Announcement

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:29 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

NBA teams who score the most points/game:
120.9— Brooklyn Nets
120.7— Milwaukee Bucks
115.8— Los Angeles Clippers
115.5— Denver, Portland
115.0— Utah Jazz
114.7— Chicago Bulls

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 486,532
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Florida State 81, Virginia 60:
— Seminoles were up 20 at the half; they played nine guys 14:00+
— Florida State made 13-24 on the arc.
— Very curious where they’ll be seeded next month.

12) North Carolina’s basketball team actually advertised on Twitter this week for a home game and they got one, Wednesday against Northeastern.

We’re going to see more of that over the next 2-3 weeks, teams adding games to the schedule on the fly, to juice up their resume some, and also keep their players sharp.

11) Was listening to Hubie Brown analyze a game on ESPN the other night; guy is one of the best analysts ever, and he is still sharp, even at age 87. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Brown way back in 1984, when he was coaching the Knicks. Good guy, very smart.

10) Duke’s freshman Jalen Johnson “opted out” of the rest of the season, a nice way of saying he quit and will enter the NBA Draft. This news created mixed reactions on social media.

“Start what you finish” is probably an antiquated concept, but today is February 16. Duke isn’t going to make the NCAA’s, and even off they did, they wouldn’t last long. Would practicing and working out for an extra month be such a bad thing for him?

He could get hurt, that is true, but “opting out” has to hurt his perception with at least some of the NBA teams who might draft him. He is going to have to work out anyway in preparation for the NBA Combine, and he could get hurt there too. I’m thinking the kid got bad advice.

9) One of the great strategic debates that doesn’t have a right answer is whether a team should foul intentionally, when they’re up 3 points in the last 0:15.

If you foul on purpose, the opponent can’t hit a game-tying 3, but they could rebound a missed foul shot, and that has happened. If you play it out and the opponent makes a 3, the game is still tied and you play overtime.

I watch a lot of games on TV and there is a very mixed opinion on what the right strategy is.

8) Central Florida hired former Auburn coach Gus Malzahn as its next football coach, to the tune of $2.3M a year. Not bad for a guy who, as recently as 2005, was a HS coach in Arkansas.

Malzahn was 9-3 in one year as Arkansas State’s coach, then went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC games. He had the misfortune of being at Auburn while Nick Saban was at Alabama.

7) Boston College fired basketball coach Jim Christian, who went 26-94 in ACC games; moving from the Big East to the ACC has been a debacle for BC’s athletic department.

Christian went 101-37 in eight years as a MAC coach at Ohio/Kent State, but he also went 18-44 in Big X games at TCU. BC is a tough job.

6) Hovering over every open coaching job is former Michigan coach John Beilein, whose brief stint in the NBA was a disaster. He went 63-15 his last two years at Michigan; I’m guessing a lot of AD’s would fire their coach, if they knew they could get Beilein to replace him.

5) Clippers 125, Heat 118: Since Patrick Beverley has been a Clipper:
— Clippers are 101-47 when Beverley played
— Clippers are 17-18 when Beverley didn’t play
— Beverley was one of four Clipper starters who sat this game out.

4) Baseball stuff:
— Mets signed OF Kevin Pillar
— Twins signed P Matt Shoemaker
— Braves signed 2B Jason Kipnis

3) I watch a lot of movies late at night; you know its an old(er) movie if someone uses a payphone, or doesn’t have a cellphone. We used to always to carry a quarter in our pocket in case you needed to make a quick phone call.

2) Why is Jeremy Lin in the G League? There are 30 NBA teams, 15 guys on a team; Jeremy Lin isn’t one of the best 450 basketball players in the world? That is nonsensical.

He scored 11.6 ppg in nine NBA seasons, dishing out 4.3 assists/game. This season in his four G League games, he is scoring 17.8 ppg, dishing out 7.3 ppg. He should be on an NBA roster.

1) Young lady named Jessica Pegula is a tennis pro playing in the Australian Open this week; her parents own the Buffalo Bills/Sabres, so she is a rich kid but she has worked very hard at playing tennis and is now at an elite level. Good for her.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:40 AM

535DENVER -536 BOSTON
DENVER is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

537NEW ORLEANS -538 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 37-14 ATS (21.6 Units) in home games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.

