Announcement

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:13 AM

You grow up the day you have your first real laugh at yourself.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:13 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Miami 77, Duke 75— Duke is 7-6, 5-4 in ACC, an underdog to make NCAA’s.
— Loyola 70, Missouri State 50— Ramblers won their last eight games.
— Drake 95, Illinois State 60— Bulldogs are 17-0, 8-0 in the Valley.
— Wofford 67, East Tennessee 62— Terriers take over first place in SoCon.
— Phoenix 109, Dallas 108— Chris Paul scored 34 for the 11-8 Suns.
— Kings 118, Pelicans 109— Sacramento outscored NO 31-15 in 4th quarter.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 442,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Here’s a question to debate with your friends:

If there was a new football league with every player ever playing IN HIS PRIME, and you had the first pick of all the quarterbacks, who would you take?

Elway? Montana? Brady? Marino? Fouts? Peyton Manning?

Its an interesting question. Brady has accomplished the most, in terms of championships/wins in playoff games; does that make him better than all the other quarterbacks?

12) What makes a great quarterback? I’ve discussed/argued about this with several people for years, it is part of what makes sports so much fun.

We watch NFL games every Sunday, and some things are obvious:
— Accuracy
— Mobility
— Arm strength
— Toughness

Here’s the thing; a lot of what makes a quarterback great are things that we, the average fan, cannot see:

— Do his teammates believe in him?
— Is he receptive to coaching?
— Does he make the proper reads?

NFL teams are worth an average of $3B apiece, so this is a $100B business. Teams go about that business in different ways, for better or worse.

11) Over the weekend, an adventurous gambler wagered $4,000 on the Carolina Panthers to win the Super Bowl NEXT YEAR. At 75-1 odds, the gambler will bank $300,000 if he wins, but the casino gets to hold that $4,000 for over a year.

When I saw that betting ticket on Twitter, the conspiracy theorist in me suspected that Deshaun Watson was getting traded to Carolina, that’s the only way the bet makes a lot of sense, because their odds would drop dramatically if they upgraded from Teddy Bridgewater to Watson at QB.

10) Nolan Arenado’s contract has six years and $199M left on it; Colorado is sending St Louis around $50M along with Arenado, who right now can be a free agent after the 2021 season.

Colorado is expected to get five prospects in return; reality of this is that it is a depressing time to be a Rockies’ fan. Trust me, I know, being an Oakland A’s fan.

Next rung on the depression ladder will be when Colorado trades SS Trevor Story.

9) CBS is going to have 120 cameras working during the Super Bowl. Lot of cameras.

8) Green Bay Packers fired their special teams coach; now they’ve fired defensive coordinator Mike Pettine, who had been in Green Bay for three years.

7) Jason Witten joins Philip Rivers as NFL players who retired and instantly became a high school football coach. Witten is the new coach at Liberty Christian School in Dallas. He also had offers to become an NFL assistant, but he wants to spend more time with his family.

6) Baylor’s basketball team has eight players who have red-shirted, which means sitting out a year, either because they transferred, were hurt, or just wanted to get bigger/stronger. College athletes have five years to play for; red-shirting is more prevalent in football.

It also means that Baylor’s team is a little older than most of their competitors.

5) More baseball stuff:
— Indians gave OF Eddie Rosario $8M for one year.
— Phillies gave Didi Gregorius $28M for two years.

4) Random question: Can you remember a 26-year old QB who made the playoffs three out of his first five years but still got dumped by his team? I mean, Jared Goff is 42-23 as a starter the last four years and he gets traded, while lesser QB’s on cruddy teams keep their job.

A friend suggested Drew Brees when he moved on from the Chargers to New Orleans, but he was coming off of shoulder surgery; Miami’s team doctor suggested they pass on Brees. Detroit sure as hell hopes this move works out as well as when the Saints acquired Brees.

3) Chad Hall is the Buffalo Bills’ WR coach; he played HS ball in the Atlanta area, then went to the Air Force Academy, and later played in 25 NFL games, catching 16 passes, two for TD’s.

When Hall was in high school, one of his school’s rivals had a QB/DB named Sean McVay, who later became a WR at Miami OH and obviously now is the coach of the Rams; the two players became friends, and stayed in contact over the years.

Here’s what makes this relevant; Chad Hall’s sister is…….married to Matthew Stafford.

2) ESPN should be embarrassed about their daytime programming; it isn’t good- they should go back to showing re-runs of the World Series of Poker.

