Announcement

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 08:40 AM

The smallest act of kindness is worth more than the grandest intention.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 08:40 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Friday, someone bet $2.3M on Tampa Bay (+3.5) in Super Bowl. Seriously.
— Apparently Nolan Arenado is getting traded from Colorado to St Louis.
— Green Bay Packers fired defensive coordinator Mike Pettine.
— Illinois 80, Iowa 75— Illini outscored Iowa 14-3 on foul line.
— Daniel Murphy retired Friday, after a 12-year career; he was a .296 career hitter.
— RIP to former Temple coach John Chaney (741-312); he was at Temple for 24 years, after he had won a D-II national title at Cheyney State. Coach Chaney was 89; RIP, sir.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 433,195
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: NFL teams with big QB questions for next season

13) Dallas— Dak Prescott and the Cowboys couldn’t come to an agreement on a deal last year, and had to resort to a franchise tag for 2020; if Prescott plays in 2021 under a franchise tag, he is likely to play somewhere else in 2022- would they trade him now, to avoid that scenario? If he leaves as a free agent, Dallas gets nothing in return.

In five years, Prescott is 42-27 in regular season games, 1-2 in playoff games.

— Jerry Jones is 78; he probably doesn’t want a rookie QB playing, who will take years to develop.
— Matthew Stafford went to Highland Park HS in Dallas

12) Miami— Dolphins have two QBs now; will either one be their QB in 2021?
— Player A was 4-3 as a starter LY, threw for 2,091 yards, with 13 TD’s, 8 INTs
— Player B was 6-3 as a skater LY, threw for 1,814 yards, with 11 TD’s, 5 TD’s.

Player A is Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is 38, the only player EVER to throw a pass for eight different NFL teams. Player B is Tua Tagovailoa, who was a rookie last year, but has shown an inability to stay healthy, in both college and the NFL.

Will either guy be the starter for Miami next fall?

11) Carolina— Panthers have the wealthiest owner in the NFL; he is worth $13B, that’s billion, with a B. Really rich people aren’t patient; Carolina is 17-31 the last three years; their QB right now is Teddy Bridgewater, who at age 28 has already started for three NFL teams (26-24).

As far as the really rich owner being impatient, Carolina is rumored to be aggressively trying to trade for Deshaun Watson, who played college ball in the ACC, at Clemson.

10) New Orleans— Saints go into the offseason expecting to be $100M over the salary cap, so they ain’t trading for any of the big name QB’s. Will they go into 2021 with Taysom Hill/Jameis Winston as their QB’s? Will they draft a QB and depend on Sean Payton to develop his skills?

Would New Orleans trade for Sam Darnold, if the Jets trade for Watson?

9) New England— Patriots went 7-9 this season, their first losing season in 20 years, and with Tom Brady playing in the Super Bowl, you figure New England will be aggressive in trying to move back up the standings in an improving AFC East.

Cam Newton ain’t the answer; he looked look his arm was shot this past season, and if he was playing ahead of Jarrett Stidham, what does that say about Stidham? Brian Hoyer figures to hang around as a backup, but who will he be backing up?

There are rumors about a trade for Marcus Mariota, who is 30-33 as an NFL starter.

8) San Francisco— Last four years, 49ers are 24-9 with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, 7-27 with anyone else. As a wise man once said, the greatest ability is “avail-ability”; if you don’t play, what good are you? Will the 49ers move on from Garoppolo?

7) Philadelphia— With the hiring of QB guru Nick Sirianni as head coach, it appears that Carson Wentz will be staying in Philly; Wentz signed a 4-year, $128M contract, which would be really cumbersome to unload. Cumbersome, but not impossible.

Problem is, they drafted Jaylen Hurts in the 2nd round last year; Hurts threw for 1,061 yards in losing three of four starts as a rookie. Coach Sirianni has his work cut out for him.

6) NJ Jets— When a team goes 2-14, there are a lot of problems, not just the QB; Sam Darnold had mono at the start of last season, and things got worse from there. Darnold is 13-25 as an NFL starter, but was 7-6 in 2019. If the Jets want to add draft picks and draft a rookie QB, trading Darnold would net them several draft picks.

Or they could keep Darnold, use the #2 pick on other positions, and keep building. Their new coach is a defensive guru; the owner is back from his stint as ambassador to Ireland, so 2021 figures to be an interesting year for the Jets.

5) Washington— They went 5-1 with Alex Smith at QB this past year, but Smith’s leg is held together with nuts/bolts, and he will be 37 in May. Highly unlikely he is ever playing 16 games in a season again, and remember, the regular season will likely increase to 17 games sometime soon. Washington needs to develop a young quarterback.

