Announcement

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:59 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some of the college basketball teams who take the most 3’s:
1) Wofford 54.9% of their shots are 3’s; they make 37.1%
2) Evansville 53.7%, make 37.6%
4) Akron 51.7%, make 32.5%
5) San Francisco 50.8%, make 36.3%
7) Rice 50.0%, make 36.2%
9) St Joe’s 49.3%, make 30.2%

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 405,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Georgia 63, Kentucky 62:
— Wildcats went 1-13 on arc, lost third game in a row- they’re 4-9.
— Georgia scored on an OB under play in last 0:03 for the win.
— Kentucky led by 6 with 1:50 left.

12) They take college basketball very seriously in the state that somehow elects Rand Paul and Mitch McConnell all the time. To illustrate this, I’ll flash back to 1979:

In my college days, I was student manager for the Albany Great Danes; we were a D-3 team back then. We made the NCAA Tournament in ’79, but we get sent out of the region, to Centre College in Danville, Kentucky.

Four teams at each regional site; normally, the home team plays the nightcap, but Centre played the first game, and we played Savannah State in the nightcap. Centre had a high school-like gym, seated at most 1,000 people, but it was packed for Centre’s game.

Why did Centre play the first game? Kentucky had the 8:30 game in the SEC tournament that night, so when we came upstairs for our game, there were like 20-25 people left in the stands. Everyone went home to watch the Wildcats play on TV.

11) Other random items from that weekend, 42 years ago:
— Danville was in a dry county; the drinking age was 18 back then. There were some disappointed people in our traveling party.
— We lost to Savannah State in OT;l their best player, Harold Hubbard, would up playing for the Harlem Globetrotters.
— Watching TV in the hotel Saturday afternoon, we saw Larry Bird play for the first time, in the Missouri Valley tournament. This was just before ESPN started, so lot fewer games on TV.

10) NCAA Tournament schedule was announced today; it’ll be a little different, no idea if these changes will be permanent, or if they’re just trying something new this year:

Thursday, March 18— First Four games
March 19-20— First round
March 21-22— Second round, so there will be 8 games on a Monday
March 27-28— Sweet 16 games, Saturday and a Sunday
March 29-30— Elite 8 games on a Monday/Tuesday
April 3, 5— Final Four

9) Colts’ QB Philip Rivers retired Wednesday, after a 17-year career where he went 134-106 in regular season games, 5-7 in playoff games, with 66,435 passing yards, 421 TD passes. He is a lock for the Hall of Fame, though it may/may not be in his first year of eligibility.

8) Still unclear if Drew Brees will retire; his wife posted something on Instagram Wednesday, saying how this season alone, he played with a torn rotator cuff, a torn fascia in his foot, and half his ribs broken. Tough freakin’ guy.

7) Astros signed OF/DH Michael Brantley to a 2-year, $32M deal, but not before it was rumored that Toronto had signed him- FanGraphs even had Brantley listed in Toronto’s lineup when I was looking on my phone at lunch yesterday.

6) NFL playoffs trend; last seven years, #1-seeds are 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS in conference finals. Both #1 seeds lost at home in two years ago, when the Rams/Patriots both won.

5) Odd fact that I learned this week; Once you’re President of the United States, you’re not allowed to drive anymore, ever, for security reasons. Secret Service guys drive you around.

4) People were actually betting on how long Joe Biden’s inaugural address would last; 20-25:00 was the winning wager, at +$200.

3) When teams get fined by a league, where does that money go? NHL’s Washington Capitols were fined $100,000 this week; who benefits from that? A charity of the Caps’ choice?

2) Cavaliers 147, Nets 135, 2OT:
— Hey, Kyrie Irving showed up and played- he scored 37 points (15-28 FG)
— James Harden only took 14 shots, Kevin Durant took 25.
— Collin Sexton torched the Nets for 42 points.
— Cavaliers played only eight guys in a 58:00 game.

1) Arkansas 75, Auburn 73:
— Tigers led by 19 at one point.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:17 AM

725E MICHIGAN -726 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% in the last 3 seasons.

727SAN JOSE ST -728 NEW MEXICO
SAN JOSE ST is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

729USC -730 STANFORD
USC is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

731BOWLING GREEN -732 MIAMI OHIO
BOWLING GREEN is 84-55 ATS (23.5 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1997.

733C MICHIGAN -734 AKRON
C MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

735RUTGERS -736 PENN ST
RUTGERS are 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

737SE MISSOURI ST -738 MOREHEAD ST
MOREHEAD ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game since 1997.

741TENN-MARTIN -742 E KENTUCKY
TENN-MARTIN is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

743ST MARYS-CA -744 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

745E ILLINOIS -746 BELMONT
E ILLINOIS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:20 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, January 21

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:24 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 21

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:27 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, January 21

San Jose State vs New Mexico (@ St George, UT)
San Jose State (2-10, 0-8)
— ranked #326 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #230
— Continuity: #228
— San Jose is 0-10 vs D-I teams this season.
— Spartans are 0-4 on MW road, losing by 45-33-15-15 points.
— San Jose is shooting inside arc (#344)

New Mexico (4-8, 0-8)
— ranked #269 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #312
— Lobos’ two D-I wins are over teams ranked #197/#328
— You’re reading ***************.com
— New Mexico has #345 eFG% in country.
— In last four MW games, Lobos scored only 47.8 ppg.

— Something has to give; both teams are 0-8 in Mountain West.
— New Mexico won five of last seven series games.

USC vs Stanford (@ Santa Cruz)
USC (11-3, 5-2)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #329
— Trojans won six of last seven games, losing at Oregon St Tuesday.
— In its three losses, USC was held to 58-62-56 points.
— Opponents are shooting 40.5% inside arc (#3).

Stanford (8-5, 4-3)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #68
— Stanford lost last two games, giving up 79-77 points.
— Cardinal is 3-0 in Pac-12 “home” games, scoring 81.2 ppg.
— Stanford is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#280).

— Home side won last eight series games.
— USC won four of last six series games.
— Trojans lost last five visits to Palo Alto, though this game is in Santa Cruz.

Rutgers @ Penn State
Rutgers (7-5, 3-5)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #19
— Rutgers lost last four games, after a 7-1 start.
— In last three games, Scarlet Knights scored 55.7 ppg.
— Rutgers is shooting 57.1% on foul line (#345).

Penn State (3-6, 0-5)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #168
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #47
— PSU lost its last five games; their last win was December 8.
— In last four games, Nittany Lions gave up 84 ppg.
— Penn State split four home games this year, beating VMI, VCU.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Scarlet Knights lost three of last five visits to Happy Valley.

Wichita State @ Memphis
Wichita State (8-3, 4-1)
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #231
— Shockers won five of last six D-I games.
— Wichita is 3-1 on road, losing by 7 at #8 Houston.
— Wichita is shooting 38.8% inside arc (#284).

Memphis (6-5, 2-2)
— ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #63
— Memphis lost three of its last five games.
— Tigers are 4-1 at home, with lone loss to #79 Tulsa.
— Memphis split its last two games, both ending 58-57.

— Memphis is 3-2 vs Wichita in AAC games.
— Shockers lost last two visits here, 85-74/68-60

Saint Mary’s @ LMU
Saint Mary’s (9-5, 0-3)
— ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #222
— Gaels lost first three WCC games, scoring 58.3 ppg.
— This is Saint Mary’s first true road game this season.
— Gaels are 7-1 SU vs teams ranked outside top 100.

LMU (7-4, 2-1)
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #235
— Lions won five of their last six games.
— LMU is 7-0 at home, 0-4 on road this season.
— LMU has grabbed 37.3% of its own missed shots (#21).

— Saint Mary’s won last 16 series games.
— Gaels won last 14 visits here, last five by 11+ points.

Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington (3-5, 2-1)
— ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #38
— Experience: #168
— Continuity: #27
— Three of their five losses are to Pac-12 teams.
— EWU’s two Big Sky wins were by 12-16 points.
— Eagles are shooting 27.6% on the arc. (#247).

Northern Colorado (7-6, 4-4)
— ranked #212 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #158
— Continuity: #87
— Bears are 1-3 at home, 3-1 on road in Big Sky play.
— Northern lost five of its six top 200 games.
— Bears are 0-3 in Big Sky if they allow more than 64 points.

— Eagles won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings in Greeley.

Pacific @ Pepperdine
Pacific (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #303
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #149
— Pacific’s only loss was 70-58 at #109 Nevada.
— Tigers won first two WCC games, giving up 53.5 ppg.
— Pacific is 5-1 despite having the #275 eFG% in country.

Pepperdine (5-6, 1-1)
— ranked #143 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #127
— Continuity: #76
— Waves lost six of their nine D-I games.
— Pepperdine does have wins over #123 Irvine, #144 California.
— Opponents are making 54.1% of shots inside arc (#295)

— Pacific won seven of last eight series games.
— Tigers won last three visits to Malibu, by 9-1-2 points.

Indiana @ Iowa
Indiana (8-6, 3-4)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #195
— Hoosiers are 1-3 in true road games, beating #125 Nebraska.
— To this point, Indiana has played the #16 schedule.
— Hoosiers lost five of their seven top 50 games.

Iowa (12-2, 6-1)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #50
— Iowa won its last five games, scoring 87.2 ppg
— In their two losses, Hawkeyes gave up 99-102 points.
— Iowa is 3-0 in Big 14 home games, winning by 15-15-15 points.

— Indiana won six of last nine series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

UCLA @ California
UCLA (11-2, 7-0)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #8
— Bruins won last six games, five of them by 6 or fewer points.
— UCLA scored 83.5 ppg in its last four games.
— Bruins are 5-0 at home in Pac-12, winning by 20-2-3-30-5 points.

California (7-8, 2-6)
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #118
— All six of their Pac-12 losses were by 8+ points.
— Opponents are shooting 40.4% on arc against them (#333).
— Cal is 6-0 if they score 70+ points, 1-8 if they do not.

— UCLA won last six series games.
— Bruins won last two visits to Berkeley, 107-84/75-67.

Arizona @ Arizona State
Arizona (10-3, 4-3)
— ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #332
— Arizona lost two of its last three games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 on Pac-12 road, winning by 27-4-34, losing at Stanford.
— Arizona is grabbing 37.1% of its missed shots (#11).

Arizona State (4-6, 1-3)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #18
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #161
— ASU lost its last four games; their last win was December 13.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Sun Devils are 1-4 in top 100 games, beating #65 Rhode Island.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#45).

— ASU won three of last four series games.
— Wildcats lost last two visits to Tempe, 95-88 OT/66-65.

San Francisco @ Santa Clara
San Francisco (9-7, 3-3)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #163
— Dons lost three of their last five games.
— 50.8% of their shots are 3’s (#5)- they’re making 36.3% of then (#67)
— USF is 3-6 SU vs teams ranked in top 150.

Santa Clara (8-3, 2-1)
— ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #94
— Continuity: #33
— Broncos are shooting 26.9% on arc (#334), have #327 eFG%.
— Santa Clara is 5-1 at home, losing to #83 Colorado State.
— Santa Clara has #10 eFG% defense in country.

— San Francisco won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Utah @ Washington State
Utah (5-6, 2-5)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #14
— Utah lost five of its last six games.
— Utes are 0-2 on Pac-12 road, losing by 2-18 points.
— Utah is 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.

Washington State (9-4, 2-4)
— ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #320
— Continuity: #201
— Wazzu lost its last three games, giving up 83.7 ppg.
— Coogs have #6 eFG% in country.
— WSU is 0-4 in top 100 games; their best win is #134 Eastern Washington.

— Utah won last 12 series games.
— Utes won last five trips to Pullman, by 8-21-41-7-13 points.

Colorado State @ Utah State
Colorado State (10-3, 7-2)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #95
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #49
— Rams won four of last five games, losing 83-64 here Tuesday.
— Colorado State is 1-3 in top 100 games, splitting pair with #43 San Diego St.
— Rams are shooting 38.7% on the arc (#26).

Utah State (12-3, 9-0)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #143
— Aggies are 5-0 at home in MW, with four wins by 12+ points.
— In their last ten games, Utah State allowed 52.4 ppg.
— Aggies made 10-19 on arc in Tuesday’s 83-64 win here.

— Utah State won last six series games.
— Rams lost last three games here, by 15-16-19 points.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 09:29 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, January 21

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Trend Report
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Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/21

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/21

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