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  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 11

    Good Luck on day #11 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Leading scorers in the NBA:
    35.0— Bradley Beal, Wash
    30.6— Steph Curry, GState
    27.9— CJ McCollum, Port
    27.1— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
    27.1— Kyrie Irving, Bklyn
    27.0— James Harden, Hous

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 373,588
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    13) Ravens 20, Titans 13:
    — Tennessee led 10-0 after the first quarter.
    — Lamar Jackson gets his first playoff win (1-2).
    — Ravens held Derrick Henry to 40 yards on 18 carries.

    — Baltimore outgained Tennessee, 401-209
    — Titans’ last six series: 31 plays, 103 yards, 3 points.
    — Ravens visit Buffalo Saturday night.

    12) Saints 21, Bears 9:
    — New Orleans outgained the Bears, 385-239
    — 3rd down conversions: Saints 11-17, Bears 1-10
    — Chicago’s only TD came on the last play of the game.

    — Saints had 3 drives in 2nd half; they lasted 7:29, 8:51, 5:19 (38 plays)
    — Chicago went 3/out on five of their ten drives.
    — Saints host Tampa Bay Sunday.

    11) Browns 48, Steelers 37:
    — Browns were +5 in turnovers, always a good thing.
    — Cleveland led 28-0 after the first quarter, 35-10 at halftime.
    — Roethlisberger was 47-68/501 passing, most completions EVER in any NFL game.

    — Steelers started season 11-0, then lost five of their last six games.
    — New Browns started up in 1999; this is their first playoff win.
    — Old Browns, who moved to Baltimore, last won a playoff game in 1994.
    — Cleveland visits Kansas City Sunday afternoon.

    10) Last three years, home teams went 4-10 SU in this round of the NFL playoffs.

    9) Washington QB Tyler Heinicke threw for 306 yards in his 2nd NFL start; he made himself a lot of money, proving to all 32 teams that he is good enough to be productive in a playoff game.

    Heinicke went to college at Old Dominion, while the Monarchs were transitioning from I-AA football to I-A; he once started a game ODU lost 80-20 to North Carolina. Monarchs went 35-15 in Heinicke’s four seasons- starting in college for four years is solid experience.

    We’ll see if Saturday’s effort was enough to make the Washington roster next fall. Either way, he’ll be on someone’s roster in 2021.

    8) Kyrie Irving has sat out the Brooklyn Nets’ last three games, apparently because he was upset by the attack on the U.S. Capitol in Washington last Wednesday.

    Here’s the thing: Irving’s salary works out to $405,452 per game, every game. Is he getting paid while he refuses to play? If not, then that’s on him. If he’s still getting paid, then what the bleep are we doing here? A guy gets $1.2M over five days for doing nothing, because he doesn’t feel like going to work? Nets aren’t saying much; they cannot be happy.

    7) In 2013-14, Zach LaVine played his only season of college basketball, for UCLA; he scored 9.4 ppg in 24.4 mpg, nothing amazing, but the NBA is a developmental league now, and he was taken with the 13th pick by Minnesota in the 2014 draft. Great pick.

    LaVine has worked very hard on his game; last three years, he’s averaged 23.7/25.5/26.0 ppg; he is a legit star, because he got good coaching and he obviously worked his butt off to become a great player, which he now is.

    Problem for Minnesota is, on June 22, 2017, they traded him to Chicago; here’s the trade:
    — Minnesota got: Jimmy Butler, Justin Patton
    — Chicago got: LaVine, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen

    Wouldn’t have been a terrible trade for Minnesota, but Butler/Karl-Anthony Towns didn’t get along, and one of them had to go- they’re 57-98 last 2+ seasons, with Butler traded elsewhere.

    6) Wichita State 82, Cincinnati 76— First seven fouls of the game were called on Cincinnati, which reminded me of a story.

    March 2001, I was an assistant basketball coach at Schenectady High; we had great players, and won the public school state championship, our second title in four years.

    We’re playing St Raymond’s from New York City in the Federation tournament- they had Julius Hodge, who went on to play at NC State, then in the NBA for a couple years. The game starts, and the first five or six fouls are called on our guys. No bueno.

    There were lot of people at this game in Glens Falls; we were the local team and those people weren’t very pleased with the refs. Our coach says something to the ref, who has the onions to reply: “You should sit down. You don’t hear the other coach complaining!!!”

    Well genius, you haven’t called a bleeping foul on his team yet!!! Go figure.

    5) You know the State Farm commercial where the guys are all getting their hair cut like Patrick Mahomes? On a table behind one of the guys, there is an old fashioned dial-up phone- don’t see a lot of those anymore. It just looks out of place in the commercial.

    4) Washington Nationals gave Kyle Schwarber a one-year, $10M contract; Schwarber hit only .188 in last year’s shortened season- he’s a career .230 hitter, but he’s also hit 105 homers the last four seasons. His career OPS is .816.

