Announcement

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 08:12 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Arkansas 81, Kentucky 80- Hogs end an 8-game losing skid at Kentucky.
— Notre Dame 93, Duke 89— Blue Devils lost six of last eight games.
— Michigan State 60, Penn State 58— Spartans held PSU scoreless over last 3:18.
— Pistons 122, Nets 111— Brooklyn lost four of last five games.
— Jazz 122, Celtics 108— Utah is 9-0-1 ATS in its last ten home games.
— West Virginia 82, Texas Tech 71— Tech coach Beard got tossed in last minute.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 463,584
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Big 14 is moving its conference tournament from Chicago to Indianapolis; going to be a lot of basketball played in Indiana next month. Having everything in one state makes it easier, as far as keeping up with all the COVID protocols.

12) Several years ago, I was sitting at an AAU basketball tournament, sitting next to a guy who was a great small college coach, so I picked his brain a little, because thats how we get smarter- you ask people questions who are smarter than you.

I asked him what he looked for when he went to tournaments like this one, with dozens of games mostly being played by kids we had never seen before.

“What is their college skill?” he replied. What can he do at the college level that will make him an effective college player. I had once recommended a player to him and the kid played really well for his team, so he was generous with his ideas and I learned a lot.

11) Trying to figure out a reason the underdog is 10-4 ATS in last fourteen Super Bowls. There doesn’t have to be a reason, but would be nice to know underdogs are covering so much.

10) Patrick Mahomes is having surgery Wednesday for turf toe, which is a sprain of the big toe joint. More serious than it sounds; it ended the career of the great Steeler LB, Jack Lambert.

9) Missouri Tigers are 13-3 this season, 6-3 in the SEC; their coach is Cuonzo Martin, who was a very good player at Purdue. He’s had an interesting career as a coach.

— 2008-11— Missouri State 26-28 in MVC games, 50-21 overall the last two years
— 2011-14— Tennessee 32-20 in SEC games, made Sweet 16 his 3rd year, then he bolted.
— 2014-17— California 29-27 in Pac-12 games, lost his only NCAA game.
— 2017-now—Missouri 28-35 in SEC games, lost his only NCAA game.

— This is his 4th coaching stop; this year is the first time he’s been at the same school four years in a row.
— He won two state titles as a high school player, teammates with LaPhonso Ellis.
— He played in only seven NBA games; he went to the G-League and to an Italian League- he was later diagnosed with lymphoma, which thankfully went into remission.

— As a college coach, Martin is 8-3 in first game of a conference tournament, 2-6 in the second game, 0-2 in third game. He is 3-3 in NCAA tourney games, partly because Mercer upset Duke in the 2014 first round, which gave his Tennessee team a much easier 2nd round game.

Missouri will be a prominent team when the brackets come out in a month or so; they’re #6 experience team in country, which seems to be an important thing in this unusual season.

8) I do lot of work with trends when giving out information on games; I’m seriously wondering how much this year’s trends mean? How similar/different is this season to most seasons? How much does having no fans in the stands affect the games?

7) I mentioned this briefly last week, but it deserved more attention than that; Toronto’s Fred VanVleet scored 54 points in a game last week, the most points EVER by an NBA player who was not drafted.

VanVleet was a really good player at Wichita State, but he is (listed at) 6-1 and doesn’t look like a prototype NBA athlete, but he can really play. He’s in his 5th NBA season, and is scoring over 20.0 ppg this season. Good for him.

6) Watching a replay of a Golden State-Dallas game Tuesday, was laughing listening to Jeff Van Gundy going off on a tangent about Law and Order: SVU— “Why would any parent send their kid to Hudson University? There was a crime there every week!!!”

Van Gundy is a very good coach, but I hope he stays on TV; he is fun to listen to.

5) In that game, Draymond Green had 13 rebounds, six steals, six assists….before he scored a point. Thats why he was such a great part of the Warriors’ title teams; he did a lot of the hard work that led to Steph Curry/Klay Thompson scoring a ton of points.

All great teams have players who get a lot of loose balls, play tough defense, pass the ball well, make their teammates better players.

4) Green Bay Packers wanted to hire Jim Leonhard as their defensive coordinator; he has that job at Wisconsin now, but he turned the Packers down. Green Bay then turned to Joe Barry, who was a linebackers coach for the Rams, but left there when they didn’t name him DC.

3) Miami Marlins signed OF Adam Duvall for one year, $4.5M.