539TORONTO -540 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

541LA LAKERS -542 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

543PORTLAND -544 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

545BROOKLYN -546 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games in non-conference games in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:43 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 16

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:45 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 16

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DENVER (15 - 11) at BOSTON (13 - 13) - 2/16/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-48 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 146-186 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (11 - 15) at MEMPHIS (11 - 11) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (12 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 11) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 152-113 ATS (+27.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (21 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 20) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 85-126 ATS (-53.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (16 - 10) at OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 15) - 2/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (17 - 12) at PHOENIX (17 - 9) - 2/16/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
BROOKLYN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 16

Denver @ Boston
Nuggets (15-11)
— Denver won its last three games overall.
— Nuggets lost last three road games, by 10-21-5 points. .
— Over is 9-3 in Denver’s last 11 games.

Celtics (13-13)
— Boston lost ten of its last 14 games.
— Celtics are 7-3 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 7-4 in last eleven Boston games.

— Denver won three of last four series games.
— Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

New Orleans @ Memphis
Pelicans (11-15)
— New Orleans lost six of its last seven road games.
— Pelicans are 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three games overall.
— Over is 11-2-2 in their last fifteen games.

Grizzlies (11-11)
— Memphis lost five of its last seven games.
— Grizzlies are 4-6-1 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

— New Orleans won/covered six of last seven series games.
— Pelicans are 2-1 ATS in last three visits to Memphis.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Raptors (12-15)
— Toronto won/covered five of its last eight games.
— Raptors are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
— Eight of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

Bucks (16-11)
— Milwaukee lost last three games, giving up 122.7 ppg.
— Bucks are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-3 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.

— Bucks won/covered last three series games.
— Raptors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Last six series games stayed under the total.

LA Lakers @ Minnesota
Lakers (21-7)
— Lakers are 7-1 SU in last eight games, 1-4 ATS in last five.
— Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

Timberwolves (7-20)
— Minnesota lost four of last five, 14 of its last 18 games.
— Wolves are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games.
— Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.

— Timberwolves are 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
— Lakers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Trailblazers (16-10)
— Portland won seven of last nine games, covered 8 of last 10.
— Blazers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Over is 10-3 in Portland’s last 13 games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out

Thunder (11-15)
— Thunder lost three of last four games (4-0 ATS)
— OKC is 4-7-1 ATS at home this season.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.

— Thunder won/covered last three series games.
— Portland is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Oklahoma.
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

Brooklyn @ Phoenix
Nets (17-12)
— Brooklyn won/covered their last three games.
— Nets are 3-6 ATS in last eight road games.
— 20 of last 23 Brooklyn games went over the total.
— Durant (hamstring) isn’t expected to play.

Suns (17-9)
— Phoenix won/covered nine of its last ten games.
— Suns won/covered their last seven home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Brooklyn won eight of last ten series games.
— Nets covered four of last five visits to Phoenix.
— Four of last five series stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 09:48 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 16

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Trend Report
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Denver @ Boston
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Denver
Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

New Orleans @ Memphis
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

Toronto @ Milwaukee
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

LA Lakers @ Minnesota
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Portland @ Oklahoma City
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland

Brooklyn @ Phoenix
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 20 of Brooklyn's last 23 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 10:27 AM

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 01:24 PM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 16
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Phoenix (10:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 10-0 ATS (10.20 ppg) off a 10+ point win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS (-7.46 ppg) after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Denver at Boston (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 14-0-1 OU (17.40 ppg) as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road loss.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-9 OU (-19.17 ppg) after Kyle Lowry played more than 40 minutes last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 02-16-2021, 02:13 PM

Games postponed so far on Tuesday

NBA
Spurs/Pistons

CBB
Buffalo/Eastern Michigan
Georgia State/Troy
South Carolina/Tennessee
Texas/Oklahoma
Auburn/Mississippi State
TCU/Texas Tech

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/16

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/16

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