Announcement

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 08:19 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Pebble Beach PGA tournament:
15-2— Patrick Cantlay
14-1— Daniel Berger
18-1— Paul Casey
19-1— Will Zalatoris
21-1— Jason Day
23-1— Francesco Molinari, Jordan Spieth

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 468,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) If the Seahawks trade Russell Wilson, I’ll be doing snow angels on my front lawn and I’m not kidding. As a Ram fan, watching them defend Wilson twice a year (3 times this past year) for the last nine seasons hasn’t been fun.

Send him to Las Vegas, the Jets, Houston— anywhere outside the NFC West!!!

12) Last bet I made in Las Vegas was October 2019, Seattle @ Cleveland. Seahawks won 32-28, I had some great pizza at Bonanno’s (around corner from excellent sportsbook at MGM Grand) and all was well with the world. Rooting for Wilson is more fun than rooting against him.

While you were sleeping the other night, I was watching movies and doing research. Here are some trends on how teams who lost a Super Bowl fared the next season:

11) 37 of 54 Super Bowl losers made the playoffs again the next season.

10) 8 of 54 Super Bowl losers made it back to the Super Bowl the next year, going 3-5.

Three teams that won the Super Bowl the year after losing one:
— 1971 Cowboys
— 1972 Dolphins
— 2018 Patriots

9) Last team to lose the Super Bowl 2+ years in a row: the 1990-93 Bills.

8) From 1974-86, the loser of the Super Bowl made the playoffs the next season every year, but went only 2-12 in playoff games.

7) Overall, Super Bowl losers are 32-34 SU in playoff games the following season.

Elsewhere…….
6) There was a 3-way trade in baseball:
— Royals get OF Andrew Benitendi
— Red Sox get OF Franchy Cordero and P prospect Josh Winckowski
— Mets get OF prospect Khalil Lee

5) From what I read/hear on the Interweb, the Houston Texans are a tremendous mess.

Team president Jamey Rootes quit Wednesday, at least in part from tensions over the front office’s recent general manager search. I’ve never heard of this freakin’ guy, but they said on TV that the team’s owner ignored the work the search committee did on finding a new GM. Roones has worked for Houston for 20 years, so his quitting is no small thing.

Rootes’ resignation comes a week after the Texans fired Kevin Krajcovic, director of football administration, as well as equipment manager Mike Parson- they also fired a PR person who had been there for years.

Cal McNair has run the Texans since his father passed away; he got thoroughly ripped on an ESPN talkshow Wednesday, by three ex-NFL players. We’ll see if they wind up trading QB Deshaun Watson, but if I was a Texans’ fan, I’d be pretty queasy right now.

4) Over last two NBA seasons, Dallas Mavericks have lost 23 games by 5 or fewer points, the most of any team in the league.

3) Heard a new TV analyst on ESPNU Wednesday; former North Carolina coach Matt Doherty, who was a pleasant surprise. He spoke his mind, gave out some Dean Smith tidbits, and was generally upbeat and candid.

I’ve said this a lot here; the best announce teams are when you feel like you’re eavesdropping on two friends watching a game. Thats what this was like, so a good hire by ESPN.

2) Washington’s NFL team re-signed QB Taylor Heinicke, I’m guessing to be their backup again next season. Heinicke threw for 306 yards in Washington’s playoff game last month; you would think they’ll try to acquire a bigger name to start next year, but Heinicke proved he belongs in the league.

1) Weird season in college basketball; Kentucky is 5-13, Duke is 7-8. Michigan State is 4-7 in conference games. March is going to be a very interesting month.

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 11

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 08:41 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, February 11

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 08:43 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 11

Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Georgia Southern (12-9, 6-6)
— ranked #265 by KenPom
— Tempo: #212
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #333
— Eagles lost three of their last five games overall.
— Georgia Southern is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#302)
— Eagles has #274 eFG% defense in country.

Georgia State (8-5, 2-4)
— ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #126
— Georgia State lost last three games, after an 8-2 start.
— Panthers split their two Sun Belt home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Georgia State is shooting 31.0% on arc (#279)

— State won six of last nine series games.
— Eagles lost five of last six visits to Georgia State.

