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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, January 23

    Good Luck on day #23 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    College basketball teams who get highest %age of their points on 3’s:
    1) Wofford 8-4, 5-1 SoCon
    2) Evansville 6-8, 4-4 MVC
    4) Akron 7-3, 5-2
    5) San Francisco 10-7, 4-3
    7) Rice 10-4, 4-2 C-USA
    9) St Joe’s 1-11, 0-6

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 412,780
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

    13) RIP to the great Hank Aaron, who passed away at age 86; despite hitting 755 home runs and knocking in 2,297 runs (most ever) he is probably still the most underrated player ever.

    — If you took away his 755 homers, Aaron still had 3,016 other hits.
    — Aaron and Willie Mays were teammates in 22 All-Star games.
    — Aaron hit 755 homers, despite never hitting more than 47 in one season.

    12) Including postseason games, Hank Aaron ht 72 home runs off of Hall of Fame pitchers; no one else has more than 62 (Willie Stargell).

    11) When Aaron hit 715th homer on April 8, 1974; a Braves’ reliever named Tom House caught the ball in the bullpen. House pitched in the majors for eight years, won 29 games, saved 33 more. 46 years later, he is still prominent in the world of sports.

    House is considered by many to be the “father of modern throwing mechanics.” Not only does he help baseball players, NFL quarterbacks work with him on their throwing motions.

    10) When his time came to be elected to the Hall of Fame, nine writers didn’t vote for Aaron, which is pretty amazing.

    9) Hank Aaron won the NL MVP two years before I was born; when I was 12 years old, he led the National League in slugging %age and OPS. What a great player he was. RIP, sir.

    8) Houston Texans raised some eyebrows when they interviewed 41-year old QB Josh McCown for their head coaching position; McCown was on the Eagles’/Texans’ practice squad this year; he appeared in three games for Philly in 2019.

    Last time an NFL player became a head coach as soon as he retired was 1961, when Norm Van Brocklin became coach of the expansion Vikings, the year he led the Eagles to an NFL title.

    7) If the Texans ever hired an active player as their head coach, Deshaun Watson’s head might blow off; he’s already mad as hell the team isn’t consulting him about who they hire.

    5) Was watching South Carolina-Missouri basketball the other night; was concerned when I saw this guy with a shaved head coaching South Carolina, assuming that Frank Martin was still under the weather from COVID, which he’s had twice. I was hoping he would feel better soon.

    Few minutes later, I realized, that is Frank Martin!!! He looked 100% different with a shaved head, another unusual aspect of this pandemic. Just glad that he feels well enough to coach.

    4) TV play-by-play guy Rich Waltz was working a hoop game from UNLV the other night; some major league baseball team would do their fans a big favor if they hired Waltz as their play-by-play guy, he is very good. He worked for the Marlins for several years.

    3) Disappointing TV news; NBC Sports Network is shutting down at the end of this year, with USA Network picking up lot of their NHL/NASCAR broadcasts. Starting next year, NBC’s new streaming service Peacock will also carry some of the NBC Sports programming.

    2) Baseball stuff:
    — Red Sox signed IF/OF Kiké Hernandez to a 2-year, $14M deal; he is a career .240 hitter in seven big league seasons, but he can play all over the field.
    — Padres retain Jurickson Profar for three years, $21M
    — Ryan Zimmerman re-signs with Washington for one year, $1M
    — Miami Marlins signed reliever Anthony Bass for two years, unknown $$$.

    1) Nuggets 130, Suns 126 OT:
    — Suns were up by 14 at halftime.
    — Jokic had 31 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists.
    — Nuggets’ subs were a combined +30.
    — Suns’ star Booker didn’t play last couple minutes; he either hit his minutes limit (they play again tonight) or he got banged up in a scramble for a loose ball.

    Comment


    • #3
      555GOLDEN STATE -556 UTAH
      UTAH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

      557PHILADELPHIA -558 DETROIT
      PHILADELPHIA is 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games in road games in the last 3 seasons.

      559MIAMI -560 BROOKLYN
      MIAMI is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      561NEW ORLEANS -562 MINNESOTA
      MINNESOTA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

      563LA LAKERS -564 CHICAGO
      CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

      565HOUSTON -566 DALLAS
      DALLAS are 81-58 ATS (17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:10 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, January 23


        Philadelphia @ Detroit
        76ers (11-5)
        — 76ers won four of their last five games.
        — Sixers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
        — Under is 5-1 in Philly’s road games.

        Pistons (3-12)
        — Detroit lost eight of its last ten games.
        — Pistons are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog,
        — Under is 6-1 in Detroit’s last seven home games.

        — 76ers won/covered last six series games.
        — 76ers covered four of last five games in Detroit.
        — Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

        Miami @ Brooklyn
        Heat (6-8)
        — Miami is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
        — Heat is 2-5 SU/ATS on the road.
        — Five of Miami’s last seven games went over the total.

        Nets (9-8)
        — Durant didn’t play Friday; am assuming that means he plays here.
        — Nets won five of last six home games (4-2 ATS)
        — Last 11 Brooklyn games went over the total.

