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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 8

    Good Luck on day #39 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Indiana 67, Iowa 65— Hawkeyes lost four of last five games.
    — Valparaiso 74, Drake 57— Drake (18-1) loses for first time this year.
    — Cincinnati 64, Temple 61– Bearcats outscored Owls 21-11 over final 9:57
    — Nevada 73, Boise State 62— Why isn’t Steve Alford the coach at Indiana?
    — Villanova 84, Georgetown 74— Under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 22-41 in Big East.
    — Kings 113, Clippers 110— Sacramento won 7 of its last 8 games.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up Super Bowl Sunday

    13) Coming into this season, in Tampa Bay’s entire franchise history, they had a 6-9 record in playoff games, and they had even won a Super Bowl before.

    Summing that up, the Buccaneers had won six playoff GAMES. Tom Brady had six Super Bowl rings, making him a pretty solid upgrade over the previous Tampa Bay starter, Jameis Winston.

    12) Tom Brady now has seven Super Bowl rings. Tampa Bay has 10 playoff wins.

    11) Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9:
    — Teams combined to convert only 7-25 third down plays.
    — Penalties in first half: Chiefs 8 for 95 yards, Tampa Bay one for 5 yards.

    10) Tell your statistics to shut up: Chiefs outgained Tampa Bay, 350-340.

    Chiefs gained 64-65-48 yards on last three drives, after the issue had been decided.

    9) On their first seven drives, Tampa Bay scored four TD’s and were stopped on the 1-yard line on another drive.

    8) On the drive where the Chiefs stopped Tampa Bay on the 1-yard line, Bucs threw a pass on 2nd down to OL Joe Haeg- it was broken up by a defender. No offensive lineman has ever scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl- he could’ve been the first.

    7) Good trivia question: who was Tampa Bay’s backup QB?

    Playing for his 4th NFL team in four years, it was Blaine Gabbert, who has a 13-35 career record as an NFL starter, mostly with Jacksonville. He looked happier as hell on the sidelines near the end of Sunday’s game. Super Bowl rings are hard to find, unless you stumble onto one at a Las Vegas pawn shop, or if you’re Vladimir Putin.

    Quick side story: Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft does business in Russia; he met Putin once, and took off his Super Bowl ring to show Putin, who then stuck the ring in his pocket and quickly walked away, never to be seen again. Seriously, that really happened.

    6) Jerry Greene of Detroit News covered his 55th consecutive Super Bowl Sunday; he is the only media member to cover every Super Bowl.

    5) Chiefs’ over/under for the game was 3.5 touchdowns; they didn’t score one. Kansas City had three drives in the red zone, scored on only one of those drives, a field goal.

    4) If you have a friend/relative who went all in wagering on the Chiefs Sunday, you might want to avoid them for a few days- they could be looking for a loan.

    3) We mentioned couple of times over weekend that over the last 27 years, Super Bowl teams who were a #3 or lower seed in their conference were 10-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls; now we can make that 11-0-1 ATS. Not really sure why that is true; guess it speaks to teams gaining a lot of momentum/confidence as they get rolling in the playoffs.

    2) Odds to win the Super Bowl next year:
    11-2— Kansas City
    9-1— Green Bay
    11-1— Tampa Bay
    12-1— Baltimore, Buffalo

    1) Elsewhere, Brooks Koepka chipped in for eagle on the 17th hole to win the Phoenix Open; it was his second eagle of the day, when he shot a 6-under par 65.

    Comment


    • #3
      841QUINNIPIAC -842 FAIRFIELD
      QUINNIPIAC is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games since 1997.

      845SMU -846 E CAROLINA
      SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

      847UNC-GREENSBORO -848 FURMAN
      UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

      849SAMFORD -850 MERCER
      SAMFORD is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games in the last 3 seasons.

      851MIAMI -852 N CAROLINA
      N CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.

      853OREGON ST -854 COLORADO
      OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games in the current season.

      855AUSTIN PEAY -856 TENN-MARTIN
      AUSTIN PEAY is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

      857NEBRASKA -858 MINNESOTA
      MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

      859AIR FORCE -860 UNLV
      AIR FORCE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

      861OHIO ST -862 MARYLAND
      MARYLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Monday, February 8


        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Monday, February 8


          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Monday, February 8


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            Trend Report
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            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, February 8


              Quinnipiac @ Fairfield
              Quinnipiac (5-6, 3-4)
              — ranked #254 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #85
              — Experience: #316
              — Continuity: #162
              — Yesterday was Quinnipiac’s first game in 15 days.
              — Opponents are shooting 41.1% inside arc (#3)
              — Bobcats lost four of five games played away from home.

              Fairfield (3-13, 3-8)
              — ranked #336 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #322
              — Experience: #183
              — Continuity: #214
              — Yesterday was Fairfield’s first game in 22 days.
              — Stags lost eight of their last ten games.
              — You’re reading ***************.com
              — Fairfield has #326 eFG% in country (44.5% inside arc, #316)

              — Quinnipiac won 78-63 here Sunday, making 11-22 on the arc.
              — Bobcats won last four series games.
              — Quinnipiac won five of its last six visits here.

