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Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/27

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  • Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 27

    Good Luck on day #27 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Carry out a random act of kindness, with no expectation of reward, safe in the knowledge that one day someone might do the same for you.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

      Odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open this week:
      7-1— Jon Rahm
      15-2— Rory McIlroy
      13-1— Xander Schauffele
      21-1— Tony Finau
      23-1— Harris English, Victor Hovland
      29-1— Im, Matsuyama, Reed, Scheffler

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 423,653
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Wednesday's quiz: Mid-week musings…….

      13) Phillies finally came through and gave catcher JP Realmuto a 5-year, $115.5M contract; this is the 3rd-biggest contract for a catcher in MLB history (Mauer, Posey)

      12) No one got elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame Tuesday; you need to be named on 75% of the ballots to get in the hall. Top three candidates this year all had off-field issues which hurt their cause. Next year is Alex Rodriguez’ first year on the ballot; will be more of the same.

      There will still be an induction ceremony in Cooperstown this July, because they didn’t have one last summer, so the 2020 inductees will get honored this summer.

      11) 26-year old guard Caris LeVert was probably surprised when he got traded from Brooklyn to the Indiana Pacers January 13, but getting traded might’ve been the best thing that ever happened to him.

      During his physical with Indiana, doctors discovered a problem, and this week he had surgery to treat renal cell carcinoma in his left kidney. He is expected to make a full recovery, with no further treatment needed, which is excellent news.

      10) Toronto Blue Jays are going for it this year; they gave SS Marcus Semien a 1-year, $18M deal, which leaves the A’s without a major league shortstop. I mean, right now if they had a game and a grounder was hit to short, no one would catch it, because no one would be there. They need to make a deal, find a guy who is at least a dependable fielder.

      In other shortstop news, Minnesota gave Andrelton Simmons $10.5M for one year.

      9) Alabama 70, Kentucky 59:
      — Crimson Tide sweeps Kentucky for first time since Eddie Sutton’s last year in Lexington, way back in 1989.
      — Alabama won its last ten games, is 9-0 in the SEC.
      — Kentucky is 5-10, 4-4 in SEC games; they’ve lost four of last five games.

      8) When did North Dakota State become a quarterback factory? First Carson Wentz, then Easton Stick, who is a backup with the Chargers, and now Mel Kiper Jr has Trey Lance as a top 10 pick in this April’s draft, even though he played in only one game last fall, and has played in only 17 college games, none against a I-A team.

      Most of the highlights I saw of him were of him running, so he may be more of a project.

      7) Sometimes late at night, I look up weird stuff. Was watching the 1966 Batman movie the other night, and decided to research actors/actresses who were in both the Batman TV series and also in Magnum, PI. I found five people:

      — Elisha Cook— Was Icepick in Magnum, Professor Isaacson in Batman
      — Howard Duff— Was Magnum’s grandfather, was Cabala in Batman
      — Alan Hale— Best known as the Skipper on Gilligan’s Island, he was actually a character named Gilligan on Batman, was Russell Tate in one episode of Magnum
      — Barbara Rush was Nora Clavicle in two Batman episodes; she was in two very different episodes of Magnum, playing his aunt Phoebe in one of them.
      — Jill St John played Molly in two episodes of Batman; she played designer Jan Kona in an episode of Magnum.

      6) Auburn 88, Missouri 82:
      — This kid Sharife Cooper on Auburn is really good; he had 28 points, made 18-21 on the foul line. College players ALMOST NEVER take 20 foul shots in a game, not in the shot clock era.
      — Auburn was 36-44 on the line, Mizzou was 18-27.
      — Missouri’s Jeremiah Tilman was 3-11 on the line, is at 50.7% for the year.

      5) Would it kill MLB Network to show replays of old baseball games? Have a day for each team all winter, show their 2-3 best games from last year. I freakin’ love watching random games, and they don’t have to be playoff games.

      I mean, no one got elected to the Hall of Fame yesterday, yet they still replayed the damn show where they reviewed how no one got elected. Who would possibly watch that?

