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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, February 9

    Good Luck on day #40 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Kansas 78, Oklahoma State 66— Jayhawks win for third time in last eight games.
    — Ohio State 73, Maryland 65— Buckeyes win their fifth game in a row.
    — Gonzaga 82, BYU 71— Zags are 19-0, with three regular season games left.
    — Colorado 78, Oregon State 49— NFL ref Bill Vinovich worked this game.
    — Mercer 89, Samford 82, 2OT— Mercer was 13-31 on arc, Samford 3-20
    — Tenn-Martin 76, Austin Peay 75— Skyhawks were a 12-point underdog.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 463,584
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

    13) Former Raiders/Seahawks’ coach Tom Flores got elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame over the weekend; he seems like a good guy, won two Super Bowls. Congratulations.

    Flores was 83-53 (.610) as coach of the Raiders, but in the nine years before he was their head coach, the Raiders were 91-31-6 (.746). Flores’ had an 8-3 record in playoff games, won two Super Bowls, which got him inducted. Fair enough.

    I’ll repeat myself here:
    Flores with Oakland 83-53 (.610)
    9 years before that, Raiders were 91-31-6 (.746).

    He later coached the Seahawks for three years, going 14-34.

    12) I bring this up because if Tom Flores gets inducted into the Hall of Fame, then Dick Vermeil should get inducted, too. Here is Coach Vermeil’s resume:

    1976-82— Eagles 54-47 (53.5%), won NFC title in his 5th year
    8 years before that, Eagles were: 33-74-5 (30.8%)

    1997-99— Rams 22-26 (45.8%), won Super Bowl in his 3rd year
    7 years before that, Rams were 34-76 (30.9%)

    2001-05— Chiefs 44-36 (.550)
    3 years before that, Chiefs were 23-25 (.479)

    It is a lot harder to turn around a losing program and make them champs. Coach Vermeil got to the Super Bowl with two franchises that were dumpster fires when he got there. It is time he got his day and was inducted into the Hall of Fame.

    11) Houston Texans hired David Culley as their new head coach; he was the QB coach for Buffalo in Josh Allen’s rookie year, 2018. He’s never been an NFL coordinator.

    Brian Daboll hasn’t gotten a head coaching job yet; he has been Buffalo’s offensive coordinator the last three years.

    If you watched Josh Allen play in 2018, then watched him play this year, how on God’s green earth could you hire the QB coach from back then, and not Daboll, who has helped Allen’s skill level progress exponentially? It is nonsensical!!!!

    10) Robert Morris College made a pretty big jump up in college basketball this year, moving from the NEC to the Horizon League, jumping from the 29th-ranked league to league #19.

    Things aren’t going well; the Colonials are 2-11 vs D-I teams, 2-9 in Horizon League, losing their last eight games in a row. But four of their last seven losses came in overtime; including their last three home games.

    Seems like this is a rough year for anything new in college basketball; changing leagues means all new road trips, and it is a much better league, with new, tougher opponents. Robert Morris went 24-12 in the NEC the last two years; sounds like they need to step up their recruiting some.

    9) You look at the college basketball top 25, and none of these teams are ranked:
    Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, UCLA

    Last time these five teams were unranked at the same time? 1961.

    8) Tampa Bay RB Leonard Fournette scored a TD in all four of Tampa Bay’s playoff games this year, joining Terrell Davis (1997), Larry Fitzgerald (2008) as only players to score a TD in four playoff games in the same season.

    7) How is Ben Simmons a career 56.4% shooter on the foul line? The guy is one of the best passers I’ve ever seen, he’s a really, really good player but he can’t shoot- go figure.

    6) Speaking of shooting, I heard yesterday that Stephen Curry turns 33 years old next month; time flies, doesn’t it? Can still remember sitting in Graney’s Bar on New Scotland Avenue, watching his Davidson team play in the NCAAs. Hard to believe it was 13 years ago.

    Quick aside; if you’re ever in Albany, Graney’s is an excellent sports bar. Lot of TV’s, good food and the bartenders are very attractive. Very good place to watch ballgames.

