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Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/19

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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 19

    Good Luck on day #19 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Six of the most experienced college basketball teams:
    1) Cal-Bakersfield (9-4, 5-1 Big West)
    2) Eastern Illinois (5-8, 2-4 OVC)
    4) Georgia Tech (6-3, 2-1 ACC)
    5) Richmond (9-3, 3-1 A-14)
    8) Missouri (8-2, 2-2 SEC)
    9) Niagara (5-7, 4-6 MAAC)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 400,103
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Random thoughts on a winter night

    13) Florida State 78, Louisville 65:
    — How the bleep is Florida State not in the top 25?
    — Seminoles never trailed, led 40-16 at one point.

    12) Baylor 78, Kansas 69:
    — 13-0 Baylor has six top 100 wins.
    — Bears are #4 in country shooting 3’s, #3 at forcing turnovers.

    11) Warriors 115, Lakers 113:
    — Golden State was down 19 in first quarter, 17 in third quarter.
    — Warriors’ subs were a combined +43 in this game.

    10) Nets 125, Bucks 123:
    — This looked a lot like a preview of Eastern Conference finals.
    — Harden had 34 points, 12 assists in his 2nd game for Brooklyn.

    9) Portland star CJ McCollum (broken foot) is out for several weeks; he is scoring 26.7 ppg this year.

    8) Tennessee fired football coach Jeremy Pruitt Monday; AD Philip Fulmer was also told to take a hike— oh wait, he “retired” Uh-huh.

    Pruitt was 16-19 overall at Tennessee, 10-16 in the SEC- Vols lost seven of their last eight games this season. There are stories that Pruitt got fired after an investigation into potential recruiting violations within the program— he really got fired for being 3-7 last year.

    Everyone cheats at that level of college recruiting; if you don’t cheat, you finish last. If you cheat and you still finish last (or close to it), then you get fired.

    Two ways to keep your SEC coaching job:
    — Don’t go 3-7.
    — Don’t get caught cheating after going 3-7.

    7) Oy. New York Mets were having such a good winter, with a new owner and all, “were having” being the operative phrase there.

    Turns out that recently hired GM Jared Porter sent explicit, unsolicited photos to a female reporter in 2016, when he was working for the Cubs. This isn’t a good thing.

    The woman was a foreign correspondent who had moved to this country to cover baseball; she has left journalism since then, and hadn’t commented publicly until now, because Porter was a nobody until now.

    She has a limited grasp of the English language, but an interesting grasp of timing; might be difficult for the guy to keep the best job he was ever going to get.

    6) Porter and the Mets pulled off a 3-way trade Monday:
    — Mets get lefty P Joey Lucchesi
    — Padres get P Joe Musgrove
    — Pirates get a boatload of prospects, one of whom is expected to be Hudson Head, an OF a lot of scouts think highly of.

    5) When the president of the United States leaves office, he gets a pension of $210,700 a year for the rest of his life.

    Jimmy Carter was a president who is actually a decent person; he has written 14 books since he left office, as well as helping Habitat for Humanity build homes for people who need them.

    4) St John’s 74, UConn 70:
    — UConn led this game 21-7 early.
    — Red Storm are still only 3-6 in Big East, and UConn’s best player didn’t play, but its an important win for their program.

    3) Other baseball stuff:
    — Washington Nationals signed P Jon Lester for one year for undisclosed money.
    — Los Angeles Angels signed C Kurt Suzuki for one year, $1.5M.

    2) From the Elias Sports Bureau: New Orleans Saints are first NFL team ever to win 49+ regular-season games in four-year span without reaching the Super Bowl during that time.

    1) This is the first week since December, 1982 that neither Duke/North Carolina is in the college basketball top 25.

    Comment


    • #3
      601UNC-WILMINGTON -602 TOWSON ST
      UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

      605PURDUE -606 OHIO ST
      OHIO ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.

      607KANSAS ST -608 OKLAHOMA
      KANSAS ST is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game since 1997.

      609BALL ST -610 MIAMI OHIO
      MIAMI OHIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

      611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN
      MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

      611MARYLAND -612 MICHIGAN
      Juwan Howard is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers (Coach of MICHIGAN)

      613BUTLER -614 DEPAUL
      BUTLER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

      615MIAMI -616 SYRACUSE
      SYRACUSE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.

      617AKRON -618 BOWLING GREEN
      BOWLING GREEN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

      619TENNESSEE -620 FLORIDA
      FLORIDA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-19-2021, 12:19 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, January 19


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-19-2021, 12:20 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, January 19


          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-19-2021, 12:21 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Tuesday, January 19


            Purdue @ Ohio State
            Purdue (10-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #26 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #275
            — Experience: #329
            — Continuity: #127
            — Purdue won last three games, scoring 80-81 points in last two.
            — Boilers are 2-4 in true road games, winning at Michigan State/Indiana
            — 45.8% of opponents’ shots are from behind arc (#335)

            Ohio State (11-3, 5-3)
            — ranked #16 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #296
            — Experience: #91
            — Continuity: #168
            — Ohio State won its last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Buckeyes get 23.3% of their points on foul line (#25)
            — Ohio State is shooting 34.1% on arc (#155).