      4) Fordham fired basketball coach Jeff Neubauer, who went 25-73 in conference games with the Rams. Neubauer previously had a good 10-year run at Eastern Kentucky.

      Fordham isn’t necessarily a great job; oldest gym in the country, tough league- their last winning season was in 2007, when Dereck Whittemberg was the coach, and that’s their only winning season since at least 1997.

      3) Whats up with the postal service? Got my mail delivered at 8:25pm the other night. Have read a lot of things about how slow mail delivery has been the last few months. No bueno.

      2) I wish I knew a Chargers’ fan, don’t know any. Would love to ask him/her who they thought was a better QB, Dan Fouts or Philip Rivers. I have my opinion, but hearing from someone who lives and dies with the team would be way more interesting.

      1) My hands are cold as I type this; been shoveling show tonight, which isn’t good. It also snowed in Las Vegas Tuesday, which is a little weird. Their snow won’t last as long as our snow, of that I am not uncertain.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:51 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, January 27


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:52 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, January 27


          BYU @ Pepperdine
          BYU (13-3, 4-1)
          — ranked #48 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #186
          — Experience: #77
          — Continuity: #267
          — BYU won its last four games, giving up 59 ppg. .
          — Cougars won four of their five true road games.
          — BYU is shooting 54.8% on arc (#43)

          Pepperdine (6-7, 2-2)
          — ranked #133 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #69
          — Experience: #123
          — Continuity: #69
          — Waves are 2-0 in WCC home games, winning by 15-17 points.
          — Overall, Pepperdine split its six D-I home games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Pepperdine has a really good PG, but is shooting only 31.3% on arc (#257)

          — BYU beat the Waves 65-54 at home Saturday.
          — Cougars won last six series games.
          — BYU won its last three visits to Malibu, by 5-11-17 points.

          Marquette @ Providence
          Marquette (8-7, 4-5)
          — ranked #65 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #255
          — Experience: #197
          — Continuity: #174
          — Marquette won last two road games, at Georgetown/St John’s.
          — Golden Eagles are 4-7 in top 100 games.
          — Marquette is shooting 35.9% on arc (#77).

          Providence (8-7, 4-5)
          — ranked #63 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #276
          — Experience: #141
          — Continuity: #219
          — Friars lost four of their last five games.
          — This is their first home game since January 2nd (2-1 home in Big East)
          — Three of their four Big East wins were by 4 points or in OT.

          — Marquette beat Providence 79-69 at home, two weeks ago.
          — Teams split last ten series games.
          — Teams also split last six series games played here.

          Creighton @ Seton Hall
          Creighton (11-4, 7-3)
          — ranked #14 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #114
          — Experience: #44
          — Continuity: #23
          — Bluejays are 3-1 on Big East road, losing in OT at Butler.
          — Creighton is shooting 59.1% inside arc (#8)
          — All four of their losses are by 5 or fewer points.

          Seton Hall (9-6, 6-3)
          — ranked #42 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #237
          — Experience: #22
          — Continuity: #129
          — Seton Hall hasn’t played in eight days.
          — Pirates are 3-1 in Big East home games, losing in OT to Providence
          — Seton Hall is 8-1 when allowing less than 76 points.

          — Creighton (13-24 on arc) pounded Seton Hall 89-53 January 6th.
          — Bluejays won last three series games, by 5-17-36 points.
          — Creighton lost three of last four visits to the Garden State.

          Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame
          Virginia Tech (11-3, 5-2)
          — ranked #45 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #298
          — Experience: #229
          — Continuity: #103
          — Tech is 1-2 on ACC road, winning at Wake Forest.
          — Hokies won seven of their last nine games.
          — Tech was held to 62 ppg in its three losses.

          Notre Dame (5-8, 2-5)
          — ranked #78 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #271
          — Experience: #53
          — Continuity: #126
          — Notre Dame won last two games, after a 3-8 start.
          — ND is shooting 38.4% on arc (#26), 78.3% on line (#14)
          — Irish are in bottom 15 in country at forcing turnovers (#346)

          — Tech beat Notre Dame 77-63 at home January 10.
          — Hokies won three of last four series games.
          — Tech won two of last three visits to South Bend.

