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  • Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, January 10

    Good Luck on day #10 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top six scorers in the country:
    32.5— Justin Jaworski, Lafayette
    27.2— Luka Garza, Iowa
    26.0— Jalen Johnson, Alabama A&M
    25.4— Loren Jackson, Akron
    24.8— Cameron Thomas, LSU
    23.6— DeVante’ Jones, Coastal Carolina

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 370,082
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

    13) Bills 27, Colts 24:
    — Indy outgained the Bills, 472-397; that doesn’t matter.
    — Colts had two empty trips to the red zone; no bueno.
    — 3rd down conversions: Colts 9-17, Bills 2-9

    — Buffalo gets its first playoff win since 1995.
    — Bills’ first four drives: 17 plays, 108 yards, 7 points.
    — Bills’ last five drives: 43 plays, 293 yards, 20 points.

    12) Rams 30, Seahawks 20:
    — Darious Williams had a pick-6 for the Rams.
    — Cam Akers ran for 131 yards, caught passes for 45 more.
    — Jared Goff came off the bench to lead the win after backup John Wolford got KO’d after getting kneed in the head while running the ball— he hurt his neck.

    — Seahawks completed only 11 of their 27 passes.
    — Third down conversions: Rams 3-15, Seattle 2-14
    — Rams outgained Seattle, 333-278.

    11) Buccaneers 31, Washington 23:
    — Fournette ran for 93 yards and a TD.
    — Brady threw for 381 yards in his 31st postseason win.
    — Evans caught six passes for 119 yards.

    — Washington was within 18-16 after three quarters.
    — Heinicke threw for 306 yards; it was his second NFL start.
    — Refs had right idea; total of five penalties were called in the game.

    10) Texas 72, West Virginia 70:
    — Three years ago, Andrew Jones had leukemia; he hit the game-winning 3-pointer in this game, after West Virginia missed two foul shots with 0:10 left.
    — Mountaineers led 54-45 with 13:08 left, 70-65 with 1:41 left.
    — Longhorns are 10-1; they won their last six games.

    9) San Diego State 69, Nevada 67— Aztecs’ G Pulliam hit a runner off the glass at the buzzer to give San Diego State a walk-off home win, after they had blown a 10-point first half lead.

    8) Santa Clara 66, Saint Mary’s 64— Herb Sendek has coached at NC State/Arizona State, but went 5-7 in NCAA tourney games so now he is at Santa Clara, where he has the Broncos on an upward path. Santa Clara is 7-2 this year, 27-15 last two years.

    7) College basketball upsets:
    — Santa Clara (+9) 66, Saint Mary’s 64
    — Rice (+8) 71, Texas-El Paso 68
    — Miami (+6.5) 64, NC State 59
    — Citadel (+6.5) 92, Chattanooga 87
    — Rhode Island (+6) 83, VCU 68
    — Eastern Michigan (+5) 71, Akron 59
    — Kentucky (+4.5) 76, Florida 58
    — Middle Tennessee (+4) 67, FIU 56
    — Wofford (+4) 48, NC-Greensboro 45

    6) USC 73, Arizona State 64— This is the first time ever that UCLA/USC swept the two Arizona schools in Pac-12 play. Sounds surprising, but USC hadn’t won in Tucson for a decade.

    5) In this day and age, how the hell do teams not score 50 points but still win?
    — Wofford 48, NC-Greensboro 45— Greensboro was 1-2 on the line, for whole game.
    — Manhattan 45, Quinnipiac 42— Teams combined to make 9-39 on the arc.

    4) Kentucky 76, Florida 58— Wildcats stumbled thru a 1-6 non-conference slate, but won their first three conference games. This was, by far, their best game of the season.

    3) Ohio State 79, Rutgers 68— Scarlet Knights were 6-0 at one point; people like me were just assuming that Rutgers would make the NCAAs for the first time since 1991, but now they’ve lost four of their last five games— they need to start winning again. Shooting better than 58% on the foul line would be a big help.

    2) Cleveland State 74, Northern Kentucky 71 OT— Vikings are already 8-0 in Horizon League, after losing all three non-conference games. Previous five years, Cleveland State was 27-53 in conference games. Dennis Gates is doing an excellent coaching job.

    1) Little Rock 78, Louisiana 76, OT— Teams split pair of 2-point decisions this weekend; the end of Friday’s game was……..unique.

    Louisiana was up a hoop with 0:10 left, Little Rock had the ball. Point guard was dribbling near midcourt when the lights in the arena went out, and the auxiliary lights went on, the ones used during player introductions.

    Lights stayed off for two seconds, then came back on; the refs never blew a whistle, the guard never stopped dribbling; when the lights came back on, he jacked up a 3 that missed, the refs sprinted off the floor, along with the Louisiana team. Little Rock’s coach was not happy.

    Trojans got their revenge Saturday with this OT win; they were down 10 at halftime.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, January 10


      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-10-2021, 11:15 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Sunday, January 10


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        Trend Report
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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-10-2021, 11:16 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, January 10


          Providence @ Xavier
          Providence (7-4, 3-2)
          — ranked #58 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #314
          — Experience: #141
          — Continuity: #215
          — Friars split their four true road games.
          — Two of last three Providence wins came in OT.
          — Friars haven’t played in eight days.