    5) Baseball stuff:
    — Cardinals signed C Yadier Molina for one year, $9M
    — Angels signed DH Shohei Ohtani for two years, $8.5M.

    4) Washington State suspended its starting QB after the kid was arrested for DUI; he went thru a stop sign, then drove the wrong way down a one-way street. Not good.

    3) The great basketball scout Tom Konchalski passed away Monday at age 74, after a battle with cancer. He was widely praised as a kind and trusted counselor, a historian of New York-area basketball and he has been remembered by many as a great friend. When you’re from New York City and get praised as being a nice person, you KNOW he was a nice person.

    2) On national TV Sunday, Jeff Van Gundy/Mark Jackson were praising Mr Konchalski- Rutgers hired Van Gundy as an assistant coach, largely on Konchalski’s recommendation to Bob Wenzel, who was the Scarlet Knights’ coach back then. Mark Jackson was a great high school player in NYC, and also spoke highly of Mr Konchalski.

    1) Long time ago, November 2000, I was.a lucky enough to be an assistant coach at Schenectady HS; our team drove south and scrimmaged Christ the King in the Bronx. Mr Konchalski was there; he was a great gym rat, and he knew the top-flight recruits for sure, but he also studied the D-3 level players. He just loved basketball, and was a basketball encyclopedia. RIP, sir.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-09-2021, 01:13 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, February 9


      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Tuesday, February 9


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        Trend Report
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        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Tuesday, February 9


          Notre Dame @ Duke
          Notre Dame (7-10, 4-7)
          — ranked #61 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #262
          — Experience: #45
          — Continuity: #125
          — Notre Dame won four of its last six games.
          — Irish won two of last three road tilts, at Miami/Pitt.
          — In its last three games, Notre Dame scored 81 ppg.

          Duke (7-7, 5-5)
          — ranked #35 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #120
          — Experience: #343
          — Continuity: #248
          — Duke lost five of its last seven games.
          — Blue Devils are 4-5 in top 100 games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — ACC opponents are shooting 40.6% on arc (#15 of 15)

          — Duke won 75-65 at Notre Dame December 16.
          — Duke won last seven series games.
          — Teams split last four meetings played here.

          Syracuse @ NC State
          Syracuse (10-6, 4-5)
          — ranked #55 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #110
          — Experience: #244
          — Continuity: #74
          — Syracuse lost its last four road games, giving up 84 ppg.
          — Orangemen are worst team in ACC on defensive boards.
          — Syracuse is 4-6 vs top 100 teams.

          NC State (8-7, 4-6)
          — ranked #71 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #137
          — Experience: #194
          — Continuity: #102
          — Wolfpack lost six of its last eight games.
          — State is 3-2 SU in ACC home games, losing to Virginia/Miami.
          — ACC opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#14 of 15)

          — NC State lost 76-73 at Syracuse, nine days ago.
          — Wolfpack won three of last four series games.
          — Syracuse lost two of last three visits to Raleigh.

          Alabama @ South Carolina
          Alabama (15-5, 10-1)
          — ranked #8 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #9
          — Experience: #141
          — Continuity: #152
          — Alabama lost two of last three games, after a 14-3 start.
          — Crimson Tide scored 71+ points in last 11 wins; 61-65 in last two losses.
          — Alabama has #16 eFG% defense in country.

          South Carolina (5-7, 3-5)
          — ranked #84 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #15
          — Experience: #214
          — Continuity: #26
          — Gamecocks lost five of their last seven games.
          — Carolina has #247 eFG% in country (#256 on arc, #324 on foul line)
          — Gamecocks force turnovers 22.3% of time (#33)

          — Alabama won last five series games.
          — Crimson Tide won 90-86OT/68-62 in last two visits here.

          Arkansas @ Kentucky
          Arkansas (14-5, 6-4)
          — ranked #27 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #21
          — Experience: #239
          — Continuity: #336
          — Arkansas won four of its last five games overall.
          — Razorbacks lost four of their last five road games.
          — Arkansas is 5-0 in SEC games if they allow 73 or fewer points. 1-4 if they allow more.

