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Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/29

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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, January 29

    Good Luck on day #29 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Ask yourself: Have you been kind today? Make kindness your modus operandi and change your world.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

      Six leading 3-point shooters in the NBA:
      55.9%— Alex Caruso, LAL
      51.8%— Wayne Ellington, Det
      50.9%— Seth Curry, Phil
      50.0%— Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, LAL
      48.9%— Desmond Bane, Mem
      48.4%— Paul George, LAC

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 431,289
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Friday's Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

      13) In December alone, State of New Jersey banked $7.6M in tax revenue from sports betting; for all of 2020, they collected $50M in tax revenue. But what happens when New York State gives the OK for mobile sports betting? How much will New Jersey’s share of the pie shrink?

      New York has dragged its feet on mobile sports betting, but the COVID pandemic has created a money crunch, so this is probably the year New York gets mobile sports betting, and gamblers in the Big Apple can stop trudging across the George Washington to place their bets. Finally.

      12) Masahiro Tanaka packed up and went back to Japan, after pitching in the Bronx for the last seven years. Tanaka was 78-46, 3.49 in 173 regular season starts, 5-4, 3.33 in 10 playoff games.

      11) Baseball stuff:
      — Cardinals gave veteran P Adam Wainwright $8M for one year.
      — Nationals signed C Alex Avila
      — Detroit signed C Wilson Ramos

      10) Long time ago, back when I actually had a job, couple friends of mine were looking at Super Bowl prop bets, and there was an over/under on the length of the national anthem— the singer that year was Harry Connick Jr.

      We worked with another guy who was a musician; he still played out in clubs on weekends, and apparently had been a fairly big-time musician before he worked with us. He knew his music, so those guys go up to Frank and say, “National anthem, Harry Connick Jr; over or under 2 minutes, 6 seconds?” (I may have the exact time wrong; this was 25-30 years ago)

      Frank thinks about it for like 10 seconds and says, “Definitely over”

      Those guys bet the over and won; never knew if they tipped Frank for winning them the money.

      9) Hottest team in the NBA? Utah Jazz won/covered their last ten games.

      8) Brooklyn Nets are 5-2 with James Harden in their lineup; Houston Rockets are 5-3 since they traded Harden.

      7) NBA teams playing 2nd night in row:
      — Road teams who played at home night before: 7-7-1 ATS
      — Road teams who played on road night before: 15-13 ATS
      — Home teams who played at home night before: 18-10 ATS
      — Home teams who played on road night before: 9-8 ATS

      6) NC State’s leading scorer Devon Daniels tore his ACL, is out for the year.

      5) Rutgers 67, Michigan State 37— This is the same thing that happened to Louisville when they had their long layoff. There is really no way of knowing how much these teams are practicing while they wait to be cleared to play— maybe they’re not practicing at all.

      Heard one story on TV where all the players on one team got exercise bikes in their hotel rooms where they are sequestered, and that is the extent of their exercise- they weren’t even allowed to go outside and do any running.

      If you’re wagering on basketball this winter, I’d stay away from teams coming off a layoff; let them get their legs with a couple games.

      4) Arizona State 72, Cal 68— Sun Devils snap a 6-game losing streak; the players looked like the weight of the world was off their shoulders when this game ended. They weren’t happy, just very relieved. Cal outrebounded them 43-29, but ASU shot 59.5% inside the arc.

      3) UAB 70, Middle Tennessee 59:
      — Blazers (-9) were down 51-41 with 9:54 left; they didn’t just win, they covered.

      2) Green Bay Packers fired their special teams coach this week, and replaced him with the guy who was the assistant special teams coach this past season. Not sure how much of an upgrade that will be, seems like change for the sake of change.

      1) There were seven NFL head coaching openings this offseason; Chiefs assistant coach Eric Bieniemy interviewed for six of them, but didn’t get hired as a head coach.

      Coaching Patrick Mahomes for the next several years will be a good consolation prize; winning is always fun.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-29-2021, 12:47 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, January 29


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-29-2021, 12:56 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Friday, January 29


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          Trend Report
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          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-29-2021, 12:56 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Friday, January 29


            Monmouth @ Niagara
            Monmouth (7-4, 7-3)
            — ranked #165 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #4
            — Experience: #80
            — Continuity: #48
            — Monmouth won its last four games, scoring 78.5 ppg.
            — Hawks lost both their road games, at 7-1 Siena (#144)
            — Monmouth is 5-0 when they allow less than 76 yards.

            Niagara (6-8, 5-7)
            — ranked #236 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #324
            — Experience: #7
            — Continuity: #30
            — Niagara is 3-1 at home, 2-6 on the road.
            — Purple Eagles are #302 in eFG%, #295 on offensive boards.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Niagara is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, scoring 49.3 ppg.

            — Niagara won four of last six series games.
            — Hawks lost last three visits here, by 1-27-5 points.