          Xavier (9-2, 2-2)
          — ranked #50 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #183
          — Experience: #123
          — Continuity: #173
          — Xavier split its last four games, after a 7-0 non-conference mark.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Musketeers have #18 eFG% defense in country.
          — Xavier won five of its seven top 100 games.

          — Teams split their last six meetings.
          — Friars lost six of last seven visits to Cintas Center.

          Drexel @ Charleston
          Drexel (5-3, 0-1)
          — ranked #152 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #308
          — Experience: #170
          — Continuity: #4
          — Drexel is 4-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.
          — To this point, Drgaons have played schedule #299.
          — Drexel lost its CAA opener 61-60 here yesterday; Charleston scored the last five points of the game.

          Charleston (4-6, 2-1)
          — ranked #216 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #345
          — Experience: #102
          — Continuity: #241
          — Cougars are 0-6 when they allow more than 63 points.
          — Charleston is 1-5 vs teams ranked in the top 200.
          — Cougars are shooting 37.8% on the arc (#39)

          — Charleston won last five series games.
          — Dragons lost their last three visits here, by 12-1-9 points.

          Missouri State @ Valparaiso
          Missouri State (8-1, 2-1)
          — ranked #117 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #121
          — Experience: #232
          — Continuity: #285
          — Three of Bears’ four Valley wins were by 10+ points.
          — Missouri State is shooting 62.6% inside arc (#5)
          — Bears’ only loss was 85-75 at Northern Iowa.

          Valparaiso (3-6, 0-1)
          — ranked #181 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #196
          — Experience: #256
          — Continuity: #87
          — Crusaders lost six of their seven D-I games.
          — Valpo lost its MVC opener by 13 yesterday, despite going 11-27 on arc.
          — Missouri State led 41-37 at the half yesterday; they shot 64.5% inside arc.

          — Missouri State is 6-3 in MVC meetings.
          — Bears won three of their four visits to Valpo.

          Delaware @ Wm & Mary
          Delaware (3-5, 1-2)
          — ranked #269 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #266
          — Experience: #177
          — Continuity: #175
          — Blue Hens lost four of their last five games.
          — Delaware’s last four games (1-3) were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
          — Blue Hens have #279 eFG% in country.

          Wm & Mary (3-5, 1-2)
          — ranked #288 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #241
          — Experience: #301
          — Continuity: #257
          — Wm & Mary trailed by 8 early in 2nd half of yesterday’s 67-62 win here.
          — Tribe won three of four games vs teams outside top 200.
          — Wm & Mary has #295 eFG% in country.

          — Wm & Mary won 10 of last 12 series games.
          — Blue Hens lost their last five visits here.

          Illinois State @ Evansville
          Illinois State (3-6, 0-3)
          — ranked #263 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #95
          — Experience: #331
          — Continuity: #261
          — Redbirds lost their first three MVC games, by 30-31-9 points.
          — Illinois State lost all six true road games, all by 9+ points.
          — Redbirds’ two D-I wins are over teams #219/#356

          Evansville (6-5, 4-1)
          — ranked #245 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #356 (2nd-slowest in country)
          — Experience: #48
          — Continuity: #227
          — Purple Aces won their last four games, after a 2-5 start.
          — Evansville is shooting 37.2% on the arc (#48)
          — Evansville was +8 in turnovers (15-7) in yesterday’s 57-48 win.

          — Purple Aces’ win Saturday snapped an 11-game series skid.
          — Illinois State won six of its last seven games here.

          Marist @ Monmouth
          Marist (5-1, 2-1)
          — ranked #252 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #290
          — Experience: #263
          — Continuity: #203
          — Marist lost its last two games after a 6-1 start.
          — Red Foxes are turning ball over 23.4% of time (#312)
          — To this point, Marist has played schedule #323.

          Monmouth (4-4, 4-3)
          — ranked #165 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #7
          — Experience: #101
          — Continuity: #51
          — Monmouth won its last three home games, scoring 87 ppg.
          — Hawks are shooting 41.1% on arc (#6).
          — Monmouth is 0-3 when it scores fewer than 78 points.

          — Monmouth won 10 of last 11 series games.
          — Red Foxes lost five of last six visits to Monmouth.

          Minnesota @ Iowa
          Minnesota (10-3, 3-3)
          — ranked #31 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #49
          — Experience: #135
          — Continuity: #184
          — Gophers are 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in Big 14 play.
          — Minnesota was held to 60.3 ppg in its three losses.
          — Gophers beat Iowa 102-95 in OT, at home on Christmas.

          Iowa (10-2, 4-1)
          — ranked #4 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #62
          — Experience: #213
          — Continuity: #52
          — Iowa won its last three games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
          — Hawkeyes have #17 eFG% in country.
          — Iowa gave up 99-102 points in its only losses.

          — Teams split their last ten meetings.
          — Gophers lost last three trips to Iowa, by 4-14-20 points.

