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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 11

    Good Luck on day #11 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Leading scorers in the NBA:
    35.0— Bradley Beal, Wash
    30.6— Steph Curry, GState
    27.9— CJ McCollum, Port
    27.1— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
    27.1— Kyrie Irving, Bklyn
    27.0— James Harden, Hous

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 373,588
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    13) Ravens 20, Titans 13:
    — Tennessee led 10-0 after the first quarter.
    — Lamar Jackson gets his first playoff win (1-2).
    — Ravens held Derrick Henry to 40 yards on 18 carries.

    — Baltimore outgained Tennessee, 401-209
    — Titans’ last six series: 31 plays, 103 yards, 3 points.
    — Ravens visit Buffalo Saturday night.

    12) Saints 21, Bears 9:
    — New Orleans outgained the Bears, 385-239
    — 3rd down conversions: Saints 11-17, Bears 1-10
    — Chicago’s only TD came on the last play of the game.

    — Saints had 3 drives in 2nd half; they lasted 7:29, 8:51, 5:19 (38 plays)
    — Chicago went 3/out on five of their ten drives.
    — Saints host Tampa Bay Sunday.

    11) Browns 48, Steelers 37:
    — Browns were +5 in turnovers, always a good thing.
    — Cleveland led 28-0 after the first quarter, 35-10 at halftime.
    — Roethlisberger was 47-68/501 passing, most completions EVER in any NFL game.

    — Steelers started season 11-0, then lost five of their last six games.
    — New Browns started up in 1999; this is their first playoff win.
    — Old Browns, who moved to Baltimore, last won a playoff game in 1994.
    — Cleveland visits Kansas City Sunday afternoon.

    10) Last three years, home teams went 4-10 SU in this round of the NFL playoffs.

    9) Washington QB Tyler Heinicke threw for 306 yards in his 2nd NFL start; he made himself a lot of money, proving to all 32 teams that he is good enough to be productive in a playoff game.

    Heinicke went to college at Old Dominion, while the Monarchs were transitioning from I-AA football to I-A; he once started a game ODU lost 80-20 to North Carolina. Monarchs went 35-15 in Heinicke’s four seasons- starting in college for four years is solid experience.

    We’ll see if Saturday’s effort was enough to make the Washington roster next fall. Either way, he’ll be on someone’s roster in 2021.

    8) Kyrie Irving has sat out the Brooklyn Nets’ last three games, apparently because he was upset by the attack on the U.S. Capitol in Washington last Wednesday.

    Here’s the thing: Irving’s salary works out to $405,452 per game, every game. Is he getting paid while he refuses to play? If not, then that’s on him. If he’s still getting paid, then what the bleep are we doing here? A guy gets $1.2M over five days for doing nothing, because he doesn’t feel like going to work? Nets aren’t saying much; they cannot be happy.

    7) In 2013-14, Zach LaVine played his only season of college basketball, for UCLA; he scored 9.4 ppg in 24.4 mpg, nothing amazing, but the NBA is a developmental league now, and he was taken with the 13th pick by Minnesota in the 2014 draft. Great pick.

    LaVine has worked very hard on his game; last three years, he’s averaged 23.7/25.5/26.0 ppg; he is a legit star, because he got good coaching and he obviously worked his butt off to become a great player, which he now is.

    Problem for Minnesota is, on June 22, 2017, they traded him to Chicago; here’s the trade:
    — Minnesota got: Jimmy Butler, Justin Patton
    — Chicago got: LaVine, Kris Dunn, Lauri Markkanen

    Wouldn’t have been a terrible trade for Minnesota, but Butler/Karl-Anthony Towns didn’t get along, and one of them had to go- they’re 57-98 last 2+ seasons, with Butler traded elsewhere.

    6) Wichita State 82, Cincinnati 76— First seven fouls of the game were called on Cincinnati, which reminded me of a story.

    March 2001, I was an assistant basketball coach at Schenectady High; we had great players, and won the public school state championship, our second title in four years.

    We’re playing St Raymond’s from New York City in the Federation tournament- they had Julius Hodge, who went on to play at NC State, then in the NBA for a couple years. The game starts, and the first five or six fouls are called on our guys. No bueno.

    There were lot of people at this game in Glens Falls; we were the local team and those people weren’t very pleased with the refs. Our coach says something to the ref, who has the onions to reply: “You should sit down. You don’t hear the other coach complaining!!!”

    Well genius, you haven’t called a bleeping foul on his team yet!!! Go figure.

    5) You know the State Farm commercial where the guys are all getting their hair cut like Patrick Mahomes? On a table behind one of the guys, there is an old fashioned dial-up phone- don’t see a lot of those anymore. It just looks out of place in the commercial.