    3) Was surprised to see that Victor Rojas has walked away from his job as TV voice of the Los Angeles Angels; the son of former big leaguer Cookie Rojas, Victor interviewed for the Angels’ vacant general manager job last fall, but they hired someone else. Rojas worked for the Angels for the last 11 years.

    2) Week or so ago, MLB Network ran a replay of the Bronx-Boston playoff game from 1978, the Bucky Dent game. Seems like 1,000 years ago; I was still in college. A million things are different now than they were then, but these stood out:

    — There were no ads on the Green Monster
    — There were no graphics on the TV screen, except after each half-inning.
    — The first baseman for Boston (George Scott) wore a batting helmet in the field.
    — It was a day game; wouldn’t be today. TV would want the game at night.
    — There were no (zero, none) mention of pitch counts.
    — Bucky Dent only hit 40 homers in his MLB career; his homer in this game made him an iconic figure in New York sports.
    — Bronx had acquired him for LaMarr Hoyt and Oscar Gamble. Hoyt won 43 games for Chicago in 1982-83.

    1) If you’re on Twitter, and you want to follow someone who will make you smile nearly every day, follow former NBA player Rex Chapman. He posts all kinds of stuff, lot of unusual animal videos. Guaranteed he will make you smile at least once a day; these days, we can all use that.

    Sunday, Chapman posted a video of a bear on a golf course, trying to get the flag out of a hole on one green, but instead the bear winds up dancing with the pole. Funny stuff.

    Comment


    • #3
      517MEMPHIS -518 CLEVELAND
      CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games when the total is 210-219.5 in the last 3 seasons.

      519PHOENIX -520 WASHINGTON
      PHOENIX is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

      521MILWAUKEE -522 ORLANDO
      MILWAUKEE is 49-26 ATS (20.4 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

      521MILWAUKEE -522 ORLANDO
      Mike Budenholzer is 49-26 ATS (20.4 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

      523NEW YORK -524 CHARLOTTE
      NEW YORK is 100-136 ATS (-49.6 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

      525PHILADELPHIA -526 ATLANTA
      PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

      527NEW ORLEANS -528 DALLAS
      DALLAS are 270-217 ATS (31.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

      529TORONTO -530 PORTLAND
      PORTLAND is 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

      531INDIANA -532 SACRAMENTO
      INDIANA is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 01:01 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Monday, January 11


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
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        New York @ Charlotte
        New York
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
        Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
        Charlotte is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New York

        Memphis @ Cleveland
        Memphis
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
        Cleveland
        Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games

        Milwaukee @ Orlando
        Milwaukee
        Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
        Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
        Orlando
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home

        Phoenix @ Washington
        Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Washington
        Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
        Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

        Philadelphia @ Atlanta
        Philadelphia
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
        Atlanta
        Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games

        New Orleans @ Dallas
        New Orleans
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
        Dallas
        Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

        Toronto @ Portland
        Toronto
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
        Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
        Portland
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Toronto
        Portland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Toronto

        Indiana @ Sacramento
        Indiana
        Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing Sacramento
        Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing Indiana


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 01:02 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Monday, January 11


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MEMPHIS (3 - 6) at CLEVELAND (5 - 5) - 1/11/2021, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CLEVELAND is 113-147 ATS (-48.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CLEVELAND is 5-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHOENIX (7 - 3) at WASHINGTON (2 - 8) - 1/11/2021, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHOENIX is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (6 - 4) at ORLANDO (6 - 4) - 1/11/2021, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 104-82 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          ORLANDO is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 10-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW YORK (5 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (5 - 5) - 1/11/2021, 7:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHARLOTTE is 4-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          CHARLOTTE is 5-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (7 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 5) - 1/11/2021, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHILADELPHIA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
          ATLANTA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW ORLEANS (4 - 5) at DALLAS (5 - 4) - 1/11/2021, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 270-217 ATS (+31.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
          DALLAS is 366-310 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
          DALLAS is 78-56 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TORONTO (2 - 7) at PORTLAND (5 - 4) - 1/11/2021, 10:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          INDIANA (6 - 3) at SACRAMENTO (4 - 6) - 1/11/2021, 10:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          INDIANA is 99-69 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 01:02 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Hoop Trends for Monday Jan. 11
            Vince Akins

            ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
            Matchup: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)

            -- The 76ers are 13-0 ATS (6.38 ppg) with less than two days rest off a 10+ point loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.

            ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
            Matchup: New York at Charlotte (7:05 p.m. ET)

            -- The Hornets are 0-10 ATS (-10.85 ppg) at home off a home game in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points.

            OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
            Matchup: Toronto at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

            -- The Trailblazers are 10-0 OU (22.70 ppg) coming off a win as a road favorite.

            OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
            Matchup: Memphis at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. ET)

            -- The Grizzlies are 0-14 OU (-12.11 ppg) as a road dog off a home game in which their points increased by at least 24 from the game before.

            Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 01:03 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Dunkel

              Monday, January 11


              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 01:03 PM.

              Comment

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