Announcement

**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 09:37 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Green Bay (-4, 51) vs Tampa Bay in NFC title game
— Kansas City (-3, 54.5) vs Buffalo in AFC title game
— Purdue 80, Penn State 72— PSU is 3-5, hasn’t won since December 8
— Tulsa 58, Memphis 57— Tulsa won 7 of its last eight 8 games.
— Iowa 96, Northwestern 73— Wildcats lost their last five games.
— Virginia Tech 64, Wake Forest 60— Hokies are a surprising 11-2.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 395,372
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) New Orleans Saints lost a home playoff game Sunday, third year in a row they did that, but they’ve got nothing on the Kansas City Chiefs. From 1995-2017, the Chiefs went 0-7 in playoff games at Arrowhead Stadium, an amazing display of playoff futility.

Over a 23-year period, they went 0-7 in home playoff games. Oy.

Last year’s Super Bowl title quashed those bad memories, but now all Chief fans can stress out this week about Patrick Mahomes’ concussion.

12) They mentioned a cool stat Sunday that I had never heard of before; from 2012-15, Seattle Seahawks led at one point or another in 70 consecutive games, which is the all-time record. Right now, Kansas City has led in 60 consecutive games, so the record is within reach.

11) When I was a kid, I learned how to do math in my head by doing batting averages; if Sal Bando went 4-13 for a weekend, I knew that was .308. if Catfish Hunter gave up two runs in seven innings, I knew that was a 2.57 ERA. Stuff like that; decades later, when I was an adult, I actually got a job promotion because of my math skills. For real, a big promotion.

So when I see the Big EAST Conference has five teams in the midwest, it saddens me; how can kids learn geography if they think Nebraska is in the east?

— Xavier is in Cincinnati
— Creighton is in Omaha
— DePaul is in Chicago
— Marquette is in Milwaukee
— Butler is in Indianapolis

None of those cities are close to the east; they’re midwestern cities.

Big East needs to find a better name for the league, for education’s sake.

10) Houston Cougars are 11-1, with a win over Texas Tech; all 15 of their players have already tested positive for COVID at some point this season. They’ve got a shot at going a long way in March/Mask Madness.

9) Ivy League didn’t play basketball this winter, which means one less automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, and one more at-large bid. Not sure what criteria will be used; some teams haven’t played in a while:

— 8-1 Villanova is a top 10 team; they haven’t played since December 23
— 7-1 Saint Louis hasn’t played a league game yet; they haven’t played since December 23.

When the bubble teams come more into focus, it’ll be fun to see how their resumes contrast.

8) College basketball upsets this weekend:
— Northern Arizona (+12) 62, Montana 58
— California (+11.5) 72, Utah 63
— Butler (+9) 70, Creighton 66
— Wm & Mary (+9) 69, Drexel 64 (Sunday)
— Georgia (+7.5) 78, Ole Miss 74
— IUPUI (+7) 65, Northern Kentucky 63

7) There are couple of very bad basketball teams in the Mountain West; so far this season, favorites of 15+ points are 8-1-1 ATS in conference games.

6) Odd Fact of the Day: Starting lineup for the Wisconsin Badgers is older than the starting lineup for the NBA’s Chicago Bulls.

5) James Harden made his debut for the Brooklyn Nets Saturday night; he put up 32 points, 12 rebounds, 14 assists in the Nets’ 122-115 win over Orlando. Not a bad opening act.

4) Sunday will be Aaron Rodgers’ 5th NFC title game, but the first one played at Lambeau Field; Green Bay lost the conference championship in Santa Clara LY to the 49ers.

3) Los Angeles Chargers didn’t have to look far for their next coach; they hired Brandon Staley, who was the Rams’ defensive coordinator this past season. Staley is 38, was a coordinator for one season; he comes from the Vic Fangio coaching tree.

Curious who his offensive coordinator will be, seeing how Sean McVay runs Rams’ offense, so he’ll be poaching someone off another coaching staff.

2) Kansas City 22, Browns 17:
— Mahomes (concussion) was KO’d in 3rd quarter; Chad Henne finished up at QB.
— Browns lost a goal-line fumble with 1:34 in first half, which turned out to be damaging.
— Chiefs outgained Cleveland 438-308; they host the Bills Sunday night.

1) Tampa Bay 30, New Orleans 20:
— Saints are first team since ’86-’88 Bears to lose home playoff game 3 years in a row.
— Brees threw three INT’s; New Orleans was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Buccaneers go to Lambeau Field for the NFC title game Sunday.

**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 09:51 AM

549ORLANDO -550 NEW YORK
ORLANDO is 24-7 ATS (16.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the last 3 seasons.

549ORLANDO -550 NEW YORK
Steve Clifford is 24-7 ATS (16.3 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) (Coach of ORLANDO)

553MINNESOTA -554 ATLANTA
MINNESOTA is 64-83 ATS (-27.3 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

555SAN ANTONIO -556 PORTLAND
SAN ANTONIO is 466-396 ATS (30.4 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

557DETROIT -558 MIAMI
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

557DETROIT -558 MIAMI
Dwane Casey is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread (Coach of DETROIT)

559PHOENIX -560 MEMPHIS
PHOENIX is 294-237 ATS (33.3 Units) in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.

561DALLAS -562 TORONTO
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

563MILWAUKEE -564 BROOKLYN
MILWAUKEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

565HOUSTON -566 CHICAGO
HOUSTON is 20-9 ATS (10.1 Units) after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 09:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 18

**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 09:57 AM

NBA

Monday, January 18

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Trend Report
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Orlando @ New York
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Orlando's last 21 games on the road
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

Minnesota @ Atlanta
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Detroit @ Miami
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games at home

San Antonio @ Portland
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Phoenix @ Memphis
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Memphis's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Phoenix

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

Dallas @ Toronto
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

Houston @ Chicago
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Golden State @ LA Lakers
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Golden State

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**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 10:16 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 18

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ORLANDO (6 - 7) at NEW YORK (6 - 8) - 1/18/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 8) at ATLANTA (5 - 7) - 1/18/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-91 ATS (-38.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (7 - 6) at PORTLAND (8 - 5) - 1/18/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1131-1004 ATS (+26.6 Units) in all games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (3 - 9) at MIAMI (4 - 7) - 1/18/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 4) at MEMPHIS (6 - 6) - 1/18/2021, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (6 - 6) at TORONTO (4 - 8) - 1/18/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 462-374 ATS (+50.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 191-150 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 216-172 ATS (+26.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 80-57 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (9 - 4) at BROOKLYN (8 - 6) - 1/18/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 86-137 ATS (-64.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 105-84 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (4 - 7) at CHICAGO (5 - 8) - 1/18/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 139-102 ATS (+26.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
CHICAGO is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 144-192 ATS (-67.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 76-110 ATS (-45.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (6 - 6) at LA LAKERS (11 - 3) - 1/18/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 10:48 AM

**Udog** · 01-18-2021, 11:39 AM

Hoop Trends for Monday January 18
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Memphis (TNT, 5:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 13-0 ATS (13.92 ppg) off a road game in which Devin Booker took more than 20 shots.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Atlanta (NBATV, 2:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 0-10 ATS (-8.20 ppg) at home with rest off a loss in which they led by double digits.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at New York (NBATV, 12:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 12-0 OU (12.08 ppg) on the road when the line is within 3 of pick.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Memphis (TNT, 5:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 0-12 OU (-19.83 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/18

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/18

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