Announcement

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:38 AM

The smallest act of kindness is worth more than the grandest intention.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:38 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Friday, someone bet $2.3M on Tampa Bay (+3.5) in Super Bowl. Seriously.
— Apparently Nolan Arenado is getting traded from Colorado to St Louis.
— Green Bay Packers fired defensive coordinator Mike Pettine.
— Illinois 80, Iowa 75— Illini outscored Iowa 14-3 on foul line.
— Daniel Murphy retired Friday, after a 12-year career; he was a .296 career hitter.
— RIP to former Temple coach John Chaney (741-312); he was at Temple for 24 years, after he had won a D-II national title at Cheyney State. Coach Chaney was 89; RIP, sir.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 433,195
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: NFL teams with big QB questions for next season

13) Dallas— Dak Prescott and the Cowboys couldn’t come to an agreement on a deal last year, and had to resort to a franchise tag for 2020; if Prescott plays in 2021 under a franchise tag, he is likely to play somewhere else in 2022- would they trade him now, to avoid that scenario? If he leaves as a free agent, Dallas gets nothing in return.

In five years, Prescott is 42-27 in regular season games, 1-2 in playoff games.

— Jerry Jones is 78; he probably doesn’t want a rookie QB playing, who will take years to develop.
— Matthew Stafford went to Highland Park HS in Dallas

12) Miami— Dolphins have two QBs now; will either one be their QB in 2021?
— Player A was 4-3 as a starter LY, threw for 2,091 yards, with 13 TD’s, 8 INTs
— Player B was 6-3 as a skater LY, threw for 1,814 yards, with 11 TD’s, 5 TD’s.

Player A is Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is 38, the only player EVER to throw a pass for eight different NFL teams. Player B is Tua Tagovailoa, who was a rookie last year, but has shown an inability to stay healthy, in both college and the NFL.

Will either guy be the starter for Miami next fall?

11) Carolina— Panthers have the wealthiest owner in the NFL; he is worth $13B, that’s billion, with a B. Really rich people aren’t patient; Carolina is 17-31 the last three years; their QB right now is Teddy Bridgewater, who at age 28 has already started for three NFL teams (26-24).

As far as the really rich owner being impatient, Carolina is rumored to be aggressively trying to trade for Deshaun Watson, who played college ball in the ACC, at Clemson.

10) New Orleans— Saints go into the offseason expecting to be $100M over the salary cap, so they ain’t trading for any of the big name QB’s. Will they go into 2021 with Taysom Hill/Jameis Winston as their QB’s? Will they draft a QB and depend on Sean Payton to develop his skills?

Would New Orleans trade for Sam Darnold, if the Jets trade for Watson?

9) New England— Patriots went 7-9 this season, their first losing season in 20 years, and with Tom Brady playing in the Super Bowl, you figure New England will be aggressive in trying to move back up the standings in an improving AFC East.

Cam Newton ain’t the answer; he looked look his arm was shot this past season, and if he was playing ahead of Jarrett Stidham, what does that say about Stidham? Brian Hoyer figures to hang around as a backup, but who will he be backing up?

There are rumors about a trade for Marcus Mariota, who is 30-33 as an NFL starter.

8) San Francisco— Last four years, 49ers are 24-9 with Jimmy Garoppolo under center, 7-27 with anyone else. As a wise man once said, the greatest ability is “avail-ability”; if you don’t play, what good are you? Will the 49ers move on from Garoppolo?

7) Philadelphia— With the hiring of QB guru Nick Sirianni as head coach, it appears that Carson Wentz will be staying in Philly; Wentz signed a 4-year, $128M contract, which would be really cumbersome to unload. Cumbersome, but not impossible.

Problem is, they drafted Jaylen Hurts in the 2nd round last year; Hurts threw for 1,061 yards in losing three of four starts as a rookie. Coach Sirianni has his work cut out for him.

6) NJ Jets— When a team goes 2-14, there are a lot of problems, not just the QB; Sam Darnold had mono at the start of last season, and things got worse from there. Darnold is 13-25 as an NFL starter, but was 7-6 in 2019. If the Jets want to add draft picks and draft a rookie QB, trading Darnold would net them several draft picks.

