Announcement

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 08:05 AM

We can live a life full and complete, thinking with our heads but living from our hearts.

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 08:05 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the NCAA basketball tournament:
+$355— Gonzaga
+$465— Baylor
+$1100— Iowa, Michigan, Villanova
+$1900— Alabama, Illinois, Texas
+$2600— Tennessee, Virginia
+$2900— Houston, Kansas, Wisconsin

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 419,263
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Football players are really tough; Buffalo Bills’ WR Cole Beasley played the last 3.5 games this season with a broken fibula in his leg.

In his last four games, Beasley caught 17 passes for 162 yards. With a broken leg.

12) Why some teams don’t win very much. This is the 2010 MLB Draft:

1st pick- Bryce Harper, Washington— Really good player, excellent pick
2nd— Jameson Taillon, Pittsburgh— Went 29-24 in 82 starts; has had two Tommy John surgeries. Got traded to Bronx last week.
3rd— Manny Machado, Baltimore— Hell of a player; Orioles made playoffs 3 times with him.
4th— Christian Colon, Kansas City— Hitting .249 in 418 career plate appearances.

Pirates passed up Manny Machado for a high school pitcher; no bueno.

By the way the 23rd pick that year? Christian Yelich; he’s pretty good, too.

11) Brooklyn 98, Miami 85:
— Nets are 4-2 since acquiring James Harden.

Harden gets lot of criticism, but in his 12-year NBA career, he’s never played on a losing team. Five years ago, Houston was 41-41, the only team Harden has been on that finished a season with less than a .549 winning percentage.

Harden led the NBA in assists four years ago, is leading again this year. He’s a winning player, even if some people don’t like the way he plays— he does have the ball a lot.

10) West Virginia 88, Texas Tech 87:
— Tech led by 12 with 7:11 left in game.
— West Virginia made 12-19 on arc, making up for going 16-27 on foul line.
— Tech had only two turnovers (+10)
— Both teams scored over 1.2 points/possession, which is unusually good offense.

9) This is Archie Miller’s 4th year coaching Indiana; when his Hoosiers lost 74-70 at home to Rutgers Sunday, it made Indiana’s record 2-9 in games that followed Indiana beating a top 25 team. Hoosiers are having a hard time handling success.

8) They’re announcing the Hall of Fame inductees tonight; how do you vote for someone to be inducted into Cooperstown, and not include Barry Bonds or Roger Clemens? I’d vote for them.

If you tell me that they used steroids, I’d ask you for a complete list of who did/did not cheat back in that era. That list does not exist, so who gets to be judge/jury? Not me.

7) Curt Schilling’s Hall of Fame credentials:
— 19 postseason starts, 11-2, 2.23 for three different teams.
— He went 3-0, 3.00 in four postseason starts in 2007, at age 40.
— Regular season record: 216-146 in 436 starts.

His politics may be alarming, he may be a terrible businessman, but that stuff isn’t supposed to be relevant. A 2.23 ERA in 19 postseason starts should carry a lot of weight tonight.

6) Remember Jimmer Fredette, the BYU sharpshooter? He is still playing pro ball over in China, and scored 70 points in a game last week, for the Shanghai Sharks. The man can shoot.

5) Last week, I stayed up all night one night watching four high school basketball games on ESPNU- they were played in Virginia somewhere, these basketball factory high schools that are still traveling all over the country, when most public high school teams aren’t even playing.

Juwan Howard’s son was on one team; all in all, 10 teams from nine states played in the event, with 30 players involved who are ranked by ESPN’s experts.

Was fun to watch the games, but kids moving away from their families when they’re still in high school seems like a bit much.

4) UNLV 59, Utah State 56:
— Rebels played only six guys more than 5:00- four starters played 34:00+.
— Hard to win road games in a league where lot of schools are in high altitude, when you don’t have any depth. But this game was in Las Vegas, and they held on.
— This is a really good win for the Rebels; was very surprised by this score.

3) Back in 2017, in my fantasy baseball league, I picked up a Padres’ utility guy named Jose Pirela— he hit .288 with 10 homers in 83 games, showed a lot of promise, especially if he wound up at second base, where it is harder to find guys who hit .288.

Well, that was the highlight; four years later, Jose Pirela is playing in Korea this year, for the Samsung Lions— he played in Japan last year. Spring training in the KBO starts Sunday.

2) Arizona 80, Arizona State 67:
— Sean Miller’s Wildcats are 12-3, 6-3 in Pac-12
— Arizona was 32-43 on foul line; ASU was 9-11.

1) Time flies; 33 years ago last night was the night that Pitt’s Jerome Lane dunked on a fast break and shattered the backboard, live on ESPN, inspiring Bill Raftery to yell into his mike, “Send it in Jerome!!!”

