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Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/28

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  • Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, January 28

    Good Luck on day #28 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    One kind word can warm three winter months.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

      Six leading rebounders in the NBA:
      14.8— Clint Capela, Atl
      14.6— Andre Drummond, Clev
      13.8— Rudy Gobert, Utah
      12.4— Domantas Sabonis, Ind
      12.2— Deandre Ayton, Phx
      11.9— Nikola Jokic, Den

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 430,117
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

      13) Houston Texans hired 65-year old David Culley as their new head coach; he spent the last two years in Baltimore, working with Lamar Jackson, which probably enhanced his hopes of getting this job. Will be interesting to hear how Deshauin Watson reacts to the news.

      — Not many guys get their first head coaching job at age 65
      — Culley has been an NFL assistant coach for 27 years, but he has never even been an offensive coordinator at the NFL level.
      — He was mostly a WR’s coach (lot of years with Andy Reid) until he became a QB coach for Buffalo in 2017.
      — Because Culley is a minority, Baltimore gets a 3rd-round draft pick, both this year and next.

      12) CBS has to be sick that Auburn is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament this year; freshman guard Sharife Cooper is one of the best players in country, must-see TV. Auburn has scored 86.8 ppg in the six games Cooper has played since becoming eligible.

      11) Reader named Andy sent in this info:

      Over the last 11 years, NFL referees enforced an average of 297 more offensive penalties per season than defensive penalties. This year, though, they called 52 more defensive penalties than offensive penalties, which is a big reason why scoring was up this season.

      10) Tennessee Vols hired former Oklahoma QB Josh Heupel as their new football coach.

      Heupel went 28-8 (19-5 in AAC games) at Central Florida, where the AD was Danny White, same guy who is Tennessee’s AD now.

      9) Danny White’s father Kevin has been an AD at six different schools, the last three being Arizona State, Notre Dame, Duke. They were telling a story on TV the other night how every time the White family moved to a new city, they had a new house built, using the exact same floor plan every time, so they were mostly living in the same house, albeit in a different city.

      8) Tennessee recently fired coach Jeremy Pruitt; he quickly re-surfaces as a defensive assistant with the New Jersey Giants.

      7) Northwestern gave their football coach Pat Fitzgerald a 10-year contract extension; he is 106-81 as the Northwestern coach. Back when I was a college kid, Northwestern was a terrible team, and it was Fitzgerald who was part of the team that led the Wildcats to the Rose Bowl in 1995, one of the great rebuilding jobs ever done in college football, by coach Gary Barnett.

      6) SEC announced their football schedule Wednesday; hopefully, things will have progressed enough that fans will be going to those games. Here are some of the highlights:

      Sept 4— LSU @ UCLA
      Sept 11— Texas @ Arkansas
      Sept 18— Alabama @ Florida
      October 16— Ole Miss @ Tennessee

      5) Drake Bulldogs are 15-0 this season, 6-0 in MVC play; they’re one of a handful of unbeaten teams left in the country. Bulldogs have played schedule #244- -they haven’t played a top 100 team yet, and they were down 41-24 at Missouri State Tuesday, before rallying to a 68-61 win.

      Drake beat Missouri State 78-73 again last night, despite being outscored 28-10 on foul line. Bulldogs are making 41.5% of their 3’s (#5), are having one hell of a season.

      4) Virginia Tech indefinitely suspended starting G Tyrece Radford; he is a key player for the Hokies and will be sorely missed.

      3) Creighton 85, Seton Hall 81:
      — Bluejays trailed 68-52 with 10:53 left in the game.
      — Creighton made 17-35 3-point shots.
      — Seton Hall starts 3 seniors, 2 juniors; bad loss for them.

      2) Colorado State 78, Boise State 56:
      — Loss snaps Boise’s 13-game winning streak
      — Broncos still lead Utah St/Colorado St by game in Mountain West.

      1) Highlight of Saturday’s college basketball card will be the SEC/Big X crossover games, which will get lot of national coverage.