Or they could keep Darnold, use the #2 pick on other positions, and keep building. Their new coach is a defensive guru; the owner is back from his stint as ambassador to Ireland, so 2021 figures to be an interesting year for the Jets.

5) Washington— They went 5-1 with Alex Smith at QB this past year, but Smith’s leg is held together with nuts/bolts, and he will be 37 in May. Highly unlikely he is ever playing 16 games in a season again, and remember, the regular season will likely increase to 17 games sometime soon. Washington needs to develop a young quarterback.

Where does Washington look for a QB? Deshaun Watson is the first domino in all of this. If Carolina gets Watson, Teddy Bridgewater could wind up playing for Washington.

Taylor Heinicke/Kyle Allen will battle for the backup job, but who will they be backing up?

4) Jacksonville— Jaguars hired Urban Meyer as their new coach, which will be interesting, seeing how he has zero NFL experience. How will he deal with losing? If the Jaguars go 9-7 next year, fans will want to throw Meyer a parade, but Meyer might have a nervous breakdown if he loses seven games in a season— he went 187-32 as a college coach.

Jaguars will likely draft Trevor Lawrence in April, then the question becomes how long before he becomes the starting QB? Teams aren’t as patient with QB’s as they used to be.

3) Indianapolis— Philip Rivers has retired to become a high school coach, where he will coach his two sons eventually (he also has 7 daughters!!!). Jacoby Brissett is the Colts’ QB right now, but Jim Irsay spoke out this week about the Colts needing a veteran presence at QB.

Speculation has centered on Matthew Stafford or Carson Wentz. Brissett is 12-20 as a starter in the NFL, for Patriots/Colts. Doesn’t sound like he’ll be starting in Indianapolis next season.

2) Detroit— Matthew Stafford will turn 33 on Super Bowl Sunday; he is 74-90-1 as a starter, has played 16 games in nine of last ten seasons. Problem is, Stafford has played 12 years in the NFL, but is 0-3 in playoff games. Detroit’s last playoff win was in 1991.

Stafford has thrown for 45,109 yards and 282 TDs, with 144 INTs; he and the Lions mutually agreed to a separation last week.

1) Houston— Wonder what it is like to turn on the TV every day and hear all the sports channels speculating about where you’ll be living next year?

If Deshaun Watson really wants to be traded, he needs to lay low for a while, so the Texans will have a little more leverage in making a deal- they’re not just going to give him away. Watson is the first domino in whaat could be a wild winter of quarterback movement in the NFL.

Watson is 28-25 in 3+ years as a starter; his job in Houston would’ve bit a lot easier last year if they hadn’t traded their best receiver, DeAndre Hopkins. He has a 4-year, $140M contract that he signed last September.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:52 AM

501PORTLAND -502 CHICAGO
PORTLAND is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996.

503MILWAUKEE -504 CHARLOTTE
Mike Budenholzer is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

503MILWAUKEE -504 CHARLOTTE
MILWAUKEE is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

505HOUSTON -506 NEW ORLEANS
HOUSTON is 276-204 ATS (51.6 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1996.

507SACRAMENTO -508 MIAMI
SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

509LA LAKERS -510 BOSTON
BOSTON is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) after 2+ road games over the last 2 seasons.

511PHOENIX -512 DALLAS
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

515MEMPHIS -516 SAN ANTONIO
MEMPHIS are 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:54 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 30

Portland @ Chicago
Trailblazers (9-8)
— Portland lost four of its last six games.
— Blazers are 5-2 ATS on road this season, 2-1 as a road dog.
— Over is 3-1 in Portland’s last four games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out.

Bulls (7-10)
— Chicago hasn’t played since Monday.
— Bulls are 2-5 SU at home; they were underdog in all seven games.
— Seven of their last 11 games went over the total.

— Portland won nine of last ten series games.
— Blazers covered their last five visits to Chicago.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Bucks (11-7)
— Milwaukee won six of last nine games; they’re 2-5 ATS in last seven.
— Bucks are 4-5 SU/3-6 ATS on the road.
— Six of Milwaukee’s last nine games stayed under total.