The guy who passed Jerome Lane the ball? A guard named Sean Miller.

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 08:27 AM

601TULSA -602 TEMPLE
TEMPLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

603S ILLINOIS -604 INDIANA ST
S ILLINOIS are 58-34 ATS (20.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1997.

605C MICHIGAN -606 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 45-25 ATS (17.5 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game since 1997.

607W MICHIGAN -608 OHIO U
OHIO U is 48-24 ATS (21.6 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

609RICHMOND -610 ST JOSEPHS
ST JOSEPHS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

611MISSISSIPPI ST -612 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 38-18 ATS (18.2 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1997.

615KENT ST -616 BALL ST
BALL ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game in the last 3 seasons.

619N CAROLINA -620 PITTSBURGH
N CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

621OKLAHOMA -622 TEXAS
TEXAS are 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

623E MICHIGAN -624 AKRON
E MICHIGAN is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 08:29 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, January 26

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Trend Report
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**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 08:37 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 26

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 10:48 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 26

**Udog** · 01-26-2021, 12:06 PM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 26

Tulsa @ Temple
Tulsa (8-5, 5-3)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #197
— Tulsa lost last two road games, by 19-27 points.
— Last three games, Golden Hurricane scored 56.7 ppg.
— Tulsa is shooting 28.0% on arc (#324)

Temple (3-4, 2-4)
— ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #192
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #292
— Temple split its four home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Owls have #324 eFG% in country (40.5% inside arc, #342)
— Temple is getting 23.9% of its points on foul line (#15)

— Tulsa won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
— AAC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-3 ATS

Richmond @ St Joe’s
Richmond (10-4, 4-3)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #11
— Spiders split their last six games, after a 7-1 start.
— Richmond is 4-1 in true road games, losing at West Virginia.
— Spiders are forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#48).

St Joe’s (1-12, 0-7)
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #317
— Continuity: #253
— Hawks lost last four games, last three by 7-2-9 points.
— St Joe’s’ only win was 67-64 over #222 Albany.
— Hawks are in bottom 50 in country in rebounding.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Spiders won five of last seven visits here.
— A-14 double digit favorites are 6-4 ATS, 2-2 on road.

Mississippi State @ Tennessee
Mississippi State (9-7, 4-4)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #314
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #250
— Bulldogs lost three of last four games, scoring 61.5 ppg.
— MSU is grabbing 37.1% of its own missed shots (#7)
— Miss State won two of its three SEC road games, losing at #10 Alabama.

Tennessee (10-3, 4-3)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #221
— Continuity: #89
— Tennessee lost last two games, giving up 75-73 points.
— Vols split their four SEC home games, losing to Alabama/Missouri.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#13)

— Tennessee won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Bulldogs won three of last four visits to Knoxville.
— SEC home favorites of 9+ points are 0-4 ATS.

SMU @ Memphis
SMU (8-2, 4-2)
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #75
— Jankovich will coach here, after missing last game.
— SMU is 3-0 in true road games, winning by 2-8-13 points.
— Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#10).

Memphis (8-5, 4-2)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #44
— Experience: #326
— Continuity: #66
— Memphis’ two AAC losses were both to Tulsa.
— Tigers are 2-5 vs top 100 teams, beating Saint Mary’s/Wichita.
— Memphis has #7 eFG% defense in country.

— SMU won eight of last ten series games.
— Mustangs won four of last five visits to Memphis.
— AAC home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 4-2 ATS.

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
North Carolina (10-5, 5-3)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #149
— UNC won five of its last six games, after a 5-4 start.
— Tar Heels scored 80.5 ppg in their last four games.
— Carolina is shooting only 46% inside arc in ACC games (#15 of 15)

Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #93
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #125
— Pitt is 3-1 vs top 50 teams; they’ve got two losses to teams outside top 100.
— Panthers scored 86.7 ppg in their last three games.
— Pitt is grabbing 35.3% of its own missed shots (#21)

— Pitt swept UNC 73-65/66-52 LY, after losing previous six meetings.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.
— ACC home underdogs of fewer than 5 points are 9-4 ATS

Oklahoma @ Texas
Oklahoma (9-4, 5-3)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #52
— Sooners won their last three games, scoring 77.7 ppg.
— Oklahoma lost last three road games, by 12-15-4 points.
— Sooners lost four of their six top 50 games.

Texas (11-2, 5-1)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #152
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #4
— Longhorns haven’t played in ten days.
— Texas has #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas’ two losses were by 4 to Villanova, 2 to Texas Tech.

— Texas coach Shaka Smart (COVID) will miss this game.
— Texas won six of last nine series games.
— Sooners lost four of last five visits to Austin.
— Big X home favorites of 3+ points are 3-11-1 ATS.