            — Purdue beat Ohio State 67-60 at home December 16.
            — Boilers won five of last seven series games.
            — Purdue won two of last three visits to Columbus.

            Kansas State @ Oklahoma
            Kansas State (5-9, 1-5)
            — ranked #155 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #339
            — Experience: #331
            — Continuity: #281
            — Wildcats lost last four games, scoring 63 ppg.
            — K-State has #323 eFG% in country.
            — Wildcats are 1-7 vs top 100 teams; their best win is #95 Iowa State.

            Oklahoma (7-4, 3-3)
            — ranked #28 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #213
            — Experience: #65
            — Continuity: #51
            — Sooners lost three of their last five games.
            — Oklahoma is 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; all four wins were by 14+.
            — Sooners scored 62.3 ppg in three Big X losses; 82-75-82 in wins.

            — K-State is 8-4 in last dozen series games.
            — Wildcats lost four of their last five visits to Norman.

            Maryland @ Michigan
            Maryland (8-6, 2-5)
            — ranked #45 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #292
            — Experience: #151
            — Continuity: #104
            — Terps lost six of last nine D-I games.
            — Maryland actually has road wins at Wisconsin, Illinois.
            — Terps have #44 eFG% in country.

            Michigan (11-1, 6-1)
            — ranked #5 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #229
            — Experience: #72
            — Continuity: #150
            — Michigan had its first loss Saturday, at Minnesota
            — Wolverines are 4-0 at home in Big 14 (3 wins by 19+ points)
            — Michigan shot 75% inside arc in in 84-73 win at Maryland Dec 31st.

            — Michigan won five of last six series games.
            — Terps lost last two visits to Ann Arbor, 85-61/65-52.

            Butler @ DePaul
            Butler (4-7, 3-5)
            — ranked #91 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #308
            — Experience: #243
            — Continuity: #260
            — Butler is 0-4 on Big East road, with three losses by 12+ points.
            — Bulldogs are 0-7 when they allow more than 66 points.
            — Butler has #290 eFG% defense in country.

            DePaul (2-4, 0-4)
            — ranked #89 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #30
            — Experience: #144
            — Continuity: #178
            — DePaul’s two wins are over teams #333/#193.
            — Blue Demons lost their two Big East home games, by 8-7 points.
            — DePaul is turning ball over 24.0% of time (#340).

            — Butler won 12 of last 13 series games.
            — Butler lost 79-66 here LY, their first loss in last seven visits here.

            Tennessee @ Florida
            Tennessee (10-1, 4-1)
            — ranked #6 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #309
            — Experience: #229
            — Continuity: #94
            — Vols’ only loss was 71-63 at home to Alabama.
            — Tennessee is forcing turnovers 25.4% of time (#8)
            — Vols have SEC road wins by 20-14 points, at Mizzou/Texas A&M.

            Florida (6-4, 3-3)
            — ranked #37 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #92
            — Experience: #248
            — Continuity: #183
            — Florida lost three of its last four games.
            — SEC opponents are shooting 38.7% on arc (#13 of 14)
            — Florida is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time

            — Tennessee won last four series games.
            — Vols lost three of last four visits to Gainesville.

            South Carolina @ Missouri
            South Carolina (3-3, 1-1)
            — ranked #62 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #21
            — Experience: #233
            — Continuity: #97
            — Carolina is 0-2 on road, losing by 10 at Houston, 5 at LSU.
            — Gamecocks are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#292)
            — Carolina’s best win was 69-58 over #81 Tulsa.

            Missouri (8-2, 2-2)
            — ranked #38 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #160
            — Experience: #8
            — Continuity: #6
            — Mizzou was held to 53-63 points in its two losses.
            — Tigers are shooting 27.3% on the arc (#330).
            — Mizzou has #14 eFG% defense in country.

            — Teams split last six series games.
            — Gamecocks lost four of last five visits to Mizzou.

            USC @ Oregon State
            USC (11-2, 5-1)
            — ranked #20 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #180
            — Experience: #182
            — Continuity: #330
            — Trojans swept first two Pac-12 road games, by 14-9 points.
            — Opponents are shooting 40.4% inside arc (#4).
            — USC is the tallest team in the country.

            Oregon State (6-5, 2-3)
            — ranked #153 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #335
            — Experience: #81
            — Continuity: #152
            — Beavers split their four Pac-12 home games.
            — Oregon State allowed 86 ppg in their last three games overall.
            — Beavers have #285 eFG% in country.

