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**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:02 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some of the college basketball teams who take the most 3’s:
1) Wofford 54.9% of their shots are 3’s; they make 37.1%
2) Evansville 53.7%, make 37.6%
4) Akron 51.7%, make 32.5%
5) San Francisco 50.8%, make 36.3%
7) Rice 50.0%, make 36.2%
9) St Joe’s 49.3%, make 30.2%

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 405,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Georgia 63, Kentucky 62:
— Wildcats went 1-13 on arc, lost third game in a row- they’re 4-9.
— Georgia scored on an OB under play in last 0:03 for the win.
— Kentucky led by 6 with 1:50 left.

12) They take college basketball very seriously in the state that somehow elects Rand Paul and Mitch McConnell all the time. To illustrate this, I’ll flash back to 1979:

In my college days, I was student manager for the Albany Great Danes; we were a D-3 team back then. We made the NCAA Tournament in ’79, but we get sent out of the region, to Centre College in Danville, Kentucky.

Four teams at each regional site; normally, the home team plays the nightcap, but Centre played the first game, and we played Savannah State in the nightcap. Centre had a high school-like gym, seated at most 1,000 people, but it was packed for Centre’s game.

Why did Centre play the first game? Kentucky had the 8:30 game in the SEC tournament that night, so when we came upstairs for our game, there were like 20-25 people left in the stands. Everyone went home to watch the Wildcats play on TV.

11) Other random items from that weekend, 42 years ago:
— Danville was in a dry county; the drinking age was 18 back then. There were some disappointed people in our traveling party.
— We lost to Savannah State in OT;l their best player, Harold Hubbard, would up playing for the Harlem Globetrotters.
— Watching TV in the hotel Saturday afternoon, we saw Larry Bird play for the first time, in the Missouri Valley tournament. This was just before ESPN started, so lot fewer games on TV.

10) NCAA Tournament schedule was announced today; it’ll be a little different, no idea if these changes will be permanent, or if they’re just trying something new this year:

Thursday, March 18— First Four games
March 19-20— First round
March 21-22— Second round, so there will be 8 games on a Monday
March 27-28— Sweet 16 games, Saturday and a Sunday
March 29-30— Elite 8 games on a Monday/Tuesday
April 3, 5— Final Four

9) Colts’ QB Philip Rivers retired Wednesday, after a 17-year career where he went 134-106 in regular season games, 5-7 in playoff games, with 66,435 passing yards, 421 TD passes. He is a lock for the Hall of Fame, though it may/may not be in his first year of eligibility.

8) Still unclear if Drew Brees will retire; his wife posted something on Instagram Wednesday, saying how this season alone, he played with a torn rotator cuff, a torn fascia in his foot, and half his ribs broken. Tough freakin’ guy.

7) Astros signed OF/DH Michael Brantley to a 2-year, $32M deal, but not before it was rumored that Toronto had signed him- FanGraphs even had Brantley listed in Toronto’s lineup when I was looking on my phone at lunch yesterday.

6) NFL playoffs trend; last seven years, #1-seeds are 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS in conference finals. Both #1 seeds lost at home in two years ago, when the Rams/Patriots both won.

5) Odd fact that I learned this week; Once you’re President of the United States, you’re not allowed to drive anymore, ever, for security reasons. Secret Service guys drive you around.

4) People were actually betting on how long Joe Biden’s inaugural address would last; 20-25:00 was the winning wager, at +$200.

3) When teams get fined by a league, where does that money go? NHL’s Washington Capitols were fined $100,000 this week; who benefits from that? A charity of the Caps’ choice?

2) Cavaliers 147, Nets 135, 2OT:
— Hey, Kyrie Irving showed up and played- he scored 37 points (15-28 FG)
— James Harden only took 14 shots, Kevin Durant took 25.
— Collin Sexton torched the Nets for 42 points.
— Cavaliers played only eight guys in a 58:00 game.

1) Arkansas 75, Auburn 73:
— Tigers led by 19 at one point.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:14 AM

523LA LAKERS -524 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

525NEW YORK -526 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 21

NBA

Thursday, January 21

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Trend Report
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LA Lakers @ Milwaukee
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers

New York @ Golden State
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 12 games
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing New York

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 21

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee
Lakers (11-4)
— Lakers won five of last six games, covered four of last five.
— Lakers are 5-2 ATS on road; this is first time they’re an underdog.
— Under is 9-4 in their last thirteen games.

Bucks (9-5)
— Milwaukee won seven of its last nine games.
— Bucks are 6-1 SU at home, 4-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Four of Milwaukee’s last five games stayed under total.

— Bucks won six of last seven series games.
— Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS in last five visits here.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

New Orleans @ Utah
Pelicans (5-8)
— New Orleans lost six of its last seven games.
— Pelicans are 2-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Seven of their last eight games went over.

Jazz (10-4)
— Utah won/covered its last six games.
— Jazz is 6-5 ATS as a favorite, 2-2 at home.
— Five of last seven Utah games stayed under total.

— Jazz won eight of last ten series games.
— New Orleans is 1-3 ATS in last four visits here.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

New York @ Golden State
Knicks (7-8)
— New York lost five of its last seven games SU, but won last two.
— Knicks are 4-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven road games.

Warriors (8-6)
— Golden State is 6-3 in its last nine games SU.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in Warrior home tilts.
— Six of Golden State’s last seven games stayed under.

— Golden State won nine of last ten series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 10:06 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 21

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LA LAKERS (11 - 4) at MILWAUKEE (9 - 5) - 1/21/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 296-356 ATS (-95.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (7 - 8) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 6) - 1/21/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) at UTAH (10 - 4) - 1/21/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 11:48 AM

Hoop Trends for Thursday January 21
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Milwaukee (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 11-0 ATS (7.27 ppg) on the road after a game as a home favorite in which they had more than 60% of the total rebounds.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-9 ATS (-8.28 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a home game where they made at least 10 more free throws than their opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Milwaukee (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 12-0 OU (15.29 ppg) with rest after a loss in which they led by 15+ points.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Golden State (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 0-9 OU (-19.78 ppg) after Mitchell Robinson had fewer than 10 points last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/21

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/21

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