Kentucky @ Alabama
Kentucky (5-9, 4-3)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky lost three of its last four games.
— Wildcats are 2-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Kentucky has #296 eFG% in country (28.2% on arc, #319)

Alabama (13-3, 8-0)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #9
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #160
— Alabama is 4-0 in SEC home games, with three wins by 15+ points.
— Crimson Tide scored 81+ points in their last six games.
— Alabama has only one SEC win by less than eight points.

— Alabama made 14-30 on arc, won by 20 at Kentucky two weeks ago.
— Kentucky won 12 of last 14 series games.
— Crimson Tide lost their last eight games in Rupp Arena.
— SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 3-6 ATS.

Drake @ Missouri State
Drake (13-0, 4-0)
— ranked #64 by KenPom
— Tempo: #272
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #174
— Drake hasn’t played in 22 days.
— Bulldogs are 4-0 in true road games; all four wins were by 7+ points.
— Drake is shooting 43.5% on arc (#1)

Missouri State (9-1, 5-1)
— ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #233
— Continuity: #288
— Bears haven’t played a D-I game in 16 days.
— State’s only loss was by 10 at Northern Iowa Dec 28.
— Bears are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#2).

— Drake won five of last six series games.
— Bulldogs won three of last four visits to Springfield.
— MVC home underdogs of 5 or fewer points are 0-6 ATS.

Butler @ UConn
Butler (5-7, 4-5)
— ranked #87 by KenPom
— Tempo: #319
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #254
— Butler won last two games, after a 3-7 start.
— Bulldogs lost four of five true road games, winning at DePaul.
— Butler is shooting only 60.8% on foul line (#308).

UConn (11-3, 5-3)
— ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #132
— Huskies lost last two games, after a 7-1 start.
— UConn is 6-0 when it allows fewer than 74 points.
— UConn is 3-2 SU at home, losing to Creighton/St John’s.

— UConn won 72-60 at Hinkle Fieldhouse January 9
— Huskies made 10-21 3-pointers in their first Big East meeting.
— Big East home favorites of fewer than 7 points are 9-7 ATS.

Dayton @ Saint Louis
Dayton (8-4, 4-3)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #331
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #214
— Dayton won three of its last four games.
— Flyers were held to 54 ppg in their three A-14 losses.
— Flyers are turning ball over 22.3% of time (#307).

Saint Louis (7-1, 0-0)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #17
— Saint Louis hasn’t played in 34 days; this is their first A-14 game.
— Billikens have top 100 wins over LSU, NC State; their loss was at Minnesota.
— Saint Louis is shooting 41.0% on arc (#7)

— Dayton won last three series games, by 8-2-6 points.
— Flyers won five of last seven visits to St Louis.
— Single digit home favorites are 11-7 ATS in A-14 games.

Missouri @ Auburn
Missouri (10-2, 4-2)
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #169
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #6
— Missouri won last three games, by 16-11-9 points.
— Missouri was held to 53-63 points in their two losses.
— Missouri has #17 eFG% defense in country.

Auburn (9-7, 3-5)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #55
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #315
— Auburn won three of its last four games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Auburn is scoring 86.6 ppg in five games with Cooper playing.
— Auburn is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#26)

— Auburn won five of last seven series games.
— Mizzou lost last three visits to Auburn, by 6-11-34 points.
— SEC home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 10-8 ATS.

LSU @ Texas A&M
LSU (10-4, 5-3)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #134
— LSU lost its last two games, giving up 105-82 points.
— Tigers are 1-3 in true road games, winning at #55 Ole Miss.
— LSU is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#29).

Texas A&M (7-6, 2-5)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #240
— Continuity: #63
— A&M lost four of its last five games.
— Aggies scored 55 or fewer points in their last five games.
— Aggies’ two SEC wins are by total of three points.

— LSU drilled A&M 77-54 at home December 29
— Tigers won last seven series games.
— LSU won last three visits here, by 1-15-4 points.
— SEC home underdogs of 5 or fewer points are 5-4 ATS.

Georgia Tech @ Duke
Georgia Tech (4-8, 1-5)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #9
— Tech won five of its last six games, losing by 2 at Virginia.
— Yellow Jackets are 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road in ACC games.
— Tech is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#44)

Duke (6-7, 2-6)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #160
— Experience: #343
— Continuity: #249
— Duke lost its last three games, scoring 68.3 ppg.
— Blue Devils are 2-5 in top 100 games; best win was #77 Notre Dame.
— Duke has #260 eFG% defense in country.

— Duke won last 13 series games.
— Tech lost its last ten visits to Duke (2-3 ATS in last five)
— ACC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 10-5 ATS.

**BettorsChat** · 01-26-2021, 12:38 PM

Great stuff Rance!

Announcement

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/26

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/26

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