Hornets (8-11)
— Charlotte lost six of their last eight games.
— Hornets are 4-5 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 5-2 in Charlotte’s last seven games.

— Milwaukee won last five series games (2-6 ATS in last eight)
— Bucks are 3-3 SU/0-6 ATS in last six trips to Charlotte.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Houston @ New Orleans
Rockets (8-9)
— Houston won last four games (3-1 ATS).
— Rockets are 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS on the road.
— Under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games

Pelicans (7-10)
— New Orleans lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Pelicans are 3-4 ATS at home this season.
— 11 of their last 12 games went over the total.

— Rockets won four of last five series games.
— Houston is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ Boston
Lakers (14-6)
— Lakers lost last two games; Anthony Davis missed last game.
— Lakers are 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
— Under is 10-2 in their road games.

Celtics (10-7)
— Boston lost four of their last six games.
— Celtics won/covered four of last five home games.
— Over is 4-3 in their home games this season.

— Boston won six of last nine series games.
— Lakers covered three of last five visits to Beantown.
— Last five series games went over the total.

Phoenix @ Dallas
Suns (9-8)
— Phoenix lost five of its last seven games.
— Suns are 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Mavericks (8-11)
— Dallas lost six of its last eight games.
— Mavericks lost their last three home games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six Dallas games.

— Phoenix won/covered last four series games.
— Suns covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Sacramento @ Miami
Kings (8-10)
— Sacramento won its last three games, after a 1-6 skid.
— Kings lost four of their last six road games (4-3 ATS on road).
— Nine of their last 12 games went over.

Heat (6-12)
— Miami lost five in row, eight of last ten games.
— Heat is 4-5 SU/3-5-1 ATS at home.
— Four of their last six games stayed under.

— Sacramento won five of last six series games.
— Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Memphis @ San Antonio
Grizzlies (7-6)
— Memphis won its last five games (4-0-1 ATS).
— Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS on the road.
— Seven of last nine Memphis games stayed under.
— This is Grizzlies’ first game in 12 days.

Spurs (11-8)
— San Antonio won five of its last seven games overall.
— Spurs won four of last five home games.
— Under is 7-3 in Spurs’ last ten games.

— Spurs won four of last six series games.
— Memphis covered three of last four visits to the Alamo.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Detroit @ Golden State
Pistons (5-14)
— Detroit won two of last three games, covered three of last four.
— Pistons are 1-7 SU/3-4-1 ATS on the road
— Over is 6-2 in Detroit’s last seven games overall.

Warriors (10-9)
— Golden State is 4-5 in its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Five of Golden State’s last seven games went over.

— Golden State won six of last eight series games.
— Pistons covered last three visits to the Bay Area.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 09:56 AM

NBA

Saturday, January 30

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Trend Report
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Portland @ Chicago
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games at home

Houston @ New Orleans
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Sacramento @ Miami
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Lakers @ Boston
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 15 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Dallas
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Phoenix is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Detroit @ Golden State
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 10:21 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 30

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PORTLAND (9 - 8) at CHICAGO (7 - 10) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 145-193 ATS (-67.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (11 - 7) at CHARLOTTE (8 - 11) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (8 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 10) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (8 - 10) at MIAMI (6 - 12) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 6) at BOSTON (10 - 7) - 1/30/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 145-186 ATS (-59.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (9 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 11) - 1/30/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 217-175 ATS (+24.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 588-503 ATS (+34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 82-60 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 14) at GOLDEN STATE (10 - 9) - 1/30/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 8) - 1/30/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1135-1006 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 579-487 ATS (+43.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 226-174 ATS (+34.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-261 ATS (+35.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 10:54 AM

Hoop Trends for Saturday January 30
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 13-0 ATS (7.12 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at San Antonio (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 0-17 ATS (-10.41 ppg) at home when they won 2 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Boston (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 12-0 OU (18.58 ppg) at home off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day (8:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup: Houston at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-12 OU (-11.88 ppg) coming off a game where they were the home team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 10:56 AM

**Udog** · 01-30-2021, 11:58 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 30

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/30

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/30

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