          Kentucky (5-12, 4-6)
          — ranked #57 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #219
          — Experience: #341
          — Continuity: #343
          — Kentucky lost three in row, six of last seven games.
          — Kentucky has #308 eFG% in country (46.5% inside arc, #276).
          — #341 experience team playing schedule #5 isn’t a good combination.

          — Kentucky won last eight series games.
          — Razorbacks lost their last eight visits to Lexington.

          Penn State @ Michigan State
          Penn State (7-8, 4-7)
          — ranked #30 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #130
          — Experience: #46
          — Continuity: #53
          — Penn State won four of its last six games.
          — PSU is 0-6 on Big 14 road, with three losses by 4 or fewer points.
          — Opponents are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#320)

          Michigan State (9-7, 3-7)
          — ranked #62 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #131
          — Experience: #196
          — Continuity: #85
          — Spartans lost four of last five, 7 of last 10 games.
          — MSU split its four Big 14 home games, beating Rutgers/Nebraska.
          — Spartans are shooting 48.3% inside arc (#232)

          — Penn State won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
          — Nittany Lions lost four of last five visits to East Lansing.

          Texas @ Kansas State
          Texas (11-5, 5-4)
          — ranked #17 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #148
          — Experience: #132
          — Continuity: #3
          — Texas lost five of its last six games, after a 10-1 start.
          — In their last three games, Longhorns gave up 79.3 ppg.
          — Overall for season, Texas has #14 eFG% defense in country.

          Kansas State (5-15, 1-10)
          — ranked #207 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #321
          — Experience: #336
          — Continuity: #284
          — K-State lost its last ten games- their last win was December 29.
          — Wildcats are turning ball over 23.1% of time (#325)
          — K-State has #332 eFG% defense in country.

          — K-State lost 82-67 at Texas January 16.
          — Longhorns won four of last five series games.
          — Texas won 67-47/70-59 in last two visits here.

          Auburn @ Vanderbilt
          Auburn (10-10, 4-7)
          — ranked #59 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #36
          — Experience: #346
          — Continuity: #314
          — Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 87.7 ppg.
          — Tigers lost four of their six SEC road games, beating Georgia/USC
          — Auburn is shooting 54.6% inside arc in SEC games (#1 of 14)

          Vanderbilt (5-9, 1-7)
          — ranked #130 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #182
          — Experience: #279
          — Continuity: #81
          — Vandy lost seven of its last eight games.
          — Commodores have #321 eFG% defense in country.
          — Vandy is 1-3 in SEC home games, losing by 21-3-19 points.

          — Auburn won last three series games, by 12-11-4 points.
          — Tigers lost seven of last eight visits to Nashville.

          West Virginia @ Texas Tech
          West Virginia (13-5, 6-3)
          — ranked #19 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #150
          — Experience: #143
          — Continuity: #31
          — Mountaineers won four of their last five games.
          — West Virginia won its last three road games.
          — WVU is shooting 44.1% inside arc in Big X games (#10 of 10)

          Texas Tech (14-5, 6-4)
          — ranked #16 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #291
          — Experience: #271
          — Continuity: #245
          — Tech won its last three games, by 5-5-11 points.
          — Tech lost three of its five conference home games.
          — Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 24.9% of time (#7)

          — Tech lost 88-87 in Morgantown January 25- they led by 12 with 7:11 left.
          — West Virginia won three of last four series games.
          — Mountaineers lost their last four visits to Lubbock.

          Creighton @ Georgetown
          Creighton (14-5, 10-4)
          — ranked #20 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #127
          — Experience: #42
          — Continuity: #20
          — Creighton won four of its last five games.
          — Bluejays are 6-1 on Big East road, losing in OT at Butler.
          — Creighton is shooting 57.4% inside arc (#9)

          Georgetown (5-9, 3-6)
          — ranked #96 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #134
          — Experience: #53
          — Continuity: #244
          — Hoyas won two of last three games, after a 3-8 start.
          — Georgetown is 2-2 at home in Big East, beating St John’s/Providence.
          — Hoyas are shooting 47.8% inside arc (#247).

          — Hoyas upset Creighton 86-79 in Omaha, six nights ago.
          — Creighton won six of last eight series games.
          — Bluejays lost five of last seven visits to Georgetown.

          Iowa State @ TCU
          Iowa State (2-11, 0-8)
          — ranked #132 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #91
          — Experience: #163
          — Continuity: #254
          — Cyclones’ only two wins are over teams #352/#284
          — Iowa State lost its last seven games, last two by 4-7 points.
          — Cyclones’ three Big X road losses are by 5-6-7 points.

          TCU (10-7, 3-5)
          — ranked #97 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #247
          — Experience: #318
          — Continuity: #142
          — TCU lost five of its last six games.
          — TCU is 1-3 in Big X home games, losing by 29-18-4 points.
          — Horned Frogs are turning ball over 20.5% of time (#238)

          — TCU won five of last six series games.
          — Cyclones lost their last four visits to Fort Worth.

          St John’s @ Butler
          St John’s (15-4, 9-4)
          — ranked #68 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #12
          — Experience: #263
          — Continuity: #163
          — Johnnies won their last six games, after a 7-7 start.
          — Red Storm won their last four road games.
          — St John’s is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#21)

          Butler (6-10, 5-8)
          — ranked #99 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #327
          — Experience: #204
          — Continuity: #239
          — Butler lost three of its last four games.
          — Bulldogs are 3-9 vs top 100 teams.
          — Butler has #257 eFG%, #286 eFG% defense.

          — Butler lost 69-57 at St John’s January 12.
          — Teams split last six series games.
          — St John’s lost its last four visits to Hinkle Fieldhouse.

          VCU @ Dayton
          VCU (13-4, 6-2)
          — ranked #58 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #78
          — Experience: #302
          — Continuity: #280
          — VCU won its last three games, giving up 65.7 ppg.
          — Rams are 4-1 on A-14 road, losing at St Bonaventure.
          — VCU is forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#5)

          Dayton (12-7, 6-5)
          — ranked #107 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #237
          — Experience: #107
          — Continuity: #227
          — Dayton won six of its last eight games.
          — Flyers won their last four home games.
          — Dayton is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#274).

          — VCU hammered Dayton 66-43 at home, 17 days ago.
          — VCU won five of last seven series games.
          — Rams lost four of last five visits to Dayton.

          LaSalle @ St Bonaventure
          LaSalle (8-11, 5-7)
          — ranked #173 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #169
          — Experience: #291
          — Continuity: #138
          — LaSalle lost six of its last nine games.
          — Explorers are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#288).
          — Opponents are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#293)

          St Bonaventure (9-2, 7-2)
          — ranked #51 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #281
          — Experience: #116
          — Continuity: #29
          — Bonnies won seven of their last eight games.
          — They’re 4-0 in A-14 home games, winning by 26-14-16-17 points.
          — Bonnies have #34 eFG% defense in country.

          — Bonnies won three of last four series games.
          — Explorers lost last two visits here, by 18-2 points.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-09-2021, 01:15 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            601W MICHIGAN -602 BUFFALO
            W MICHIGAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

            603S ALABAMA -604 GEORGIA ST
            S ALABAMA is 31-17 ATS (12.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

            605JAMES MADISON -606 UNC-WILMINGTON
            JAMES MADISON is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

            607NOTRE DAME -608 DUKE
            DUKE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

            609BALL ST -610 C MICHIGAN
            C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

            611SYRACUSE -612 NC STATE
            NC STATE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

            613ALABAMA -614 S CAROLINA
            ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

            617PENN ST -618 MICHIGAN ST
            PENN ST is 47-19 ATS (26.1 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997.

            619KENT ST -620 BOWLING GREEN
            BOWLING GREEN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

            621TEXAS -622 KANSAS ST
            KANSAS ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-09-2021, 01:16 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Tuesday, February 9


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