          Penn State @ Ohio State
          Penn State (5-6, 2-5)
          — ranked #46 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #155
          — Experience: #55
          — Continuity: #55
          — Penn State allowed 78+ points in five of last six games.
          — PSU is 0-4 on Big 14 road, with three losses by 8+ points.
          — Opponents are shooting 56.0% inside arc (#320)

          Ohio State (12-4, 6-4)
          — ranked #12 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #286
          — Experience: #96
          — Continuity: #177
          — Buckeyes won four of their last five games.
          — OSU is 3-1 in Big 14 home games, winning by 12-10-36 points.
          — OSU is getting 22.8% of its points on foul line (#26)

          — Penn State won four of last six series games.
          — Nittany Lions lost 74-70/106-74 in last two visits here.

          Wake Forest @ NC State
          Wake Forest (4-6, 1-6)
          — ranked #118 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #161
          — Experience: #177
          — Continuity: #277
          — Wake lost six of last seven games, beating Pitt 76-75.
          — Deacons are 0-4 on ACC road, scoring 64 ppg.
          — Wake is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#266)

          NC State (6-5, 2-4)
          — ranked #68 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #143
          — Experience: #180
          — Continuity: #94
          — Wolfpack lost last four games, giving up 105-86 points last two games.
          — State is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#15)
          — Wolfpack is 4-0 teams ranked outside top 100.

          — State won five of last six series games.
          — Wake lost last three visits to Raleigh, by 9-20-20 points.

          Ole Miss @ Arkansas
          Ole Miss (8-6, 3-4)
          — ranked #53 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #278
          — Experience: #92
          — Continuity: #182
          — Ole Miss won last two games, giving up 46-50 points.
          — Rebels lost three of their last four true road games.
          — Ole Miss is forcing turnovers 25.0% of time (#9)

          Arkansas (12-4, 4-4)
          — ranked #37 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #21
          — Experience: #241
          — Continuity: #334
          — Hogs won last two games, scoring 75-92 points.
          — Arkansas was 1-3 with Justin Smith out of lineup; he’s back now.
          — Razorbacks gave up 79+ points in all four of their losses.

          — Arkansas won six of last seven series games.
          — Rebels lost last three visits here, by 18-1-4 points.

          Drake @ Missouri State
          Drake (14-0, 5-0)
          — ranked #61 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #251
          — Experience: #76
          — Continuity: #172
          — Drake was off for 22 days before last night’s comeback win.
          — Bulldogs are 5-0 in true road games; all of them were by 7+ points.
          — Drake is shooting 42.5% on arc (#4)

          Missouri State (9-2, 5-2)
          — ranked #123 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #60
          — Experience: #228
          — Continuity: #288
          — Bears won four of their last five D-I games.
          — State played three starters 36:00+ last night
          — Bears are shooting 61.7% inside arc (#2).

          — Drake rallied from 17 down to win 68-61 here last night.
          — Drake won six of last seven series games.
          — Bulldogs won four of last five visits to Springfield.

          St John’s @ DePaul
          St John’s (9-7, 3-6)
          — ranked #84 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #15
          — Experience: #257
          — Continuity: #168
          — Red Storm is 1-4 on Big East road, winning at UConn.
          — Johnnies won three of last four games overall.
          — Red Storm is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#23).

          DePaul (3-5, 1-5)
          — ranked #94 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #28
          — Experience: #142
          — Continuity: #187
          — DePaul is 0-3 at home in Big East, losing by 8-7-14 points.
          — Blue Demons are turning ball over 22.2% of time (#307)
          — DePaul has #205 eFG% in country.

          — St John’s won last three series games, by 8-7-13 points.
          — Red Storm won three of last four visits to the Windy City.

