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  • Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, February 14

    Good Luck on day #45 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six teams that score the most in college basketball:
    92.7— Gonzaga
    88.1— Bryant
    87.4— Iowa
    87.0— Baylor
    86.5— Colgate
    85.6— Southern Utah

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 480,510
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) A word of caution:

    Friday afternoon, I got a text from my credit card company; someone tried to charge $458 on my credit card, and they were checking to see if it was me, which it wasn’t, so they shut down my credit card and will send me another one. No harm done, but no bueno.

    Be careful with your personal information; lot of scam artists out there.

    12) The Urban Meyer era in Jacksonville is off to a rocky start; the strength coach they hired a few days ago quit already, after complaints about how he left his job at Iowa, with former players at Iowa accusing him of racist behavior. Not the best way for this era of Jaguar football to start.

    11) Baseball stuff:
    — Seattle gave lefty P James Paxton $8.5M for one year.
    — Royals signed IF Asdrubel Cabrera to a 1-year deal.
    — Bronx signed OF Jay Bruce to a minor league deal

    10) Florida State 92, Wake Forest 85 OT:
    — Seminoles won their 11th straight overtime game.
    — Florida State tied game with 0:00.5 left on a transition layup.
    — Wake was 13-27 on the arc, Seminoles 12-25.
    — This was FSU’s first game in 14 days; guys on TV who watched this game said the Seminoles looked exhausted near the end of regulation. They have a few weeks to get their legs.

    9) Creighton 86, Villanova 70:
    — When Bluejays make 12-26 on the arc, they can beat anyone.
    — The thing is, no goes 12-26 all that often; can they make a run to the Final 4?
    — Creighton starts three seniors, two juniors; they’re experience team #39.

    8) Arkansas 86, Missouri 81 OT— They were telling Eric Musselman stories on this telecast; the son of former NBA coach Bill Musselman, Eric was a coach/GM in the Continental League when he was in his mid-20’s, highly unusual.

    The first day he was GM of the Rapid City Thrillers, Musselman made four trades, which sounds like a guy I’d like to have in our fantasy baseball league.

    Musselman’s Razorbacks are 16-5, 8-4 in the SEC; they’ve won six of last seven games.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — California (+10) 71, Colorado 62
    — Vanderbilt (+7.5) 72, Mississippi State 51
    — Valparaiso (+7) 70, Northern Iowa 57
    — North Dakota (+6.5) 85, South Dakota 76
    — Arkansas State (+6) 67, Little Rock 65
    — Illinois State (+5.5) 80, Southern Illinois 55
    — Oral Roberts (+4) 103, South Dakota State 86

    6) Oklahoma 91, West Virginia 90, 2OT:
    — Sooners have won six of their last severn games.
    — Lon Kruger is a really underrated coach; he’s led five different schools to the NCAA Tournament, getting two of them to a Final Four.
    — He also coached the Atlanta Hawks for a couple years.
    — 671 college wins is a lot of wins.

    5) Cal-Santa Barbara 81, Hawai’i 74:
    — Gauchos win despite blowing a 12-point halftime lead.
    — Santa Barbara has a slim lead atop the Big West; two of their last three wins were in OT.

    4) Northeastern 76, Towson 67:
    — Tyson Walker made 7-12 3-pointers, scored 36 points.
    — Walker is a sophomore; Huskies’ coaches better make sure he doesn’t get poached by Duke, or some other big money program.

    3) Pundits on the Big 14 Network rattle on and on about how great their league is, but fact of the matter is this: Last time a Big 14 team won the basketball national title was when Michigan State won it all, in 2000. A 21-year drought seems lengthy for such a great league.

    2) Candidates for the NFL’s Name Hall of Fame:
    — Eagles used to have a kicker named Happy Feller— he kicked in college at Texas.
    — Browns used to have a receiver named Fair Hooker— insert your own joke here.

    1) Lot of times when I’m writing this site late at night, I put old episodes of The West Wing on my laptop and listen while I write. The other night, I finished up, turned the laptop off and started watching an old episode of Columbo on TV.

    1973, back when I was a kid, Columbo was a popular show; Peter Falk is a quirky cop who always gets his man, but there was a familiar face in this episode, a much, much younger Martin Sheen, who I had just watched play President Bartlett on my laptop while I was writing.

    What a great career he’s had; that was 48 years ago, and he still does commercials on TV.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, February 14


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2021, 11:18 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Sunday, February 14


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by Udog; 02-14-2021, 11:45 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, February 14


          UCF @ Cincinnati
          UCF (6-10, 4-9)
          — ranked #105 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #262
          — Experience: #248
          — Continuity: #277
          — UCF won two of its last three games.
          — Knights lost five of last six road games, winning at Tulsa.
          — UCF is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#324)

          Cincinnati (6-7, 4-4)
          — ranked #92 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #65
          — Experience: #229
          — Continuity: #217
          — Cincinnati is 3-0 since its 25-day COVID pause.
          — Cincy is turning ball over 20.9% of the time (#264)
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Bearcats have #265 eFG% in country (#325 on arc, #300 on line)

          — Bearcats lost 75-50 at UCF December 20.
          — Knights won three of last four series games.
          — UCF lost four of its last five visits to Cincinnati.