Utah @ California
Utah (8-7, 5-6)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #16
— Utah won four of last six games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Utes lost three of their five Pac-12 road games.
— Opponents are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#78)

California (7-14, 2-12)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #97
— Cal lost its last six games, four by 8 or fewer points.
— Golden Bears have #307 eFG% defense in country.
— In its last three games, Cal scored 60.3 ppg.

— Cal Bears won 72-63 at Utah January 16.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Utes lost three of last four visits to Berkeley.

Colorado @ Stanford
Colorado (15-5, 9-4)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #93
— Colorado won eight of its last ten games.
— Buffaloes split their six Pac-12 road games.
— Colorado is shooting 37.9% on the arc (#29)

Stanford (12-7, 8-5)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #293
— Continuity: #80
— Stanford won four of its last six games.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#280)
— Stanford split two games they’ve played in Staples Pavilion.

— Stanford lost 77-64 in Boulder January 16.
— Home side won last six series games.
— Buffs lost 75-62/72-64 in last two visits to Palo Alto.

Texas State @ Tex-Arlington
Texas State (13-6, 7-3)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #47
— Bobcats won seven of their last nine games.
— Texas State won five of six Sun Belt road games.
— Bobcats are shooting 39.3% on arc (#10)

Tex-Arlington (11-9, 7-5)
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #262
— UTA won its last three games, giving up 57.3 ppg.
— Mavericks won four of their six Sun Belt home games.
— UTA is shooting only 41.6% inside the arc (#344)

— Tex-Arlington won last five series games.
— Bobcats lost their last ten visits to Arlington.

Iowa State @ Kansas
Iowa State (2-12, 0-9)
— ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #247
— Iowa State is 0-4 SU on Big X road; they covered all four games.
— Cyclones allowed 78.8 ppg in their last eight conference games.
— Iowa State’s two wins are over teams ranked #352/#285

Kansas (13-7, 7-5)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #108
— Kansas is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
— Jayhawks are 5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS as Big X home favorites.
— Big X opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#1 of 10)

— Kansas won eight of last ten series games.
— Cyclones lost last 15 visits to Lawrence; four of last five were by 7 or less points.

Troy @ South Alabama
Troy (10-10, 4-6)
— ranked #288 by KenPom
— Tempo: #220
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #273
— Troy lost five of its six Sun Belt road games.
— Trojans are shooting 45% inside arc (#309), 27.6% on arc (#338)
— Troy is 4-0 in Sun Belt if they allow 62 or fewer points, 0-6 when they don’t.

South Alabama (12-8, 6-5)
— ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #292
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #325
— Jaguars won last four games, last three by 6-4-3 points.
— USA is getting 37.3% of its points on arc (#40)
— Jaguars are 0-4 in Sun Belt if they allow 68+ points, 6-1 otherwise.

— South Alabama won last four series games.
— Trojans lost last two visits here, 81-75/78-63.

Oregon State @ Arizona
Oregon State (10-8, 6-6)
— ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #161
— Beavers lost last three road games, scoring 54.3 ppg.
— OSU is getting 22.7% of their points on foul line (#23).
— Oregon State is shooting 44.1% inside the arc (#323).

Arizona (13-6, 7-6)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #323
— Arizona lost three of its last four games.
— Wildcats split their six Pac-12 home games (3-3 as HF)
— Arizona is a top 20 rebounding team in country.

— Arizona crushed Oregon State 98-64 in Corvallis January 14.
— Wildcats won nine of last ten series games
— Beavers lost their last eight visits to Tucson.

Purdue @ Minnesota
Purdue (13-7, 8-5)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #331
— Continuity: #112
— Purdue won six of its last eight games.
— Boilers are #331 experience team that has played schedule #8.
— 46.5% of opponents’ shots have been 3’s (#342- they’ve made 32.4% #126)

Minnesota (12-7, 5-7)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #189
— Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.
— Gophers are 5-1 at home in Big 14 (lost to Maryland)
— Minnesota is shooting 29.4% on arc (#309)

— Gophers lost 81-61 at Purdue January 30.
— Purdue won six of last nine series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Oregon @ Arizona State
Oregon (10-4, 5-3)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #300
— Ducks lost three of their last five games.
— Oregon is 2-1 on Pac-12 road; their last road game was January 9.
— Pac-12 opponents are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#11 of 12)

Arizona State (6-8, 3-5)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #160
— This is ASU’s first game in 12 days.
— Sun Devils won last two games, after an 0-6 skid.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#26).

