Announcement

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 07:55 AM

Do not inflict your will. Just give love. The soul will take that love and put it where it can best be used.

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 07:55 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Most passing yards in a Super Bowl:
365— Kurt Warner
373— Nick Foles
377— Kurt Warner
414— Kurt Warner
466— Tom Brady
505— Tom Brady

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 436,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Early thoughts on a blockbuster trade

Was all set to write a fascinating summary of Saturday’s college basketball action, then around 10pm, news broke of a blockbuster trade in the NFL, and it involved the Rams, so I opened up a cold bottle of Sierra Mist as my head spun around like Linda Blair in The Exorcist.

I could write about this for the next two days, but you’d probably get bored reading it, so I’ll try and keep it to the essential points. I won’t succeed, but I’ll try.

— November 1, 2008 I was at a Tennessee-South Carolina game in Columbia; we tailgated in a field and watched college games all afternoon on big-screen TV tucked in luggage compartment of a Winnebago- it was a very excellent day, an hour of which was spent debating the merits of Matthew Stafford as a quarterback— he was in his last year at Georgia.

My friend didn’t (probably still doesn’t) like Stafford as a QB; I was in his corner, and now, 12 years later, he is the Rams’ QB, my team’s quarterback. Hope I was right back then.

— By the way, we had Church’s Fried Chicken that day, the absolute best fried chicken I’ve ever had. They have a couple Church’s stores in Las Vegas; it is worth a cab ride to get some.

— Stafford-for-Goff is the first player-for-player trade this century involving players who were both taken first overall in an NFL Draft, Stafford in 2009, Goff seven years later.

— Detroit’s new GM is Brad Holmes, who had been the Rams’ director of scouting. Because Holmes is a minority, the Rams got two 3rd-round picks when he was named Detroit’s GM— one of those now goes back to the Lions, as part of this deal.

— Six other teams were trying to acquire Stafford; the Rams didn’t have a first round pick this year, so they kicked in two 1st-round picks (2022, 2023), plus that 3rd-round pick.

— Remember this phrase: salary cap relief. Goff’s contract is way heavier than Stafford’s, and the Rams have several other (good) players they’d like to keep— this deal will let them do that.

— A summation of the QB’s records:
— Stafford is 74-93-1 as an NFL starter, 0-3 in playoff games.
— Goff is 44-30 as an NFL starter, 2-3 in playoff games, but he also won the Seattle playoff game a few weeks ago, in relief.

— Only 14 QB’s have started a Super Bowl in their first three years in the NFL; Goff was #13.

— Lions visit SoFi Stadium next fall; I’m guessing that’ll be a Monday night game.

— Last time the Rams had a first round pick was 2016, when they took Goff. Now, the next first round pick they have is 2024; they traded for Goff, Brandin Cooks, Jalen Ramsey and now Stafford. GM Les Snead likes to trade picks for known quantities— seeing how the Rams are 46-27 the last four years, I’d say Les Snead is doing a damn fine job, and so is coach McVay.

— Speaking of which, think about this: the quarterback has a radio in his helmet, and that voice is in his ear every play, until the play clock hits 0:15, For the last four years, the voice in Goff’s ear was McVay, who is known as a quarterback guru.

The last time McVay wasn’t in Goff’s ear, things didn’t go so well, but he was a rookie back then, and now he has a good body of work behind him. Former Chargers’ coach Anthony Lynn is Detroit’s new offensive coordinator.

— Goff doesn’t like cold weather, and Chicago/Green Bay (Lions’ NFC North rivals) have outdoor stadiums, where it gets cold late in the season. Really cold.

— Stafford’s 0-3 career playoff record raises eyebrows: here are the games:
2011— L45-28 @ New Orleans. Was 28-43/380 passing, with 3 TD’s, 2 INT’s.
2014— L24-20 @ Dallas. Was 28-42/323 passing, with one TD, one INT in his hometown.
2016— L26-6 @ Seattle. Was 18-32/205 passing. Game was 10-6 after three quarters.

— Hopefully next December, I’ll be worrying about his playoff record, because that’ll mean the Rams made the playoffs.

— An obscure and hopefully irrelevant detail: Goff’s father played major league baseball, and Jared Goff is a big SF Giants fan, which means he dislikes the Dodgers, which isn’t a really great thing for LA’s quarterback. Now he isn’t LA’s quarterback anymore.