2) RIP to coach Marty Schottenheimer, who passed away this week at age 77; he played in the AFL for six years (Bills/Patriots), was a head coach for 21 years, going 200-126-1 in regular season games, only 5-13 in playoff games.

The last year he coached was 2006; he is the only guy ever to get fired after going 14-2, which he did with the ’06 Chargers. RIP, coach.

1) Happy birthday to the great actor Joe Pesci, who turned 78 earlier this week; everyone has different likes/dislikes, but My Cousin Vinny is my favorite Pesci movie.

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 08:16 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 10

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 08:19 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 10

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 08:21 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 10

UConn @ Providence
UConn (8-4, 5-4)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #150
— UConn lost three of its last four games overall.
— Huskies won three of their last four road games.
— UConn is grabbing 37.7% of its missed shots (#5)

Providence (9-10, 5-8)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #220
— Providence lost three in row, seven of last nine games.
— Friars lost three of their last four home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Three of their last five wins came in overtime.

Furman @ NC-Greensboro
Furman (12-6, 6-3)
— ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #14
— Furman lost three of its last five games.
— Paladins are shooting 60.6% inside arc (#3)
— Furman is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#47)

NC-Greensboro (13-6, 8-3)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #173
— Experience: #190
— Continuity: #89
— Greensboro won seven of its last eight games.
— Spartans won last three home games, by 14-13-17 points.
— In last three losses, Greensboro was held to 61-45-49 points.

— Furman hammered the Spartans 68-49 at home Monday.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Teams also split last four series games played here.

Pepperdine @ San Francisco
Pepperdine (8-8, 4-3)
— ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #63
— Waves won four of their last six games.
— Opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#324)
— Pepperdine lost six of its seven top 100 games.

San Francisco (10-8, 4-4)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #166
— This is USF’s first game in 18 days.
— Dons lost last two home games, to BYU/Saint Mary’s.
— Over half the shots they take (50.3%) are 3-pointers.

— San Francisco won 7 of last 8 series games.
— Waves lost last four visits here, by 21-7-12-2 points.

Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers (11-6, 7-6)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #10
— Rutgers won its last four games, giving up 58.8 ppg.
— Scarlet Knights split their six Big 14 road games.
— Rutgers is shooting 60.1% on foul line (#344)

Iowa (13-6, 7-5)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #93
— Experience: #213
— Continuity: #50
— Iowa lost four of its last five games.
— Hawkeyes’ last three losses were all by 5 or fewer points.
— Iowa has #22 eFG% in country (#16 on arc, #48 inside arc)

— Iowa won 77-75 at Rutgers January 2nd.
— Iowa is 7-2 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
— Scarlet Knights lost three of four visits here, losing by 34-6-5 points.

Wake Forest @ Boston College
Wake Forest (5-8, 2-8)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #277
— Wake split its last four games, after an 0-6 skid.
— Deacons are 0-6 on ACC road, with four losses by 9+ points.
— Wake is shooting 45.2% inside arc in ACC games (#15 of 15)
— This is Deacons’ first game in eight days.

Boston College (3-11, 1-7)
— ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #63
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #198
— Eagles lost six of their last seven games.
— BC lost four of five ACC home games, losing by 38-12-12-16 points.
— Opponents are shooting 56.3% inside arc (#332)

— BC won three of last four series games.
— Wake lost 77-71/77-70 in last two visits here.

Virginia @ Georgia Tech
Virginia (13-3, 9-1)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #157
— Virginia won nine of its last ten games.
— Cavaliers’ only ACC loss was 65-51 at Virginia Tech January 30.
— Virginia is shooting 39.8% on arc (#7)

Georgia Tech (9-6, 5-4)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #9
— Yellow Jackets are 5-0 at home, 0-4 on road in ACC tilts.
— Tech lost three of its last five games overall.
— Tech is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in ACC games (#1 of 15)

— Tech lost 64-62 at Virginia on January 23.
— Virginia won last seven series games.
— Cavaliers won 64-48/63-58 in last two visits here.

Bradley @ Valparaiso
Bradley (10-11, 4-8)
— ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #277
— Experience: #228
— Continuity: #203
— Bradley lost seven of its last eight games.
— Three of their last four losses were by 3 or less points, or in OT.
— Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside the arc (#10).