They pay huge money to Mike Greenberg, Stephen A Smith, who get involved in contrived arguments as they spout out their “hot takes”

Monday morning, Greenberg was babbling something about how, if the Stafford/Goff trade doesn’t work out well for the Rams, fingers will start pointing at Sean McVay.

— Under McVay, Rams have had four winning seasons in a row.
— Last time Rams had four winning seasons in a row: 1983-86, under John Robinson
— Before McVay, Rams hadn’t made the playoffs since 2004.

Some people on TV say stupid stuff for attention. No bueno.

1) Strange times we live in:

A Texas police chief accused of cheating on his wife with two different women, neither of whom knew about the other, quit his job after he was arrested on suspicion of faking a marriage annulment he showed to one of the girlfriends.

Oy.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:32 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 2

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:34 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:36 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 2

Wake Forest @ Notre Dame
Wake Forest (5-7, 2-7)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #277
— Wake is 0-5 SU on ACC road, but 4-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Deacons won two of last three games, after an 0-6 skid.
— Wake is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#286)

Notre Dame (6-9, 3-6)
— ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #124
— Notre Dame won three of its last four games.
— Notre Dame lost three of its four ACC home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Last six Notre Dame games were all decided by 10+ points.

— Notre Dame won six of last eight series games.
— Deacons lost four of last five visits to South Bend.

Butler @ Marquette
Butler (5-9, 4-7)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #246
— Butler lost its last two games, scoring 51-55 points.
— Bulldogs have #264 eFG% in country.
— Butler is 1-5 SU on Big East road, 2-4 ATS as a road dog.

Marquette (8-9, 4-7)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #175
— Marquette lost last three games, by 7-9-2 points.
— Golden Eagles are 1-5 at home in Big East (beat Providence)
— Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside arc (#10)

— Marquette won three of last four series games.
— Butler lost last two visits to Milwaukee, 79-69/76-57

Georgia @ Auburn
Georgia (10-6, 3-6)
— ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #258
— Georgia is 1-3 SU on SEC road (2-2 ATS as road dog)
— Dawgs are turning ball over 22.4% of time (#311)
— Georgia grabs 36% of their own missed shots (#11).

Auburn (10-7, 4-5)
— ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #314
— Auburn won four of its last six games.
— Tigers are shooting 53.8% inside arc in SEC play (#1 of 14)
— 46% of Auburn’s shots are 3’s (#24)

— Auburn won 95-77 at Georgia January 13.
— Tigers won six of last seven series games.
— Dawgs lost last three visits to Auburn, by 14-15-22 points.

Michigan State @ Iowa
Michigan State (8-6, 2-6)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #84
— MSU lost its last three games, scoring 51 ppg.
— Spartans are 1-4 on Big 14 road, with four losses by 14+ points.
— Michigan State lost six of its nine top 100 games.

Iowa (12-4, 6-3)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #204
— Continuity: #45
— Iowa lost last two games, giving up 81-80 points
— Hawkeyes have #17 eFG% in country (#23 on arc, #38 inside arc)
— Only 3 of Iowa’s 16 games were decided by fewer than 11 points.

— Michigan State won last five series games.
— Spartans won four of last five visits to Iowa City.

Penn State @ Wisconsin
Penn State (6-7, 3-6)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #46
— Continuity: #53
— Penn State won 3 of last 4 games, after an 0-6 skid.
— Lions are 0-5 SU on Big 14 road, 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Opponents are shooting 56.8% inside arc (#330)

Wisconsin (13-5, 7-4)
— ranked #295 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #160
— Continuity: #246
— Badgers split last six games, after a 10-2 start.
— Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Badgers have #42 eFG% defense in country.

— Badgers lost 81-71 at Penn State Saturday.
— Wisconsin won last 14 series games.
— Nittany Lions lost their last 12 visits to Madison.

North Carolina @ Clemson
North Carolina (7-5, 5-3)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #150
— Carolina won three in row, six of last seven games.
— UNC is rebounding 40.9% of its missed shots (#2)
— In their last three games, Tar Heels scored 80.3 ppg.

Clemson (10-5, 4-5)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #97
— Clemson lost four of its last five games, scoring 56.6 ppg.
— Tigers are 3-1 in ACC home games, losing by 35 to Virginia.
— Clemson is shooting 29.1% on arc in ACC games (#15 of 15)

— UNC won 11 of last 13 series games, but lost 2 of last 3.
— Tar Heels won five of last six visits to Clemson.