      Kansas-Tennessee, Florida-West Virginia, Auburn-Baylor highlight the late of games.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:23 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, January 28


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:24 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Thursday, January 28


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          Trend Report
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          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:25 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, January 28


            Oregon State @ USC
            Oregon State (8-5, 4-3)
            — ranked #127 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #334
            — Experience: #82
            — Continuity: #155
            — OSU won its last three games, giving up 56-64 points in last two.
            — Beavers have #283 eFG% in country.
            — OSU is 1-1 on road; lost by 4 at Wazzu, upset Oregon in Eugene.

            USC (12-3, 6-2)
            — ranked #21 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #203
            — Experience: #192
            — Continuity: #328
            — USC won 7 of last 8 games; the loss was in Corvallis.
            — Trojans are 3-1 in Pac-12 home games, winning by 18-27-8 points.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — USC has #10 eFG% in country.

            — Oregon State won three of last four series games.
            — Beavers upset USC 58-56 at home, nine days ago.
            — OSU lost four of last five games in Galen Center.

            Texas-El Paso @ Texas-San Antonio
            UTEP (7-7, 3-5)
            — ranked #172 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #234
            — Experience: #118
            — Continuity: #215
            — Miners lost four of their last five games.
            — UTEP scored 86.7 ppg in its C-USA wins, 57.4 ppg in losses.
            — Marquette is shooting 46.0% inside arc (#280).

            UTSA (7-8, 3-5)
            — ranked #204 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #39
            — Experience: #111
            — Continuity: #58
            — UTSA is 3-1 at home, 0-4 on road in C-USA games.
            — Roadrunners have #307 eFG% defense in country.
            — UTSA is 1-7 vs top 200 teams.

            — UTSA won six of last seven series games.
            — Miners lost their last five visits to the Alamo.

            Michigan State @ Rutgers
            Michigan State (8-4, 2-4)
            — ranked #44 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #115
            — Experience: #198
            — Continuity: #80
            — Michigan State hasn’t played in 20 days.
            — Spartans are 3-4 vs top 100 teams
            — MSU split its four true road games.

            Rutgers (8-6, 4-6)
            — ranked #40 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #168
            — Experience: #100
            — Continuity: #114
            — Rutgers lost 3 in row at home, 5 of last 6 games overall.
            — Scarlet Knights are shooting 57.9% on foul line (#346)
            — Rutgers doesn’t sub much (#311 bench minutes)

            — Spartans waxed Rutgers 68-45 at home on January 5th.
            — Michigan State is 11-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games.
            — Spartans won last four visits here, by 20-31-10-11 points.

            Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss
            Louisiana Tech (12-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #102 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #128
            — Experience: #60
            — Continuity: #114
            — Tech won four of its last five games.
            — Bulldogs have #2 eFG% defense in C-USA games (#2 of 14)
            — Tech has #37 eFG% defense in country.

            Southern Miss (7-8, 3-5)
            — ranked #254 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #318
            — Experience: #207
            — Continuity: #185
            — USM is 3-1 at home, 0-4 on road in C-USA games
            — To this point, Golden Eagles have played schedule #266.
            — USM is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#279)

            — Tech won 10 of last 12 series games.
            — Tech also lost two of last three visits to Hattiesburg.

            Memphis @ SMU
            Memphis (9-5, 5-2)
            — ranked #59 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #61
            — Experience: #326
            — Continuity: #68
            — Memphis won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
            — Tigers are 2-1 on AAC road, losing 58-57 at Tulsa.
            — Memphis is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#40)

            SMU (8-3, 4-3)
            — ranked #51 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #146
            — Experience: #61
            — Continuity: #69
            — SMU lost three of last five games, after a 6-0 start.
            — Mustangs lost two of their last three home games.
            — Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#15)

            — SMU lost 76-72 at Memphis Tuesday; Tigers were 12-25 on line, SMU 5-6.
            — Memphis is 8-3 in last 11 series games, 2-3 in last five.
            — Tigers lost five of last six games in Moody Coliseum.