          Michigan @ Wisconsin
          Michigan (13-1, 8-1)
          — ranked #4 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #217
          — Experience: #67
          — Continuity: #153
          — This is Michigan’s first game in 23 days.
          — Wolverines’ only loss; 75-57 at Minnesota January 16.
          — Michigan has #4 eFG% defense in country.

          Wisconsin (15-6, 9-5)
          — ranked #13 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #322
          — Experience: #18
          — Continuity: #11
          — Badgers split their last six games overall.
          — Wisconsin won four of its six Big 14 home games.
          — Badgers have #39 eFG% defense in country.

          — Badgers lost 77-54 at Michigan January 12.
          — Michigan won five of last seven series games.
          — Wolverines lost three of last four visits to Madison.

          Loyola Chi @ Drake
          Loyola Chi (18-3, 13-1)
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #319
          — Experience: #41
          — Continuity: #14
          — Ramblers won their last 11 games, ten by 10+ points.
          — Loyola’s last loss was January 10, 76-71 at Indiana State.
          — Ramblers are shooting 60.6% inside arc (#3)

          Drake (19-2, 10-2)
          — ranked #63 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #213
          — Experience: #76
          — Continuity: #175
          — Drake is 5-1 in Valley home games (four wins by 18+)
          — Bulldogs lost two of their last three games.
          — Drake is shooting 37.0% on arc (#44)

          — Ramblers outscored Drake 50-20 in 2nd half of Saturday’s 81-54 win.
          — Loyola won seven of last eight series games.
          — Ramblers are 4-3 in last seven series games played here.

          Tulane @ South Florida
          Tulane (8-8, 3-8)
          — ranked #149 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #288
          — Experience: #330
          — Continuity: #308
          — Green Wave lost six of their last eight games.
          — Tulane has #340 eFG% in country (#321 on arc, #334 inside arc)
          — This is Tulane’s third game in five days.

          South Florida (7-6, 3-4)
          — ranked #117 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #268
          — Experience: #126
          — Continuity: #73
          — Bulls lost four of their last six games overall.
          — USF lost three of its last four home games.
          — Bulls are turning ball over 22% of time (#305) have #285 eFG%.

          — South Florida won three of last four series games.
          — Green Wave won four of last five visits to Tampa.

          Nebraska @ Penn State
          Nebraska (4-12, 0-9)
          — ranked #127 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #38
          — Experience: #102
          — Continuity: #322
          — Nebraska blew 6-point lead with 2:55 left, lost in OT to Illinois Friday.
          — Cornhuskers lost their last nine games, six of them by 10+ points.
          — Nebraska has#314 eFG% in country (#294 on arc, #310 inside arc)

          Penn State (7-9, 4-8)
          — ranked #30 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #145
          — Experience: #45
          — Continuity: #50
          — Nittany Lions won their last four home games.
          — Opponents are shooting 54.9% inside arc (#315)
          — To this point, Penn State has played hardest schedule in country.

          — Penn State won four of last six series games.
          — Cornhuskers lost their last six visits to Happy Valley.

          Marquette @ Seton Hall
          Marquette (9-11, 5-9)
          — ranked #87 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #262
          — Experience: #187
          — Continuity: #176
          — Marquette lost five of its last six games.
          — Golden Eagles split their six Big East road games.
          — Opponents are shooting 36.8% on arc (#290)

          Seton Hall (11-8, 8-5)
          — ranked #32 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #237
          — Experience: #13
          — Continuity: #133
          — Pirates lost last two home games (Creighton/Villanova)
          — Seton Hall is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#52)
          — Pirates are getting 22% of their points on foul line (#34)

          — Pirates won 70-63 in Milwaukee December 17
          — Seton Hall won last five series games.
          — Marquette lost four of last five visits to the Garden State.

          Illinois State @ Southern Illinois
          Illinois State (6-14, 3-11)
          — ranked #204 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #131
          — Experience: #333
          — Continuity: #260
          — Redbirds lost six of their last seven games overall.
          — State lost five of its seven MVC road games.
          — Redbirds are shooting only 47.2% inside arc (#264).

          Southern Illinois (9-9, 3-9)
          — ranked #226 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #234
          — Experience: #340
          — Continuity: #273
          — Salukis lost nine of their last 11 games overall.
          — SIU lost three of its last four home games.
          — Salukis have #318 eFG% defense in country.

          — Redbirds beat SIU 80-55 here yesterday.
          — Teams split last eight series games.
          — Redbirds lost three of last four games in Carbondale.