          Siena @ Fairfield
          Siena (3-0, 3-0)
          — ranked #129 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #274
          — Experience: #81
          — Continuity: #157
          — Siena is playing its 4th game in eight days, their first four games this year.
          — Saints scored 76 ppg, in wins by 1-14-16 points.
          — Siena played three guys 34:00+ yesterday, in game they never trailed.

          Fairfield (2-10, 2-5)
          — ranked #332 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #288
          — Experience: #203
          — Continuity: #211
          — Fairfield gave up 52-56 points in their only wins.
          — Stags have #318 eFG% in country (42.9% inside arc, #322)
          — Fairfield lost five of its seven home games.

          — Siena won last five series games.
          — Saints won three of their last four visits here.

          Bradley @ Northern Iowa
          Bradley (6-3, 0-0)
          — ranked #111 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #301
          — Experience: #172
          — Continuity: #197
          — Bradley hasn’t played in 19 days.
          — Braves’ three losses are by total of six points.
          — Opponents are shooting 35.8% inside arc (#1).

          Northern Iowa (2-7, 1-3)
          — ranked #121 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #67
          — Experience: #269
          — Continuity: #164
          — Panthers lost seven of their eight D-I games.
          — UNI was held to 61.3 ppg in its three Valley losses.
          — Northern Iowa has #268 eFG% defense in country.

          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Bradley lost 11 of its last 12 visits to UNI.

          Cincinnati @ Wichita State
          Cincinnati (3-6, 1-3)
          — ranked #78 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #83
          — Experience: #208
          — Continuity: #206
          — Bearcats lost five of their last six games.
          — Cincinnati’s three AAC losses are by 3-5-4 points.
          — To this point, Bearcats have played schedule #37.

          Wichita State (6-3, 2-1)
          — ranked #83 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #233
          — Experience: #131
          — Continuity: #226
          — Wichita’s last seven D-I games were all decided by 7 or less points.
          — Shockers have #293 eFG% in country.
          — Wichita was held to 64 or fewer points in their three losses.

          — Cincinnati won last six series games.
          — Bearcats won last three visits here, by 1-1-11 points.

          Indiana @ Nebraska
          Indiana (7-5, 2-3)
          — ranked #23 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #303
          — Experience: #290
          — Continuity: #80
          — Indiana is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 2-9-7 points.
          — Two of their last three games went to overtime.
          — Hoosiers played three starters 48:00+ in Thursday’s double OT loss.

          Nebraska (4-7, 0-4)
          — ranked #119 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #32
          — Experience: #86
          — Continuity: #309
          — Nebraska lost its last six D-I games.
          — Cornhuskers scored 63.3 ppg in losing first four Big 14 games.
          — Nebraska has #278 eFG% in country.

          — Indiana is 5-3 in last eight series games.
          — Teams split last four meetings played here.

          Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech
          Notre Dame (3-6, 0-3)
          — ranked #86 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #295
          — Experience: #67
          — Continuity: #124
          — Notre Dame lost first three ACC games, by 10-1-9 points.
          — Notre Dame lost six of its seven top 100 games.
          — Irish won by point at #43 Kentucky, its only top 100/road win.

          Virginia Tech (8-2, 2-1)
          — ranked #37 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #285
          — Experience: #217
          — Continuity: #114
          — Tech won its two ACC home games, by 2-6 points.
          — Hokies have #64 eFG% in country.
          — 44.3% of Tech’s shots are from behind the arc (#40)

          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Notre Dame won two of last three trips to Blacksburg.

          Maryland @ Illinois
          Maryland (8-4, 1-2)
          — ranked #51 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #270
          — Experience: #154
          — Continuity: #110
          — Maryland lost six of its last eight games.
          — Terps lost three of four true road games, winning at Wisconsin.
          — Maryland lost six of its seven top 100 games.

          Illinois (9-3, 5-1)
          — ranked #6 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #59
          — Experience: #218
          — Continuity: #45
          — Illini won last four games, holding la
          t three to 58 ppg.
          — Illinois is shooting 41.7% on arc (#4).
          — Illini allowed 81+ points in all three of its losses.

          — Maryland won six of last seven series games.
          — Terps won their last three visits to Champaign.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-10-2021, 11:17 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            811PROVIDENCE -812 XAVIER
            XAVIER is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

            815DREXEL -816 COLL OF CHARLESTON
            DREXEL is 3-10 ATS (-8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

            819DELAWARE -820 WM & MARY
            DELAWARE is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.

            821ILLINOIS ST -822 EVANSVILLE
            ILLINOIS ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

            823MARIST -824 MONMOUTH
            MONMOUTH is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

            825MINNESOTA -826 IOWA
            IOWA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

            827SIENA -828 FAIRFIELD
            SIENA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

            829BRADLEY -830 N IOWA
            BRADLEY is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less since 1997.

            831CINCINNATI -832 WICHITA ST
            WICHITA ST is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

            833INDIANA -834 NEBRASKA
            NEBRASKA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-10-2021, 11:18 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Dunkel

              Sunday, January 10


              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-10-2021, 11:19 AM.

              Comment

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