            Bradley @ Valparaiso
            Bradley (9-7, 3-4)
            — ranked #116 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #270
            — Experience: #237
            — Continuity: #209
            — Bradley lost last three games, scoring 56-56-58 points.
            — Braves lost four of their five true road games.
            — Bradley is 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.

            Valparaiso (5-9, 2-3)
            — ranked #206 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #238
            — Experience: #274
            — Continuity: #102
            — Valpo is 0-7 vs top 200 teams.
            — Crusaders are shooting 27.0% on arc (#336)
            — Valpo’s best wins are over #246 Illinois State.

            — Home side won last six series games.
            — Braves lost last three visits here, by 13-11-12 points.

            TCU @ Kansas
            TCU (9-5, 2-4)
            — ranked #94 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #265
            — Experience: #321
            — Continuity: #126
            — TCU lost its last three games, scoring 53 ppg.
            — Horned Frogs are 2-1 on road, 0-3 at home in Big X.
            — TCU is shooting 62.7% on foul line (#330)

            Kansas (10-5, 4-4)
            — ranked #16 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #218
            — Experience: #269
            — Continuity: #116
            — Kansas lost its last three games, by 3-8-7 points.
            — Jayhawks are only 6-5 in top 100 games.
            — Kansas grabs its own missed shots 33.1% of time (#48)

            — Kansas hammered TCU 93-64 in Fort Worth January 5
            — Jayhawks won last seven series games.
            — TCU lost last eight visits here, last three by 7-9-9 points.

            Montana @ Montana State
            Montana (7-8, 3-5)
            — ranked #167 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #323
            — Experience: #333
            — Continuity: #281
            — Montana hasn’t played in 12 days.
            — Grizzlies are 1-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
            — Montana has #266 eFG% in country.

            Montana State (9-3, 6-0)
            — ranked #185 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #198
            — Experience: #97
            — Continuity: #227
            — Bobcats won their last six games, gave up 58 ppg in last four.
            — State has #30 eFG% defense in country.
            — Bears are shooting 55.7% inside arc in Big Sky games (#1 of 11).

            — Montana won 18 of last 19 series games.
            — Griz won last three visits to Bozeman, by 15-5-5 points.
            — This is first time in long time Montana State is better than Montana. Right now, this is State’s best season since 2002.

            Belmont @ Austin Peay
            Belmont (16-1, 10-0)
            — ranked #90 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #50
            — Experience: #290
            — Continuity: #208
            — Belmont is shooting 61.1% inside arc (#3)
            — Bruins are 4-0 ATS as an OVC road favorite this season.
            — Belmont is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#42).

            Austin Peay (8-5, 4-3)
            — ranked #210 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #242
            — Experience: #232
            — Continuity: #144
            — Governors are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#309)
            — Opponents are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#339)
            — Austin Peay has #223 eFG% in country, vs schedule #276.

            — Belmont won six of last seven series games.
            — Bruins won four of last five visits here, but lost 86-78 LY.

            Air Force @ San Jose State
            Air Force (4-10, 2-8)
            — ranked #313 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #353
            — Experience: #124
            — Continuity: #225
            — Air Force lost last three games, all by 19+ points.
            — Falcons’ two MW wins were by 2-3 points.
            — Air Force is turning ball over 24.4% of time (#336).

            San Jose State (3-11, 1-9)
            — ranked #325 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #20
            — Experience: #223
            — Continuity: #234
            — Spartans won last game, their first win (1-11) vs a D-I team.
            — San Jose’s last five losses were all by 15+ points.
            — Spartans have #333 eFG% in country.

            — Air Force won six of last seven series games.
            — Teams split last six meetings played here.

            Stanford @ Arizona
            Stanford (9-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #47 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #79
            — Experience: #292
            — Continuity: #67
            — Stanford is 1-3 on Pac-12 road, with lone win at Oregon State.
            — Cardinal scored 56-65-64 in their Pac-12 losses, 73+ in their wins.
            — Stanford is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#280).

