Announcement

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:15 AM

You grow up the day you have your first real laugh at yourself.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:15 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Miami 77, Duke 75— Duke is 7-6, 5-4 in ACC, an underdog to make NCAA’s.
— Loyola 70, Missouri State 50— Ramblers won their last eight games.
— Drake 95, Illinois State 60— Bulldogs are 17-0, 8-0 in the Valley.
— Wofford 67, East Tennessee 62— Terriers take over first place in SoCon.
— Phoenix 109, Dallas 108— Chris Paul scored 34 for the 11-8 Suns.
— Kings 118, Pelicans 109— Sacramento outscored NO 31-15 in 4th quarter.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 442,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Here’s a question to debate with your friends:

If there was a new football league with every player ever playing IN HIS PRIME, and you had the first pick of all the quarterbacks, who would you take?

Elway? Montana? Brady? Marino? Fouts? Peyton Manning?

Its an interesting question. Brady has accomplished the most, in terms of championships/wins in playoff games; does that make him better than all the other quarterbacks?

12) What makes a great quarterback? I’ve discussed/argued about this with several people for years, it is part of what makes sports so much fun.

We watch NFL games every Sunday, and some things are obvious:
— Accuracy
— Mobility
— Arm strength
— Toughness

Here’s the thing; a lot of what makes a quarterback great are things that we, the average fan, cannot see:

— Do his teammates believe in him?
— Is he receptive to coaching?
— Does he make the proper reads?

NFL teams are worth an average of $3B apiece, so this is a $100B business. Teams go about that business in different ways, for better or worse.

11) Over the weekend, an adventurous gambler wagered $4,000 on the Carolina Panthers to win the Super Bowl NEXT YEAR. At 75-1 odds, the gambler will bank $300,000 if he wins, but the casino gets to hold that $4,000 for over a year.

When I saw that betting ticket on Twitter, the conspiracy theorist in me suspected that Deshaun Watson was getting traded to Carolina, that’s the only way the bet makes a lot of sense, because their odds would drop dramatically if they upgraded from Teddy Bridgewater to Watson at QB.

10) Nolan Arenado’s contract has six years and $199M left on it; Colorado is sending St Louis around $50M along with Arenado, who right now can be a free agent after the 2021 season.

Colorado is expected to get five prospects in return; reality of this is that it is a depressing time to be a Rockies’ fan. Trust me, I know, being an Oakland A’s fan.

Next rung on the depression ladder will be when Colorado trades SS Trevor Story.

9) CBS is going to have 120 cameras working during the Super Bowl. Lot of cameras.

8) Green Bay Packers fired their special teams coach; now they’ve fired defensive coordinator Mike Pettine, who had been in Green Bay for three years.

7) Jason Witten joins Philip Rivers as NFL players who retired and instantly became a high school football coach. Witten is the new coach at Liberty Christian School in Dallas. He also had offers to become an NFL assistant, but he wants to spend more time with his family.

6) Baylor’s basketball team has eight players who have red-shirted, which means sitting out a year, either because they transferred, were hurt, or just wanted to get bigger/stronger. College athletes have five years to play for; red-shirting is more prevalent in football.

It also means that Baylor’s team is a little older than most of their competitors.

5) More baseball stuff:
— Indians gave OF Eddie Rosario $8M for one year.
— Phillies gave Didi Gregorius $28M for two years.

4) Random question: Can you remember a 26-year old QB who made the playoffs three out of his first five years but still got dumped by his team? I mean, Jared Goff is 42-23 as a starter the last four years and he gets traded, while lesser QB’s on cruddy teams keep their job.

A friend suggested Drew Brees when he moved on from the Chargers to New Orleans, but he was coming off of shoulder surgery; Miami’s team doctor suggested they pass on Brees. Detroit sure as hell hopes this move works out as well as when the Saints acquired Brees.

3) Chad Hall is the Buffalo Bills’ WR coach; he played HS ball in the Atlanta area, then went to the Air Force Academy, and later played in 25 NFL games, catching 16 passes, two for TD’s.

When Hall was in high school, one of his school’s rivals had a QB/DB named Sean McVay, who later became a WR at Miami OH and obviously now is the coach of the Rams; the two players became friends, and stayed in contact over the years.

Here’s what makes this relevant; Chad Hall’s sister is…….married to Matthew Stafford.

2) ESPN should be embarrassed about their daytime programming; it isn’t good- they should go back to showing re-runs of the World Series of Poker.

They pay huge money to Mike Greenberg, Stephen A Smith, who get involved in contrived arguments as they spout out their “hot takes”

Monday morning, Greenberg was babbling something about how, if the Stafford/Goff trade doesn’t work out well for the Rams, fingers will start pointing at Sean McVay.