    4) Washington Nationals gave Kyle Schwarber a one-year, $10M contract; Schwarber hit only .188 in last year’s shortened season- he’s a career .230 hitter, but he’s also hit 105 homers the last four seasons. His career OPS is .816.

    3) Was surprised to see that Victor Rojas has walked away from his job as TV voice of the Los Angeles Angels; the son of former big leaguer Cookie Rojas, Victor interviewed for the Angels’ vacant general manager job last fall, but they hired someone else. Rojas worked for the Angels for the last 11 years.

    2) Week or so ago, MLB Network ran a replay of the Bronx-Boston playoff game from 1978, the Bucky Dent game. Seems like 1,000 years ago; I was still in college. A million things are different now than they were then, but these stood out:

    — There were no ads on the Green Monster
    — There were no graphics on the TV screen, except after each half-inning.
    — The first baseman for Boston (George Scott) wore a batting helmet in the field.
    — It was a day game; wouldn’t be today. TV would want the game at night.
    — There were no (zero, none) mention of pitch counts.
    — Bucky Dent only hit 40 homers in his MLB career; his homer in this game made him an iconic figure in New York sports.
    — Bronx had acquired him for LaMarr Hoyt and Oscar Gamble. Hoyt won 43 games for Chicago in 1982-83.

    1) If you’re on Twitter, and you want to follow someone who will make you smile nearly every day, follow former NBA player Rex Chapman. He posts all kinds of stuff, lot of unusual animal videos. Guaranteed he will make you smile at least once a day; these days, we can all use that.

    Sunday, Chapman posted a video of a bear on a golf course, trying to get the flag out of a hole on one green, but instead the bear winds up dancing with the pole. Funny stuff.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:39 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      861TEMPLE -862 SMU
      TEMPLE is 29-15 ATS (12.5 Units) in road games off a home loss since 1997.

      865CONNECTICUT -866 DEPAUL
      CONNECTICUT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

      867LOYOLA-IL -868 INDIANA ST
      INDIANA ST is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1997.

      869BRADLEY -870 N IOWA
      N IOWA is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1997.

      871BOISE ST -872 WYOMING
      BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      1183TEXAS SOUTHERN -1184 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
      TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more since 1997.

      1187ALCORN ST -1188 GRAMBLING
      ALCORN ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:41 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Monday, January 11


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:43 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Monday, January 11


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TEMPLE (1 - 2) at SMU (6 - 2) - 1/11/2021, 3:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SMU is 2-2 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
          SMU is 2-2 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          COLORADO (8 - 3) at UTAH (4 - 4) - 1/11/2021, 6:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          COLORADO is 113-151 ATS (-53.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
          COLORADO is 113-151 ATS (-53.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
          COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH is 173-129 ATS (+31.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
          UTAH is 173-129 ATS (+31.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
          UTAH is 105-76 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
          UTAH is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
          UTAH is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 2-2 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CONNECTICUT (6 - 1) at DEPAUL (1 - 3) - 1/11/2021, 6:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CONNECTICUT is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          DEPAUL is 80-113 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
          DEPAUL is 67-103 ATS (-46.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
          CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LOYOLA-IL (7 - 3) at INDIANA ST (4 - 6) - 1/11/2021, 7:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LOYOLA-IL is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
          LOYOLA-IL is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BRADLEY (6 - 4) at N IOWA (3 - 7) - 1/11/2021, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BRADLEY is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
          BRADLEY is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
          N IOWA is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
          N IOWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          N IOWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          N IOWA is 3-3 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
          N IOWA is 4-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOISE ST (9 - 1) at WYOMING (7 - 2) - 1/11/2021, 9:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOISE ST is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WYOMING is 2-2 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
          BOISE ST is 4-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          S CAROLINA ST (0 - 13) at FLORIDA A&M (2 - 6) - 1/11/2021, 6:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          S CAROLINA ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
          S CAROLINA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          FLORIDA A&M is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          S CAROLINA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA A&M over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA A&M is 2-2 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TEXAS SOUTHERN (2 - 5) at PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (1 - 4) - 1/11/2021, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEXAS SOUTHERN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
          TEXAS SOUTHERN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 3-1 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
          PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 3-2 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ALCORN ST (0 - 5) at GRAMBLING (3 - 6) - 1/11/2021, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ALCORN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          GRAMBLING is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GRAMBLING is 2-1 against the spread versus ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
          GRAMBLING is 3-1 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ALABAMA ST (0 - 3) at MISS VALLEY ST (0 - 9) - 1/11/2021, 8:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MISS VALLEY ST is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MISS VALLEY ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
          ALABAMA ST is 4-0 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:41 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Monday, January 11


            Temple @ SMU
            Temple (1-2, 0-2)
            — ranked #150 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #128
            — Experience: #220
            — Continuity: #288
            — Temple hasn’t played in 11 days.
            — Owls lost their first two AAC games, giving up 76-79 points.
            — Temple shot 38.8% (#340) inside arc in its first three games.