            Arizona (12-3, 6-3)
            — ranked #26 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #136
            — Experience: #295
            — Continuity: #322
            — Arizona won last three games, scoring 98-84-80 points.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Wildcats are 10-0 when they allow fewer than 78 points.
            — Arizona gets 23.7% of its points on foul line (#17).

            — Arizona lost 78-75 to Stanford in Santa Cruz December 19
            — That was Stanford’s first win in last 21 series games.
            — Four of Stanford’s last six losses in Tucson were by 13+ points.

            California @ Arizona State
            California (7-10, 2-8)
            — ranked #141 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #313
            — Experience: #85
            — Continuity: #115
            — Cal is 1-4 on Pac-12 road, losing by 20-13-9-29- they won at Utah.
            — Opponents are shooting 40.7% on arc (#340)
            — Cal was held to 57-68 points in its last two games.

            Arizona State (4-8, 1-5)
            — ranked #73 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #15
            — Experience: #174
            — Continuity: #166
            — ASU lost its last six games, giving up 81.3 ppg in last three.
            — Sun Devils have #261 eFG% defense, despite forcing TO’s 22.1% of time (#45)
            — Four of six games in their losing streak were at home.

            — ASU won 70-62 in Berkeley December 3rd.
            — Sun Devils won last six series games.
            — Cal lost 84-53/69-59 in last two visits to Tempe.

            New Mexico @ Fresno State
            New Mexico (5-9, 1-9)
            — ranked #280 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #326
            — Experience: #256
            — Continuity: #313
            — Lobos are 1-4 on MW road, with three losses by 23+ points.
            — New Mexico is shooting 24.9% on arc (#346)
            — Lobos have one win (1-8) vs a top 300 team (#193 Rice)

            Fresno State (5-6, 3-6)
            — ranked #182 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #298
            — Experience: #299
            — Continuity: #306
            — Fresno lost its last three games, losing by 16-14-22 points.
            — Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#279)
            — Fresno is a top 50 rebounding team in country.

            — Bulldogs won six of last eight series games.
            — Lobos lost last four visits here, by 10-9-12-5 points.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:25 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              713OREGON ST -714 USC
              OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the last 3 seasons.

              715WYOMING -716 SAN DIEGO ST
              WYOMING is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

              717UTEP -718 TX-SAN ANTONIO
              TX-SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

              719MICHIGAN ST -720 RUTGERS
              MICHIGAN ST is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half in the last 3 seasons.

              721LOUISIANA TECH -722 SOUTHERN MISS
              Jay Ladner is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game (Coach of SOUTHERN MISS)

              721LOUISIANA TECH -722 SOUTHERN MISS
              SOUTHERN MISS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

              723MEMPHIS -724 SMU
              MEMPHIS are 44-23 ATS (18.7 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

              725BRADLEY -726 VALPARAISO
              BRADLEY is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week since 1997.

              727N COLORADO -728 N ARIZONA
              N COLORADO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

              729N TEXAS -730 RICE
              N TEXAS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:27 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB
                Dunkel

                Thursday, January 28


                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-28-2021, 01:27 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Rance who do you like in today's college basketball games?

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post
                    Rance who do you like in today's college basketball games?
                    So far, I like Michigan State. I think they have the wrong team favored here.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post
                      Rance who do you like in today's college basketball games?
                      I'm starting to like Memphis, too.

                      But, honestly, I haven't really looked at college hoops much yet this season. I kinda think colleges and universities are losing my interest because of the miserably poor job they've done with Covid-19.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Udog View Post
                        So far, I like Michigan State. I think they have the wrong team favored here.
                        Rance I think you're on the right side Good Luck!

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Udog View Post
                          I'm starting to like Memphis, too.


                          I just saw that you like SMU! Well, like I say, I haven't really gotten started with college hoops yet so I will definitely defer to your judgement.

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