Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/28

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, January 28

Good Luck on day #28 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

One kind word can warm three winter months.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six leading rebounders in the NBA:
14.8— Clint Capela, Atl
14.6— Andre Drummond, Clev
13.8— Rudy Gobert, Utah
12.4— Domantas Sabonis, Ind
12.2— Deandre Ayton, Phx
11.9— Nikola Jokic, Den

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 430,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Houston Texans hired 65-year old David Culley as their new head coach; he spent the last two years in Baltimore, working with Lamar Jackson, which probably enhanced his hopes of getting this job. Will be interesting to hear how Deshauin Watson reacts to the news.

— Not many guys get their first head coaching job at age 65
— Culley has been an NFL assistant coach for 27 years, but he has never even been an offensive coordinator at the NFL level.
— He was mostly a WR’s coach (lot of years with Andy Reid) until he became a QB coach for Buffalo in 2017.
— Because Culley is a minority, Baltimore gets a 3rd-round draft pick, both this year and next.

12) CBS has to be sick that Auburn is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament this year; freshman guard Sharife Cooper is one of the best players in country, must-see TV. Auburn has scored 86.8 ppg in the six games Cooper has played since becoming eligible.

11) Reader named Andy sent in this info:

Over the last 11 years, NFL referees enforced an average of 297 more offensive penalties per season than defensive penalties. This year, though, they called 52 more defensive penalties than offensive penalties, which is a big reason why scoring was up this season.

10) Tennessee Vols hired former Oklahoma QB Josh Heupel as their new football coach.

Heupel went 28-8 (19-5 in AAC games) at Central Florida, where the AD was Danny White, same guy who is Tennessee’s AD now.

9) Danny White’s father Kevin has been an AD at six different schools, the last three being Arizona State, Notre Dame, Duke. They were telling a story on TV the other night how every time the White family moved to a new city, they had a new house built, using the exact same floor plan every time, so they were mostly living in the same house, albeit in a different city.

8) Tennessee recently fired coach Jeremy Pruitt; he quickly re-surfaces as a defensive assistant with the New Jersey Giants.

7) Northwestern gave their football coach Pat Fitzgerald a 10-year contract extension; he is 106-81 as the Northwestern coach. Back when I was a college kid, Northwestern was a terrible team, and it was Fitzgerald who was part of the team that led the Wildcats to the Rose Bowl in 1995, one of the great rebuilding jobs ever done in college football, by coach Gary Barnett.

6) SEC announced their football schedule Wednesday; hopefully, things will have progressed enough that fans will be going to those games. Here are some of the highlights:

Sept 4— LSU @ UCLA
Sept 11— Texas @ Arkansas
Sept 18— Alabama @ Florida
October 16— Ole Miss @ Tennessee

5) Drake Bulldogs are 15-0 this season, 6-0 in MVC play; they’re one of a handful of unbeaten teams left in the country. Bulldogs have played schedule #244- -they haven’t played a top 100 team yet, and they were down 41-24 at Missouri State Tuesday, before rallying to a 68-61 win.

Drake beat Missouri State 78-73 again last night, despite being outscored 28-10 on foul line. Bulldogs are making 41.5% of their 3’s (#5), are having one hell of a season.

4) Virginia Tech indefinitely suspended starting G Tyrece Radford; he is a key player for the Hokies and will be sorely missed.

3) Creighton 85, Seton Hall 81:
— Bluejays trailed 68-52 with 10:53 left in the game.
— Creighton made 17-35 3-point shots.
— Seton Hall starts 3 seniors, 2 juniors; bad loss for them.

2) Colorado State 78, Boise State 56:
— Loss snaps Boise’s 13-game winning streak
— Broncos still lead Utah St/Colorado St by game in Mountain West.

1) Highlight of Saturday’s college basketball card will be the SEC/Big X crossover games, which will get lot of national coverage.

Kansas-Tennessee, Florida-West Virginia, Auburn-Baylor highlight the late of games.

[Udog]

555LA CLIPPERS -556 MIAMI
MIAMI is 51-31 ATS (16.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

559GOLDEN STATE -560 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

561PORTLAND -562 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in home games revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less since 1996.




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 28

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LA CLIPPERS (13 - 5) at MIAMI (6 - 11) - 1/28/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 5) at DETROIT (4 - 14) - 1/28/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 73-107 ATS (-44.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 124-175 ATS (-68.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (10 - 8) at PHOENIX (8 - 8) - 1/28/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (9 - 7) at HOUSTON (7 - 9) - 1/28/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 28

Portland @ Houston
Trailblazers (9-7)
— Portland lost three of its last five games.
— Blazers are 4-2 ATS on road this season, 1-1 as a road dog.
— Over is 3-0 in Portland’s last three games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out.

Rockets (7-9)
— Houston won/covered its last three games.
— Rockets lost three of last four home games SU.
— Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games.

— Portland won last four series games.
— Blazers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

LA Lakers @ Detroit
Lakers (14-5)
— Lakers won eight of last ten games, covered six of last nine.
— Lakers are 7-3 ATS on road this season.
— Under is 12-4 in their last sixteen games.

Pistons (4-14)
— Detroit lost 10 of its last 13 games.
— Pistons are 6-2 ATS as a home underdog,
— Over is 6-1 in Detroit’s last seven games overall.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Lakers lost last four visits here, by 14-6-19-20 points.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

LA Clippers @ Miami
Clippers (13-5)
— Clippers won seven of their last seven games, covered four of last six.
— Clippers are 4-3 ATS on road.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Unsure if Leonard/George (COVID protocol) will play here

Heat (6-11)
— Miami lost four in row, seven of last nine games.
— Heat is 4-4 SU/3-4-1 ATS at home.
— Four of their last five games stayed under.

— Clippers won last three series games.
— LA covered four of its last five visits to South Beach.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Golden State @ Phoenix
Warriors (10-8)
— Golden State split its last eight games SU.
— Warriors are 3-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Five of Golden State’s last six games went over.

Suns (8-8)
— Phoenix lost five of its last six games.
— Suns lost four of their last five home games.
— Over is 4-1 in last five Phoenix home games.
— Booker (hamstring) missed last night’s game

— Teams split last six series games.
— Golden State covered four of last five visits to Phoenix.
— Eight of last nine series games stayed under.




NBA

Thursday, January 28

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Trend Report
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Portland @ Houston
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

LA Lakers @ Detroit
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 14 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

LA Clippers @ Miami
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Golden State @ Phoenix
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

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NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 28

[Udog]

Hoop Trends for Thursday January 28
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Miami (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 9-0 ATS (12.50 ppg) on the road with rest off a loss as a dog.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Golden State at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 0-10 ATS (-11.80 ppg) at home with less than two days rest after playing as a home favorite.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Detroit (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 14-0 OU (9.79 ppg) at home after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Houston (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-12 OU (-10.42 ppg) on the road off a loss in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

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Rance Great Job!

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Rance Great Job!