Where does Washington look for a QB? Deshaun Watson is the first domino in all of this. If Carolina gets Watson, Teddy Bridgewater could wind up playing for Washington.

Taylor Heinicke/Kyle Allen will battle for the backup job, but who will they be backing up?

4) Jacksonville— Jaguars hired Urban Meyer as their new coach, which will be interesting, seeing how he has zero NFL experience. How will he deal with losing? If the Jaguars go 9-7 next year, fans will want to throw Meyer a parade, but Meyer might have a nervous breakdown if he loses seven games in a season— he went 187-32 as a college coach.

Jaguars will likely draft Trevor Lawrence in April, then the question becomes how long before he becomes the starting QB? Teams aren’t as patient with QB’s as they used to be.

3) Indianapolis— Philip Rivers has retired to become a high school coach, where he will coach his two sons eventually (he also has 7 daughters!!!). Jacoby Brissett is the Colts’ QB right now, but Jim Irsay spoke out this week about the Colts needing a veteran presence at QB.

Speculation has centered on Matthew Stafford or Carson Wentz. Brissett is 12-20 as a starter in the NFL, for Patriots/Colts. Doesn’t sound like he’ll be starting in Indianapolis next season.

2) Detroit— Matthew Stafford will turn 33 on Super Bowl Sunday; he is 74-90-1 as a starter, has played 16 games in nine of last ten seasons. Problem is, Stafford has played 12 years in the NFL, but is 0-3 in playoff games. Detroit’s last playoff win was in 1991.

Stafford has thrown for 45,109 yards and 282 TDs, with 144 INTs; he and the Lions mutually agreed to a separation last week.

1) Houston— Wonder what it is like to turn on the TV every day and hear all the sports channels speculating about where you’ll be living next year?

If Deshaun Watson really wants to be traded, he needs to lay low for a while, so the Texans will have a little more leverage in making a deal- they’re not just going to give him away. Watson is the first domino in whaat could be a wild winter of quarterback movement in the NFL.

Watson is 28-25 in 3+ years as a starter; his job in Houston would’ve bit a lot easier last year if they hadn’t traded their best receiver, DeAndre Hopkins. He has a 4-year, $140M contract that he signed last September.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:06 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 30

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:12 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, January 30

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:14 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 30

Alabama @ Oklahoma
Alabama (14-3)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #158
— Alabama won its last ten games, with 4 of last 5 wins by 11+ points.
— Crimson Tide is 4-0 in true road games, winning at Tennessee/LSU
— Alabama has #24 eFG% defense in country.

Oklahoma (10-4)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #53
— Oklahoma won its last four games, scoring 78.3 ppg.
— Sooners are 3-4 vs top 50 teams this season.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 35.8% on arc (#264)

Clemson @ Duke
Clemson (10-4, 4-4)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #96
— Clemson lost three of its last four games.
— Tigers are 1-3 in true road games, winning 66-65 at Miami.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#15)

Duke (6-5, 4-3)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #249
— Duke lost three of its last four games.
— Duke is 0-3 vs top 50 teams; their best win is #58 Georgia Tech.
— Duke is getting only 14.4% of its points on foul line (#324)

— Duke won four of last five series games.
— Tigers lost last ten games in Cameron (1-3 ATS last four)

Florida @ West Virginia
Florida (9-4)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #104
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #151
— Florida won its last three games, scoring 81.7 ppg.
— Gators are 2-3 in true road games, winning at Vandy/Georgia.
— Florida is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#55)

West Virginia (11-4)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #29
— West Virginia won three of its last four games.
— Mountaineers are 2-4 vs top 50 teams.
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#10)

Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina (12-3, 6-2)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #44
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #181
— Coastal lost two of three road games, but won here Friday.
— Chanticleers are 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Coastal is making 39.7% of their 3’s (#8)

Georgia Southern (10-8, 4-5)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #333
— Georgia Southern is 4-6 in its last ten games
— Two of Eagles’ last three wins came in OT.
— Georgia Southern is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#302)

— Coastal fell behind 7-0 last nite, was up 38-25 at half, won by 17.
— Georgia Southern won four of last five series games.
— Chanticleers lost two of last three visits here, but won last nite.

Texas Tech @ LSU
Texas Tech (11-5)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #258
— Tech lost its last two games, to Baylor/West Virginia.
— Red Raiders are 2-5 in top 50 games.
— Tech is forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#6).

LSU (11-4)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #135
— LSU lost two of its last three games.
— Tigers are 1-3 in top 50 games; they beat #34 Arkansas.
— LSU is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#23)

Oregon State @ UCLA
Oregon State (8-6, 4-4)
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #56
— Beavers won three of their last four games.
— OSU played only two guys more than 21:00 in Thursday’s win at USC.
— Oregon State is shooting only 43.6% inside arc (#323).