            — USC won seven of last nine series games.
            — Trojans won three of last four visits to Corvallis.

            Penn State @ Illinois
            Penn State (3-5, 0-4)
            — ranked #47 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #186
            — Experience: #44
            — Continuity: #44
            — Penn State has three losses by 4 or fewer points, or in OT.
            — PSU is 1-3 in true road games; only win was at #36 Virginia Tech
            — To this point, Penn State has played 2nd-hardest schedule in country.

            Illinois (9-5, 5-3)
            — ranked #10 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #85
            — Experience: #222
            — Continuity: #43
            — Illinois lost last two games, by 3-6 points, both at home.
            — Illini has #12 eFG% in country, shooting 40.5% on arc (#8).
            — Illinois is only 6-5 vs top 100 teams.

            — Penn State won six of last seven series games.
            — Nittany Lions won last two visits here, by 13-7 points.

            Colorado State @ Utah State
            Colorado State (10-2, 7-1)
            — ranked #78 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #96
            — Experience: #315
            — Continuity: #48
            — Rams won last four games, scoring 83.8 ppg.
            — CSU’s only league loss was 78-65 at San Diego State, where they split a pair.
            — Rams split four true road games, also losing 53-33 at Saint Mary’s.

            Utah State (11-3, 8-0)
            — ranked #48 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #140
            — Experience: #267
            — Continuity: #142
            — Aggies are 4-0 in Mountain West home tilts (three wins by 12+).
            — Utah State is giving up only 51.3 ppg in league games.
            — Aggies lost three of their five top 100 games.

            — Utah State won last five series games.
            — Rams lost last two visits to Logan, by 15-16 points.

            Seton Hall @ Villanova
            Seton Hall (9-5, 6-2)
            — ranked #44 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #244
            — Experience: #19
            — Continuity: #126
            — Pirates won eight of their last ten games.
            — Seton Hall is 3-1 on Big East road, losing 89-53 at Creighton.
            — Pirates get 23.0% of their points on foul line (#27).

            Villanova (8-1, 3-0)
            — ranked #4 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #351
            — Experience: #137
            — Continuity: #8
            — Villanova hasn’t played since December 23.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Wildcats’ one loss was in OT to Virginia Tech, on a neutral floor.
            — Villanova has #22 eFG% in country.

            — Villanova won eight of last ten series games.
            — Pirates won 70-64 here LY, their only win here since 2004 (1-11)

            Duke @ Pittsburgh
            Duke (5-3, 3-1)
            — ranked #24 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #187
            — Experience: #342
            — Continuity: #250
            — Blue Devils lost three of their five top 100 games.
            — Duke split two road tilts, losing at Va Tech, winning 75-65 at Notre Dame.
            — Duke has #256 eFG% defense in country.

            Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-1)
            — ranked #66 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #119
            — Experience: #325
            — Continuity: #139
            — Pitt has #17 eFG% defense in country.
            — Panthers are 4-1 in top 100 games, losing to Louisville by 10.
            — Their best player Champagnie returned to lineup last game, scoring 24 points.

            — Duke won seven of last eight series games.
            — Blue Devils won two of last three visits to Pittsburgh.

            Alabama @ LSU
            Alabama (11-3, 6-0)
            — ranked #17 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #15
            — Experience: #124
            — Continuity: #162
            — Alabama won last seven games, after a 4-3 start.
            — Crimson Tide scored 88.8 ppg in last four games.
            — Alabama gets 38.0% of its points on the arc (#34).

            LSU (10-2, 5-1)
            — ranked #43 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #325
            — Experience: #41
            — Continuity: #13
            — LSU won its last four games, scoring 86.5 ppg.
            — Tigers are 4-0 in SEC home games, winning by 23-2-16-5 points.
            — LSU has #20 eFG% in country- they’re shooting 56.9% inside arc (#21).

            — LSU won three of last four series games.
            — Alabama lost 88-79/90-76 in last two visits here.

            Ole Miss @ Mississippi State
            Ole Miss (6-6, 1-4)
            — ranked #60 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #272
            — Experience: #99
            — Continuity: #184
            — Ole Miss lost its last three games, giving up 75 ppg.
            — Rebels lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
            — Ole Miss lost its last three road games, by 3-18-9 points.

            Mississippi State (9-5, 4-2)
            — ranked #69 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #314
            — Experience: #299
            — Continuity: #253
            — Bulldogs won eight of their last 11 games.
            — Miss State split its four SEC home games.
            — Bulldogs are grabbing 38.6% of their own missed shots (#5).

            — Teams split last six series games.
            — Teams also split last six meetings in Starkville.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-19-2021, 12:23 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB

              Tuesday, January 19


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              Trend Report
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              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-19-2021, 12:25 PM.

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