— Under McVay, Rams have had four winning seasons in a row.
— Last time Rams had four winning seasons in a row: 1983-86, under John Robinson
— Before McVay, Rams hadn’t made the playoffs since 2004.

Some people on TV say stupid stuff for attention. No bueno.

1) Strange times we live in:

A Texas police chief accused of cheating on his wife with two different women, neither of whom knew about the other, quit his job after he was arrested on suspicion of faking a marriage annulment he showed to one of the girlfriends.

Oy.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 2

Toronto @ Orlando
Raptors (8-12)
— Toronto lost four of its last seven games.
— Raptors are 3-6 SU on road (3-6 ATS)
— Three of last four Toronto games went over the total.

Magic (8-13)
— Orlando lost 11 of its last 13 games (3-10 ATS)
— Magic is 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games

— Toronto won last nine series games (8-1 ATS)
— Raptors beat Orlando 115-102 in Tampa last nite.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ Brooklyn
Clippers (16-5)
— Clippers won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Clippers are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games.

Nets (13-9)
— Brooklyn won eight of its last 11 games.
— Nets won their last five home games SU.
— 15 of last 16 Brooklyn games went over the total.

— Clippers won seven of last nine series games.
— LA is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Six of last seven series games went over.

Memphis @ Indiana
Grizzlies (9-6)
— Memphis won its last seven games (6-0-1 ATS).
— Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS on the road.
— Last three Memphis road games went over the total.

Pacers (11-9)
— Indiana is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Pacers are 1-5 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games overall.

— Pacers won five of last six series games.
— Grizzlies covered once in last four visits to Indiana
— Six of last seven series games went over.

Portland @ Washington
Trailblazers (10-9)
— Portland is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
— Blazers are 6-3 ATS on road this season.
— Over is 5-1 in Portland’s last six games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out.

Wizards (4-12)
— Wizards lost six of their last eight games.
— Washington is 2-6 SU at home (3-5 ATS)
— Over is 8-3 in Wizards’ last eleven games.

— Portland won/covered last three series games.
— Blazers covered four of last five visits to Washington.
— Six of last nine series games went over.

Detroit @ Utah
Pistons (5-15)
— Detroit lost six of its last eight games.
— Pistons are 1-8 SU/3-5-1 ATS on the road
— Over is 6-3 in Detroit’s last nine games overall.

Jazz (15-5)
— Utah won/covered 10 of its last 11 games.
— Jazz won/covered their last seven home games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six Utah games.

— Jazz won last nine series games.
— Pistons are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Golden State
Celtics (10-8)
— Boston lost five of their last seven games.
— Celtics are 1-3 SU/ATS in their last four road games.
— Last three Boston games stayed under the total.

Warriors (11-9)
— Golden State won/covered three of last four games.
— Warriors are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Three of Golden State’s last four home games went over.

— Boston won last three series games.
— Celtics covered four of last five visits to the Bay Area.
— Last nine series games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:28 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 2

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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Orlando
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 9 games at home

LA Clippers @ Brooklyn
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 16 games

Memphis @ Indiana
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Memphis
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

Portland @ Washington
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Portland

Boston @ Golden State
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Boston

Detroit @ Utah
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games on the road
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 10:20 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 2

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 10:22 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 2

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MEMPHIS (9 - 6) at INDIANA (11 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 183-144 ATS (+24.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 185-138 ATS (+33.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (8 - 12) at ORLANDO (8 - 13) - 2/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (16 - 5) at BROOKLYN (13 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 15) at UTAH (15 - 5) - 2/2/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (10 - 8) at GOLDEN STATE (11 - 9) - 2/2/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (10 - 9) at WASHINGTON (4 - 12) - 2/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 349-410 ATS (-102.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 145-187 ATS (-60.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 11:15 AM

549MEMPHIS -550 INDIANA
INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

551TORONTO -552 ORLANDO
TORONTO is 185-142 ATS (28.8 Units) in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days since 1996.

553LA CLIPPERS -554 BROOKLYN
LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

555DETROIT -556 UTAH
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

557BOSTON -558 GOLDEN STATE
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

579PORTLAND -580 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 229-282 ATS (-81.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% since 1996.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 11:17 AM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday February 2
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Indiana (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS (17.45 ppg) when they are off two straight games in which they had twice as many assists as turnovers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Washington (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-13-1 ATS (-7.11 ppg) as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard was not their high scorer.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Utah (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 12-0 OU (11.54 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 0-10-1 OU (-11.09 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Jayson Tatum was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 11:21 AM

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

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