When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, the center he took snaps from was a kid named Clayton Kershaw, who is now a great pitcher for the Dodgers. So at least now the Rams’ quarterback will throw out the first pitch at a Dodger game.

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 07:58 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 31

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 08:00 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, January 31

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 08:02 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 31

Tulane @ Temple
Tulane (6-5, 1-5)
— ranked #201 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #309
— Tulane lost its last three games, scoring 55.7 ppg.
— Green Wave is shooting 42.5% inside arc (#335), 29.4% on arc (#309)
— Tulane lost its two AAC road games, 68-58/71-50

Temple (4-4, 3-4)
— ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #228
— Continuity: #292
— Temple won three of its last four games.
— Owls are 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 12-8 points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Temple is shooting 42.6% on arc (#334)

— Temple won 65-57 at Tulane January 16
— Owls are 8-2 vs Tulane in AAC meetings, but those two losses came in Tulane’s last two visits to Temple.

SMU @ Houston
SMU (9-3, 5-3)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #64
— SMU won three of its last four games.
— Mustangs are 3-1 in true road games, losing by 4 at Memphis.
— Opponents are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#17)

Houston (14-1, 9-1)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #121
— Houston won its last seven games, giving up 57.4 ppg.
— Cougars have the #1 eFG% in the country.
— Houston is grabbing 41.3% of its missed shots (#1)

— Houston won 74-60 at SMU January 5th.
— Cougars won six of last seven series games.
— SMU lost last three visits here, by 9-11-9 points.

Michigan State @ Ohio State
Michigan State (8-5, 2-5)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #199
— Continuity: #80
— Spartans lost by 30 at Rutgers Thursday, their first game in 20 days.
— Michigan State is 1-3 on Big 14 road, losing by 14-25-30 points.
— Spartans are forcing turnovers 16.5% of time (#304)

Ohio State (13-4, 7-4)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #178
— Buckeyes won five of their last six games.
— Ohio St scored 74+ points in Big 14 wins; they’re 0-4 in Big 14 scoring fewer than 74 points.
— Buckeyes are 3-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite this season.

— Spartans won last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Loyola Chi @ Missouri State
Loyola Chi (13-3, 8-1)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #44
— Continuity: #15
— Loyola won its last six games, giving up 50.7 ppg.
— Ramblers allowed 76 ppg in their three losses.
— Loyola is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#31)

Missouri State (9-3, 5-3)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #57
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #290
— Bears just lost couple of home games to unbeaten (#56) Drake.
— Missouri State is shooting 59.0% inside arc (#7)
— Missouri State is forcing turnovers 14.2% of time (#340)

— Missouri State won five of last seven series games.
— Ramblers lost last four visits here, by 1-5-43-12 points.

Middle Tennessee @ UAB
Middle Tennessee (3-10, 1-6)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #68
— Experience: #110
— Continuity: #267
— MTSU lost its last five games, scoring 58.2 ppg.
— MTSU is turning ball over 23.6% of time (#328)
— UAB outscored Blue Raiders 29-8 over final 9:54 Friday nite.

UAB (13-2, 6-1)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #220
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #156
— UAB won three in row, six of its last seven games.
— Blazers are forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#8)
— UAB is getting 60.4% of its points inside arc (#8)

— UAB won 70-59 in Murfreesboro Friday night.
— Blazers won last three series games, by 9-13-11 points.
— Blue Raiders won last three visits to Birmingham.

St John’s @ Marquette
St John’s (10-7, 4-6)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #258
— Continuity: #167
— St John’s won its last three games, scoring 83.7 ppg.
— Red Storm won last two road games, at UConn/DePaul.
— St John’s has #311 eFG% defense, despite being #16 at forcing turnovers.

Marquette (8-8, 4-6)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #175
— Marquette lost four of its five Big East home games.
— Golden Eagles are 4-7 vs top 100 teams.
— Marquette is forcing turnovers 15.3% of time (#330)

— Marquette won 73-71 at St John’s January 16.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Johnnies lost four of their last five visits to Milwaukee.

Valparaiso @ Evansville
Valparaiso (6-9, 3-3)
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #104
— Valpo won its last three games; they won last game in double OT Thursday.
— Crusaders are shooting 27.6% on the arc (#333)
— Valpo won its last two road games, both at #244 Illinois State.

Evansville (6-8, 4-4)
— ranked #279 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #46
— Continuity: #229
— This is Purple Aces’ first game in two weeks.
— Evansville lost last three games, scoring 61 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 40.6% on arc (#343)

— Valpo beat Evansville three times LY, by 2-2-3 points.
— Valparaiso lost two of three visits to Evansville.