              Eastern Kentucky @ SIU-Edwardsville
              Eastern Kentucky (14-4, 8-3)
              — ranked #176 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #4
              — Experience: #297
              — Continuity: #189
              — EKU lost its last two games, giving up 94-76 points.
              — Three of Colonels’ last five wins came in OT.
              — EKU is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#3)

              SIU-Edwardsville (7-9, 5-5)
              — ranked #306 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #153
              — Experience: #182
              — Continuity: #265
              — Cougars lost three of their last four games, all at home.
              — SIU-E lost five of six games vs teams ranked in top 200.
              — Cougars are turning ball over 23.9% of time (#335)

              — SIU-E won three of last four series games.
              — EKU lost their last four visits to Edwardsville

              SMU @ East Carolina
              SMU (10-4, 6-4)
              — ranked #58 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #160
              — Experience: #49
              — Continuity: #56
              — Mustangs won four of their last six games.
              — SMU is 3-2 on AAC road, losing at Memphis/Houston.
              — Opponents are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#18)

              East Carolina (8-7, 2-7)
              — ranked #135 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #198
              — Experience: #135
              — Continuity: #8
              — ECU lost six of its last seven games, but the win was over Houston.
              — Pirates are 2-3 in AAC home games, losing by 6-27-9 points.
              — East Carolina has #282 eFG% in country.

              — Pirates lost 70-55 at SMU December 16, after leading 13-5 early on.
              — SMU won 12 of last 13 series games.
              — Mustangs won three of last four visits to ECU.

              Samford @ Mercer
              Samford (6-8, 2-5)
              — ranked #251 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #11
              — Experience: #57
              — Continuity: #340
              — This is Samford’s first game in 19 days.
              — Samford lost five of its last six games.
              — Bulldogs are 2-4 on road; they’re only team that beat Belmont.

              Mercer (10-7, 3-6)
              — ranked #157 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #133
              — Experience: #108
              — Continuity: #253
              — Mercer lost its last three games, by 13-6-3 points.
              — Bears split their four SoCon home games SU.
              — Mercer has #22 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #27).

              — Mercer is 12-0 vs Samford in SoCon meetings.
              — Bulldogs lost last six visits here; three of last four were by 6 or fewer points.

              NC-Greensboro @ Furman
              NC-Greensboro (13-5, 8-2)
              — ranked #108 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #192
              — Experience: #189
              — Continuity: #89
              — Spartans won their last seven games.
              — UNCG was held to 61-45 points in its two SoCon losses.
              — Spartans won last seven road games- they lost at Coppin State .December 10

              Furman (13-7, 8-5)
              — ranked #99 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #163
              — Experience: #105
              — Continuity: #14
              — Paladins had 19-game home winning streak snapped Saturday.
              — Furman lost three of its last four games overall.
              — Paladins are shooting 60.1% inside arc (#3)

              — UNCG won six of last eight series games.
              — Spartans won three of last four visits here.

              Miami @ North Carolina
              Miami (7-11, 3-10)
              — ranked #120 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #208
              — Experience: #240
              — Continuity: #24
              — Miami lost five of its last six games.
              — Hurricanes lost last four road tilts, three of them by 22+ points.
              — Miami split last two games, both decided by a basket.

              North Carolina (12-6, 7-4)
              — ranked #40 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #76
              — Experience: #323
              — Continuity: #149
              — Carolina won seven of its last nine games.
              — Tar Heels have #235 eFG%; they’re grabbing 40% of their missed shots (#2)
              — Quick turnaround after they beat Duke, always their most important game.

              — Tar Heels won 67-65 in Miami January 5.
              — North Carolina won last five series games.
              — Miami lost last two visits to Chapel Hill, by 3-23 points.

              Oregon State @ Colorado
              Oregon State (10-7, 6-5)
              — ranked #116 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #325
              — Experience: #84
              — Continuity: #159
              — Beavers are 5-2 at home, 1-3 on road in Pac-12 games, with losses by 4-13-5 points.
              — Oregon State is shooting 44.7% inside arc (#311)
              — Beavers are 1-3 on road, with only win at #41 Oregon.

              Colorado (14-5, 8-4)
              — ranked #18 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #271
              — Experience: #28
              — Continuity: #92
              — Buffaloes won seven of their last nine games.
              — Colorado was up 19-2 on Arizona Saturday, hung on to win by 3.
              — Buffs’ last three losses were by 3-4-3 points.

              — Teams split last eight series games.
              — Beavers won their last two visits to Boulder.

              Austin Peay @ Tenn-Martin
              Austin Peay (11-7, 7-5)
              — ranked #189 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #269
              — Experience: #234
              — Continuity: #130
              — Governors lost three of their last four games.
              — All five starters played 33:00+ in Saturday’s OT loss to Morehead St.
              — Austin Peay has #327 eFG% defense in country.

              Tenn-Martin (6-11, 4-9)
              — ranked #347 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #234
              — Experience: #224
              — Continuity: #339
              — Skyhawks are 3-2 in last five games, after an 0-9 skid.
              — UTM is 0-8 vs top 200 teams, with six losses by 20+ points.
              — Opponents are shooting 58.1% inside arc (#340)

              — Austin Peay won last six series games.
              — Governors won last three visits here, by 2-2-11 points.

              Nebraska @ Minnesota
              Nebraska (4-9, 0-6)
              — ranked #123 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #27
              — Experience: #100
              — Continuity: #318
              — Nebraska lost by 10 at Michigan State Saturday, its first game in 22 days.
              — Cornhuskers lost their last eight D-I games, six of them by 10+ points.
              — Nebraska has #295 eFG% (#285 on arc, #269 inside arc)

              Minnesota (11-7, 4-7)
              — ranked #42 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #107
              — Experience: #135
              — Continuity: #187
              — Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
              — Gophers are 4-1 at home, 0-6 on road in Big 14 games.
              — Minnesota has #286 eFG% in country.

              — Teams split last eight series games.
              — Cornhuskers lost six of last seven visits here, losing last two by 7-32 points.

              Air Force @ UNLV
              Air Force (4-13, 2-11)
              — ranked #325 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #354
              — Experience: #120
              — Continuity: #223
              — Air Force lost its last six games, scoring 59.3 ppg.
              — Falcons are 1-4 on Mountain West road, losing by 17-19-11-10 points.
              — Opponents are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#341)

              UNLV (7-9, 4-5)
              — ranked #139 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #248
              — Experience: #258
              — Continuity: #285
              — UNLV lost three of its last four games.
              — Rebels won four of five MW home games- they split with Utah State.
              — UNLV is getting 39.9% of its points on the arc (#14)

              — Rebels won here Saturday, 68-58; Air Force was 15-32 on arc, UNLV 2-14.
              — UNLV won six of last seven series games.
              — Air Force lost last seven series games played here.

              Ohio State @ Maryland
              Ohio State (15-4, 9-4)
              — ranked #8 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #266
              — Experience: #98
              — Continuity: #179
              — Buckeyes won four in row, seven of last eight games.
              — Ohio State won last four road games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
              — Buckeyes are 5-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

              Maryland (10-9, 4-8)
              — ranked #44 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #307
              — Experience: #159
              — Continuity: #93
              — Maryland split last six Big 14 games, after a 1-5 start.
              — Terrapins lost four of seven Big 14 home games.
              — In their last three games, Maryland scored only 55.3 ppg.

              — Maryland won three of last four series games.
              — Buckeyes lost last four visits to College Park.

              Oklahoma State @ Kansas
              Oklahoma State (12-5, 5-5)
              — ranked #34 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #66
              — Experience: #320
              — Continuity: #286
              — Cowboys won five of their last seven games.
              — Oklahoma State won three of their last four road games.
              — Cowboys played four starters 40:00+ in Saturday’s OT win over Texas.
              — Freshman star Cunningham was 5-22 from floor in Saturday’s game.

              Kansas (12-7, 6-5)
              — ranked #27 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #186
              — Experience: #265
              — Continuity: #112
              — Kansas lost five of its last seven games.
              — Jayhawks are 4-1 in Big 14 home games.
              — Kansas is grabbing 32% of its own missed shots (#64).

              — Jayhawks lost 75-70 in Stillwater January 12.
              — Kansas is 4-3 in last seven series games.
              — Cowboys lost their last 13+ games in Lawrence.

              Gonzaga @ BYU
              Gonzaga (18-0, 9-0)
              — ranked #2 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #7
              — Experience: #255
              — Continuity: #182
              — Gonzaga has eight top 100 wins, only one in last eight games.
              — Four of their five WCC road wins were by 18+ points.
              — Gonzaga is shooting 64.7% inside arc (#1)

              BYU (15-4, 6-2)
              — ranked #37 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #206
              — Experience: #79
              — Continuity: #273
              — BYU won six of seven games since the Gonzaga loss.
              — Cougars are 6-3 in top 100 games this season.
              — BYU is shooting 55.5% inside the arc (#28)

              — BYU lost 86-69 at Gonzaga January 7.
              — Gonzaga won six of last seven series games.
              — Zags won five of last six visits here, but lost 91-78 here LY.

              San Jose State @ San Diego State
              San Jose State (5-11, 3-9)
              — ranked #314 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #26
              — Experience: #221
              — Continuity: #239
              — San Jose won its last three games, after an 0-11 start vs D-I teams.
              — Spartans are 0-7 vs top 100 teams, with six losses by 27+ points.
              — Opponents are shooting 56.1% inside arc (#328)

              San Diego State (13-4, 7-3)
              — ranked #22 by KenPom
              — Tempo: #290
              — Experience: #14
              — Continuity: #152
              — This is Aztecs’ first game in nine days.
              — San Diego State won its last four games, all by 27+ points.
              — Aztecs are forcing turnovers 23.2% of the time (#17)

              — San Diego State won five in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
              — Spartans lost last six visits here, five of them by 15+ points.

              Comment

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