          Boise State @ Colorado State
          Boise State (13-1, 9-0)
          — ranked #56 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #152
          — Experience: #75
          — Continuity: #243
          — Boise won last 13 games, since a 69-59 loss at Houston.
          — Broncos are 4-0 on MW road, with three wins by 20+ points.
          — Boise’s last five wins are all by 11+ points.

          Colorado State (11-3, 8-2)
          — ranked #73 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #95
          — Experience: #313
          — Continuity: #47
          — Rams won five of their last six games.
          — CSU is shooting 39.1% on arc (#22).
          — Rams are getting 40.9% of their points on arc (#12)

          — Broncos won seven of last eight series games.
          — Boise won last three visits to Fort Collins, by 3-33-2 points.

          Washington State @ Colorado
          Washington State (9-6, 2-6)
          — ranked #137 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #175
          — Experience: #319
          — Continuity: #204
          — Wazzu lost its last five games, after a 9-1 start.
          — Coogs are 1-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 15-30-8 points.
          — Wazzu is shooting 43.6% inside arc in Pac-12 tilts (#12 of 12).

          Colorado (12-4, 6-3)
          — ranked #18 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #254
          — Experience: #29
          — Continuity: #99
          — Colorado won five of its last six games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Colorado is 3-0 at home in Pac-12, winning by 7-29-13 points.
          — Buffs allowed 60.3 ppg in their last four wins.

          — Buffs won 70-59 at Wazzu Saturday, after trailing 23-5 early on.
          — Colorado won six of last nine series games.
          — Coogs lost last eight visits to Boulder (92-60/78-56 last two)

          Louisville @ Clemson
          Louisville (10-3, 5-2)
          — ranked #38 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #294
          — Experience: #337
          — Continuity: #329
          — Louisville lost two of last three games, after a 9-1 start.
          — Cardinals won three of four ACC road games, losing at Miami.
          — Louisville gave up 78+ points in all three of its losses.

          Clemson (9-4, 3-4)
          — ranked #50 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #306
          — Experience: #182
          — Continuity: #104
          — Clemson lost its last three games, giving up 82.7 ppg.
          — Opponents are shooting 43% on arc in ACC games (#15 of 15).
          — Tigers are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#13).

          — Home side is 7-0 in ACC meetings.
          — Cardinals lost 74-69/77-62 in last two visits here.

          Wisconsin @ Maryland
          Wisconsin (12-4, 6-3)
          — ranked #11 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #333
          — Experience: #16
          — Continuity: #12
          — Badgers are 4-3 in last seven games, after an 8-1 start.
          — Wisconsin is shooting 37.9% on arc (#32)
          — Badgers are 2-3 in Big 14 if they allow 70+ points, 4-0 if they allow less.

          Maryland (9-7, 3-6)
          — ranked #41 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #303
          — Experience: #154
          — Continuity: #102
          — Terps are 0-3 in Big 14 home games, losing by 14-11-22 points.
          — Maryland is 3-7 in top 100 games.
          — Terps are inconsistent; they’ve got three top 30 wins.

          — Terps won 70-64 at Wisconsin December 28, shooting 57% inside arc.
          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Badgers lost 68-63/64-60 in last two visits to College Park.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:53 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Wednesday, January 27


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            Trend Report
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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:54 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              653BYU -654 PEPPERDINE
              PEPPERDINE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              655TOWSON ST -656 JAMES MADISON
              JAMES MADISON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

              657RHODE ISLAND -658 LASALLE
              RHODE ISLAND is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games after allowing 55 points or less since 1997.

              659MIAMI -660 FLORIDA ST
              MIAMI is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

              661DUQUESNE -662 FORDHAM
              DUQUESNE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

              663VANDERBILT -664 FLORIDA
              VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 85 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

              665W CAROLINA -666 VMI
              VMI is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

              667MARQUETTE -668 PROVIDENCE
              PROVIDENCE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

              669CREIGHTON -670 SETON HALL
              CREIGHTON is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons.

              671E CAROLINA -672 UCF
              E CAROLINA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:55 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB
                Dunkel

                Wednesday, January 27


                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-27-2021, 12:56 PM.

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