Baylor @ Texas
Baylor (16-0, 8-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #151
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #42
— Baylor is 3-2 ATS as a Big X road favorite.
— Bears are shooting 43.4% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 26.0% of time (#5)

Texas (11-3, 5-2)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #3
— Texas lost two of its last three games (losses by 1-2).
— Longhorns lost two of their last three home games.
— Texas has #8 eFG% defense in country.

— Baylor won three in row, nine of last ten series games.
— Bears won four of last five visits to Austin.

Tennessee @ Ole Miss
Tennessee (12-3, 5-3)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #231
— Continuity: #91
— Vols allowed 57.3 ppg in last four wins, 73 ppg in their losses.
— Tennessee is 2-1 on road this year, losing 75-49 at Florida.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 23.8% of time (#12).

Ole Miss (8-8, 3-6)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #192
— Rebels lost five of their last seven games.
— Ole Miss allowed 52.3 ppg in its SEC wins, 75.3 ppg in losses.
— Rebels split their four SEC home games, losing by 4-4 points.

— Tennessee won last five series games.
— Vols won last two visits to Oxford, 73-65/73-71.

Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Mississippi State (10-8, 4-5)
— ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #252
— Bulldogs lost three of their last four games.
— Miss State is grabbing 37.7% of their own missed shots (#6).
— Bulldogs are shooting 48.7% inside arc (#219)

Arkansas (13-5, 5-4)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #335
— Arkansas won three of last four games, scoring 79.5 ppg.
— Razorbacks won last three home games, by 30-2-15 points.
— 15 of their 18 games were decided by 11+ points.

— Miss State won last five series games.
— Bulldogs won last three visits to Little Rock, by 6-1-10 points.

Illinois @ Indiana
Illinois (11-5, 7-3)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #222
— Continuity: #46
— Illinois won six of its last eight games.
— This is their first road game in 26 days.
— Illinois is shooting 39.9% on the arc (#8)

Indiana (9-7, 4-5)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #81
— Indiana lost three of its last five games.
— Hoosiers lost last two home games, to Purdue/Rutgers.
— This is Indiana’s first game in nine days.

— Hoosiers lost 69-60 at Illinois December 26.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Illini lost their last seven visits to Bloomington.

UNLV @ Nevada
UNLV (6-8, 3-4)
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #207
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #279
— UNLV is 1-3 in true road games, losing by 3-3-29, winning at Kansas State.
— Rebels won three of their last five D-I games.
— UNLV is getting 42.2% of its points on the arc (#5)

Nevada (11-7, 6-5)
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #335
— Continuity: #299
— Nevada is 0-5 in Mountain West games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Wolf Pack won four of their five MW home games.
— Nevada is getting 22.8% of its points on foul line (#25)

— Nevada won last seven series games.
— Wolf Pack beat UNLV 89-60 here Sunday night.
— Rebels lost five of last six visits to Reno, last three by 16-14-29 points.

BYU @ San Diego
BYU (14-4, 5-2)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #268
— BYU won five of its last six games.
— Cougars are 3-1 SU on WCC road, 1-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 44.5% inside arc (#25)

San Diego (2-7, 1-4)
— ranked #188 by KenPom
— Tempo: #131
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #205
— San Diego lost five of its last six games.
— Toreros are 0-3 in WCC home games, losing by 7-6-28 points.
— San Diego’s two wins are over teams ranked #346/#311

— BYU won five of last six series games.
— Cougars won 88-82 OT/72-71 in last two visits here.

USC @ Stanford
USC (13-3, 7-2)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #327
— Trojans won eight of their last nine games.
— USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— USC is 3-1 on Pac-12 road, losing by hoop at Oregon State.

Stanford (10-6, 6-4)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #70
— Stanford lost three of its last five games.
— Cardinal is 4-4 in top 50 games this season.
— This is Stanford’s first game in Maples Pavilion this season.

— USC won three of last four series games.
— Trojans lost their last five visits to Palo Alto.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 09:38 AM

601WAKE FOREST -602 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

603BUTLER -604 MARQUETTE
MARQUETTE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

605E ILLINOIS -606 SIU EDWARDSVL
E ILLINOIS are 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

607BUFFALO -608 BALL ST
BALL ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

611GEORGIA -612 AUBURN
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

613OHIO U -614 C MICHIGAN
C MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

615MIAMI OHIO -616 KENT ST
MIAMI OHIO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after playing a game as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

617AKRON -618 TOLEDO
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

619MICHIGAN ST -620 IOWA
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

623N CAROLINA -624 CLEMSON
N CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) off a road win against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-02-2021, 11:26 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 2

Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/2

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/2

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment