Announcement

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:30 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

NBA teams who score the most points/game:
120.9— Brooklyn Nets
120.7— Milwaukee Bucks
115.8— Los Angeles Clippers
115.5— Denver, Portland
115.0— Utah Jazz
114.7— Chicago Bulls

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 486,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Florida State 81, Virginia 60:
— Seminoles were up 20 at the half; they played nine guys 14:00+
— Florida State made 13-24 on the arc.
— Very curious where they’ll be seeded next month.

12) North Carolina’s basketball team actually advertised on Twitter this week for a home game and they got one, Wednesday against Northeastern.

We’re going to see more of that over the next 2-3 weeks, teams adding games to the schedule on the fly, to juice up their resume some, and also keep their players sharp.

11) Was listening to Hubie Brown analyze a game on ESPN the other night; guy is one of the best analysts ever, and he is still sharp, even at age 87. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Brown way back in 1984, when he was coaching the Knicks. Good guy, very smart.

10) Duke’s freshman Jalen Johnson “opted out” of the rest of the season, a nice way of saying he quit and will enter the NBA Draft. This news created mixed reactions on social media.

“Start what you finish” is probably an antiquated concept, but today is February 16. Duke isn’t going to make the NCAA’s, and even off they did, they wouldn’t last long. Would practicing and working out for an extra month be such a bad thing for him?

He could get hurt, that is true, but “opting out” has to hurt his perception with at least some of the NBA teams who might draft him. He is going to have to work out anyway in preparation for the NBA Combine, and he could get hurt there too. I’m thinking the kid got bad advice.

9) One of the great strategic debates that doesn’t have a right answer is whether a team should foul intentionally, when they’re up 3 points in the last 0:15.

If you foul on purpose, the opponent can’t hit a game-tying 3, but they could rebound a missed foul shot, and that has happened. If you play it out and the opponent makes a 3, the game is still tied and you play overtime.

I watch a lot of games on TV and there is a very mixed opinion on what the right strategy is.

8) Central Florida hired former Auburn coach Gus Malzahn as its next football coach, to the tune of $2.3M a year. Not bad for a guy who, as recently as 2005, was a HS coach in Arkansas.

Malzahn was 9-3 in one year as Arkansas State’s coach, then went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC games. He had the misfortune of being at Auburn while Nick Saban was at Alabama.

7) Boston College fired basketball coach Jim Christian, who went 26-94 in ACC games; moving from the Big East to the ACC has been a debacle for BC’s athletic department.

Christian went 101-37 in eight years as a MAC coach at Ohio/Kent State, but he also went 18-44 in Big X games at TCU. BC is a tough job.

6) Hovering over every open coaching job is former Michigan coach John Beilein, whose brief stint in the NBA was a disaster. He went 63-15 his last two years at Michigan; I’m guessing a lot of AD’s would fire their coach, if they knew they could get Beilein to replace him.

5) Clippers 125, Heat 118: Since Patrick Beverley has been a Clipper:
— Clippers are 101-47 when Beverley played
— Clippers are 17-18 when Beverley didn’t play
— Beverley was one of four Clipper starters who sat this game out.

4) Baseball stuff:
— Mets signed OF Kevin Pillar
— Twins signed P Matt Shoemaker
— Braves signed 2B Jason Kipnis

3) I watch a lot of movies late at night; you know its an old(er) movie if someone uses a payphone, or doesn’t have a cellphone. We used to always to carry a quarter in our pocket in case you needed to make a quick phone call.

2) Why is Jeremy Lin in the G League? There are 30 NBA teams, 15 guys on a team; Jeremy Lin isn’t one of the best 450 basketball players in the world? That is nonsensical.

He scored 11.6 ppg in nine NBA seasons, dishing out 4.3 assists/game. This season in his four G League games, he is scoring 17.8 ppg, dishing out 7.3 ppg. He should be on an NBA roster.

1) Young lady named Jessica Pegula is a tennis pro playing in the Australian Open this week; her parents own the Buffalo Bills/Sabres, so she is a rich kid but she has worked very hard at playing tennis and is now at an elite level. Good for her.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:50 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 16

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:52 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:53 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 16

Iowa State @ Oklahoma State
Iowa State (2-14, 0-11)
— ranked #148 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #158
— Continuity: #245
— ISU’s two wins are over teams #285/#352
— Four of Cyclones’ last six road losses were by 7 or less points.
— Iowa State is turning ball over 21.4% of time (#283)

Oklahoma State (13-6, 6-6)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #284
— OSU won last three home games, by 4-8-7 points.
— Cowboys are 3-6 when they allow 77+ points, 10-0 when they allow less.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Cowboys have #38 eFG% defense in country.

— Cowboys won 81-60 in Ames January 25.
— Oklahoma State won last three series games.
— Cyclones lost two of last three visits to Stillwater.

Providence @ UConn
Providence (11-10, 7-8)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #221
— Friars split their last eight games overall.
— Providence lost four of its last six road games.
— In winning their last two games, Friars allowed 59-47 points.

UConn (9-5, 6-5)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #325
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #158
— Huskies lost four of their last six games.
— UConn is grabbing 36.4% of its missed shots (#8)
— Huskies are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#266)

— UConn lost 76-70 at Providence six days ago.

Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri (13-5, 6-5)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #7
— Mizzou won three of their last four road games.
— Tigers have #63 eFG% defense in country.
— Mizzou gets 21.1% of their points on foul line (#59)

Georgia (12-8, 5-8)
— ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #260
— In its last two games, Georgia gave up 89-115 points.
— Dawgs are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#310)
— Georgia won three of its last four home games.

— Missouri won four of last five series games.
— Tigers lost four of last five visits to Athens.

Dayton @ Rhode Island
Dayton (11-6, 7-5)
— ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #324
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #239
— Dayton split its last six games, after an 8-3 start.
— Flyers shoot well, but turn ball over 21.4% of time (#286)
— Dayton lost three of its last five road games.

Rhode Island (9-12, 6-8)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #151
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #305
— Rams lost their last four games, scoring 60.3 ppg.
— URI is turning ball over 21.0% of time (#274).
— Rams have #35 eFG% in the country.

— Rams lost 67-56 at Dayton January 30.
— Dayton won four of last five series games.
— Flyers won 77-48/84-57 in last two visits to Kingston.

Michigan State @ Purdue
Michigan State (10-8, 4-8)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #84
— Spartans lost five of their last seven games.
— State lost last three road games, by 30-17-6 points.
— Last three games, Spartans scored 66-60-58 points.

Purdue (13-8, 8-6)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #10
— Purdue lost three of its last five games overall.
— Purdue’s last three games were decided by total of 9 points.
— Boilers are 5-1 in Big 14 home games, losing to Michigan.

— Purdue won 55-54 at Michigan State January 8.
— Boilers won five of last six series games.
— Spartans lost their last four games in Mackey Arena.

Temple @ Tulsa
Temple (4-8, 3-8)
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #152
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #295
— Temple lost last four games, last three by 3-3-2 points.
— Owls lost four of five road games, with only win at Tulane.
— Temple has #325 eFG% in country (#326 inside arc, #288 on arc)

Tulsa (9-9, 6-7)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #199
— Tulsa lost three in row, six of last eight games.
— Tulsa lost last three home games, scoring 56.3 ppg.
— Hurricane is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#255)

— Tulsa lost 76-67 at Temple January 26.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Owls lost their last four visits to Tulsa.

Florida @ Arkansas
Florida (6-14, 3-11)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #156
— Florida won four of its last five games overall.
— Gators split their six road games this season.
— This is Florida’s first game in 13 days.

Arkansas (16-5, 8-4)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #337
— Arkansas won three in row, six of last seven games overall.
— Razorbacks won their last four home games, three by 15+ points.
— Arkansas is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#93).

— Florida won 11 of last 12 series games.
— Gators won last three visits to Arkansas, by 2-9-6 points.

Austin Peay @ SE Missouri State
Austin Peay (13-8, 9-6)
— ranked #188 by KenPom
— Tempo: #258
— Experience: #247
— Continuity: #127
— Governors won five of their last seven games.
— Austin Peay lost its last two road games, both by one point.
— Governors have #313 eFG% in country; opponents are shooting 54.7% inside arc (#309)

SE Missouri State (7-14, 5-10)
— ranked #296 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #298
— SE Missouri lost its last three games, scoring 59 ppg.
— Red Hawks split their eight OVC home games.
— SE Missouri is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#301).