          Bradley @ Missouri State
          Bradley (11-12, 5-9)
          — ranked #133 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #280
          — Experience: #231
          — Continuity: #207
          — Bradley split its last four games, after an 0-6 skid.
          — Braves lost five of their last six road games.
          — Opponents ate shooting 43.3% inside arc (#11), 38.1% on arc (#316)

          Missouri State (13-5, 9-5)
          — ranked #105 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #142
          — Experience: #216
          — Continuity: #289
          — Bears’ MVC losses are all against Drake/Loyola.
          — State won its last four games, giving up 60 ppg.
          — Bears are shooting 55.8% inside arc (#20).

          — Bradley was down 20 at half, lost 80-58 here yesterday.
          — Braves still won six of last nine series games.
          — Teams split last four series games played here.

          Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech
          Pittsburgh (15-5, 7-4)
          — ranked #75 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #120
          — Experience: #306
          — Continuity: #112
          — Panthers lost four of their last five games.
          — Pitt split its four ACC road games, losing at Wake/Virginia.
          — Pitt has #249 eFG%; they’re grabbing 34.4% of their missed shots (#28)

          Georgia Tech (9-8, 5-6)
          — ranked #58 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #207
          — Experience: #4
          — Continuity: #10
          — Tech lost five of its last seven games overall.
          — Jackets are 5-1 in ACC home games, losing to Virginia.
          — Tech is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#47).

          — Tech won five of last seven series games.
          — Panthers lost their last four visits to Atlanta.

          Miami @ Notre Dame
          Miami (7-11, 3-10)
          — ranked #125 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #203
          — Experience: #240
          — Continuity: #241
          — Miami lost five of its last six games.
          — Hurricanes lost last four road games, all by 12+ points.
          — Miami is shooting 29.4% on arc (#315), has #254 eFG%.

          Notre Dame (8-10, 5-7)
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #258
          — Experience: #46
          — Continuity: #127
          — Notre Dame won five of its last seven games overall.
          — Irish lost three of their five ACC home games.
          — Notre Dame is shooting 39.0% on the arc (#14)

          — Notre Dame won 73-59 at Miami January 24.
          — Teams split last ten series games.
          — Teams also split last four series games played here.

          Minnesota @ Maryland
          Minnesota (13-7, 6-7)
          — ranked #35 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #99
          — Experience: #132
          — Continuity: #189
          — Minnesota is 6-0 at home, 0-7 on road in Big 14 games.
          — Gophers are shooting 29.4% on the arc (#316)
          — Minnesota is 5-7 against top 100 teams.

          Maryland (10-10, 4-9)
          — ranked #41 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #294
          — Experience: #157
          — Continuity: #92
          — Maryland lost four of its last six games.
          — Terps lost four of their six Big 14 home games.
          — Last four games, Maryland scored 57.8 ppg.

          — Maryland won 63-49 at Minnesota January 23.
          — Terps won last five series games.
          — Gophers lost three of last four visits to Maryland.

          Oregon State @ Arizona State
          Oregon State (10-9, 6-7)
          — ranked #122 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #318
          — Experience: #85
          — Continuity: #159
          — Beavers lost their last four road games, scoring 56.0 ppg.
          — Oregon State is shooting 44% inside arc (#324)
          — Beavers are getting 42.0% of their points on foul line (#12).

          Arizona State (6-9, 3-6)
          — ranked #84 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #13
          — Experience: #171
          — Continuity: #152
          — ASU lost seven of its last nine games.
          — Sun Devils lost four of their six Pac-12 home games.
          — ASU is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#42)

          — Sun Devils lost 80-79 in Corvallis January 16.
          — ASU won four of last five series games.
          — Beavers lost their last 11 visits to Tempe.

          Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa
          Valparaiso (8-13, 5-7)
          — ranked #196 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #190
          — Experience: #271
          — Continuity: #100
          — Valpo lost four of its last six games overall.
          — Crusaders won three of its five MVC road games.
          — Valpo is shooting 30.3% on arc (#303).

          Northern Iowa (6-14, 4-10)
          — ranked #184 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #127
          — Experience: #287
          — Continuity: #196
          — UNI lost four of its last five games.
          — Panthers split first three home sets of MVC back/backs.
          — In its last four games, UNI scored 60.8 ppg.

          — Valpo made 11-24 on arc, won 70-57 here yesterday.
          — UNI won five of last seven series games.
          — Crusaders lost three of last four series games played here.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2021, 11:22 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            787UCF -788 CINCINNATI
            CINCINNATI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a win by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

            789ELON -790 COLL OF CHARLESTON
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1997.

            791NORTHEASTERN -792 TOWSON ST
            NORTHEASTERN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

            793MICHIGAN -794 WISCONSIN
            MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the current season.

            795HOFSTRA -796 JAMES MADISON
            HOFSTRA is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

            797TULANE -798 S FLORIDA
            S FLORIDA is 29-14 ATS (13.6 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

            799NEBRASKA -800 PENN ST
            PENN ST is 75-38 ATS (33.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997.

            801LOYOLA-IL -802 DRAKE
            DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

            803MARQUETTE -804 SETON HALL
            MARQUETTE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

            805SACRAMENTO ST -806 CAL BAPTIST
            CAL BAPTIST is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-14-2021, 11:23 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Sunday, February 14


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