            SMU (6-2, 2-2)
            — ranked #55 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #74
            — Experience: #59
            — Continuity: #76
            — SMU lost its last two games, both at home.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Mustangs have #35 eFG% defense in country.
            — SMU is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.

            — SMU was 8-20 on arc, won 79-71 at Temple December 30.
            — Teams split last eight series games.
            — Owls lost four of last five games in Moody Coliseum.

            Colorado @ Utah
            Colorado (8-3, 2-2)
            — ranked #20 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #248
            — Experience: #28
            — Continuity: #104
            — Buffs split their four Pac-12 games, losing two of three on road.
            — Colorado lost three of its five top 100 games (schedule #49)
            — Buffs are making 85.6% of their foul shots, best in country.

            Utah (4-4, 1-3)
            — ranked #69 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #290
            — Experience: #276
            — Continuity: #12
            — Utah lost its last three games, all to top 30 teams.
            — Utes are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#39).
            — Utah’s best win is over #141 Washington.

            — Home side won last nine series games.
            — Teams split last eight series games.
            — Colorado lost its last eight visits here.

            UConn @ DePaul
            UConn (6-1, 3-1)
            — ranked #22 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #326
            — Experience: #137
            — Continuity: #114
            — UConn won its last three games, giving up 58.3 ppg.
            — Huskies’ only loss was in OT to #10 Creighton.
            — UConn is grabbing 41% of its own missed shots (#2).

            DePaul (1-3, 0-3)
            — ranked #91 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #33
            — Experience: #143
            — Continuity: #204
            — DePaul’s only win is over #336 Western Illinois.
            — Blue Demons lost first three Big East games, giving up 84.3 ppg.
            — DePaul is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#284).

            Bradley @ Northern Iowa
            Bradley (6-4, 0-1)
            — ranked #115 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #297
            — Experience: #184
            — Continuity: #203
            — Bradley is 3-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
            — Braves’ four losses are by total of 12 points.
            — Opponents are shooting 38.0% inside arc (#1).

            Northern Iowa (3-7, 2-3)
            — ranked #123 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #49
            — Experience: #274
            — Continuity: #167
            — Panthers lost seven of their nine D-I games.
            — UNI scored 85-78 points in their two D-I wins.
            — Northern Iowa made 10-22 on arc in yesterday’s 78-72 win.

            — Northern Iowa won four of last seven series games.
            — Bradley lost 12 of its last 13 visits to UNI.

            Boise State @ Wyoming
            Boise State (10-1, 6-0)
            — ranked #74 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #175
            — Experience: #79
            — Continuity: #242
            — Boise split its two true road games (beat BYU, lost at Houston)
            — Broncos’ six Mountain West wins are vs bottom of league (schedule #312)
            — Boise’s only loss was 68-58 at Houston, on November 27.

            Wyoming (7-2, 1-1)
            — ranked #183 by KenPom
            — Tempo: #126
            — Experience: #319
            — Continuity: #181
            — Wyoming split pair at Fresno, its first two MW games.
            — To this point, Cowboys have played schedule #332.
            — Wyoming’s best win so far: #136 Oregon State.

            — Boise State won last five series games.
            — Broncos won last two visits to Laramie, by 14-5 points.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:42 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB

              Monday, January 11


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Temple @ Southern Methodist
              Temple
              The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Temple's last 17 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Temple's last 6 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
              Southern Methodist
              Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Temple
              Southern Methodist is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Temple

              Colorado @ Utah
              Colorado
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing on the road against Utah
              Utah
              Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
              Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

              Connecticut @ DePaul
              Connecticut
              Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing DePaul
              DePaul
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of DePaul's last 7 games at home
              DePaul is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

              South Carolina State @ Florida A&M
              South Carolina State
              No trends to report
              Florida A&M
              No trends to report

              Loyola-Chicago @ Indiana State
              Loyola-Chicago
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Loyola-Chicago's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Loyola-Chicago's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana State
              Indiana State
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana State's last 9 games when playing at home against Loyola-Chicago
              Indiana State is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

              Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M
              Texas Southern
              No trends to report
              Prairie View A&M
              No trends to report

              Bradley @ Northern Iowa
              Bradley
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bradley's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northern Iowa
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley's last 7 games on the road
              Northern Iowa
              Northern Iowa is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Bradley
              Northern Iowa is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home

              Alcorn State @ Grambling State
              Alcorn State
              No trends to report
              Grambling State
              No trends to report

              Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State
              Alabama State
              No trends to report
              Mississippi Valley State
              No trends to report

              Boise State @ Wyoming
              Boise State
              Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wyoming
              Boise State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              Wyoming
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing Boise State
              Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2021, 12:42 PM.

              Comment

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