        — Teams split last eight series games.
        — Miami is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
        — Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games.

        New Orleans @ Minnesota
        Pelicans (5-9)
        — New Orleans lost seven of its last eight games.
        — Pelicans are 2-0 ATS as road favorites.
        — Eight of their last nine games went over.

        Timberwolves (3-11)
        — Minnesota lost 11 of its last 12 games.
        — Wolves are 4-4 ATS at home this season.
        — Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
        — Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID) is likely out here.

        — New Orleans won three of last four series games.
        — Pelicans are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Minnesota.
        — Under is 4-2 in last six series games played here.

        Golden State @ Utah
        Warriors (8-7)
        — Golden State is 6-4 in its last nine games SU.
        — Warriors are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog.
        — Six of Golden State’s last eight games stayed under.

        Jazz (11-4)
        — Utah won/covered its last seven games.
        — Jazz is 7-5 ATS as a favorite, 3-2 at home.
        — Three of their last four home games went over.

        — Utah won last four series games.
        — Golden State is 2-4 ATS in last six visits here.
        — Last four series games went over the total.

        LA Lakers @ Chicago
        Lakers (12-4)
        — Lakers won six of last seven games, covered five of last six.
        — Lakers are 6-2 ATS on road this season.
        — Under is 10-4 in their last fourteen games.

        Bulls (7-8)
        — Chicago won its last three games, covered 11 of last 13.
        — Bulls are 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
        — Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

        — Lakers won last seven series games.
        — LA covered three of its last five games at Chicago.
        — Last three series games went over the total.

        Houston @ Dallas
        Rockets (5-9)
        — Houston lost five of its last seven games.
        — Rockets are 3-4 ATS on road this season.
        — Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games.

        Mavericks (8-7)
        — Dallas lost three of its last five games.
        — Mavericks are 2-2 ATS at home this season.
        — Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.

        — Rockets won four of last six series games.
        — Houston is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
        — Three of last four series games went over.

        Denver @ Phoenix
        Nuggets (8-7)
        — Denver won five of its last seven games.
        — Nuggets won four of last five road games.
        — Under is 3-2-1 in last six Denver games.

        Suns (8-6)
        — Phoenix is 3-5 in its last eight games.
        — Suns covered three of their five home games.
        — Under is 9-5 in Phoenix games.
        — Booker got banged up last night; check status.

        — Nuggets won 130-126 in OT here last night.
        — Denver won six of its last seven series games.
        — Nuggets are 3-3 ATS in last six visits here.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:11 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, January 23


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Philadelphia @ Detroit
          Philadelphia
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
          Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
          Detroit
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

          Miami @ Brooklyn
          Miami
          Miami is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
          Brooklyn
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

          New Orleans @ Minnesota
          New Orleans
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Minnesota
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

          LA Lakers @ Chicago
          LA Lakers
          LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
          Chicago
          Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

          Houston @ Dallas
          Houston
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
          Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
          Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
          Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston

          Golden State @ Utah
          Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games
          Utah
          Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Denver @ Phoenix
          Denver
          Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
          Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
          Phoenix is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:11 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:12 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Long Sheet

              Saturday, January 23


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              GOLDEN STATE (8 - 7) at UTAH (11 - 4) - 1/23/2021, 9:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
              UTAH is 5-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PHILADELPHIA (11 - 5) at DETROIT (3 - 12) - 1/23/2021, 8:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
              DETROIT is 72-107 ATS (-45.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
              DETROIT is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              MIAMI (6 - 8) at BROOKLYN (9 - 8) - 1/23/2021, 8:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BROOKLYN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
              MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NEW ORLEANS (5 - 9) at MINNESOTA (3 - 11) - 1/23/2021, 8:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              MINNESOTA is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
              MINNESOTA is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
              NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              LA LAKERS (12 - 4) at CHICAGO (7 - 8) - 1/23/2021, 9:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LA LAKERS are 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
              CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
              CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
              CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
              CHICAGO is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
              CHICAGO is 77-110 ATS (-44.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
              CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
              LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              HOUSTON (5 - 9) at DALLAS (8 - 7) - 1/23/2021, 9:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              DALLAS is 271-217 ATS (+32.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
              DALLAS is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              DALLAS is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
              DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              DENVER (8 - 7) at PHOENIX (8 - 6) - 1/23/2021, 9:05 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              DENVER is 192-236 ATS (-67.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
              DENVER is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
              PHOENIX is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PHOENIX is 5-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
              DENVER is 8-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:12 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends for Saturday January 23
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Chicago (9:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Bulls are 9-0 ATS (7.50 ppg) as a home dog off a win as a dog in which they had 30+ assists.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Miami at Brooklyn (8:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Nets are 0-15-1 ATS (-9.09 ppg) with no rest after allowing 50+ points in the paint last game.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Philadelphia at Detroit (8:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Pistons are 13-0 OU (10.19 ppg) at home after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Houston at Dallas (9:05 p.m. ET)

                -- The Rockets are 0-10 OU (-21.10 ppg) off a win as a dog in which they trailed after the third.

                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:12 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA
                  Dunkel

                  Saturday, January 23


                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2021, 01:13 PM.

                  Comment

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