— Red Hawks lost 78-63 at Austin Peay Saturday.
— Governors won last eight series games.
— Austin Peay won its last five visits to Cape Girardeau.

Nebraska @ Maryland
Nebraska (5-12, 1-9)
— ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #101
— Continuity: #323
— Nebraska snapped a 9-game skid with Saturday’s win at Penn State.
— Cornhuskers lost five of their six road games.
— Nebraska has #309 eFG%; they’re shooting 45.8% inside arc (#294)

Maryland (11-10, 5-9)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #92
— Maryland split its last eight D-I games.
— Terps lost five of their seven Big 14 home games.
— These teams play here again tomorrow night.

— Maryland is 7-3 vs Nebraska in Big 14 games.
— Cornhuskers lost their last two visits here, 74-72/72-70.

Xavier @ St John’s
Xavier (11-3, 4-3)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #179
— Xavier lost 80-72 to UConn Saturday, after a 2-week pause.
— Xavier split its only two games outside of Cincinnati.
— Opponents are shooting 43.8% inside arc (#15)

St John’s (13-8, 7-7)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #163
— Johnnies won six of their last seven games overall.
— Johnnies are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#24)
— Despite that, St John’s has #276 eFG% defense in country.

— St John’s lost 69-61 at Xavier January 6.
— Xavier won last 12 series games.
— Musketeers won last five visits here, by 8-5-5-11-3 points.

LMU @ Santa Clara
LMU (9-6, 4-3)
— ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #231
— LMU lost four of its five road games.
— Lions are turning ball over 23.5% of the time (#333)
— LMU is a top 25 rebounding team in country.

Santa Clara (9-4, 3-2)
— ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #99
— Continuity: #30
— This is Santa Clara’s first game in 24 days.
— Broncos lost last two home games, scoring 57-50 points.
— Santa Clara has #329 eFG%; they’re shooting 28% on arc (#336)

— Santa Clara won 72-69 at LMU January 23- that was their last game.
— LMU won four of last five series games.
— Lions won last three visits here, by 1-8-6 points.

Northwestern @ Illinois
Northwestern (6-12, 3-11)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #251
— Continuity: #40
— Wildcats lost their last 11 games, seven of them by 10+ points.
— Northwestern is 0-7 on Big 14 road (five losses by 10+)
— Wildcats get 34.8% of their points on arc (#73).

Illinois (14-5, 10-3)
— ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #13
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #152
— Illinois won its last five games; two of their last three wins were in OT.
— Illini is shooting 39% on arc; they have #10 eFG%.
— Illinois is a top 25 rebounding team in country.

— Illini won 81-56 in Evanston January 7.
— Illinois won last five series games.
— Wildcats lost their last four visits to Champaign.

LaSalle @ Saint Louis
LaSalle (8-12, 5-8)
— ranked #184 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #144
— Explorers lost four of their last five games overall.
— LaSalle lost its last three road games, by 11-8-13 points.
— LaSalle is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#266).

Saint Louis (10-3, 3-2)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #22
— Saint Louis won its last three games, giving up 53 ppg.
— Billikens are 9-1 at home, with only loss to Dayton.
— Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#54)

— Billikens lost 82-75 at LaSalle February 3.
— Saint Louis won five of last six series games.
— Explorers lost their last five visits to St Louis.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:56 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 08:57 AM

601N ILLINOIS -602 AKRON
N ILLINOIS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points in the last 3 seasons.

603IOWA ST -604 OKLAHOMA ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

611DAYTON -612 RHODE ISLAND
RHODE ISLAND is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.

613BOWLING GREEN -614 BALL ST
BALL ST is 44-78 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

615KENT ST -616 W MICHIGAN
W MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

617MICHIGAN ST -618 PURDUE
MICHIGAN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

619TEMPLE -620 TULSA
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

621FLORIDA -622 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

623MIAMI OHIO -624 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

625AUSTIN PEAY -626 SE MISSOURI ST
AUSTIN PEAY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 01:13 PM

Games postponed so far on Tuesday

NBA
Spurs/Pistons

CBB
Buffalo/Eastern Michigan
Georgia State/Troy
South Carolina/Tennessee
Texas/Oklahoma
Auburn/Mississippi State
TCU/Texas Tech

Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/16

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/16

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment