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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, February 8

    Good Luck on day #39 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Indiana 67, Iowa 65— Hawkeyes lost four of last five games.
    — Valparaiso 74, Drake 57— Drake (18-1) loses for first time this year.
    — Cincinnati 64, Temple 61– Bearcats outscored Owls 21-11 over final 9:57
    — Nevada 73, Boise State 62— Why isn’t Steve Alford the coach at Indiana?
    — Villanova 84, Georgetown 74— Under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 22-41 in Big East.
    — Kings 113, Clippers 110— Sacramento won 7 of its last 8 games.

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 460,311
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up Super Bowl Sunday

    13) Coming into this season, in Tampa Bay’s entire franchise history, they had a 6-9 record in playoff games, and they had even won a Super Bowl before.

    Summing that up, the Buccaneers had won six playoff GAMES. Tom Brady had six Super Bowl rings, making him a pretty solid upgrade over the previous Tampa Bay starter, Jameis Winston.

    12) Tom Brady now has seven Super Bowl rings. Tampa Bay has 10 playoff wins.

    11) Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9:
    — Teams combined to convert only 7-25 third down plays.
    — Penalties in first half: Chiefs 8 for 95 yards, Tampa Bay one for 5 yards.

    10) Tell your statistics to shut up: Chiefs outgained Tampa Bay, 350-340.

    Chiefs gained 64-65-48 yards on last three drives, after the issue had been decided.

    9) On their first seven drives, Tampa Bay scored four TD’s and were stopped on the 1-yard line on another drive.

    8) On the drive where the Chiefs stopped Tampa Bay on the 1-yard line, Bucs threw a pass on 2nd down to OL Joe Haeg- it was broken up by a defender. No offensive lineman has ever scored a touchdown in the Super Bowl- he could’ve been the first.

    7) Good trivia question: who was Tampa Bay’s backup QB?

    Playing for his 4th NFL team in four years, it was Blaine Gabbert, who has a 13-35 career record as an NFL starter, mostly with Jacksonville. He looked happier as hell on the sidelines near the end of Sunday’s game. Super Bowl rings are hard to find, unless you stumble onto one at a Las Vegas pawn shop, or if you’re Vladimir Putin.

    Quick side story: Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft does business in Russia; he met Putin once, and took off his Super Bowl ring to show Putin, who then stuck the ring in his pocket and quickly walked away, never to be seen again. Seriously, that really happened.

    6) Jerry Greene of Detroit News covered his 55th consecutive Super Bowl Sunday; he is the only media member to cover every Super Bowl.

    5) Chiefs’ over/under for the game was 3.5 touchdowns; they didn’t score one. Kansas City had three drives in the red zone, scored on only one of those drives, a field goal.

    4) If you have a friend/relative who went all in wagering on the Chiefs Sunday, you might want to avoid them for a few days- they could be looking for a loan.

    3) We mentioned couple of times over weekend that over the last 27 years, Super Bowl teams who were a #3 or lower seed in their conference were 10-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls; now we can make that 11-0-1 ATS. Not really sure why that is true; guess it speaks to teams gaining a lot of momentum/confidence as they get rolling in the playoffs.

    2) Odds to win the Super Bowl next year:
    11-2— Kansas City
    9-1— Green Bay
    11-1— Tampa Bay
    12-1— Baltimore, Buffalo

    1) Elsewhere, Brooks Koepka chipped in for eagle on the 17th hole to win the Phoenix Open; it was his second eagle of the day, when he shot a 6-under par 65.

    Comment


    • #3
      563TORONTO -564 MEMPHIS
      MEMPHIS are 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite since 1996.

      565WASHINGTON -566 CHICAGO
      WASHINGTON is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

      567GOLDEN STATE -568 SAN ANTONIO
      GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

      571CLEVELAND -572 PHOENIX
      PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.

      573MILWAUKEE -574 DENVER
      MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

      575OKLAHOMA CITY -576 LA LAKERS
      LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Monday, February 8


        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Monday, February 8


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          HOUSTON (11 - 11) at CHARLOTTE (11 - 13) - 2/8/2021, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          HOUSTON is 139-103 ATS (+25.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
          HOUSTON is 114-77 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 60-92 ATS (-41.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 202-253 ATS (-76.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          TORONTO (10 - 13) at MEMPHIS (9 - 9) - 2/8/2021, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TORONTO is 3-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          TORONTO is 3-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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          WASHINGTON (5 - 15) at CHICAGO (9 - 13) - 2/8/2021, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WASHINGTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          CHICAGO is 8-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GOLDEN STATE (12 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (13 - 10) - 2/8/2021, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN ANTONIO is 1136-1009 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 579-490 ATS (+40.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 58-28 ATS (+27.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          SAN ANTONIO is 323-263 ATS (+33.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN ANTONIO is 3-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
          SAN ANTONIO is 4-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (6 - 17) at DALLAS (10 - 14) - 2/8/2021, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 5-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 5-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CLEVELAND (10 - 14) at PHOENIX (13 - 9) - 2/8/2021, 9:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CLEVELAND is 232-282 ATS (-78.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
          CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 183-226 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          PHOENIX is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHOENIX is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
          PHOENIX is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (15 - 8) at DENVER (12 - 10) - 2/8/2021, 9:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 297-358 ATS (-96.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 87-138 ATS (-64.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 111-88 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 99-78 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
          DENVER is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OKLAHOMA CITY (10 - 12) at LA LAKERS (18 - 6) - 2/8/2021, 10:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-10 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          LA LAKERS are 182-226 ATS (-66.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          LA LAKERS is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Monday, February 8