— Oregon won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Ducks lost 78-64/77-72 in last two visits to Tempe.

Eastern Kentucky @ Belmont
Eastern Kentucky (15-4, 9-3)
— ranked #178 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #298
— Continuity: #187
— Colonels won their last four road games.
— EKU is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#6)
— Colonels’ three OVC losses are by 13-15-12 points.

Belmont (20-1, 14-0)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #200
— Bruins won their last 17 games- their loss was December 5.
— Four of their last six wins were by 13+ points.
— Belmont is shooting 62.2% inside arc (#2)

— Belmont won last 11 series games.
— EKU lost last four visits here, last two by 26-31 points.

UNLV @ Boise State
UNLV (8-9, 5-5)
— ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #258
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #286
— UNLV lost eight of nine top 100 games.
— Rebels are 1-4 in true road games (won at Kansas State)
— UNLV gets only 14% of its points on foul line (#332).

Boise State (14-4, 10-3)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #73
— Continuity: #243
— Boise lost 3 of last 4 games, after a 13-1 start.
— Broncos are 5-0 in MW home games; all wins were by 11+ points.
— Boise is 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

— Boise won nine of last 13 series games.
— Rebels lost six of their last seven visits to Boise.

USC @ Washington
USC (13-3, 6-3)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #190
— Continuity: #324
— USC won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Trojans are 4-1 on Pac-12 road, winning by 8-16-4-9 points.
— Opponents are shooting 41.5% inside arc (#4).

Washington (3-14, 2-10)
— ranked #165 by KenPom
— Tempo: #69
— Experience: #118
— Continuity: #196
— Washington lost last three games, by 15-20-12 points.
— Huskies are 2-3 in Pac-12 home tilts, beating Colorado/Utah.
— Washington is in bottom 15 in country on the defensive boards.

— Huskies lost 95-68 at USC January 14.
— Teams split last 14 series games.
— USC lost 75-62/72-40 in last two visits to Seattle.

UCLA @ Washington State
UCLA (13-4, 9-2)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #258
— Continuity: #13
— UCLA lost its last two road games, at Stanford/USC.
— 8 of their last 10 games were decided by 5 or less points or in OT.
— In their last two games, Bruins scored 57-48 points.

Washington State (11-8, 4-8)
— ranked #114 by KenPom
— Tempo: #189
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #208
— Wazzu lost 3 of 4 Pac-12 home games (beat Oregon State).
— Coogs do have the #24 eFG% defense in country.
— Wazzu is turning ball over 21.4% of the time (#284)

— Coogs lost 91-61 in Pauley Pavilion January 14.
— UCLA won seven of last eight series games.
— Bruins lost four of their last six visits to Pullman.

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 08:45 AM

705E CAROLINA -706 TEMPLE
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a game with 9 or less assists in the last 3 seasons.

707PORTLAND -708 PACIFIC
PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

709GA SOUTHERN -710 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since 1997.

711COASTAL CAROLINA -712 APPALACHIAN ST
APPALACHIAN ST is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses since 1997.

713UTAH -714 CALIFORNIA
Mark Fox is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog (Coach of CALIFORNIA)

713UTAH -714 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

717COLORADO -718 STANFORD
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

721IOWA ST -722 KANSAS
IOWA ST is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) as a road dog of 12.5-15 since 1997.

723E WASHINGTON -724 MONTANA ST
MONTANA ST is 38-70 ATS (-39 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

725CINCINNATI -726 MEMPHIS
CINCINNATI is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 09:54 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 11

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by Shawn View Post

Why don't i get long trend and Dunkel trend sheet.

I don't know Shawn. I just checked your account and you are set to display images. Those 3 posts are screenshots and should be showing up.

Do you use an ad blocker? If so, try turning it off and see if those screenshots show up. Let me know.

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/11

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/11

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