-3)
          — ranked #63 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #152
          — Experience: #69
          — Continuity: #243
          — Boise split its last six games, after a 13-1 start.
          — Broncos are 7-0 in MW home games, with six wins by 11+ points.
          — Winner of this game will be in first place in Mountain West.

          — Utah State won four of last five series games.
          — Aggies lost four of their last five visits to Boise.

          Minnesota @ Indiana
          Minnesota (13-8, 6-8)
          — ranked #40 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #112
          — Experience: #134
          — Continuity: #185
          — Gophers are 6-1 at home, 0-7 on road in conference games.
          — Minnesota is shooting 29.4% on arc (#318), has #303 eFG%.
          — Gophers get 23.3% of their points on foul line (#12).

          Indiana (13-8, 6-8)
          — ranked #40 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #112
          — Experience: #134
          — Continuity: #185
          — Indiana lost six of its last nine games.
          — Hoosiers are 6-1 at home in Big 14, losing to Michigan.
          — Indiana is shooting 29.4% on arc (#318), has #303 eFG%.

          — Indiana won seven of last nine series games.
          — Gophers lost their last five visits to Bloomington.

          South Carolina @ Tennessee
          South Carolina (5-9, 3-7)
          — ranked #83 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #10
          — Experience: #214
          — Continuity: #25
          — Gamecocks lost last three games, giving up 79 ppg.
          — Carolina has #257 eFG% in country.
          — Gamecocks are 1-3 on SEC road, losing by 5-11-12 points.

          Tennessee (14-5, 7-5)
          — ranked #17 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #244
          — Experience: #249
          — Continuity: #101
          — Tennessee won four of its last six games.
          — Vols are 4-2 in SEC home games, losing to Alabama/Mizzou.
          — Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#18)

          — Tennessee won five of last six series games.
          — Gamecocks lost last three visits to Knoxville, by 3-1-15 points.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-17-2021, 12:13 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            661IONA -662 QUINNIPIAC
            QUINNIPIAC is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games vs. winning teams since 1997.

            663NC STATE -664 PITTSBURGH
            PITTSBURGH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

            665EVANSVILLE -666 INDIANA ST
            EVANSVILLE is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

            667ST JOSEPHS -668 GEORGE WASHINGTON
            ST JOSEPHS are 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

            671MARQUETTE -672 BUTLER
            BUTLER is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

            673SYRACUSE -674 LOUISVILLE
            SYRACUSE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

            675SAMFORD -676 FURMAN
            SAMFORD is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

            677S FLORIDA -678 UCF
            S FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

            679RICHMOND -680 VA COMMONWEALTH
            RICHMOND is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

            681W CAROLINA -682 UT-CHATTANOOGA
            UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-17-2021, 12:13 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Wednesday NBA or CBB games that are postponed or cancelled...

              NBA
              Bulls/Hornets
              Spurs/Cavaliers
              Pistons/Mavericks

              CBB
              Boston College/Georgia Tech
              St Joe's/George Washington
              Fordham/St Bonaventure
              Duquesne/George Mason
              Tulane/SMU
              Texas/Oklahoma

              EXTRA CBB GAMES
              Alcorn State/Arkansas Pine Bluff
              Mississippi Valley State/Southern
              Northwestern State/Nicholls State
              Stephen F Austin/Central Arkansas
              Sam Houston State/Lamar
              Southeastern Louisiana/Texas A&M Corpus Christi

              Comment

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