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            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Houston @ Charlotte
            Houston
            Houston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Charlotte
            Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Charlotte
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

            Washington @ Chicago
            Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
            Chicago
            Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
            Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

            Toronto @ Memphis
            Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
            Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
            Memphis
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games at home
            Memphis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

            Minnesota @ Dallas
            Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
            Minnesota is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Dallas
            Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
            Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

            Golden State @ San Antonio
            Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
            Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
            San Antonio
            San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
            San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

            Cleveland @ Phoenix
            Cleveland
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
            Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
            Phoenix
            Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

            Milwaukee @ Denver
            Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
            Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
            Denver
            Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

            Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers
            Oklahoma City
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
            Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
            LA Lakers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
            LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, February 8


              Houston @ Charlotte
              Rockets (11-11)
              — Houston won seven of its last nine games (6-3 ATS).
              — Rockets covered five of their last six road games.
              — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

              Hornets (11-13)
              — Charlotte won four of its last six games.
              — Hornets are 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
              — Over is 10-2 in Charlotte’s last 12 games.

              — Houston won 7 of last 8 series games (4-2-2 ATS)
              — Rockets are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
              — Three of last four series games went over.

              Washington @ Chicago
              Wizards (5-15)
              — Wizards lost nine of their last 12 games.
              — Washington is 1-5 SU/ATS in last six road games.
              — Under is 4-1 in Wizards’ last five road games.

              Bulls (9-13)
              — Chicago lost five of its last seven games (2-5 ATS)
              — Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
              — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

              — Chicago won/covered last three series games.
              — Wizards covered once in last four visits to Chicago.
              — Six of last nine series games went over the total.

              Toronto @ Memphis
              Raptors (10-13)
              — Toronto won/covered three of their last four games.
              — Raptors are 4-8 SU on road (5-3 ATS in last eight road games)
              — Last five Toronto games went over the total.

              Grizzlies (9-9)
              — Memphis lost its last three games, giving up 122.3 ppg.
              — Grizzlies are 3-5-1 ATS at home this season.
              — Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

              — Toronto won six of last seven series games (7-0 ATS)
              — Raptors are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
              — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

              Minnesota @ Dallas
              Timberwolves (6-17)
              — Minnesota lost 11 of its last 14 games.
              — Wolves are 3-0-1 ATS in last four road games.
              — Five of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.
              — Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID) is still out.

              Mavericks (10-14)
              — Dallas lost seven of its last nine games (1-8 ATS).
              — Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in last six home games.
              — Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 Dallas games.

              — Dallas won five of last six series games.
              — Minnesota covered once in its last five visits to Dallas.
              — Four of last six series games went over.

              Golden State @ San Antonio
              Warriors (12-11)
              — Golden State is 6-2 ATS in game following its last eight losses.
              — Warriors are 4-6 SU on road, 4-6 ATS.
              — Over is 4-1 in Golden State’s last five road games.

              Spurs (13-10)
              — San Antonio won five of its last seven games overall.
              — Spurs are 5-7 ATS in their last dozen home games.
              — Over is 3-1 in Spurs’ last four home games.

              — Spurs won five of last eight series games.
              — Warriors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
              — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

              Cleveland @ Phoenix
              Cavaliers (10-14)
              — Cleveland lost seven of its last nine games.
              — Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
              — Five of Cavaliers’ last seven games stayed under the total.

              Suns (13-9)
              — Phoenix won five of its last six games.
              — Suns won/covered their last three home games.
              — Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

              — Cleveland won eight of last nine series games.
              — Cavaliers covered once in last five visits to Phoenix.
              — Four of last six series games went over.

              Milwaukee @ Denver
              Bucks (15-8)
              — Milwaukee won four in row, six of its last eight games.
              — Bucks are 5-7 ATS on the road this year.
              — Under is 6-3 in Milwaukee’s last nine road games.

              Nuggets (12-10)
              — Denver lost three of their last four games.
              — Nuggets covered three of their last four home tilts.
              — Over is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight games.

              — Nuggets won six of last eight series games.
              — Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
              — Four of last six series games went over.

              Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers
              Thunder (9-12)
              — Thunder are 4-3 SU in last seven games.
              — OKC is 8-3 ATS on the road this season.
              — Under is 6-4-1 in their road games.

              Lakers (17-6)
              — Lakers won four in row, seven of last nine games SU.
              — Lakers are 4-6 ATS as a home favorite.
              — Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

              — Lakers won four of last five series games.
              — Thunder covered three of last four series games played here.
              — Four of last five series games went over.

              Comment


              • #8

                Comment


                • #9
                  Hoop Trends for Monday February 8
                  Vince Akins

                  ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Milwaukee at Denver (9:35 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Bucks are 10-0 ATS (10.70 ppg) off a win as a road favorite in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

                  ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Washington at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Bulls are 0-11 ATS (-13.41 ppg) at home coming off a win as a favorite.

                  OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Milwaukee at Denver (9:35 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Nuggets are 11-0 OU (14.09 ppg) as a home dog off a road loss.

                  OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Toronto at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Grizzlies are 0-14 OU (-17.86 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

                  Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                  Comment

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