Bradley @ Indiana State
Bradley (9-8, 3-5)
— ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #261
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #207
— Bradley lost its last four games, the last one in double OT.
— Bradley is 1-3 in Valley road games, losing by 6-15-6 points.
— Opponents are shooting 42.1% on arc (#7).

Indiana State (8-7, 5-5)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #155
— Continuity: #76
— Sycamores won four in row, six of last seven games.
— Indiana State is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#42)
— Opponents are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#304)

— Teams split last six series games.
— Braves lost five of last six visits to Terre Haute.

NC State @ Syracuse
NC State (7-5, 3-4)
— ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #93
— State’s best scorer tore his ACL, is out for the year.
— Wolfpack lost four of its last five games.
— State is forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#11).
— Wolfpack is 0-4 in true road games, losing by 11-4-32-10 points.

Syracuse (9-5, 3-4)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #175
— Syracuse won last three home games, giving up 61.7 ppg.
— Orangemen lost five of seven top 100 games.
— Syracuse is shooting 31.4% on the arc (#254).

— NC State won last three series games, by 4-15-5 points.
— Wolfpack won 74-70/79-74 in last two trips to Carrier Dome.

Rutgers @ Northwestern
Rutgers (9-6, 5-6)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #102
— Continuity: #13
— Rutgers won its last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 59.1% on foul line (#345)
— Rutgers is 2-3 on Big 14 road, winning at Maryland/Indiana

Northwestern (6-8, 3-7)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #52
— Wildcats lost last seven games, after a 6-1 start.
— Big 14 opponents are shooting 55.0% inside arc (#12 of 14)
— Five of their last seven losses were by 10+ points.

— Rutgers won three of last four series games.
— Scarlet Knights lost two of last three trips to Evanston.

Washington State @ Washington
Washington State (9-7, 2-7)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #99
— Coogs lost their last six games, after a 9-1 start.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wazzu lost last four road games, three by 12+ points.
— Coogs are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#269)

Washington (3-11, 2-7)
— ranked #138 by KenPom
— Tempo: #91
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #194
— Huskies won last two games, after a 1-11 start.
— Washington split its four Pac-12 home games.
— Huskies are #345 in country on the defensive boards.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Teams also split last six series games played here.

UNLV @ Nevada
UNLV (10-5, 6-3)
— ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #204
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #278
— UNLV is 1-2 in true road games, losing twice by 3 at Colorado State.
— Rebels won three of their last four D-I games.
— UNLV is getting 42.3% of its points on the arc (#5)

Nevada (10-7, 5-5)
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #335
— Continuity: #296
— Nevada is 0-5 in Mountain West games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Wolf Pack won three of their four MW home games.
— Nevada is getting 23.4% of its points on foul line (#19)

— Nevada won last six series games.
— Rebels lost four of last five visits to Reno, last two 89-73/86-72

Siena @ Marist
Siena (7-2, 7-2)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #215
— Saints won four of their five road games.
— Siena scored 54.3 ppg in its last three games.
— Marist outscored them 6-0 over final 1:36 of yesterday’s game.

Marist (9-6, 7-6)
— ranked #261 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #272
— Continuity: #206
— Marist split four of its six 2-game series so far.
— Red Foxes are shooting 32.0% on arc (#231).
— Marist is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#268)

— Marist beat Siena 55-54 yesterday, outscoring them 6-0 over final 1:36.
— Siena won five of last six series games, but they’re 3-5 in last eight visits to Poughkeepsie.

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 08:04 AM

791TULANE -792 TEMPLE
TEMPLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

793QUINNIPIAC -794 CANISIUS
CANISIUS are 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

795WM & MARY -796 TOWSON ST
TOWSON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

797HOFSTRA -798 UNC-WILMINGTON
HOFSTRA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

799SMU -800 HOUSTON
SMU is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

801MICHIGAN ST -802 OHIO ST
MICHIGAN ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

805ELON -806 DELAWARE
ELON is 18-42 ATS (-28.2 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997.

807N ARIZONA -808 N COLORADO
N COLORADO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

809DREXEL -810 JAMES MADISON
JAMES MADISON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

811ILLINOIS ST -812 DRAKE
DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

**Udog** · 01-31-2021, 08:54 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, January 31

Announcement

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/31

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/31

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