            Louisiana @ Texas State
            Louisiana (11-4, 5-3)
            — ranked #168 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #59
            — Experience: #184
            — Continuity: #204
            — Louisiana won its last three games, by 15-13-3 points.
            — ULL is 2-1 on road, splitting pair at Tex-Arlington.
            — Ragin’ Cajuns are turning ball over 21% of time (#255)

            Texas State (11-4, 5-1)
            — ranked #152 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #345
            — Experience: #20
            — Continuity: #40
            — Bobcats won last five games, giving up 56.8 ppg.
            — Texas State doesn’t take lot of 3’s, but they’re shooting 41.8% on arc (#4)
            — Bobcats are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#15)

            — These teams split a pair in Lafayette, January 1-2
            — Texas State won three of last four series games.
            — Teams split last four meetings played here.

            Ill-Chicago @ Northern Kentucky
            Ill-Chicago (8-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #228 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #138
            — Experience: #22
            — Continuity: #215
            — UIC is 4-0 at home, 1-3 on road in Horizon, splitting pair in Youngstown.
            — Flames allowed 95.3 ppg in their Horizon losses, 65.1 ppg in wins.
            — UIC forces very few turnovers, but still has #20 eFG% in country.

            Northern Kentucky (7-8, 5-5)
            — ranked #229 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #331
            — Experience: #309
            — Continuity: #181
            — Norse’s last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
            — NKU split its six Horizon home games.
            — Norse is 6-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

            — Northern Kentucky is 7-2 in Horizon meetings.
            — Flames lost three of last four visits here (won 73-43 here LY)

            Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern
            Coastal Carolina (11-3, 5-2)
            — ranked #159 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #60
            — Experience: #227
            — Continuity: #179
            — Coastal lost its only two road games, at Wofford/Georgia State.
            — Chanticleers are 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
            — Coastal is making 39.3% of their 3’s (#17)

            Georgia Southern (10-7, 4-4)
            — ranked #260 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #249
            — Experience: #161
            — Continuity: #333
            — Georgia Southern won three of last four games
            — Three of Eagles’ last five D-I wins came in OT.
            — Georgia Southern is turning ball over 22.0% of time (#302)

            — Georgia Southern won last four series games.
            — Chanticleers lost last two visits here, by 11-10 points.

            Saint Louis @ Richmond
            Saint Louis (7-2, 0-1)
            — ranked #41 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #156
            — Experience: #137
            — Continuity: #17
            — Billikens lost A-14 opener 76-71 to Dayton, their 1st game in 34 days.
            — Saint Louis lost only road game 90-82 at Minnesota.
            — Billikens have top 100 wins over LSU/NC State.

            Richmond (10-4, 4-2)
            — ranked #56 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #149
            — Experience: #8
            — Continuity: #11
            — Richmond lost three of its last four home games.
            — Spiders are 4-2 in top 100 games, losing to West Va/St Bonaventure.
            — Richmond is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#39)

            — Saint Louis won four of last five series games.
            — Billikens won 72-66/74-58 in last two visits here.

            Tex-Arlington @ Arkansas State
            Tex-Arlington (9-7, 3-4)
            — ranked #194 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #58
            — Experience: #218
            — Continuity: #255
            — UTA is 4-1 in C-USA if they score 66+ points, 0-3 if they don’t.
            — Mavericks split their four C-USA road games.
            — UTA is shooting only 42.3% inside arc (#337).

            Arkansas State (5-8, 2-4)
            — ranked #288 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #210
            — Experience: #266
            — Continuity: #158
            — Red Wolves are 2-8 vs D-I teams; they split four games with UL-Monroe.
            — Arkansas State is shooting 43.1% inside arc (#330)
            — Red Wolves are turning ball over 21.2% of time (#262)

            — Tex-Arlington won seven of last eight series games.
            — Mavericks won three of last four visits to Jonesboro.

            Appalachian State @ Troy
            Appalachian State (12-5, 6-2)
            — ranked #176 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #312
            — Experience: #156
            — Continuity: #233
            — App State won six of its last seven games.
            — 43.3% of ASU’s shots come from behind arc (#40)
            — App State split their only two Sun Belt road tilts, at South Alabama.

            Troy (6-9, 1-5)
            — ranked #290 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #291
            — Experience: #279
            — Continuity: #278
            — Troy lost its last five games, all on the road.
            — Trojans beat Samford 79-71 in their ONLY D-I home game.
            — Troy is shooting 27.5% on arc (#334), 44.2% inside arc (#311)

            — These teams split a pair at App State January 1-2.
            — App State won five of last seven series games.
            — ASU lost three of last four visits to Troy.

            Ohio @ Buffalo
            Ohio (9-6, 5-4)
            — ranked #119 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #149
            — Experience: #271
            — Continuity: #90
            — Bobcats won five of their last seven games.
            — Ohio is 1-4 in true road games, winning at Ball State.
            — Bobcats have #26 eFG% in country.

            Buffalo (6-5, 4-3)
            — ranked #112 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #8
            — Experience: #23
            — Continuity: #56
            — Buffalo hasn’t played in eight days.
            — Bulls’ last four wins were all by 15+ points.
            — Buffalo is 0-4 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT.

            — Buffalo won six of last seven series games.
            — Ohio lost last three visits here, by 26-47-3 points.

            UL-Monroe @ Little Rock
            UL-Monroe (4-11, 2-6)
            — ranked #308 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #268
            — Experience: #113
            — Continuity: #319
            — ULM lost its last six games, three by 6 or fewer points.
            — Warhawks lost six of their seven top 200 games.
            — ULM lost its last three games, by 13-2-21 points.

            Little Rock (8-7, 4-4)
            — ranked #160 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #241
            — Experience: #109
            — Continuity: #39
            — Trojans are turning ball over 22.7% of time (#314)
            — Little Rock lost four of its last six games.
            — Little Rock is shooting 53.7% inside arc (#56).

            — Teams split last 12 series games.
            — Warhawks lost four of last five visits to Little Rock.

            Manhattan @ Saint Peter’s
            Manhattan (5-4, 4-4)
            — ranked #307 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #307
            — Experience: #81
            — Continuity: #290
            — Manhattan won its last three games, giving up 48.7 ppg
            — Manhattan can’t shoot: 26.7% on arc (#340), 43.5% inside arc (#324)
            — Jaspers’ last two losses both came in overtime- they haven’t played in 13 days.

            Saint Peter’s (7-6, 4-4)
            — ranked #164 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #269
            — Experience: #302
            — Continuity: #60
            — Peacocks lost three of last four games.
            — Saint Peter’s scored 55.3 ppg in those four games.
            — Peacocks have #283 eFG% in country, #30 eFG% defense.

            — Saint Peter’s won six of last nine series games.
            — Teams split last six meetings played here.

            Iowa @ Illinois
            Iowa (12-3, 6-2)
            — ranked #47 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #79
            — Experience: #292
            — Continuity: #67
            — Iowa won five of last six games; they haven’t played in eight days.
            — Hawkeyes won three of four on Big 14 road, losing in OT at Minnesota.
            — Iowa is 12-0 when it allows 80 or fewer points, 0-3 when it allows 81+.

            Illinois (10-5, 6-3)
            — ranked #8 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #80
            — Experience: #225
            — Continuity: #46
            — Illinois lost two of last three games, all at home.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Illini is 1-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
            — Illinois is shooting 39.7% on the arc (#8).

            — Iowa won five of last six series games.
            — Teams split last four meetings played here.

            Boise State @ Colorado State
            Boise State (13-2, 9-1)
            — ranked #64 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #141
            — Experience: #75
            — Continuity: #243
            — Boise had its 13-game win streak snapped in 78-56 loss Wednesday.
            — Broncos are 1-2 vs top 100 teams (schedule #248)
            — Boise has #41 eFG% defense in country.

            Colorado State (12-3, 9-2)
            — ranked #66 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #99
            — Experience: #313
            — Continuity: #47
            — Colorado State won six of its last seven games.
            — 46.9% of their shots come behind the arc (#16)
            — Rams split their six top 100 games this season

            — Rams shot 65.6% inside arc, hammered Boise 78-56 Wednesday.
            — Boise won seven of last nine series games.
            — Broncos won three of last four visits here, but lost Wednesday.

            Cal-Fullerton @ Cal-Bakersfield
            Cal-Fullerton (4-5, 3-5)
            — ranked #302 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #144
            — Experience: #265
            — Continuity: #318
            — Titans lost only two road games, by 18-4 at UCSB, January 1-2.
            — Fullerton is 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
            — To this point, Fullerton has played schedule #310.

            Cal-Bakersfield (10-5, 6-2)
            — ranked #138 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #329
            — Experience: #1
            — Continuity: #18
            — Roadrunners won six of their last seven games.
            — 10 of their 13 D-I games have been on the road.
            — Bakersfield grabs 39.5% of their missed shots (#3)
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-29-2021, 12:57 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              831MONMOUTH -832 NIAGARA
              NIAGARA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

              831MONMOUTH -832 NIAGARA
              Greg Paulus is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread (Coach of NIAGARA)

              833DETROIT -834 YOUNGSTOWN ST
              YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

              835LA-LAFAYETTE -836 TEXAS ST
              TEXAS ST is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games since 1997.

              837FLA INTERNATIONAL -838 CHARLOTTE
              CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

              839IL-CHICAGO -840 N KENTUCKY
              N KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

              843WI-MILWAUKEE -844 IUPUI
              IUPUI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent in the last 3 seasons.

              845COASTAL CAROLINA -846 GA SOUTHERN
              COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games in the last 3 seasons.

              851UC-SANTA BARBARA -852 CAL DAVIS
              UC-SANTA BARBARA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

              853OAKLAND -854 IUPU-FT WAYNE
              OAKLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-29-2021, 12:58 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB
                Dunkel

                Friday, January 29


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