Valparaiso (7-12, 4-6)
— ranked #203 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #104
— Valpo lost three of its last four games- they upset Drake Sunday.
— Crusaders lost four of their six MVC home games.
— Valpo has #286 eFG% in country (29.1% on arc, #315)

— Bradley led by 14 early, lost 91-85 in double OT here on January 28.
— Home side won last seven series games.
— Braves lost their last four visits here

Northern Iowa @ Drake
Northern Iowa (6-12, 4-8)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #290
— Continuity: #191
— UNI won three of its last five games, after a 2-10 start.
— Panthers are 1-5 on Valley road; they split pair at SIU.
— UNI has #284 eFG% defense in country.

Drake (18-1, 9-1)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #179
— Drake lost for the first time this season on Sunday
— Bulldogs are 4-0 in Valley home games, winning by 18-31-2-35 points.
— Drake has trailed by 10+ points at some point in 5 of last 11 games.

— UNI won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Panthers lost two of last three visits to Drake.

Georgia @ Tennessee
Georgia (12-6, 5-6)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #257
— Georgia won its last three games, scoring 85 ppg.
— Dawgs are turning ball over 23.1% of time in SEC play (#13 of 14)
— Georgia is 2-3 in SEC road games, losing by 2-30-24 points.

Tennessee (13-4, 6-4)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #94
— Tennessee won three of its last four games.
— Vols have #15 eFG% defense.
— Tennessee is turning ball over 23.5% of time (#15).

— Georgia won six of last eight series games.
— Home side won last four series games.
— Dawgs lost 66-61/96-50 in last two visits here.

Rhode Island @ Saint Louis
Rhode Island (9-11, 6-7)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #306
— Rams lost their last three games, scoring 60.3 ppg.
— URI is 2-4 on A-14 road, winning at VCU/LaSalle
— Rams are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#276)

Saint Louis (8-3, 1-2)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #17
— Saint Louis lost three of its last five games, after a 6-0 start.
— Billikens have #23 eFG% in country (#30 on arc, #41 inside arc)
— Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#29)

— URI won six of last eight series games.
— Rams won five of last six visits to Saint Louis.

Indiana @ Northwestern
Indiana (10-8, 5-6)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #82
— Hoosiers lost four of their last seven games.
— Indiana split their last four road games; last one was January 21.
— Hoosiers’ last three games were decided by total of 10 points.

Northwestern (6-10, 3-9)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #111
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #46
— Northwestern lost its last nine games.
— Wildcats lost last three home games, by 25-23-8 points.
— Northwestern’s last three losses were by 3-8-5 points.

— Home side won last eight series games.
— Indiana lost its last three visits to Evanston, by 7-13-7 points.

Missouri @ Ole Miss
Missouri (13-3, 6-3)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #8
— Mizzou won three in row, six of last seven games.
— Tigers won three of their five SEC road games.
— Mizzou has #36 eFG% defense in country.

Ole Miss (10-8, 5-6)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #208
— Ole Miss won its last two games, by 2 points each.
— Rebels are shooting 27.9% on arc (#336)
— Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 24.8% of time (#7).

— Ole Miss won 12 of last 14 series games.
— Tigers lost six of last seven visits to Oxford, last two by 8-10 points.

LSU @ Mississippi State
LSU (11-6, 6-4)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #76
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #128
— LSU lost four of its last five games.
— Tigers lost three of five SEC road games.
— LSU is shooting 53.6% inside arc (#54)

Mississippi State (11-9, 5-6)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #304
— Continuity: #253
— Miss State lost four of its last six games.
— Bulldogs lost three of their five SEC home games.
— Miss State is turning ball over 21.2% of the time (#280)

— LSU won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 08:23 AM

643CONNECTICUT -644 PROVIDENCE
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

645FURMAN -646 UNC-GREENSBORO
FURMAN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls in the last 3 seasons.

647TULANE -648 TULSA
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

649PEPPERDINE -650 SAN FRANCISCO
PEPPERDINE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

651OLD DOMINION -652 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

653WICHITA ST -654 UCF
UCF is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the last 3 seasons.

655RUTGERS -656 IOWA
RUTGERS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

657HOUSTON -658 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) after playing a game as favorite in the last 3 seasons.

659E TENN ST -660 THE CITADEL
E TENN ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

661VMI -662 W CAROLINA
VMI is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 10:02 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 10

**Shawn** · 02-10-2021, 01:26 PM

Why don't i get long trend and Dunkel trend sheet.

**Udog** · 02-10-2021, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by Shawn View Post

Why don't i get long trend and Dunkel trend sheet.

I don't know Shawn. I just checked your account and you are set to display images. Those 3 posts are screenshots and should be showing up.

Do you use an ad blocker? If so, try turning it off and see if those screenshots show up. Let me know.

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Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/10

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/10

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