UCLA (12-3, 8-1)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #341
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #9
— UCLA won seven of its last eight games.
— Bruins are 5-0 at home in Pac-12 (three wins by 5 or fewer points)
— UCLA is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#26)

— Home side won five of last six series games.
— Beavers lost last three visits to Westwood, by 18-1-17 points.

Villanova @ Seton Hall
Villanova (10-1, 5-0)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova is 2-0 on Big East road, winning by 13-17 points.
— Wildcats turn ball over less than any team in country.
— Villanova has #275 eFG% defense in country.

Seton Hall (9-7, 6-4)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #129
— Seton Hall lost three of last four games, losing last two by 2-4 points.
— Pirates are 1-4 in games decided by 4 or less points, or in OT.
— Seton Hall split its last four home games.

— Villanova nipped Seton Hall 76-74 at home, 11 days ago.
— Villanova won nine of last 11 series games.
— Wildcats won four of last five visits to the Garden State.

Auburn @ Baylor
Auburn (10-7)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #314
— Auburn won four of its last five games.
— Auburn scored 86.8 ppg in the six games Cooper has played
— Tigers won two of their last three road games.

Baylor (15-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #45
— Baylor is shooting 44.9% on arc (#1 in country)
— Bears are forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#2)
— All of Baylor’s wins are by 8+ points; 12 of 15 were by 13+ points.

Florida State @ Georgia Tech
Florida State (10-2, 6-1)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #103
— FSU won its last five games, four of them by 13+ points.
— FSU won at Louisville, lost by 10 at Clemson, its only road games.
— Seminoles are grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#14).

Georgia Tech (7-5, 3-3)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #10
— Tech is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in ACC games.
— Yellow Jackets are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#50)
— Tech is shooting 37.9% on the arc (#34).

— Seminoles beat Tech 74-61 at home December 15.
— Florida State won last five series games.
— FSU won six of last seven visits to Tech.

Kansas @ Tennessee
Kansas (11-5)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #116
— Kansas lost three of its last four games.
— Jayhawks lost last three road games, giving up 75.7 ppg.
— Kansas is 4-5 in top 50 games this season.

Tennessee (11-3, 5-3)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #228
— Continuity: #94
— Tennessee lost two of last three games, scoring 56.3 ppg.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#10)
— Two of their three losses (Alabama/Missouri) came at home.

Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Virginia (11-1, 7-0)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357 (slowest in country)
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #159
— Virginia won its last seven games, giving up 57.9 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 3-0 on ACC road, winning by 9-12-35 points.
— Virginia is shooting 37.9% on arc (#10)

Virginia Tech (12-3, 6-2)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #99
— Tech won four of its last five games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Hokies won all four of their ACC home games.
— Tech split their six top 50 games.

— Virginia won last four series games.
— Cavaliers won last three games in Blacksburg, by 26-6-3 points.

Stanford @ Arizona State
Stanford (10-5, 6-3)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #69
— Stanford won five of its last seven games.
— Cardinal is 1-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 17-14-13 points (won at Oregon St)
— Stanford is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#267)

Arizona State (5-8, 2-5)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #162
— ASU snapped its 6-game skid with a win over Cal Thursday.
— Sun Devils lost four of their last five home games.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#43)

— Arizona State is 8-4 in last dozen series games.
— Cardinals lost five of last six visits to Tempe.

Cal-Fullerton @ Cal-Bakersfield
Cal-Fullerton (5-5, 4-5)
— ranked #289 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #318
— Last night was Titans’ first road win in three tries.
— Fullerton is 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Fullerton won three of its last four games.

Cal-Bakersfield (10-6, 6-3)
— ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #18
— Roadrunners won six of their last eight games.
— 10 of their 14 D-I games have been on the road.
— Bakersfield grabs 39.3% of their missed shots (#3)

— Fullerton (+11.5) upset Roadrunners 90-84 here last night.
— Titans made 11-20 on arc, outscored Bakersfield 27-11 on foul line.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:16 AM

601ALABAMA -602 OKLAHOMA
ALABAMA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

603TEXAS A&M -604 KANSAS ST
TEXAS A&M is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.

605CLEMSON -606 DUKE
CLEMSON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.

607TULSA -608 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

609PROVIDENCE -610 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 73-99 ATS (-35.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

611WM & MARY -612 TOWSON ST
TOWSON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

615LASALLE -616 VA COMMONWEALTH
LASALLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

617HOFSTRA -618 UNC-WILMINGTON
HOFSTRA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

619SIENA -620 MARIST
SIENA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

621QUINNIPIAC -622 CANISIUS
CANISIUS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 11:12 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, January 30

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/30

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/30

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